Category: Bitcoin
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, February 04, 2019
Bitcoin Price Analysis and Trend Forecast 2019 / Currencies / Bitcoin
2018 was the year the bitcoin crypto bubble burst that witnessed the bitcoin price first collapse to a floor of $6000, from which each attempted bounce failed to generate any follow through, and the longer the failure for a breakout higher continued then the greater the probability that the price would eventually break lower, below the $6000 floor. Which is what transpired during November that saw Bitcoin plunge to a new low of $3,100 by Mid December, a far cry from the fantasy of first revisiting $20k and then $50k that a naive 'manipulated' Bitcoin community had pinned their hopes and dreams on whilst immersed in an endless feedback loop of perma bull bitcoin pump mania commentary, that was the mainstay of the internet during 2018, whilst the manipulators were dumping their holdings onto the naive players. Just like what the pump and dumpers have been doing with penny stocks for over 100 years!
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Monday, January 21, 2019
Bitcoin is entering the Dead Zone / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin and the technology boom of 1990's have so much in common, you would think they are twins!
Previous Post: Bitcoin is so like 1979 silver
The chart below shows how similar each story is.
Mr Market knows this, therefore the desire to enter this market is low, and lower prices will plaque Bitcoin for the next 18 months at least. The supply of coins into this market will continue, and prices will continue to fall, there may be bear market rallies along the way, and the good news is the patient (yip that word) long term investors will have the chance to accumulate coins at pre 2017 bubble launch zones (massive support zones).
Tuesday, January 15, 2019
Bitcoin Price Wavers / Currencies / Bitcoin
If Bitcoin bulls got excited about the recent move up, Thursday’s action extinguished some of this excitement. But it doesn’t come as a surprise to our readers. This one day of strong depreciation can be seen as an indication of things to come. But are these things bearish?
Bitcoin remains on the fringe of the financial system. The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) has recently issued a warning on Bitcoin. In an article on the Forbes website, we read:
In another blow to bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, BIS warned investors and traders that they could lose money on privately minted cryptocurrencies like bitcoin.
Friday, January 04, 2019
Bitcoin: Another Bullish Attempt / Currencies / Bitcoin
Some time has passed since I wrote a more lengthy article, but not nearly as long a time as this gruelling bear market in cryptos - now 12 months long, and counting. So, in this article I’d like to rewind the clock a bit.
When we first saw our bull market top in cryptos, I did not fully expect a long bear market such as we’ve seen. While the March breakdown confirmed in my mind that the $3000 to $4700 zone would be visited again, I did not think it would take this long.
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Monday, December 31, 2018
The Bitcoin BTC Collapse of 2018, Trend Outlook 2019 / Currencies / Bitcoin
2018 was the year the bitcoin crypto bubble burst that witnessed the bitcoin price first collapse to a floor of $6000, from which each attempted bounce failed to generate any follow through, and the longer the failure for a breakout higher continued then the greater the probability that the price would eventually break lower, below the $6000 floor. Which is what transpired during November that saw Bitcoin plunge to a new low of $3,100 by Mid December, a far cry from the fantasy of first revisiting $20k and then $50k that a naive 'manipulated' Bitcoin community had pinned their hopes and dreams on whilst immersed in an endless feedback loop of perma bull bitcoin pump mania commentary, that was the mainstay of the internet during 2018, whilst the manipulators were dumping their holdings onto the naive players. Just like what the pump and dumpers have been doing with penny stocks for over 100 years!
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 31, 2018
Crypto Fund / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Thursday, December 20, 2018
Are Cryptocurrencies The Future of Online Casinos? / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Saturday, December 15, 2018
Bitcoin Important Levels Ahead / Currencies / Bitcoin
These are strange times. Bitcoin is a long way from its all-time high, the market situation resembles the dotcom bubble on steroids and yet there’s not that much information on Bitcoin and we are yet to see the sort of panic that accompanies major crashes. Yet, the sentiment is shifting.
