Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, November 17, 2008
Flawed Central Banking System and Stocks Bear Market Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In his genius, E.F. Schumaker foresaw the eventual demise of present day central banking long ago, and offers a workable solution that can both co-exit and operate within transition from failing fiat currency based economies flaming out due to accelerating inflation . And make no mistake about it – the global economy is flaming out – with all strata of economies soon to begin the decentralization process. One need only look at the collapse in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) for confirmation in this regard. The credit crisis, and lack of trust it sponsors between financial institutions both domestic and foreign alike, has crashed international trade markets the likes of which never witnessed in the history of mankind. As growing numbers begin to understand this condition is not temporary, but the future, process will take hold, and economies will increasingly regionalize.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 17, 2008
Desperate Investors Seeking a Bottom in Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Yesterday I went into a local bank. Some guy working there I knew in high school stopped me on the way out. He wanted to know what I was doing in the market. He looked nervous. Maybe he was worrying about his 401k.
I told him “nothing.” “I've got a little position in something, but I have a lot of cash and I'm not doing anything. Hopefully it will go up,” I explained.
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Sunday, November 16, 2008
Stock Market Bear Still in Control / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Nothing is a guarantee for sure in life but one thing I do know for sure is that the last 40 minutes of trading told us a lot about where we are in this stock market and the message this market is trying to send to the world that many of us still haven't heard. I now feel for sure that there is something out there that we just don't get at this moment in time because it's not visible. It does, however, have an energy. A vibe. It's saying that we are dealing with something never before seen and it's also saying that it's job isn't over yet. Almost like a punishment for all the improper behavior from the higher ups from just about everywhere.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Hope for a Dismal Economy & Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The ‘page one' story last month was simple. If you owned stocks in any market in the world you suffered a serious decline. Year to date the S&P 500 index is down 34% and the Russell Microcap index has declined 33.7%. For the one, three, five, and 10 year periods all the major indexes we track yielded negative returns. An investment in those major market indexes for each of those investment periods would have lost money.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Stock Market Rally Against the Primary Trend / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
What a wild day on stock markets yesterday! At one stage the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged to below 8,000, but staged a spectacular rally late in the session to close 553 points (6.6%) up on the day. The S&P 500 Index moved in tandem to finish the day 59 points (6.9%) higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Stock Market Crash Count Update and Bullish Gold Stocks Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Bullish Divergences on $HUI and $OSX, S&P Crash Count Updated Again, here are a few charts I am looking at after Thursday's dramatic reversal.$HUI Daily Chart
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Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Signs of a Stock Market Bottom as Bulls Duck for Cover Whilst Bears Roar / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Sean Brodrick writes: Last weekend, I attended the Money Show in Washington, DC. The themes of fear and greed ran throughout the show. And I'd say that fear had the upper hand.
The speakers at the show (I was one of them) presented a bushel of picks for both up and down markets. And it's always good to get a peek inside some of the best brains in the business.
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Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Global Stock Markets on a Knife Edge Warrant Extreme Caution / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The list of well-known names identifying value on the US stock market at current levels is growing by the day and includes the likes of Jeremy Grantham ( GMO – “ Careful buying is justified ”), Warren Buffett (“ Buy America. I am ”), John Hussman ( Hussman Funds – “ Why Warren Buffett is right ” and “ How low, how bad, how long ?”) and Barry Ritholtz ( The Big Picture – “ Another buy in ”). Even perma-bears such as James Montier and Albert Edwards ( Société Générale – “ Turning more bullish ”) are increasing their equity exposure, albeit only for the short term.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Wedge Pattern Points to New Low -Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It's time to think strategically about what is happening in the market today. There are so many theories and wave counts that it will make your head spin. However, let's see what the probabilities are based on the charts. A look at the Dow chart gives us a couple of immediate scenarios. Note the pink dotted line. This might be a potential support for the proposed triangle formation that some are advocating. This may already have been passed by the time the show is aired, so I will adjust my discussion accordingly.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 10, 2008
UltraShort SPYs Heading Higher as Stocks Slide / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
So far this morning the high at 91.11 in the UltraShort SPY (AMEX: SDS) hit the lower side of my original target zone of 91.10 to 91.60. Let's notice that just above current prices -- at 91.90-92.00--the SDS will smack into a powerful near-term resistance line from the late October peak (late Oct low in the SPYs), which if hurdled will argue that a new and powerful upleg commenced this morning at 84.25…that is heading for 116.00-118.00. (12:35 pm ET 91.13).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 10, 2008
Gloom and Doom Folks Will Soon be Proven Wrong / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
If you stand to close to a painting you may never see the entire picture. Seen from a distance, the Rembrandt "standing" self portrait in Vienna (1652) shows the bold, confident appearance that is usually attributed to it. Click here… > Heavy Mellow. It is the same with the markets that we follow. If one concentrates only on the very short term they will not see the larger picture. The larger picture, the very long term picture as epitomized by the charts posted below is informing us that once again, THE GLOOM AND DOOM FOLKS WILL SOON BE PROVEN WRONG.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 09, 2008
Stock Markets Attempting to Bottom Against Grim Economic Background / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Pretty grim out there. Where is the basis for current optimistic stock market views?
