Category: HyperInflation
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, January 29, 2013
John Williams Forecasts U.S. Dollar Hyperinflation Before End of 2014 / Economics / HyperInflation
Anybody who thinks the U.S. is in a so-called recovery isn’t listening to economist John Williams. He contends, “We haven’t had a recovery and we’re not about to have one, and it’s getting worse.” Williams says it’s because, “The consumer is in very serious trouble. . . . The average guy is not making it. His income is not keeping up with inflation.” As far as Congress getting the budget and debt ceiling under control, Williams says, “Both sides are faced with devil’s choices.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 30, 2012
Hyperinflation, Who's Right, Mike Shedlock 'MISH' or Peter Schiff? / Economics / HyperInflation
Peter Schiff was on Capital Account with Lauren Lyster on Tuesday. For that show, he was asked, and he agreed to debate me on hyperinflation. Thus, I semi-expected to be on the show as well.
I even received email confirmation from Demetri, the Capital Account producer last Sunday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 19, 2012
Bulgaria Hyperinflation Fifteen Years Later / Economics / HyperInflation
The first of July marked the anniversary of a momentous day in Bulgarian history. On that day, fifteen years ago, Bulgaria installed its currency board system (CBS), finally ending its hyperinflation, which had peaked with a monthly inflation rate of 242%, in February 1997.
But, I am getting ahead of myself. As the Soviet Union and allied communist countries began to collapse, I anticipated that a big issue facing the newly-liberated, former communist countries would be inflation, and the instability associated with it. In consequence, I shifted the emphasis of my research program from privatization to currency reform.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 09, 2012
Zimbabwe’s Four-Year Anniversary—From Hyperinflation to Growth / Economics / HyperInflation
In mid-November 2008, Zimbabwe recorded the world’s second-highest hyperinflation. Today, it can boast strong growth and single-digit inflation rates. In 2008, Zimbabwe’s annual real GDP growth rate was a miserable -17.6 percent and its annual inflation rate was 89.7 sextillion percent—that’s roughly 9 followed by 22 zeros.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 04, 2012
Panic in Persia as Hyperinflation Hits Iran / Economics / HyperInflation
For decades, the Iranian economy has been cobbled together by religious-bureaucratic regimes that have employed mandates, regulations, price controls, subsidies and a wide variety of other interventionist devices, in an attempt to achieve their goals. It's all been kept afloat – barely afloat – by oil revenues.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Iran's Hyperinflation: Questions from Tehran / Economics / HyperInflation
Interview with Steve H. Hanke By: Kourosh Ziabari
Targeted with the biting sanctions of the United States and European Union over its nuclear program, Iran's economy is experiencing difficult and breathtaking days. The import of vital goods, including medicine and foodstuff is being impeded, the energy, insurance, transportation and industrial companies are unable to smoothly do business with their foreign counterparts and their financial transactions have been obstructed and the price of goods increases on a daily basis.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 25, 2012
U.S. Dollar Hyperinflation by 2014 Says John Williams / Economics / HyperInflation
Economist John Williams says the latest round of “open-ended” QE has set the table for a global “dollar sell-off” and “hyperinflation” no later than 2014. Williams says, “There’s no way the consumer can fuel the economic recovery, and there is no way we’re going to see one in the near future.” Williams predicts, “The Treasury is going to have funding problems, and that means the deficit gets a lot worse.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 22, 2012
Iran's Hyperinflation Economic Death Spiral / Economics / HyperInflation
My October 2009 Globe Asia column was titled "Iran's Death Spiral." In light of the recent events that have transpired in Iran, I think I might have been onto something back in 2009.
Since early September, there has been an accelerated slide in the value of the Iranian rial. This slide has been punctuated by dramatic collapses in the demand for the rial. With each collapse, there has been something akin to a "bank run" on rials — with a sharp rise in the black market (read: free market) IRR/USD exchange rate (see the accompanying chart). Ironically, Iranians are clamoring for U.S. Dollars.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 21, 2012
The Recipe For U.S. Hyperinflation, Looming Dollar Collapse / Economics / HyperInflation
For the last year, I’ve steered clear of commenting on the US Presidential election for the simple reason that I wanted us to be closer to the actual date before I went through the process of explaining what’s to come.