As Bitcoin has been going down for a year now, the sentiment surrounding the currency is shifting, as evidenced by the fact that the media has picked up on the depreciation in the Bitcoin market. Some analysts go even further than that. In an article on the MarketWatch website, we read:
Stephen Innes, head of Asia Pacific trading at Oanda, is arguing that the bitcoin bear market is far from over because the No. 1 digital currency has yet provide a significant use case. “Bitcoins have gone well beyond the ridiculousness of tulip bulb mania,” he said on Monday.
Thursday, November 29, 2018
How the Bitcoin Bubble Burst Could Lead to a New Golden Era / Currencies / Bitcoin
One of the greatest asset bubbles of all time appears to have just burst.
It’s not the stock market. Despite recent downside volatility amidst bubble-like valuations, so far stocks have merely entered a correction.
Cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, have entered into a full-blown meltdown. Bitcoin will go down in history for its extraordinary rise from zero to a high of $19,783 on December 17, 2017. Its subsequent fall may be one for the history books as well.
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Monday, November 26, 2018
Bitcoin Crashes Over 50% From Recent Highs / Currencies / Bitcoin
Crypto enthusiasts were crushed over the Thanksgiving holiday when a fight over Bitcoin Cash and very thin liquidity prompted a massive price breakdown from recent highs. This downside move reflects a true price breakdown where Bitcoin bulls have to rethink their future strategies.
Back in October 2018, we warned that price MUST rally above the support level near $6986 in order for any future upside advance to take hold. The following week, we saw a massive price rally that lasted only a few hours and trailed off back below the $6986 support level. While we waited to see if any future price move would prompt a rally above this level, the Bitcoin price levels continued to congest.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
One Direction More Likely for Bitcoin Price / Currencies / Bitcoin
The recent period of sideways trading may make traders impatient or even discouraged altogether. At any rate, those who crave more action in Bitcoin could be driven out of the market. But this is no time to bet on Bitcoin staying docile.
If the recent months haven’t exactly been rosy for Bitcoin traders, there are avenues which might offer more optimistic news. Unlikely avenues, perhaps. A report by Morgan Stanley suggests that Bitcoin might have become an asset class for institutional investors. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Institutional investors are increasingly getting involved in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies – while the number of retail investors in the space is staying stagnant – according to a new report by Morgan Stanley.
Saturday, October 27, 2018
In Search of a Bearish Bitcoin Trigger / Currencies / Bitcoin
A large asset manager has decided to offer Bitcoin trading to its institutional investors. Bitcoin shot up around the announcement but reversed course and erased most of the move up. The currency has stayed subdued since. This could mean that the market is getting boring. It could also mean that investors and traders are taking a breather before a more decisive move.
Traditional asset managers are not necessarily averse to Bitcoin. It turns out that Fidelity Investments, one of the largest asset managers in the world, is interested in providing hedge funds with access to the Bitcoin market. In an article on the Wall Street Journal website, we read:
Fidelity Investments said it will store and trade bitcoin for hedge funds and other professional investors, becoming one of the first Wall Street giants to step into this volatile corner of the financial world.
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Friday, October 19, 2018
Bitcoin Trend Analysis 2018 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Here's my latest update on the prospects for the Bitcoin price for the remainder of 2018 and beyond.
But firstly a recap of my forecast for 2018 which I published when the crypto was trading at USD 14,000, warning that the Bitcoin price was likely to continue crashing lower towards $5,000, a forecast that at the time was met with much denial from the bitcoin community that appeared to have pinned their hopes on the crypto revisiting $20k.
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Thursday, October 18, 2018
Bitcoin Technical Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
Pattern – the downtrend since the spike high looks to have slowed to crawl and I believe it can continue to drift lower.
Fibonacci – price has been making its way through the angles which is some consolation for the bulls. After trading a bit further down I believe price can rally and eventually crack above the 88.6% angle which may provide some temporary resistance.
