Category: Financial Markets 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, November 02, 2009
Stocks, Dollar and Gold Bull Markets Inter-market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis seeks to update the trend prospects for all three major markets into at least the end of this year by taking into account their inter-market relationships which should resolve in a more accurate projection for each individual market.
Monday, November 02, 2009
Is the Debt Fuelled Economic Recovery Sustainable? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle Newsletter October 31st, 2009 Issue #82 Vol. 3Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 01, 2009
Stock Markets Sharply Lower on Sustainability Worries of Global Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Rewind the movie to before the stock market lows of March 9: stocks down, corporate bonds down, commodities and gold down, emerging-market currencies down, safe havens in fashion, including the US dollar and government bonds. In short, risky assets closed sharply lower over the past few days as concerns mounted over the outlook for central bank policy and the sustainability of the global economic recovery, with investors only warming momentarily to the US emerging from recession as shown by the Q3 GDP report (announced on the 80th anniversary of Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929).
Saturday, October 31, 2009
Financial Markets React Negatively to Reducing Emergency Economic Stimulus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Incomes are steady, but confidence is waning. -Spending by U.S. consumers fell in September for the first time in five months after the government’s auto-rebate program expired.
Saturday, October 31, 2009
Is the Debt Fuelled Economic Recovery Sustainable? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The U.S. Economy bounced backed strongly in the third quarter, following Euro-zone second quarter recovery which is not so surprising given the amount of debt fuelled economic stimulus spending. Britain lags behind awaiting its bounce back in the fourth quarter due to the relative size of its financial sector.
Friday, October 30, 2009
Financial Fairy Tale Antidotes Springboard For Garnering Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“…the Federal Reserve established and refined a program that permitted banks to pledge virtually any security as collateral…a guaranteed way for taxpayer capital to evaporate in the context of a disintegrating financial system, all with the purpose of bailing out Wall Street's major institutions…
…We uncovered numerous bankrupt companies' equities that were being pledged as collateral for what ultimately was taxpayer exposure. To our surprise, this discovery is not an exception, and in fact in the days immediately preceding the collapse of Bear Stearns…
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Stock Markets and Other Risky Assets Tumble on Recovery Fears / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
I concluded a post on stock markets over the weekend saying: “After equities’ seven-month climb, stock markets certainly look vulnerable for a decline. Two downside reversal days - on Wednesday and Friday - would seem to indicate that stocks could commence a pullback to work off the overbought condition, allowing fundamentals to reassert themselves.”
Global stock markets, as well as other risky assets, closed sharply lower over the past few days as concerns mounted over the sustainability of the global economic recovery and the outlook for central bank policy.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Commodities and Stocks Ready to Bounce or Rally? / Commodities / Financial Markets 2009
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Commodities and stocks almost look ready for a rally or at least a relief bounce. The market is down over 5% and the normal pullback this year has been 4%. Using technical analysis and inter-market analysis we can see that the market is reaching extreme lows and this usually means we are only a couple days away from a rally.
Monday, October 26, 2009
Fall of the U.S. Dollar on G-20 Finance Ministers Agenda / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Bob_Chapman
The G-20 finance ministers meet in Scotland on November 6th and 7th, and they will all be bleating about the fall in the dollar. France started this week, and the others will follow. Their currencies are rising in value and they do not like it.
Monday, October 26, 2009
Financial Markets Wedge Patterns Everywhere Means All Stocks May Sink / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Garry_Abeshouse
This is a follow on to my October 13th 2009 posting , British Pound A Major Disaster Just Waiting to Happen? and my market update on October 19th, and deals with the markets as they stood as of last trade Friday October 23rd.
USD – Cl 75.47 - Price moves on Friday suggest that the next couple of weeks will be important not only for the USD but for all markets. If the large downward wedges in the USD charts are indeed what they appear to be then we should soon see a sharp confirming break upside to at least 77 - 79 for the first move. Contrary to this, a break below the 75 support to say below 74 could change the whole scenario.