The reason for this is that elections by their very nature are conflicting processes. Most people vote based on emotions when we are in fact electing someone to fulfill a role that is economic in nature.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 20, 2012
Iran Wage Price Spiral Towards HyperInflation Panic Collapse / News_Letter / HyperInflation
The Market Oracle NewsletterOctober 3rd , 2012 Issue #14 Vol. 6
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 13, 2012
How Long Will Iran’s Hyperinflation Run For? / Economics / HyperInflation
Since I first estimated Iran’s hyperinflation at 69.6% per month, many people have asked, how long will it last? To answer that question, I have posted my “Hanke Chart of the Day” and will let the data speak for themselves.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 07, 2012
The Iran Hyperinflation Fact Sheet / Economics / HyperInflation
Steve H. Hanke writes: For months, I have been following the collapse of the Iranian rial, tracking black-market (free-market) exchange-rate data from foreign-exchange bazaars in Tehran. Using the most recent data, I now estimate that Iran is experiencing hyperinflation – a price-level increase of over 50%, per month.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 04, 2012
Tracking World Hyperinflation - The Data from Argentina to Zimbabwe / Economics / HyperInflation
Steve H. Hanke writes: Hyperinflation is an economic malady that arises under extreme conditions: war, political mismanagement, the transition from a command to market-based economy. There are barriers to the recording and publication of reliable inflation statistics. Overcoming these barriers is an arduous and painstaking process. This article and attached table – an abbreviated version of a Cato Working Paper – supply, for the first time, data on all 56 episodes of hyperinflation, including several which had previously gone unreported.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 04, 2012
Hyperinflation Has Arrived In Iran / Economics / HyperInflation
Steve H. Hanke writes: Since the U.S. and E.U. first enacted sanctions against Iran, in 2010, the value of the Iranian rial (IRR) has plummeted, imposing untold misery on the Iranian people. When a currency collapses, you can be certain that other economic metrics are moving in a negative direction, too. Indeed, using new data from Iran’s foreign-exchange black market, I estimate that Iran’s monthly inflation rate has reached 69.6%. With a monthly inflation rate this high (over 50%), Iran is undoubtedly experiencing hyperinflation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 30, 2012
U.S. Counting Down to Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation
John Williams, who is the founder of ShadowStats.com, stated during a recent interview that the US is on track to become victim of hyperinflation the latest in 2014. He believes that “open ended QE” (which is nothing more than monetizing debt) is the key problem. He explains there is an annual deficit of 5 trillion dollar per year in the US, which includes the unfunded liabilities. He declares the situation “beyond containment”. Central planners are responding to the current economic problems by simply increasing the amount of printed money. John Williams his expectations are that we’ll soon see a heavy sell off in the dollar, quickly followed by a significant first spike in inflation. That will ultimately lead to hyperinflation the latest somewhere in 2014. We are just before the kick off of inflation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 13, 2012
Hyperinflation Is Virtually Assured – John Williams / Economics / HyperInflation
The Federal Reserve is talking about “unlimited QE,” or money printing, to boost employment. Economist John Williams says, “That’s absolutely nonsense. The Fed is just propping up the banks.” Williams says, “You’re likely going to see a dollar sell-off . . . That should evolve into hyperinflation.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 29, 2012
Central Bankers Choice Between Deflationary or Hyperinflationary Depression / Economics / HyperInflation
What the Federal Reserve System can do and what it will do are two different things.
The Federal Reserve System can monetize anything. It can create digital money and buy any asset it chooses to buy. There are no legal restrictions on what it is allowed to monetize.
If it were to do this, and it continued to do this, the dollar would fall to zero value. This would produce hyperinflation. The result would be the destruction of all dollar-based creditors. Debtors could pay off their loans with the sale of an egg or a pack of cigarettes. This is what farmers did in 1923 in Germany and Austria.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 28, 2012
Here Comes the Hyperinflationary Bailout Endgame / Economics / HyperInflation
In 2009, I wrote that the stimulus, tarp, and zero interest rates were going to result in a rally in the stock market, but that the fundamental causes of the 2008 financial crisis, of which the housing bubble collapse was only one outcome, were still present, and that the financial stimulus, which is effectively a tax on future generations, would compound those symptoms.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 20, 2012
Southern Europe Permanently Crippled, The Only Tool Left is Hyper Inflation / Economics / HyperInflation
Any perusal around the world these days features Southern Europe crippled, preparing for the inevitable Greek Govt Bond default. It features a crippled US housing market, a mockery of statistical accounting in the US Gross Domestic Product, the plight of the COMEX with established veterans clearing out desks (not trading), the extreme physical demand reported by the London Trader, and the indictment of the SLV iTrust Silver Fund tool used by the cartel. The survey does not look favorable toward stability. The banking, economic, and political leaders have not pursued reform and remedy in any remote sense.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Stock Market Report Hyperinflation! / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation
I read article after article warning us that excessive printing in the western world is going to produce hyperinflation, and I’ve heard good analysts calling for hyperinflation for almost five years now. Lately the call seems to have morphed into a plea. The Federal Reserve Chairman has pledged to do his part, dropping money out of helicopters if need be, so how could we have deflation given such declarations? We all know that the Fed has created almost US $4 trillion out of thin air over the last three years, so why are the prices of everything from commodities, stocks, real estate and housing on the decline, and why is the US dollar on the rise. It’s a valid question and I want to try to come up with an answer in this report.
Read full article... Read full article...