Category: Quantitative Easing
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Bank Excess Reserves Have to Decline for Fed Policy to be Successful / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
The nature of recent Fed rhetoric has raised the probability of a second round of quantitative easing (QE) as early as the November 2-3 FOMC meeting. New York Fed President Dudley's speech on October 1 makes a case for this action. Irrespective of Fed action on November 3, excess reserves of the banking system have to decline noticeably for self-sustained robust economic growth to occur. Excess reserves of the banking system, stood at $976 billion for the week ended September 22 and are down from a high of 1.192 trillion (see chart 1) in February 2010. Ideally, excess reserves have to be a negligible entity.
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Sunday, October 03, 2010
Crisis of US Monetary Policy, Quantitative Easing Doesn't Work / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Ed Yardley notes: Two economists, Seth B. Carpenter and Selva Demiralp, recently posted a discussion paper on the Federal Reserve Board's website, titled "Money, Reserves, and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: Does the Money Multiplier Exist?" [Here's the link.]
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
QE2 Money Printing, Why This Time Is Different / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Since the Fed’s most recent meeting, everyone seems to have an opinion about another round of extraordinary monetary stimulus and the economic and market reactions such a move could leave in its wake.
Many believe “this time is different” … words that tend to have a very poor track record of coming true.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Apologises for Being Wrong on QE and Stimulus Spending / Economics / Quantitative Easing
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard the head economic poncho at the Telegraph now nearly 2 years from starting his mantra of deficit spending stimulus to prevent a debt deleveraging deflationary depression turns around and says that he has been wrong all along, that central banks such as the US Fed are focused on creating inflation rather than preventing deflation.
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Sunday, September 26, 2010
QE2, An Invitation to an Inflation Party? / Economics / Quantitative Easing
This week the Fed altered their end-of-meeting statement by just a few words, but those words have a lot of meaning. It seems they are paving the way to a new round of quantitative easing (QE2), if in their opinion the situation warrants it. A trillion dollars of new money could soon be injected into the system. Tonight we explore some of the implications of a new round of QE. Let's put our speculation hats on, gentle reader, as we are moving into uncharted territory. There are no maps, just theories, and they don't all agree. (Note: this letter may print a little long, as there are a lot of charts.)
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Friday, September 24, 2010
Fed Money Printing a Definition of Insanity, Doing the Same Thing and Expecting a Different Result / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
This week, Federal Reserve officials did it. They jumped the shark. Crossed the Rubicon. Bought a ticket on the express train to financial Never Never Land. Whatever you want to call it.
I say that because Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the rest of the members of the Federal Open Market Committee opened the door to a new round of quantitative easing, or “QE2.” Specifically, they said (with the important passages bolded by me):
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
30 Trillion for Quantitative Easing (QE) 2? It's Time to Get Radical! / Politics / Quantitative Easing
Yes, it's time to get radical on the economy and no, I'm not talking about going full Karl Marx -- the politicians in Washington appear well down THAT road.. The next set of bailouts could run $30 trillion (as I'll explain in a bit) and that's probably not the end of it because all the future government entitlements are well over $100 trillion. This is not only unaffordable, any attempt to make good on even a small portion of this is a fool's errand. In addition to attempting an impossible task that is doomed to fail, we're bailing out the wrong people! Hopefully, this article will get you thinking -- feel free to leave a comment and help our discussion.
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Friday, September 10, 2010
More Stimulus and Unlimited Money Printing Burning the Economic Toast / Economics / Quantitative Easing
Even though I have been drinking so that my speech is slurred after testing some crazy idea that I could drink away my utter horror at the death and dying of the US dollar and economy, history is, on the other hand, being made crystal clear that when a country is so idiotic as to ignore its own Constitutional requirement that money be only made of silver and gold (so as to prevent its over-issuance and thus prevent inflation, The Worst Of All Evils (TWOAE)), and then to compound that stupidity and perfidy by unbelievable over-production of the ridiculously-preferred fiat currency by the foul Federal Reserve mindlessly printing too, too much of it, for too, too long, distorting the economy into an ugly, cancerous, government-centric abomination, that country and its currency are soon toast, which is an unfortunate metaphor because I like toast.
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Thursday, September 09, 2010
Federal Debt Crisis Solution, Time for Bernanke to Drop Money on to Main Street / Economics / Quantitative Easing
The Fed is proposing another round of “quantitative easing,” although the first round failed to reverse deflation. It failed because the money went into the coffers of banks, which failed to lend it on. To reverse deflation, the money needs to be funneled directly to state and local economies. The Fed may not be authorized to “monetize” state bonds, but it COULD buy bonds issued by state-owned banks.
