Category: Quantitative Easing
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, August 30, 2012
Expects U.S. QE3 'Relatively Soon' Says PIMCO's Bill Gross / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Bill Gross of PIMCO spoke to Bloomberg Television's Trish Regan this afternoon during a special edition of "Street Smart" live from the Bloomberg Link convention headquarters in Tampa, FL and said that he expects more quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve "relatively soon" and that "they have a dual mandate."
Gross said "unemployment is still above 8% and it's obvious that the Fed isn't comfortable, nor is the nation or the economy with 8% unemployment going forward," but that "Ben Bernanke would agree that the next quantitative ease will produce limited results."
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Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Reasons Why The Fed Will Not Announce QE 3 This Friday / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The biggest even this week is Ben Bernanke’s Jackson Hole Speech which will take place on Friday August 31. It was at Jackson Hole in 2010 that Bernanke hinted at QE 2. With that in mind, many investors believe that the Fed is about to unveil or at least hint at a similar large-scale monetary program this Friday.
We, at Phoenix Capital Research, disagree for three reasons. Number one, stocks are at or near four-year highs. With stocks at these levels, there is little reason for the Fed to use up any of its remaining ammunition.
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Wednesday, July 25, 2012
Fed Dangles QE3 as 'Raw Meat' for Markets / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Stephen Roach, former non-executive chairman of Morgan Stanley in Asia, appeared on Bloomberg TV's "In the Loop" with Betty Liu this morning, saying that he "absolutely" sees more Fed stimulus next week and that "they have no choice...the markets are setting themselves up and discounting the next QE2. They will not disappoint the markets."
Roach went on the say that "Jon Hilsenrath [of the Wall Street Journal] is actually the chairman of the Fed. When he writes something...Bernanke has no choice but to deliver on what he wrote."
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Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Markets Turning Against QE, What About the Gold Price? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
For many months now we have been writing about Quantitative Easing (QE) and disregarding it pretty quickly. As with the gold price manipulation debate, few people were eager to join us on our side of the sound money fence.
However, it now seems that we no longer have to use basic economic theory and continuous arguments to explain why QE is so useless and dangerous. People and organisations are working it out for themselves. Several reports and studies have been released of late reiterating our beliefs with solid evidence. Even better, we are now seeing an interesting change in the mainstream media. I note that many British journalists this weekend were less than impressed with recent decisions to inject a further £50bn into the UK economy.
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Wednesday, July 18, 2012
The New York Fed Confirms U.S. Economy Runs on Zombie Money / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The world is waiting for more of those cryptic messages from the head of the Fed, who today listens to the name Ben Bernanke and speaks on Capitol Hill. Today may not be an FOMC announcement occasion, but there's still the eternal hope that Ben will give a sign, even though it will undoubtedly be excruciatingly small and ambiguous, that more free public money is on the way for the financial system. There's a nice report out on how and why that works. But first, to give some perspective, here's this from UPI today:
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Tuesday, July 17, 2012
To QE or Not to QE, Disinflation May Be In the Cards / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
In its most recent Meeting Minutes for June 19-20, which were released on July 11th, the FOMC gave no indications of another round of stimulus or QEIII. Nevertheless, the monetary policy making committee did reiterate that it would continue its “Operation Twist” program of bond repurchases through the end of this year.
While the immediate reaction to the FOMC Meeting Minutes depressed precious metals prices and drove the U.S. dollar higher, markets corrected afterwards. The price of gold dropped marginally, and the price of silver actually rose by 10 cents per ounce.
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Monday, July 16, 2012
Sorry Stock Market Bulls, The Fed Will Not Engage in More QE. / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
For well over a year now, I’ve been stating that the Fed will not be able to engage in Quantitative Easing (QE) unless systemic risk hits (think another 2008). My reasons for this are as follows.
First off, the political consequences of hitting “print” (inflation) have made themselves evident to everyone. Indeed, Bernanke was talking about this point as far back as May 2011. The below quote is from a Q&A session with Bernanke during that month.
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Wednesday, June 27, 2012
Global Markets Pine for the Money Printing Press / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The global economy continues to falter and the pace of that slowdown is picking up. Recent data showed that German consumer confidence dropped the most since 1998, as Italian confidence dropped to an all-time record low. The level of Spain's non-performing loans reached the highest since 1994. And Chinese consumer loan demand fell to the lowest since 2004, as their PMI continues to drop further below the line of expansion. To round things out, U.S. job openings fell by 325k, the most since September 2008. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia PMI fell the most in nearly a year and despite record low borrowing costs, Existing Home sales fell 1.5% in May.
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Thursday, June 21, 2012
U.S. More Soft Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Why Read: To get beyond newspaper reporting to a 'what it may mean discussion'.
