Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
When Stock Market Volatility Is Your Best Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Most people who talked to me about the market last week were shaking their heads, trying to make sense of the extreme up-and-down moves. But a few smart investors simply shrugged their shoulders and said, “I don’t care. I’m selling the volatility, so it’s been great for me.”
What they mean is that they are selling options - calls and puts. And they’re not selling them to close positions. They’re starting new ones, but selling first and buying them back when they’re cheaper.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
One of the Best Opportunities When the Stock Market Recovers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's a scary time to buy stocks...
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
For some time now, I have been observing bearish “cracks” appearing within the stock markets. The speed of the market’s drop, during the month of August, came as no surprise to me.
The bear market rally ended last week, after it had a 50% retracement of its initial decline. By Friday, September 4th, 2015, the index was trying to hold on, so as to support that which was created by a critical short- term trend line that had already been violated. The DJIA weekly chart gives a good argument by expressing the view that a bear market may already have begun.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
The Stock Market Wants to Rally, Gold Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The SPX futures are rallying during this Labor Day Holiday. The chart below pretty much explains what I'm looking for this week. On the sentiment point, we have excessive bearishness: large specs short volatility, while the small specs are long volatility and high P/C ratios... this is fairly bullish, at least in the short term.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 07, 2015
If You Think That Was A Stock Market Crash…. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: James_Quinn
Last week’s volatility to the downside was entirely predictable, as the first leg down during this ongoing market crash reached the correction stage of 11%. The technical bounce was a given, as the 30 year old HFT MBAs on Wall Street have been trained like rats to BTFD. In their lemming like minds, it has worked for the last six years of this Federal Reserve created “bull market”, so why wouldn’t it work now. Last week was their first lesson in why it doesn’t work during bear markets, and we’ve entered a bear market. John Hussman seems amused at the shallowness of the arguments by Wall Street shills and CNBC cheerleaders about the future of the stock market in his weekly letter. After this modest pullback from all-time highs, the S&P 500 is still overvalued by 92%:
Monday, September 07, 2015
More Stock Market Selling Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Stock Market Bulls Set To Be Tasered Again - Imminent Crash, Severe Downleg... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clive_Maund
The stockmarket is toxic! It's very important that you don't get seduced by the old siren song of Wall St about "buying the dip" and other nonsense like "being selective". While these strategies have worked up to now, they won't any longer, because we are now in a bearmarket, and furthermore it looks like we are on the verge of another plunge.
Monday, September 07, 2015
Investors Cash in On a Strong U.S. Dollar and Weak Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost another 541 points or 3.2% to close at 16,102.38 while the S&P 500 dropped 68 points or 3.4% to 1921.22. The Dow is now solidly in 10% correction territory from its 18,351.40 closing high earlier this year and down 9.7% year-to-date.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Tracking Stock Market Investor Sentiment with Credit Spreads / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
Long time readers of this site are aware that successful traders/investors learn how to read market sentiment. Positioning yourself on the correct side of a market is the key to profits. Do this, and do it consistently, and you will make money. Don’t do this and you will lose money. It is a very simple yet very profound axiom that sadly many seem never to learn.
“Fighting the tape”, is the expression we use when characterizing those who fail to approach markets objectively, but who insist on reading their own bias or belief system INTO a market rather than listening to what the market is saying to them.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
How Stock Market Crisis Creates Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Investment_U
Anthony Summers writes: Last week, we looked at the largest percentage losses in the Dow since 1965. We learned that the months August through November saw the highest concentration of single-day losses of 3% or higher.
In today’s chart, we’re going to look at the market’s largest gains. And just like before, we wanted to know the months when they were most common.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Stock Market Dog Day Afternoons / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
The Fed got what they wanted today besides the much weaker than expected jobs report.
The Unemployment Rate dropped to 5.1%, largely on the number of people who have been unemployed for so long that they are no longer counted as part of the workforce. Hence the record low 'Labor Participation Rate.'
