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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Economic Theory

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Friday, June 11, 2010

The Monetary or Circulation-Credit Theory of the Trade Cycle / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe theory of the cyclical fluctuations of business as elaborated by the British Currency School was in two respects unsatisfactory.

First, it failed to recognize that circulation credit can be granted not only by the issue of banknotes in excess of the banks' holding of cash reserves, but also by creating bank deposits subject to check in excess of such reserves (checkbook money, deposit currency). Consequently it did not realize that deposits payable on demand can also be used as a device of credit expansion. This error is of little weight, as it can be easily amended. It is enough to stress the point that all that refers to credit expansion is valid for all varieties of credit expansion no matter whether the additional fiduciary media are banknotes or deposits.

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Economics

Friday, June 04, 2010

A Primer on Austrian Economics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: J_M_Finegold_Catalan

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe jurisdiction of economics extends far beyond the study of production and consumption of goods and services. The science of economics consists of the study of human action, interaction, and cooperation. Even if you accept the mainstream division of micro- and macroeconomics, at the most basic levels economics deals with how market agents make decisions and how these decisions affect interactions between individuals. Even the broadest of market trends, usually condemned to the realm of "macroeconomics," boils down to interactions between individual market agents.[1]

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Economics

Friday, June 04, 2010

Give Free Markets a Chance / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter watching The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission's June 2nd hearing on credit rating agencies yesterday and reading Professor Raghuram Rajan's op-ed piece, (Bankers have been sold short by market distortions) in the June 3rd edition of the FT, I felt moved to rerun a commentary I wrote way back on July 17, 2008.

Given the economic and financial market "challenges" of the past year, some pundits and politicians are concluding that these challenges are the result of the failure of free markets. I would respond that we cannot determine whether free markets have failed unless we have had free markets. I do not think we have.

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Economics

Monday, May 31, 2010

The Kondratiev Cycle: Where Are We Now? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Jim_Richter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn one of the early issues of my newsletter, I wrote an article about the Kondratiev Cycle, an economic cycle which was first identified by Nikolai D. Kondratiev (1892-1938) an eminent Russian economist. The famous economist, Joseph Schumpeter, once said that the Kondratiev Wave is “...the single most important tool in economic forecasting.” 

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Economics

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

What is the Underground Economy? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Danny LeRoy writes: What is the underground economy?

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Economics

Sunday, May 23, 2010

Revisionist History: Violation of Economic Laws, Why You've Never Heard of the Great Depression of 1920 / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLets take a look at what happens when economic laws are violated. Revisionist history is a useful, potent tool. The cats out of the bag and everyone knows Obama is a closet socialist, but lets take a look at a American favorite, Franklin D. Roosevelt.

Despite all his spending programs, public works, quick fix legislations, radio talks, etc., it solved nothing. Years after his programs were in full swing even his Treasury Secretary, Henry Morgenthau admitted, "We have tried spending money. We are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work ... After eight years of this Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started ... And an enormous debt to boot!". To wit - at least back then a high government official payed lip service to the truth.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Rationality and the Free Market Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePeople seem to do the craziest things when it comes to money. Whether it's chasing stock-market bubbles or paying good money after bad on a home that's hopelessly underwater, the idea of individuals acting as homo economicus seems far-fetched. Only in the ivory-tower world of rational-expectations theory does one find perfectly rational humans making judgments using all available information to satisfy their subjective ends.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

HyperInflation or HyperDeflation? The Quantity Theory of Money / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJames Turk's article Hyperinflation Looms dated April 20, 2010, is based on Quantity Theory of Money (QTM). It draws an analogy between Weimar Germany of 1923 and the United States of 2010. Both precepts are invalid. As far as the QTM is concerned, it suffices to point to the very fact, admitted by Turk, that it is possible to have a shortage of money simultaneously with the overworking of the printing presses. Hyperinflation is not the same as the ultimate inflation of the money supply. It is the ultimate depreciation of the currency unit. The two concepts are far from being the same, QTM notwithstanding.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 04, 2010

It Is Not the Aggregate Demand, Stupid! / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJeremie T.A. Rostan writes: According to Obama's leading economic adviser, the current double-digit unemployment rate is obviously due to a "shortfall in aggregate demand." Indeed, former UC Berkeley professor Christina Romer even told the Wall Street Journal that, until her chief of staff advised her not to, she intended to title a recent speech "It's Aggregate Demand, Stupid."[1]

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Economics

Monday, May 03, 2010

Why Economic Policies Inspired by the Great Depression Fail / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest quarterly survey by the National Association for Business Economics reports that the stimulus did not promote recovery. (In case you didn't know, the country's phony media are frantically pushing the idea that happy days are on the way, something they would never do under a Republican administration.) Any conundrum here is a direct result of fallacious economic reasoning. The idea that the level of output and employment is a function of aggregate spending was a very old fallacy that Keynes successfully resurrected and which is now part of orthodox economic theory even though it has been thoroughly refuted by experience.