Featured Article: Shortly after noon Eastern Time yesterday, multiple articles and other media coverage began of the U.S. Federal Reserve announcement that:
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Wednesday, June 13, 2012
Dow Stock Market Bulls and Gold Bugs Wagering big Bets on QE3 / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
"I guess I should warn you. If I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I've said," Fed chief "Easy "Al" Greenspan used to say. Recognizing the fact that financial markets place a heavy value on each of their words, former Fed chiefs Arthur Burns and Paul Volcker, were known for blowing smoke, both literally and figuratively, when appearing before Congress, in order to prevent their words from becoming self fulfilling prophesies. They developed a language called "Fed-speak," which is the use of ambiguous and cautious statements that are purposefully made to obscure the meaning of a statement. Greenspan is credited with turning Fed-speak into a "fine-art" form.
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Thursday, June 07, 2012
Playing QE III Game of Chicken / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Most investors and market pundits continue to misdiagnose the reason behind the worldwide economic malaise. The underlying problem isn't "uncertainty" or any other platitudes Wall Street and politicians like to offer. The truth is that massive sovereign debt defaults (if central banks allow them to be written down honestly) are very deflationary in nature.
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Sunday, June 03, 2012
Sorry Folks, QE 3 Ain’t Coming… Even the Fed Doves Admit It / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Once again the US economy is tanking and everyone is talking QE 3. Sorry folks, it ain’t coming. Bernanke said point blank that it was less attractive as a monetary tool as far back as May ‘11!!!
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Mervyn's Pringle Problem / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Bank to Treasury: Forget credit easing. It's your debt that needs queasing...
UNLIKE PRINGLES tasty potato snacks, quantitative easing doesn't come with a resealable lid. So the famous sales line is only more true for central bankers:
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Friday, April 27, 2012
QE3 is Back On If U.S. Job Reports Are Weak / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Bill Gross of PIMCO spoke to Bloomberg TV's Trish Regan this afternoon and said that he is doubtful of another round of quantitative easing in June, but "if we see some weak employment reports over the next two months, then QE3 is back on." He also said that there's a risk of a double-dip recession "if liquidity disappears."
Gross went on to say that "euro land is a dysfunctional family...more dysfunctional than Democrats and Republicans in Washington, DC."
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Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Superheroes of Central Banking Destroying Money By Printing it to Excess / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Eccentric yes, but central bankers are a long way from playboy billionaire geniuses with hidden superpowers...
SO CENTRAL BANKERS still can't leap tall buildings in a single bound then.
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Tuesday, April 10, 2012
LTRO 3 likely before any U.S. QE3 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
In January we reported the following: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2012/01/30/feds-monetary-base-update/. The FED’s monetary base did make a new high, in February at $2.753 tln, but appears to have ended well short of our $3.0 tln expectation. Since then the monetary base has contracted by nearly $100 bln. The recent high, in OEW terms, may have completed Primary wave III. This would suggest the base in now contracting in a Primary wave IV.
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Sunday, April 08, 2012
The Worst of All Monetary Policies, The Boom That Must End in Depression / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
I. Monetary Expansion Is Kept Going
In monetary analyses, the balance sheet of the commercial banking sector is typically kept separate from the balance sheet of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). However, combining the two balance sheets might be much more informative.
First, adding up the business volumes of commercial banks and the Fed provides a (much) better insight into the expansion of the monetary sector as a whole over time — especially so in times of the financial and economic "crisis."
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Bill Gross on Bernanke Rolling Out QE3 in April / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
PIMCO founder and co-CIO Bill Gross spoke with Bloomberg Television's Margaret Brennan today, telling Bloomberg TV that the Fed will likely shift focus to mortgage securities to keep borrowing rates low when Operation Twist ends in June.
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Monday, March 26, 2012
Will Helicopter Bernanke Become 'Hurricane Ben'? / Politics / Quantitative Easing
This report will deal with quantitative easing (QE). To prepare you for this report, I ask you to watch a short video. It is under 3 minutes. This video is the best thing I have seen on quantitative easing. I wish Bernanke would be this forthright, but I suppose this will never happen.
I will assume from this point on that you have seen the video. If you deal with colleagues who have been confused about what QE really means, forward it to them.
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Tuesday, March 20, 2012
Fed Spreading Financial Cancer That's Killing the Markets and Democratic Capitalism / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
While the vast majority of commentators look at the market action of the last three months and celebrate, I cannot help but shudder. The reason is that the stock market has been propped up solely by Central Bank and/or Federal Government intervention or the hope of more intervention.
That alone is worrisome as it indicates the stock market no longer cares for economic or financial fundamentals (something that has been clear for several years now).
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