Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
Half a Stocks Bubble Off Dead Center / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
I can sense a growing unease as I talk with investors and other friends, from professional market watchers and traders to casual observers. What in the Wide World of Sports is going on? It is not just that markets are behaving in an unusual and volatile manner (see chart below showing multiple double-digit moves in the last few months); it’s that the data seems to be so conflicting. One day we get data that shows the economies of the developed world to be slowing, and the next day we get positive numbers. The ship of the economy seems to be drifting rudderless.
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Is U.S. Stocks Bull Market's Death Imminent? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
A common refrain from commentators over the last year or so is that the bull market in U.S. equities is “long in the tooth.” The very use of this phrase implies a market which has reached a stage of decrepitude from which only bad things can result. “Long in the tooth,” in other words, implies the imminent demise of the bull and the birth of a new bear market.
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Stock Market Topping Scenarios / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Wave (v) of [c] may not be complete yet. Assuming the labels and structure are correct, we may arrive at the final target for Wave (v). Since Wave (iii) is approximately 50% larger than Wave (i), we may assume that Wave (v) may seek equality with Wave (i) at 2115.84. This does not make Wave (v) of [c] the all-time high, but it gives us a minimum measure for Wave (v).
Another measure is that Minor Wave 3 is approximately 50% the size of Wave 1. Since the calculations must be a Fibonacci sequence, I suggest that Minor Wave 5 may be 31.8% the size of Wave 1, targeting 2126.47 as a probable target. This measure would create a final all-time high in SPX.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Stock Market Back To Near The Breakout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Get near the top and sellers come in. Get to the bottom and buyers come in. Five months of sideways action does not feel good as there's always frustration felt by everyone. One week the bulls feel good, the next week the bears feel good. But it doesn't last for anyone. You'd think, for sure, something's about to happen based on technical's, but then those technical's stop working, and you get reversals you just normally don't see. After a while both sides stop trusting what they see, and who can blame them to be honest. There have been multiple times in the past month, let alone the past three to four months, when it seemed just about guaranteed that either a breakout or breakdown was imminent based on previous short-term action.
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Monday, April 20, 2015
Stock Market Bears Get Slaughtered Despite Greece Counting Down to Grexit Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Friday's stock market plunge gave great hope to the bears who had been cocka-doodle-dooing all weekend that the top was once more in and that the bear market had finally definitely begun this time, only to find themselves once more gorged to death Monday morning as the Dow has already virtually retraced ALL of last Friday's plunge which illustrates what I have consistently written about for the past 6 year duration of this stocks bull market that remains on track to be one of the greatest bull markets in history. A bull market that has consistently been bet against by the majority of so called market analysts for its entire post 2008 financial collapse bull run. Where FEAR has governed the status quo, FEAR of a REPEAT of what happened in 2008 when any experienced analysts well understand that whilst a financial collapse WILL happen again, however they NEVER REPEAT! And that the greater the collapse then the greater will be the subsequent leveraged to inflation asset price boom just as we continue to witness in the stock and housing markets.
Monday, April 20, 2015
Stock Market Probable Pop-n-drop in SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is up 11.00 points as I write, suggesting a 50% retracement may be in the works. However, SPX may also retest the lower trendline of its Broadening Wedge, which happens to be at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. That suggests a pop at the open. However, there are 5 waves (impulsive) in this decline, so the retracement should be short-lived.
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Monday, April 20, 2015
Stock Market New Downtrend Or Just Another Pull-Back? No Clear Direction So Far / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, April 20, 2015
Gold and Silver Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
Inflection Point:
An inflection point on a chart is an area where the price action can break either up or down. It’s an area of confusion that makes investors go nuts. You know a strong move is coming but you aren’t sure what direction the move will go. I believe this is where the precious metals complex is right now. One can make a clear bullish or bearish case for the direction of the PM markets showing just a few chart patterns. In this Weekend Report I want to look at the PM complex without any bias in mind just using the charts with no fundamental reasons why the PM complex has to go either up or down.
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Monday, April 20, 2015
SP500: A Butcher's Stock Market (Chop Chop Chop) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
It sure does seem as if the vast majority of our markets are stuck in sideways trading patterns, does it not? Just about the time some look as if they are going to mount an upside breakout, they fail and fall back down once again. The flip side is that some markets look as if they are going to stage a downside breakout, they reverse higher and back up they go. The result of all of this has been to slice and dice or chop and shred traders who are attempting to build any sort of POSITIONS BASED ON LONGER TERM VIEWS.
Monday, April 20, 2015
Are Stock Market Bears Slowly Gaining Control? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 19, 2015
Avoid the Spread of the Stock Market "China Syndrome" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Stocks were sailing toward new record highs last week until they suddenly came crashing down on Friday. The shift occurred after China took steps to rein in its parabolic market by easing restrictions on short selling and raising margin requirements.
