Category: Financial Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, May 26, 2016
It Feels Like Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
Last night’s post on the US stock market ended as follows:
“As far as the Fed and its puny rate hikes are concerned, that is irrelevant. This market is flipping them the bird. Markets can rise a long way before a rate hike regime finally kills them. It feels like inflation folks.”
This prompted a question from an NFTRH subscriber about what markets would benefit, and in what differing ways would they benefit if an inflationary phase comes to dominate? That is a far reaching question and a difficult one as well, because inflation’s effects have a way of being unpredictable (how many would have answered ‘US stock market’ in the spring of 2011 to the question “where will the post-crisis inflation to date manifest on this cycle”?).
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 23, 2016
Did AMAT Chirp? Implications for the Economy and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
The following is the opening segment of this week's Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 396. The report also covers, in detail, the technical status of US/Global stock markets, precious metals, commodities, currencies and even a few individual gold miners and a couple of new (non-gold related) NFTRH+ trade ideas.
In January of 2013 we noted that the "Canary's Canary" chirped and signaled an economic up phase (such as it was) on the horizon. The Canary was the Semiconductor sector, which is cyclical and economically sensitive. The Canary's Canary is the Semi Equipment sector, manned by the likes of Applied Materials and Lam Research.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Goldman Sachs's - Regulatory Climate is Chilling Deals; Hatzius Not Worried About a Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Bloomberg
Bloomberg Television talks to Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs and Gregg Lemkau, co-head of global M&A at Goldman Sachs at the Goldman Sachs Leveraged Finance Conference in Rancho Palos Verdes, CA.
Hatzius discusses the risks associated with the Federal Reserve overshooting full employment, why he's not worried about a U.S. recession, and corporate America's constructive view of the U.S. economy.
- "I'm not very worried about a recession. I think the risk of recession -- if I look at the indicators that seem to predict recessions the best -"
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Charles Hugh Smith: "Why Our Status Quo Failed & Is Beyond Reform! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
The Financial Repression Authority is delighted to have Charles Hugh Smith, prolific writer on the web and author of the highly acclaimed book, Why Our Status Quo Failed and is Beyond Reform. FRA Co-Founder, Gordon T. Long delineates with Charles on the core topics that are mentioned in his book as well as go over key diagrams to supportive diagrams.
Charles Hugh Smith is the Publisher of the site “Of Two Minds”. From its humble beginnings in May 2005, Of Two Minds now attracts some 200,000 visits a month and has been listed No. 7 in CNBC’s top alternative financial sites. His commentary is featured on a number of sites including: Zerohedge.com. The American Conservative, Peak Prosperity and AOL’s Daily Finance site (www.dailyfinance.com. He has written eight books. Charles Hugh Smith graduated from the University of Hawaii, Manoa in Honolulu. Charles Hugh Smith currently resides in Berkeley, California and Hilo, Hawaii.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 11, 2016
A Perspective on the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
I wanted to do a survey of the major domestic stock indices to get a “feel” for where we may be.
The first is the NDX, which has the cleanest pattern. Note the clear (no overlap) pattern in the decline. This decline begs to be extended in a series of impulsive declines. In a measured decline, the NDX may drop to 3724.00, below both the February and the August lows.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 10, 2016
USD may attempt a new Low, SPX probing the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Traders are beginning to ask the question, “Is the Dollar oversold enough for a trend change?”
YahooFinance Has an article explaining the technical analysis for a reversal.
Allow me to weigh in. April 27 was a Pi date, warning that a bottom may come soon. The chart low occurred on May 3, six calendar days later.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 08, 2016
Mining Share, Gold, Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, reached its 115 trading cycle top the third week of April. The next important cycle low is due on July 5th. The SPX is in process of making a head and shoulders top, and should continue higher into the mid-point of the Mercury Retrograde Cycle around May 11th. My target price is 2080. Friday was the new moon low, but also a top for the precious metals complex.
Sunday, May 08, 2016
Weekend Charts: $SPX, $NYAD, $NYA, $INDU, $MID, $RUT, $FTSE, $CAC, $DAX, and $NIKK / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
I like the odds that Friday marked the bottom of the daily cycle and half intermediate cycle decline. The next daily cycle should be right translated as well and rally at least into the second week of June before the market starts to get nervous about the Brexit and we get another corrective move.
At this point there is virtually no doubt that the 7 year cycle correction is finished and the next phase of this QE driven bull market is beginning.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 06, 2016
Markets At Crossroads: Huge Moves Brewing In Stocks And Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Markets arrived at crossroads, and big moves are around the corner.
