Category: Financial Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Changes We Saw in 2016… and Those We Did Not / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Rodney_Johnson
I try to stay away from financial news on the television. All that yelling and hype makes me tired, and I realize later that it was mostly meaningless. I know they must make everything sound like it will change the world to keep viewers tuned in, but I have better ways to spend my time.Instead, I read a lot, from varying sources, so that I can bring the best information and analysis to you. In addition to Economy & Markets, I also write a weekly publication called the Dent Digest, which is distributed to our subscribers. In it I try to bring together the relevant stories of the week, including both the well-known and the not-so-obvious.
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Saturday, December 31, 2016
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2016 - Stock Market Crash Postponed Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The two most unexpected political shock events of the year were Britain's EU Referendum BrExit vote that literally no one in the establishment media, markets, the pollsters or bookies saw coming, which left a newly appointment Prime Minister to explain what BrExit exactly means who response is always that "BrExit means Brexit". Though many who commentated on breakfast, I mean Brexit end up confusing the two. "Brexit means Breakfast". Anyway we shall soon find out exactly what BrExit means....
Friday, December 30, 2016
Trump, BrExit, Crude Oil, Stocks Bull - Most Popular Market Oracle Videos of 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2016 is about to come to an end that featured two unexpected shock political events of Britain's EU Referendum BrExit vote that literally no one in the mainstream press, political elite, markets or bookies saw come, and then there was Trump winning the US Presidency, which again shocked the establishment elite. Whilst in the financial markets, the crude oil prices trend garnered much popular interest as the early year oil price collapse had pushed many oil producers towards the edge of economic collapse. And again the BrExit and Trump factors induced much market uncertainty as the consensus expectations were that both events would result in an end of the 7 year long stocks bull market, which instead resulted in the exact opposite trends to a series of new all time highs.
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
European Financials take a Hit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This is the longest-term USD chart that I can find. The structure leads me to believe that it is on a giant retracement pattern that may have an ultimate target of 131.00 at a 61.8% retracement of the decline starting in 1984. I will be making minor revisions in my daily and weekly charts to reflect that outlook.
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Financial Markets on the Edge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I begin the day by discussing an error in my Elliott Wave structure and how it was remedied. You may recall that on a larger scale, the USD is in some type of Broadening Formation. I figured that Wave (C) of [4] hadn’t completed yet and I had calculated the structure in a way that still gave me upper limits on how far it could go.
Saturday, December 17, 2016
Financial Markets Award Trump Nobel Prize in Economics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: David_Galland
Dear Parader,
As today we are headed north to spend Christmas with the family, Jake Weber, the invaluable senior researcher of our premium Compelling Investments Quantified (CIQ) service has kindly offered to fill in for this edition.
In his article, he delves into the economic and political challenges President Trump is facing and scans for any red flags flapping in the breeze.
On the topic of CIQ, we maintain a laser-like focus on finding great companies that sell below their intrinsic value—the only proven path to successful long-term investment.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Warning: Fed Interest Rate Hike Could Trigger Stock, Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The big day has finally arrived.
The Fed adjourns its two day FOMC meeting today. At 2PM Fed Chair Janet Yellen is expected to announce that the Fed is raising rates again.
If the Fed does hike as 100% of analysts expect, it will be the first hike in 12 months and only the second in this tightening cycle.
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Sunday, December 11, 2016
Trump, Reagan Economies at Polar Opposites / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Market expectations could be based on false assumption
“Looking ahead, Credit Suisse argues against the view of many pundits that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s fiscal policies are likely to hurt gold. The market has factored in an expectation that a mix of U.S. tax cuts, deregulation and infrastructure spending will boost the economy, pushing up real interest rates and strengthening the U.S. dollar. ‘We counter that trade protectionism and anti-immigration policies are negative for growth and positive for inflation,' Credit Suisse said." – SMN News/Kitco
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Friday, December 09, 2016
Will Trump Cause Geopolitical Chaos? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Before the U.S. presidential election analysts pointed out that Trump's administration would be positive for the yellow metal, because of the elevated general uncertainty, possible geopolitical turmoil (due to trade wars or recalibration of foreign policy), slower economic growth (due to protectionism), as well as widened fiscal deficits and higher inflation (due to tax cuts and higher government spending).