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Saturday, September 04, 2010
Quantitative Easing QE2, Debt Created Out of Thin Air, Banking Crisis Worsens / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
In a futile attempt to keep the economic and financial system afloat, QE2 is underway. It began in early June as banks changed the rules for awarding loans. Their efforts over the past few months have only met with moderate success. Banks had cut back lending by some 25% over the past 16 months mainly to small and medium-sized companies. In the process the economy slowed down markedly and unemployment shot up to levels not seen since the 1930s. These first attempts to restart a sliding economy have so far not met with success. It was not long after that the real decision makers at the Fed that QE2 was going to be needed. We saw the marshalling of financial and economic forces and the tell tale sign of a stock market moving upward for unexplained reasons. That tipped us to QE2.
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Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Quantitative Easing Will Trigger Another Wave of Mergers and Acquisitions / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
As I noted when the government started bailing out the big banks:
[The] Treasury Department encouraged banks to use the bailout money to buy their competitors, and pushed through an amendment to the tax laws which rewards mergers in the banking industry.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
More Money Printing, More Problems / Politics / Quantitative Easing
CJ Maloney writes: The recent decision by the Federal Reserve to keep its balance sheet stuffed to bursting with whatever the Wall Street banks decide to throw onto it came as no surprise and crushed any hope that the Fed would tone down its policy of quantitative easing (QE) — or credit easing (CE), as Mr. Bernanke prefers to call it. With the US economy stalled despite the trillions of "stimulus" funds larded out to the politically connected, the people who helm the Federal Reserve likely felt they had no other choice. This was too easy to predict; for the past few decades the response of US monetary authorities to any crisis has been the same — print more money.
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Saturday, August 14, 2010
Quantitative Easing No Exit - Stage Left or Right / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
This week, national attention was fixated on JetBlue flight attendant Steven Slater, whose bold, creative, and controversial exit strategy could revitalize his future prospects. Not nearly as noticed was the Federal Reserve's decision on Tuesday to avoid finding an exit strategy for its own never-ending career trap. Unfortunately, the Fed's choices affect our lives much more than Slater's.
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Friday, August 13, 2010
Investors Profiting from the Quantitative Easing Threat / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
“Why the Fed will Soon Print $2 Trillion” - Barron’s Magazine Cover, August, 2010
Q.E. is a Major Threat, but one which properly positioned Investors can use for profit.
Just this past Tuesday, August 10, 2010 The Fed announced it would undertake a modest bit of Q.E. (Quantitative Easing) by using proceeds from its mortgage bond investments to buy U.S. Government Debt.
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Friday, August 13, 2010
QE2, Fed Policymakers Screw It Up Again! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Albert Einstein famously defined insanity as doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. But apparently the message hasn’t gotten through to the folks in the Eccles Building in Washington. Because the Federal Reserve is at it again!
This week, policymakers met in D.C. and decided to fire up the printing presses. Led by “Helicopter Ben” Bernanke, they pledged to buy new Treasury securities whenever old Treasuries or mortgage securities matured or were paid off.
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Wednesday, August 11, 2010
Credit Easing Goodbye, Quantitative Easing Ahoy! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has decided to reinvest any proceeds from maturing securities acquired through its $1.25 trillion mortgage-backed security (MBS) purchase program. The proceeds won't be invested in short-term, but in long-term Treasuries.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Quantitative Easing Take II Into Uncharted Territory / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
In response to Will Quantitative Easing Spur Inflation? Job Creation? Credit Expansion? Do Anything? (a point-by-point discussion of thoughts from Chris Ciovacco at Ciovacco Capital Management regarding quantitative easing), I received a nice reply from Chris.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
The Fed Flashes the Nuclear Quantitative Easing Trump Card / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Of ten people who hear the same story or speech, each one might understand it differently. Perhaps, only one of them will understand it correctly. On July 21st, Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke was speaking in riddles, as central bankers are apt to do, while delivering his testimony before Congress. Each word that’s uttered by the Fed chief is scrutinized by anxious speculators, who try to interpret the message correctly, before quickly placing bets in the marketplace.
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Tuesday, July 27, 2010
Should the Fed Pump Even More Money? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Some Fed officials and various commentators, such as Professor Paul Krugman, are of the view that the US central bank should be ready to consider additional steps to boost the US economy in the wake of a visible softening in key economic data. For instance, the yearly rate of growth of retail sales, after climbing to 8.5% in March, have fallen to 4.8% in June. The ISM manufacturing purchasing manager's index (PMI) fell to 56.2 last month from 59.7 in May.
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Friday, July 16, 2010
Fed Money Printing Won't Matter Much to the Real Economy / Economics / Quantitative Easing
In the wake of the latest batch of “double-dip” chatter, the market’s attention is shifting back to the Federal Reserve. Investors are asking a simple question:
Read full article... Read full article...“What, if anything, will the Fed do if the economy craps out again?”