Sunday, October 25, 2009
Financial Markets Waiting to Change Direction? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's Great Depression caught the mainstream commentators and academic economists off guard (again), as the UK economy failed to grow by 0.2% in the third quarter as widely expected but rather contracted by another 0.4%. However the trend remains inline with my analysis and forecast of February 2009 that called for a low in the third quarter of 2009 followed by a small increase in GDP for the fourth quarter of 2009.
Saturday, October 24, 2009
Bernanke Says Financial Firms Should Pay for Bank Closings Costs Not Tax Pay / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke called on Congress to ensure that the costs of closing down large financial institutions are borne by the industry instead of taxpayers. The Fed chairman called for a “credible process” for imposing losses on the shareholders and creditors, saying “any resolution costs incurred by the government should be paid through an assessment on the financial industry.”
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Stocks vs. Bonds, 5-Decade Anomaly of Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Adrian_Ash
Stocks now pay way less than bonds once again, but neither pay much...
BLINK and you missed it. US equities offered a greater yield on investment than did US Treasury bonds for less than five months...
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Jim Rogers Long Sugar But Getting Short U.S. Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Submissions
[This interview originally appeared on IndexUniverse.com, and is reprinted here with permission.]
IndexUniverse.com's Heather Bell spoke with commodities expert Jim Rogers earlier this month before his presentation at an event in New York sponsored by ETF Securities. A recap of Rogers' presentation that day is available here
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Monday, October 19, 2009
Stock and Financial Markets Overview and Possibilities Over the Coming Months / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Garry_Abeshouse
The following notes contain a small fragment of what in reality are many possibilities that may eventuate over the coming months and I reserve the right to alter my prognostications on these pages at any time. I do not expect everything I have written to come to pass, but I do expect much of it will, but perhaps not in exactly the way I expected. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 19, 2009
Dow Hits 10k as Bailed Out Banks Announce Huge Profits and Bonuses / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle Newsletter October 18th, 2009 Issue #79 Vol. 3 Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 18, 2009
Stock Market Boosted by Better than Expected Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Risky assets remained in favor during the past week, generally helped along by fairly robust economic data and better-than-expected corporate earnings reports. A number of bourses, crude oil, inflation-linked bonds and high-yielding corporate bonds and currencies recorded fresh highs for the year, whereas gold hit an all-time high of $1,070.20 per ounce.
Assets such as government bonds and the US dollar saw fading demand as safe havens, now that the global economy is on the mend. Similarly, credit default spreads tightened markedly and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) declined to its lowest level since early September 2008.
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Sunday, October 18, 2009
Dow Hits 10k as Bailed Out Banks Announce Huge Profits and Bonuses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Goldman Sachs lived up to expectations of huge profits and "two fingers up to the tax payer" bonuses (no it does not mean V for victory) as a consequence of the funneling of billions of U.S. tax payer cash onto their balance sheet and huge profit margins in the artificial tax payer funded banking system that squeezes retail customers and rewards failure which is not so surprising since the central banks remain firmly at the centre of the parasitic banking sector.
Friday, October 16, 2009
Dow 10,000 Stock Market Euphoria May be Shortlived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
U.S. Michigan Sentiment Index Decreased to 69.4. - Confidence among U.S. consumers fell more than forecast in October, a reminder that households remain nervous about the strength of the emerging economic recovery. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment decreased to 69.4 from 73.5 in September, which was the highest in more than a year. Measures of expectations for six months ahead and current conditions both fell. The index averaged 87.3 in 12 months leading to December 2007, when the recession began.
Friday, October 16, 2009
Reflation Supported By Stocks, Commodities, and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Last week in Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987, we stated the following:
- A major objective of all the money printing, government intervention, and low interest rates is to create positive inflation, which includes asset price inflation.
- Asset inflation helps heal sick balance sheets and repairs a portion of the lost "wealth effect".
- When gold lies dormant, it means reflation is not working all that well in the minds of market participants. Gold’s recent breakout may indicate that in the minds of market particiapants reflation of assets is working. That mind set results from the fear of future inflation caused by money printing, intervention, etc.