Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, March 25, 2010
Q. What Follows a Stocks Bear Market ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A. A Stocks Bull Market
So why have most analysts and the mainstream press been obsessed with a 'bear market rally', always looking for an imminent end on EVERY correction ? Which has meant that the vast majority of investors have so far MISSED one of the greatest bull markets in history.
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Thursday, March 25, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The powerful rally in the S&P 500 continues... beyond my next target of 1175 towards 1180, using the emini chart. My pattern work argues that a new upleg began at Sunday evening's "healthcare low" at 1144.50, which if accurate indicates to me that the e-SPM still has a number of upside "zigs and zags" ahead prior to completion, which could be at 1180, or 1200 at this point. Only a decline in the e-SPM that violates 1170 will begin to compromise that pattern and the upside projection.
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Thursday, March 25, 2010
What International ETFs Have To Say About Our Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
While our markets hit new rally highs the bulk of the international ETFs are not following through. That MAY be telling us something.
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Thursday, March 25, 2010
Stock Market Selling That Actually Sticks..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
That's a nice change of pace for once. This market needed some selling and finally got it. There were many times during the day when it seemed the market would try and go green, but for once it didn't happen, and I for one am glad it didn't. There comes a point, even if you're bullish, where you want some selling to unwind those overbought oscillators. In the back of your mind you know that the longer we go without unwinding some, the harder things will come down when it snaps. With today's selling the daily charts are now only borderline overbought while the 60-minute time frame charts are now a little more than halfway unwound from the top. It doesn't take too much selling for them to unwind some.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
A Stocks Bull Market or Just Bull? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last week, the Dow closed at 10,741, up some 64 percent since its 2009 lows, [03/19/10, Yahoo! Finance] when most markets had priced in the likelihood of financial Armageddon. As the markets have rebounded from the brink of disaster, many Wall Street cheerleaders have proclaimed the dawning of a major new bull market.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Stock Market Buyers Beware / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The rally off the February bottom is now going on 32 days. This is probably not the best time to chase stocks higher. I’ve been saying for a couple of weeks that the market needs to take a breather, preferably before earnings season as it would then be setup for a strong rally through April.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
The Stocks Bull Bear Market Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
BullBear traders have been long US equities (with the exception of a brief 2 day interlude) since the February 5th bottom. We continue to hold our long positions with an eye towards a mid-April top.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Steps Up Again..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This has been one of those bull markets that constantly make you earn your winnings. It has forced us all to play in to the teeth of some very overbought conditions. If we had followed conventional overbought rules we would have missed out on quite a bit of nice plays. Normally, when RSI's hit 70 across the board on the daily charts, that's it for the short-term. That rule applies in almost all normal bull markets. Not this one.
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010
Five Major Stock Market Myths Exposed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I’ve covered some of the market myths I’m about to tell you about on occasion in the past. And I’ve wanted to consolidate them into a single article for quite some time now.
But my colleague and internationally-respected analyst Robert Precther beat me to the punch, in an article he recently published for his subscribers.
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010
The Most Critical Rule for Investing Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Few commentators understand the manner in which 2008 changed everything, and I mean EVERYTHING about the investing world. This was no mere Financial Crisis or Deflationary Collapse… this was THE game changer, the event that altered the entire investing landscape so that virtually every and all relationships between various investment classes was thrown out the window.
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010
Fed Stock Market Capital Infusions On Options Expiration Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Options Expiration= Ramp Job
Well, it’s another options expiration week and that means, yes you guess it, ramp job time! Wall Street loves options expiration week because it’s that wonderful time of the month when they can move entire stock markets any which way they like just to make sure they shred the options traders and close out their own positions at a profit.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Raging Bull in Greed and Abject Stupidity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We hear many talk of “Bull” and “Bear” Markets. But one thing seems to be settled: This “Bull” is either “Secular” or “Cyclical”- but it is a “Bull”. Take your pick, right ?
Yes indeed, there is a “Bull Market” – and it is raging. But it is a “Bull Market” in Greed and Abject Stupidity. The “Bear Market” is in Common Sense and Logic. And it is reaching New Lows – we’ve solidly taken out the 2007 Lows.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Stock Market Great Reversal And Yes, Overbought Again..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No one who is bullish would complain about today's great reversal off the lows which allowed the market to close green across the board. In fact, the S&P 500 made a perfect, and I mean Perfect, back test of the 1151 breakout with an 1152 print just after the opening bell gap down. From that point forward those determined bulls made an amazing run higher throughout the rest of the day to finish with decent gains on solid reversal volume.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Stock Market, An Up and Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s been an interesting start to the week as the Dow opened lower and looked like it could fall even more. Now the Dow is up 45 points. Meanwhile the US dollar rallied all the way up top 81.34, just above strong resistance at 81.32, only to fall back down into negative territory by noon time. Then there was gold! As the US dollar rallied, gold fell down to test strong support at 1,090.10, only to bounce back later in the morning. At 1:15 pm EST the April gold is trading at 1,104.00 down 3.00 for the session.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Extreme Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In hindsight, the best strategy has been to "set it and forget it" - buy at the bottom in March, 2009 and let it ride. I am sure that is what everyone did! Going forward, the best strategy remains as it has been since October. It will be important to exercise patience and buy at the lows and sell at the highs to capture any profits from this market. While buying low and selling high is always a good policy, it is particularly important here.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Stock Market Distribution Day Friday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Friday had all the makings of a distribution day. It, however, was an OpEx day and we can’t know how much of the activity were market’s way of punishing late buyers and rally hopefuls. Monday, and Tuesday’s action will tell us if this was yet another quick selloff buying opportunity or the beginning of a pullback/correction.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Stock Market Investors, Don't Be Fooled Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In contrast to our typical lean toward writing about how active traders can better engage the markets, this piece is for everyday people who are exposed to the markets, but too busy to pay any meaningful attention to them.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Stock Market Finally Some Selling..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It took its sweet time but the selling has finally arrived. We started the day with a small gap down and never really made an effort to shoot higher. Some small attempts but they were quickly knocked down. It took over a month at being overbought but the market finally caved in. It's important for a market to unwind, of course, and I know it's no fun being in some plays while the market is selling off, but if we had not ignored overbought over the past many weeks we would have missed out on some wonderful plays. We'll just deal with what we have until the market finished off its selling.
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Friday, March 19, 2010
Stock Market Investors Remain Cautious! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Investor sentiment is a well known indicator of market risk.
For centuries the evidence has been clear that whether it is investing in Barbie Dolls, Beanie Babies, or baseball cards; tulip bulbs, Florida swampland, or oil-drilling rigs; the stock market, art, or houses, investors have no interest in investing when prices are at bargain levels. However, after prices have risen so much that they are creating exciting headlines, investors tend to become frantic buyers at any price to try to catch up and get their share of the gains.
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Friday, March 19, 2010
Watching VIX for Signs of Topping Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There are so many crosscurrents today -- options expiration, healthcare reform, S&P rebalancing, among other things. Let's see if the VIX-SPX relationship can shed any light on what the market is "really" doing...
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