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another volatile week! The week started off with two consecutive gap down openings after starting at SPX 1989. By late Tuesday the SPX was down to 1903. Wednesday and Thursday it reversed with two gap up openings, carrying the SPX to 1975 by Thursday morning. On Friday the market gapped down at the open taking the SPX to 1911. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.35%, the NDX/NAZ were -3.15%, and the DJ World index was -3.60%. On the economic front positive/negative reports came in even. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, the GDPN, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, both ISM’s, the WLEI, payrolls, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by the PPI, Export/Import prices and Consumer sentiment. Best to your week!
Saturday, September 05, 2015
Stock Market Investors Destined to Lose; What you can do to improve your odds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
Uncertainty and mystery are energies of life. Don't let them scare you unduly, for they keep boredom at bay and spark creativity. - R. I. Fitzhenry
The average person regardless of their education or lack off usually is on the receiving end of the stick when it comes to investing in the markets. The reason for this quandary is really very simple and predicated upon the fact that the average person’s decision-making process is driven by their emotional state. Successful investing and emotions do not go together; it’s an awful mix, and the outcome is always the same; stress and loss.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Stock Market Flag Lives On...Jobs Report Poor.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The highly watched and anticipated Jobs Report came out this morning. Folks anxious to see if the economy is as strong as most hoped. The verdict was a poor one for the economy. The believers shot down. The job creation came in approximately 50,000 short. Not what Fed Yellen wanted to see, and not what the market really wanted to see, either. It appears to me that folks are more focused on a true economic recovery than worrying about one single rate hike from the Fed. With the economy struggling for growth it's clear to all that even if the Fed raised rates one time there's no way there would be a regular cycle of hikes for some time to come. At this point, the market may actually want this hike to come so it can get it out of the way.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
Stock Market Third Wave - Elliott Waves Point to Market Probabilities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
The "personality" of a third wave shows itself in recent market action
A classic issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist published this exchange:
Read full article... Read full article...Q. Do you believe that the Wave Principle provides for an objective form of analysis? ... There are market watchers who say that applying wave theory is very subjective.
Friday, September 04, 2015
Another Stock Market Roller Coaster Ride / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX Premarket is down 30 points as I write. As you can see, the next support level is at or near 1900.00, if it holds.
The much-awaited payroll number is out. ZeroHedge writes, “The "most important and anticipated payrolls number ever", or at least since the last payroll number, is out and it is a doozy at only 173K, it is a huge miss to the 217K expected (and almost in line with LaVorgna's forecast). This was the worst monthly payrolls number since March, and the second lowest number in 19 months. However, the curious twist is that the July and June NFPs were both revised higher to 245K, making the net revision up 44K.”
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Friday, September 04, 2015
The Real Threat from China's Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
In reality, the real risk isn't being reported. In fact, it's not even being talked about.
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
Stock Market Chokin’ on the Splinters / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
It’s been a tough couple of weeks.
I keep a mostly hedged book, long and short, so it’s rare that I get my head caved in on every position at the same time. But that’s pretty much what has happened. My shorts haven’t worked because they’re either rate-sensitive or Canadian banks. Meanwhile the longs, which include a lot of emerging markets—well, you know what has happened with those.
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
This Stock Market VIX Chart Should Blow Your Mind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Price volatility in stocks and other instruments has been stunning the past few weeks. The VIX chart from the August 28 Elliott Wave Short Term Update puts the massive moves in perspective:
Thursday, September 03, 2015
Stock Market Prepares for the Next Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
After reviewing the charts, I have come to the conclusion that we may be seeing a Leading Diagonal Wave (1) in the SPX and other major indexes. Note that both Waves 1 and 3 fit the [a]-[b]-[c] pattern better than an impulse because of overlap in Wave 1 and the Triangle [b] in Wave 3. We have already seen Waves [a] and [b] in Wave 5 with a large Wave [c] decline to go.
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