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Economics

Saturday, May 01, 2010

Economics: How to Cure a Sick Discipline / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAmerica’s financial mess and our festering trade crisis were both caused by bad policies that mainstream economics told us were OK.  This has made the public cynical about economists, but has produced few specific suggestions on how to actually fix the discipline.  So—what should we do to restore its ability to give sound advice?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 30, 2010

The Phenomenon of Interest / Interest-Rates / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt has been shown that time preference is a category inherent in every human action. Time preference manifests itself in the phenomenon of originary interest, i.e., the discount of future goods as against present goods.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Economics Is Crucial for Ethics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Art_Carden

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI assume that we all want to use the lives we've been given to make the world a better place. This isn't as straightforward as it seems at first. It is insufficient merely to think globally; and depressingly many kinds of acting locally are positively destructive. I have been asked to consider a handful of questions: I'm supposed to discuss the most pressing issue in the world, whether it is getting better or worse, and what we can do about it. I have also been asked what we can do to reduce infant mortality in Memphis. Finally, I've been asked what "thinking globally and acting locally" means to me. I will discuss each in turn.

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Economics

Monday, April 19, 2010

Economic Booms and Busts, the Punditry's Terrible Grasp of Economics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat makes manufacturing an important part of the boom-bust phenomenon is the crucial role that time plays in production. Unfortunately, not only is this fact ignored by our economic commentariat they also adamantly refuse to even recognise its existence, just as they refuse to recognise that there exists a capital structure. (What makes this attitude peculiar is that some of these people claim to have studied von Hayek. The content of their articles strongly suggests otherwise.)

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Economics

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Uncle Sam, Global Trade Sucker? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOf all the blurbs I got for my book Free Trade Doesn’t Work: What Should Replace It and Why, my favorite is one I got from Robert B. Cassidy, a distinguished former trade diplomat whose career included being Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for China, Asia and the Pacific.  His contribution was short, but it made a point, coming from a man who had actually sat at the table where many of America’s key trade agreements were negotiated, that our government would do well to grasp.  He wrote,

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Economics

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Yes, Virginia, There is a Legitimate Case Against Free Trade / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHERE IS A MYTH in wide circulation that the superiority of free trade is simply a settled question on which all serious economists agree. The flip side of this myth, of course, is that anyone who criticizes free trade must either be ignorant of economics, or the spokesman of some special interest which hopes to benefit from trade restrictions. Such critics are not only wrong, the story continues with admittedly impeccable logic, but profoundly worthy of public contempt, as they are necessarily either dumb or corrupt.

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Economics

Monday, April 12, 2010

Why UK Treasury Economic Models are Out of Date, and Wrong / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Cardy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI had a superb session on Budget Day last month with Joe Nellis, Professor of Economics at Cranfield, and he gave us some of his forecasts for economy in the next few years. The forecast could be summarized as that we would recover, but slowly.

It was interesting to see later, during the budget, the Treasury forecasts and compare, and as the papers have said today, 'Expert' forecasters think Darling is a bit optimistic.

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Economics

Monday, April 12, 2010

Common Sense Beats Keynesian Sense / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleL. Albert Hahn writes: My book, The Economics of Illusion, published in 1949, was essentially a critique of the late Lord Keynes's General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. My conclusion was, briefly, that what is new in Keynes's work is not good, and what is good is not new.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 07, 2010

Economy and Inflation, Interview with Rick Davis of the Consumer Metrics Institute / Economics / Economic Theory

By: PhilStockWorld

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIntroduction: Richard Davis, President of the Consumer Metrics Institute, measures real-time consumer transactions as an objective indicator of consumer demand and associated economic health. (For more about Richard’s data, please see “Contraction Tracked by the Consumer Metrics Institute Traces Unique Pattern.”)

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Economics

Monday, April 05, 2010

China Yuan Repegging and Other Non Free Market Trade Imbalance Solutions Are Doomed to Fail / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn spite of much yapping by economists, especially Paul Krugman, I strongly doubt a currency repeg by China would do much (if indeed anything at all) to cure any global imbalances.

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