Markets may anticipate recovery, but how soon could that recovery be, given the depth of the problem? How many more stimulus programs are needed? How many more can be paid for now or later? Are we sowing the seeds of greater disaster later by adding more easy money to a problem that was caused in substantial part by easy money in the first place?
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Sunday, November 09, 2008
Stock Market Indices Teetering at the Edge of the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Wiley Coyote Suspended in Air Over a Canyon - There is nothing left in the charts to suggest support for the S&P 500 index if it pierces the approximate 800 level (roughly 80 for its proxy SPY).
The index has been volatile within a range between generally 850 and 1,000 over the past few weeks.
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Friday, November 07, 2008
Stock Market Trends November 2008 Forming a Base / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Learn to invest using basic technical analysis that provides the tools to identify and follow the trends of the market using the S&P 500.
It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
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Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Don't be fooled by Obama Election Victory Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
World stock markets are extending their bear market rally, and there's a possibility they could continue to do so for a while longer.
If so, don't be fooled!
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Stock Market Unrelenting Bullishness Amidst Deteriorating Economic Conditions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
MarketWatch, the Wall Street Journal, Hussman, MSNBC, and Barron's are all bullish on the stock market. That is pretty amazing optimism in the face of the collapse we have seen. Is such optimism warranted? Let's take a look and see.The Wall Street Journal is reporting Stocks Look Cheap World-Wide .
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Transitions From Stocks Bear Markets To Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From the tulip bulb craze in the 1630s to the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, human beings continue to make the same mistakes over and over again.”
In a recent article, Stocks Will Bottom Well Before Economy , we conceded the outlook for the economy remains bleak, but the S&P 500's recent 46% decline has already priced in much of the bad news. Presently, we remain in a bear market, which means principal preservation is the primary objective. However, the recent declines in stocks have dropped valuations to levels where buyers will be more inclined to step forward. At some point, stocks will begin to transition from a bear market back to a bull market. It could occur relatively soon or may not happen for an extended period of time. Regardless of when the shift occurs, it is prudent to prepare for the transition.
Monday, November 03, 2008
Stocks Bear Market How Low Could it Go? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As we stated last October (the month of the stock market's peak); “the stock market is a sideshow, it can adjust to the economic reality very quickly as it did in 1929 (especially with credit losses already in place).” Only misconceptions about the Great Depression cause a dismissal of the similarities. Commodities are correcting sharply as forecast. The U.S. Dollar has gained double-digits against other currencies while the Yen is “ soaring to 13 year highs .” The U.S. stock market (DJIA) has fallen below the ‘ line in the sand ' described in March. And European countries are faring much worse as expected . Even our forecast for Mega Thrift is becoming more plausible.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 03, 2008
Explosive Stocks Bear Market Rally Testing Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Oh how sweet it was for the bulls with one hour to go. All three major indexes, including the two most important, the Nas and Sp, we're well above their 20 day exponential moving averages. The bears were staring at a situation they probably didn't think humanly possible when they woke up Monday morning this past week. The market had exploded up and was now testing the area where all bear market rallies go home to die a quick, painful death or better known as those 20 day moving averages.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 03, 2008
Stock Market Short-term Rally to be followed by New Bear Market Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The American economy continues to contract. Construction levels are declining. Building permits, which are a gauge of future activity, fell to 786,000 in September from 857,000 in August. In September industrial production suffered its biggest decline since the recession of 1974-5. This broad based weakness suggests that the recession will be deep.Read full article... Read full article...