Friday, December 09, 2016
Global Market Perspective 3 Killer Charts, 2 Fast Looks at Politics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Global Market Perspective is Your Roadmap to Global Investment Opportunity
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Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Stock Market Topping, Gold Looks Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market looks like it is making a distribution top into the FED meeting. We may see a small pull back into late week and then higher prices into the 14th. We could see a sharp drop into the 5 week cycle low due around the 19th of December. Overall, the market should be lower into March/April 2017 (Minor Wave Wave X of Intermediate Wave Z of Primary Wave 4) next year due to a FED rate hike.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Is the Yellen Fed TRYING to Crash Stocks To Hurt Trump? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Is Janet Yellen trying to crash stocks to screw Trump?
Ever since the $USD began its bull market run in mid-2014, the Fed, lead by Janet Yellen, has intervened whenever the $USD cleared 98.
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Friday, November 25, 2016
The New Trade Future In Asia Pacific / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Dan_Steinbock
Right after the Asian-Pacific nations embraced the dream of free trade in the regional Peru Summit, President-elect Trump buried it.
Last weekend, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit made it clear that it would move forward with trade pacts; with or without the US.
Right after the Lima summit, President-elect Donald Trump unveiled his plans for the first 100 days in office, which focus on campaign promises that will not require congressional approval. Among his first actions, Trump said he would "issue our notification of intent to withdraw from the Transpacific Partnership" and replace it with negotiating "fair bilateral trade deals."
Thursday, November 24, 2016
One of the best buying opportunities in history? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Submissions
One of the best buying
opportunities in history?
I'm writing to you today about what could be one of the most exciting buying opportunities in the stock market we've ever seen.
If our research is right, a handful of specific companies in one particular sector could be about to go wild.
But look, this opportunity will NOT be for everyone.
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Gold to Rally More, Stocks Should Drop / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
GDX looks to rally hard in a 'c' of "C" wave, likely into Early the 25th. We could see GDX around 24.50. It looks like a bear rally. The jobs report on December 2 could knock the precious metals sector down like it did from November 9-14.
The SPX is running on fumes and should drop at least to the 2162 area by early Friday I would think. Higher highs into next November 30-December 1 look likely and up to around 2208/09. My target for next week of 2203 was hit today.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Trump’s Financial Revolution! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A financial revolution is now taking place and I want to tell you the story. It has rather large implications for interest rates, the stock market, gold and real estate.
The only reasons for the DOW JONES sharp gains, post-election, is due to the fact its’ index leans toward financial and industrial stocks, (as seen in the chart below), more than the SPX and Nasdaq Indexes. Those two sectors have outstripped most of the market since Election Day.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Gold, Commodities, Forex and Stock Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
We continue to be bearish on Gold as we have been for months, our only recent change is that we are expecting a significant low earlier in 2017 than previously forecast. We have consistently maintained that this bearish phase is just a short term consolidation before we begin a new and significant rise that could well lead to new all time highs.
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
The Spreading Bondfire And The Rising Price Of Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Today’s rising interest rates and trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come, i.e. rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of the global government bond bubble and the long awaited breakout of gold.
Last year, on December 15, 2015, the Fed announced the first tentative rate increase in nearly ten years, from 0.0% to 0.25%. The Fed had last raised rates in June 2006 which eventually burst the US real estate bubble in 2007 resulting in the collapse of global markets in 2008.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Stocks and Deby - Will Trump Bring Morning or Mourning in America? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
On election night, as political analysts were coming to terms with the possibility of a Trump presidency, the Dow Jones futures plummeted over 800 points, and Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 plunged more than 6.1%. Investors across the country went to sleep with nightmares of protectionism (Smoot-Hawley Trade Tariffs 2.0) and the fiscal train wreck that a Trump presidency might bring.
But by the start of trading on November 9th, Dow futures had recouped most of their losses, and it didn't take long for the erstwhile despondent equity markets to turn sharply positive.
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Saturday, November 19, 2016
So Much For America Electing A Wall Street Outsider / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
During his run for the presidency, Donald Trump took the occasional break from insulting women and minorities to toss off some decent – even exciting – policy ideas. Term limits for congressmen and a ban on politicians becoming lobbyists, for instance, were straight from the Libertarian good-government Christmas list.
But best of all was the effective break-up of the big banks through the re-imposition of Glass-Steagall, a law passed during the Great Depression to separate taxpayer-protected commercial banks from free-to-fail investment banks.
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