This is what happens when equity investors decide to ignore weak earnings, deteriorating economic conditions and geopolitical chaos and place all of their faith in the ability of central banks and other regulators to bail them out time after time.
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Sunday, April 19, 2015
Stock Market Going Nowhere Fast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: WavePatternTraders
SPX
Last week I mentioned the idea of a pullback on the SPX; it appears the bears were in tune with that idea, although it may still see a bit more downside as some of the European markets argue for a bit of weakness, such as the DAX etc. The current idea of seeing a new all time highs is still possible and as many have got bearish again due to Fridays decline, I do wonder if traders are actually looking at the same charts as I am. Whilst Fridays decline was a steep move, the market is still firmly above 2060SPX so I tend to think the bulls still have to upper hand, although until it sees a strong decline under 2040SPX. I still would not rule out the bulls pushing this market higher and seeing 2130SPX.
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Sunday, April 19, 2015
An Easy Way to Profit From the Two Biggest Trends in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. David Eifrig, editor, Retirement Millionaire writes: When you're trying to find successful companies, the biggest factors driving stocks are often outside the control of management.
Things like oil prices... new technology... interest rates... regulations... consumer tastes... even demographics.
That's why my team and I spend so much time understanding those big, overarching trends.
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Sunday, April 19, 2015
Stock Market Week in Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market had a rocky week last week, ending on a down note. Early on, I expected a possible 40 point SPX down move from Monday into Tuesday. I also was looking for a possible top around Thursday. The SPX fell 24 points from Monday into Tuesday and then rallied into Wednesday. I sent a note to my subs that it was possible we could come back to the SPX 2073/76 zone later in the week.
Monday's action gave us a possible VIX (Volatility Index) sell signal implying a possible major top was at hand. As it rallied back into Wednesday, the NASDAQ failed to follow, creating what is known as an inter-market bearish divergence (these usually last for about a week while the New York Market trends higher).
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Saturday, April 18, 2015
Stock Market Correction May be Nearing End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another choppy week. The market started the week at SPX 2102, rallied to 2108 on Monday, dropped to 2083 on Tuesday, rallied to 2012 on Wednesday, then dropped to 2072 on Friday, before ending the week at 2081. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.15%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.45%, and the DJ World index lost 0.30%. On the economic front reports again came in mostly to the upside. On the uptick: retail sales, the CPI/PPI, business inventories, the NAHB, housing starts, the Philly FED, consumer sentiment, leading indicators, the WLEI, and the monetary base. On the downtick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get three reports on housing and durable goods orders.
Saturday, April 18, 2015
Stock Market Strong Pullback Day...Nothing Bearish Yet.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
So we wake up this morning to some very nasty futures. When I went to bed last night fair value was green. It seemed as if the futures were saying we would try for a breakout. This morning told a very different story. A major blast lower as Europe got crushed overnight. Fears of a Greece fall out. Germany down roughly 500 points in two days. We followed their futures lower in a very big way. We gapped down hard and never showed any strength or fight the rest of the day.
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Friday, April 17, 2015
Q1 Corporate Earnings Risky for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The highly-anticipated first-quarter earnings season is in full swing, with traders eager to see how US companies are faring. While expectations are low, these profits releases still collectively pose serious risks for today’s overvalued and overextended US stock markets. A few high-profile misses could prove all it takes to unleash a long-overdue serious selloff. Investors and speculators alike need to remain wary.
Most publicly-traded companies report their comprehensive quarterly financial results in the month after a calendar quarter ends. This deluge of reports released in a matter of weeks is called earnings season by traders. And it’s exceedingly important, as underlying corporate profits are the ultimate fundamental driver of stock prices. Supported by earnings, they can only climb over the long term if earnings grow.
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Friday, April 17, 2015
US Stock Market Getting Scarier by the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clive_Maund
The giant bearish Rising Wedge in the S&P500 index shown on its 8-year chart below is now closing up rapidly and looks set to force a breakdown soon. While an upside breakout is possible, it looks highly unlikely, for a variety of other reasons that we will look at shortly. The top line of this Wedge is certainly of importance as the index has retreated from it on several occasions. Note the non-confirmation of recent new highs by the Dow Jones Transports at the top of the chart.
Friday, April 17, 2015
Stock Market Watershed Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX declined beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 2084.21 shortly after 10:00 am. There may be a retest of the 50-day, but may resume with the realization of the loss of an important support.
Friday, April 17, 2015
King Dollar Hurting Stock Market Corporate Earnings! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - Let's face it; the strong US Dollar and weakness in the price of oil are hurting corporate earnings in the US and it is conceivable that both sales and profits for the S&P500 Index may decline during the first half of the year.
Make no mistake; the strong greenback is hurting the American multinationals as their overseas sales and earnings are being diminished in their reporting currency. Furthermore, due to last year's slide in crude oil, the energy industry is really struggling and earnings in the sector have fallen off the edge of a cliff!
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