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Sunday, October 14, 2018
Bitcoin Breakdown May Push Prices Below $5000 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Recent market turmoil across the global stock markets has refocused investors on the concerns of global economics, trade, and geopolitical issues – away from cryptocurrencies. The biggest, Bitcoin, has been under extended pricing pressure recently and our research team believes Bitcoin will breach the $6000 level to the downside fairly quickly as extended global market downtrends continue.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Bitcoin Time for More Action? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin has been moving up for some time now. The path to higher values has been a rocky one and Bitcoin bulls might be getting some encouragement. Whether this translates to a bullish outlook is another question entirely.
Not all governments are hostile to Bitcoin. Actually, a lot of governments are simply not sure what Bitcoin is and how to approach it. The government of Malta stands out as an example of how officials might actually try to understand the currency and regulate it. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Now, in an address to the United Nation's General Assembly, Malta Prime Minister Joseph Muscat has said he sees blockchain technology as the tool which will allow bitcoin and crypto to "inevitably" gain widespread, mass adoption and become the future of money.
Thursday, September 20, 2018
Can Bitcoin's True Value Be Zero? / Currencies / Bitcoin
The perspective that most have about Bitcoin ranges from complete lack of knowledge to utter certainty that it will change the world. Moreover, there are really no true “fundamentals” with which analysts are able to even attempt to value it based upon traditional methods. But, that certainly has not stopped everyone and their mother from providing their opinion based upon their “feelings.”
Yes, most of what you see presented on the valuation of Bitcoin is nothing more than the analysts’ “feelings.” In fact, I read an article a few days ago which provided the perfect example of this phenomena seen in the crypto-currency market. In a recent article, Geoffrey Caveney provided us his “feelings” about Bitcoin:
Friday, September 14, 2018
Bitcoin Price Is About To Bottom / Currencies / Bitcoin
The painful nine month bear market that began when Bitcoin topped in the mid $19,000’s is now the second longest bear market in crypto history; second in rank to one that began after the Mt. Gox sent Bitcoin down nearly 90% in 18 long months.
As is typical in a bear market, the investing public passes blame. Those trapped in the ensuing downtrend look for reasons they are losing money, as if the market owes them something. For cryptos, the opening of CME Bitcoin futures trading, which began trading shortly before the top, is the chief target. I’ve heard that it said that paper futures always ruin markets. Other targets of blame include regulation in the states and abroad, and the plethora of ‘crap’ coins on the market. The general and age old cry that the markets are manipulated also abound.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
How Bitcoin Will Make You Big Money Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
If you are a Bitcoin fan or looking for the next opportunity for a Bitcoin rally, you may not have long to wait before a price breakout takes place. Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believes a price breakout may occur before the end of 2018 – the only question is will it be a breakout rally or a breakdown crash before the next mega rally?
Cryptos and, in particular, Bitcoin has increased in popularity and adoption over the past 24 months across the globe. Recently, Citigroup has announced new technology making Crypto transactions more secure and reducing the risk of such transactions. Additionally, Circle recently announced a US Dollar based Crypto-currency that is backed by Goldman-Sachs. News from Europe is that the EU has been urged to adopt common Crypto-Currency rules that will fuel more attention and enterprise on developing suitable Crypto solutions for the European markets.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
Bitcoin Trading - SEC Strikes Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin has moved up a bit since the very recent decline. The SEC has just suspended two Bitcoin vehicles. The volume is pretty thin. Is a new rally budding? Or do these events point to a precipitous decline?
The memory of the SEC turning down prospective Bitcoin ETFs is still fresh in memory and now the agency has made the headlines again as it halted two Bitcoin trading vehicles in the U.S. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Announced on Sunday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued an order seeking to suspend the trading of the Bitcoin Tracker One and Ether Tracker One exchange-traded notes, issued by XBT Provider AB, a Swedish-based subsidiary of the U.K. firm CoinShares Holdings.