Category: Gold & Silver 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, September 17, 2009
Gold Surging in All Major Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold rose above the $1,020/oz barrier in late trading in Asia and rose to new 18 months highs at $1,023.60/oz this morning. Despite most analysts calling for a correction, there is buying at these levels and the market appears well supported. Gold's rise is again in all major currencies and not just in dollar and euro. Gold is again knocking on the €700/oz mark. British pound weakness has seen sterling gold rise from £570/oz to over £615/oz in the last month, as sterling has again come under pressure.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Gold at a Permanently Exuberant Plateau? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
"Whether through exuberant hedgies or anxious private investors, gold just keeps pushing higher..."
SO SPECULATIVE BETTING on gold going higher now equals a record-busting 752-tonne position in Comex futures and options, yet this is not a bubble according to Michael Pento of Deltaga.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Gold Price Breakout or B Wave Corrective Top? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Mr. Leonardo de Pissa better known as Fibonacci is saying not so fast don’t count me out just yet. I suspect that he is referring to the quarterly gold chart posted on the next page.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Gold Acting as a Currency / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
And it’s being jumped on by a speculator bash. But, gold has good reasons to rally. Caution is warranted because speculators are involved.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Gold Gains as"Recession Over Means No End to Liquidity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD jumped to new 18-month highs versus the US Dollar in Asian trade on Wednesday, adding 7.2% from the start of Sept. as world stock markets reached 12-month highs and commodity prices rose together with government bonds.
Briefly touching $1,021 an ounce in London trade, gold also reached its best level for UK investors since late April at £616 an ounce.
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Why Politicians Hate Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
"Gold is money and nothing else" ~ JP Morgan, testifying to the Pujo Committee, 1913.
Gold's recent breach of the symbolic US$1,000 level has elicited a predictable amount of commentary from mainstream analysts. The problem is, much of it is ill-informed. Due to the general amnesia of most market analysts, of all asset classes gold remains the most misunderstood. In order to comprehend why gold is rising and why it will continue to rise in the years ahead, we need to review some history.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Gold Surges Towards Hitting New New Record Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold reached an 18 month high at $1,017.50/oz in early European trading this morning. Gold has found its footing in the low $1,000s/oz and looks set to launch an assault on the all time record nominal high of $1,033/oz (on March 17th 2008). 18 months ago tomorrow is when gold surged to its record high (in the aftermath of the Lehman's bankruptcy) and much consolidation and base building has been done in the last 18 months. Gold now looks very strong both from a technical point of view and a fundamental point of view.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Are We Still in a Gold Bull Market? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold closed at $999 on Tuesday. Then, yesterday, it closed down $2.
There’s a time to buy gold; and there’s a time to sell it. Which time is it?
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Can Gold Hold Above $1,000? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold cracked the $1,000-an-ounce barrier for a second time last week, and the New York spot price is now hovering right around that four-digit mark. The first time this happened, in March 2008, the price plummeted to the low $900s within a couple of days.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Gold Long-Term Case Builds on Inflation and U.S. Dollar Fears / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD held in a tight range just below $1,000 an ounce in Asian and early London trade on Tuesday, while global equities, bonds and raw materials also held flat.
Only the British Pound moved sharply on the forex market, falling to a 5-session low vs. the Dollar on stronger-than-expected UK inflation data.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Financial System Remains Vulnerable One Year After Lehman Brothers Collapse / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold is continuing to knock on the $1000/oz door without making a concerted effort either way to test resistance or support. Although there does not seem to be any particular pressure from profit taking, gold needs to push above $1,012/oz in the short term and $1,020/oz in the longer term for the upward momentum to be regained.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
U.S. Dollar Apocalypse Not Yet?, Gold and Silver Trend Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The recent move in gold and silver may be an important top and the corresponding decline in the US Dollar may be a bottom in the making. On the other hand...
TIME IS UP! A DECISIVE MOVE IS COMING SOON
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Precious Metals Bull Market, Stick to These Gold Stocks for Safety and Profits / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The precious metals bull market is in full swing.
The gains in precious metals have been slow and solid. There are bouts of euphoric urgency and small corrections all along an upward trend. Those are the signs of a true bull market.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Gold Overbought as New U.S. Debt Issuance Hitting Congress Limits / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Well, the U.S. has another debt problem in the making. This one has been visited before on a regular basis. The U.S. is running out of the ability to issue new debt. So much debt has been issued that the U.S. is bumping up against the statutory debt limit, which is set by Congress. That limit, now don't laugh, was intended to keep the U.S. government from being a runaway debt machine.
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Monday, September 14, 2009
Gold and Silver Breakout, You Don’t Mess With The Zohan / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
You Don’t Mess With The Zohan is the title of a funny flick starring Adam Sandler from which I will borrow a sentiment that should apply to the breakouts in precious metals yesterday. And that is normally you don’t mess with breakouts like this, however in knowing gold and silver continue to be in play via our self-serving bureaucracy / price managers, paranoid as this may sound, I wouldn’t be surprised for a minute if these characters attempt to scuttle the rallies in coming weeks. After all, the dollar ($) is very oversold and susceptible to a correction higher, which is the primary source of concern here. So if it was my job to fix precious metals prices, in knowing they must be let loose at times to build up paper market related speculative excesses, what I would do is allow this to happen at a time just like this, one where it’s thought prices will be held back by the natural drag of seasonal weakness in the stock market.
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Monday, September 14, 2009
Gold Falls Below $1,000 as U.S. Dollar Bounces / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD slipped below $1,000 an ounce early Monday in London dealing, slipping 1% from last week's record New York close as the US Dollar bounced on the currency markets and all other asset classes – including government bonds – ticked lower together.
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Monday, September 14, 2009
U.S. Dollar Bounce Knocks Gold Back Below $1000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
A bounce in the dollar has pulled gold back from its overnight high of $1009/oz. Gold's inability to sustain a robust move through the psychological $1000/oz barrier has seen a further period of profit taking. The next significant points in either direction for gold, will be support at $990/oz and a close above $1,012/oz. The higher figure will regain the trust of investors that gold can challenge the March 2008 highs of $1,033/oz.
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Monday, September 14, 2009
Gold Price Continues to Underperform Other Gold-Related Assets / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In spite of the excessive, in-your-face, rhetoric in the hundreds, if not thousands, of newspaper and on-line articles this past week on gold bullion it does not warrant the hype - at least not yet. All one has to do is examine the performance of gold relative to the broad stock market indices and the various commodity-related indices to see that its rise above $1000/oz. is not really that impressive. Don’t get me wrong, I think gold has a very bright future but what has happened over the past week, other than the fact that it is closing in on its all-time high, pales in comparison to all other associated precious metals investment vehicles. Frankly, gold is a laggard, any way one looks at it, as the table below so clearly illustrates:
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Monday, September 14, 2009
Gold $1,000 New Floor or Old Ceiling? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
This week gold finally touched $1,000 (as indicated one of the previous essays) so without further ado, we will get right to the charts. Let’s begin with the chart (courtesy of http://stockcharts.com) that features gold in other currencies than the U.S. Dollar.
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
Silver Breakout Could be False / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Human beings have a tendency to forget pain once it has passed, which is of course a good thing, but it is perhaps not so fortunate for many silver traders that they seem to repeatedly forget that silver has a marked tendency to drop much faster than it rises. Over the past couple of weeks silver has risen sharply into the zone of resistance shown on our 3-year chart as investors became excited about the prospects for a gold breakout to new highs, in the process becoming very overbought - critically overbought on its RSI indicator, factors which by themselves give grounds for caution.
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