Seldom have we seen so many assets and indicators at decision points simultaneously! We see stocks, gold, and the U.S. dollar trading at extremely important levels, all in conjunction. Note that this is not according to technical analysis, but our intermarket analysis and chart patterns.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Central Planners Versus Contrarian Logic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
"For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction" - Newton's Third Law, The Physics Classroom
Since the Great Recession, anyone following financial history and markets knows that this period of intervention and debt has surpassed everything seen in history prior to the events of 2007-2009. For every pull back in "risk on" assets, there have been actions to make sure equity markets went higher or back to previous highs, the lead example worldwide being US equity markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 28, 2016
The Sad Truth About the State of the Financial System Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For seven years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.
All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. If the below chart was a problem BEFORE 2008… there is no way that things are better now. After all, we’ve just added another $20 trillion in debt to the US system.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Why Investors Should be Skeptical of Anyone in Power / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Rodney_Johnson
Don’t lie, cheat, or steal. Those seem like pretty good rules to live by. Most of us learned these values as children. We watched our parents and, when we strayed from the straight and narrow, suffered through a variety of consequences. The message doesn’t get through to everyone, of course, so we still need prisons for criminals.But there’s a group of people who exist in the gray area, that shadowy space between upstanding citizens and outright thieves.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks, Dollar, Oil and Gold - What a Difference a Couple of Months Makes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
My what a difference a couple of months makes. Several months ago everyone was convinced that stocks were starting a protracted bear market. Many expected it to be even worse than the last one in 2008/09.
A couple of months ago everyone was calling for 110-120 on the dollar index.
A couple of months ago everyone knew that oil was going to the low 20’s or even into the teens.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 20, 2016
Stocks or US Dollar About to Enter a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
The first month and a half of 2016 were brutal for the U.S. equity market, as the major averages plunged over 10%. The culmination of the decline came on Feb 11th when the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6%, and the S&P 500 decreased 1.2%. Since then, the market has managed to hobble back to its 2015 closing level, leaving major averages relatively flat for the year.
But to understand where the market is heading from here we need to recognize what caused the selloff in early 2016 and what led to the recent rebound.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 19, 2016
50+ Global Markets. 100's of New Opportunities - FREE! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Hello,
Starting at 9 a.m. ET Wednesday, April 20, our friends at Elliott Wave International are "opening the doors" to their entire line of trader-focused Pro Services -- free for 7 days -- during: Pro Services Open House.
EWI Pro Services bring you opportunity-rich, professional-grade forecasts for 50+ of the world's top markets -- many 24 hours a day, complete with Elliott-wave charts and precise forecasts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 18, 2016
Markets - When In Doubt Inflate Financial Paper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jesse
Here are the basic stock and precious metal and economic charts as of about 2:00 EDT.
The economic news this morning was rather poor, and the luster with which Wall Street attempted to paint the financial sector in light of the 'great results' from JPM were fading as the 'better than expected' results over lowered expectations from CITI were not so lustrous year over year. I think we might be in the midst of another handoff of long positions from the pros to the 'others.' But only time will tell as we bang against an obvious overhead resistance point. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 16, 2016
Investor Solvency and Market Sanity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
We all know the old saying that ‘the market can remain insane longer than investors can remain solvent’. We are now living the phrase.
4/13/16: JP Morgan bank released quarterly results. Earnings were down 6.7% and revenue was down 3% (even by fraudulent bankster accounting). The stock price went up over 4.5%. Schazaamm!
Ditto for other big banks Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup. Earnings and revenues were down. Stock prices were up.
Thursday, March 31, 2016
Federal Reserve Cartel's Main objectives; Manipulate Markets and The Masses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"If Congress has the right to issue paper money, it was given to them to be used by and not to be delegated to individuals or corporations." ~ President Andrew Jackson.
The weapon of choice is money, and central bankers utilize this weapon merciless to rain misery on the unknowing masses by purposely creating boom and bust cycles. Since Fiat was created, bankers have fed off the misery they have wrecked on humanity. How do they feed off this misery? They no longer take from Peter and give to Paul; they make sure that Peter and Paul try to rob each other and everyone else to survive. They control the game, and you are just a pawn in this game. The only day the outcome will change, is when the masses stand up and revolt. However, we would not hold our breath for that day as the masses are notorious for their delayed reactions. Many great men, former presidents included are of the same opinion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 29, 2016
Fed Credibility Dwindles, Pension Funding Crisis Looms / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: Fed officials jawbone the markets and spread disinformation. They figure it’s part of their job as central planners. It’s not enough to pull the levers and twist the knobs on interest rates, the money supply, and asset prices. They also use propaganda to manage investor psychology. It’s all smoke and mirrors.
Frustrated metals investors wonder just how long officials will maintain their hold over markets when so much of what they say turns out to be garbage and so much of what they do ends in failure.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 29, 2016
Don't Get Caught Catching a Falling Financial Knife / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Editor's note: This article was adapted from a new subscriber-level summary report, Don't Get Caught Catching a Falling Financial Knife, from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent financial forecasting firm. For the complete report, follow this link. It's free to read.
In November, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast discussed the importance of a key long-term divergence between the major stock indexes and financial stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...