Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, July 20, 2016
SPX Meets Another Possible Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have put a second upper trendline on the Orthodox Broadening Top to show how trendlines often act as both support and resistance. In this case, the new trendline appears to be resisting the rally at or near 2165.00. Whether SPX breaks through or not is in question today.
The rally may be complete here, so that is another reason for my report. You may recall that I had suggested that the rally may have hit its intended target at 2157.63, the first time it hit the upper trendline. Since then, the SPX has gone sideways more than higher.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2016
SPX Challenges the Upper Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have made its high on Friday at 2169.05, 17.2 days from its June 27 low. This morning, the Premarket is challenging the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top at 2160.00. Once a reversal beneath the trendline is evident, I will comment on what may be expected next.
ZeroHedge reports, “After a head-scratching S&P500 rally - which not even Goldman has been able to justify - pushed stocks to new all time highs with seemingly daily record highs regardless of fundamentals or geopolitical troubles, overnight US equity futures dipped modestly, tracking weak European stocks as demand for safe haven assets including U.S. Treasuries and gold rises. Asian stocks outside Japan fall. Crude oil trades near $45 a barrel. “
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Tuesday, July 19, 2016
More on the ‘Breadth Thrust’ and Stock Market Internals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
NFTRH 404 deviated from the usual format of widespread, in-depth coverage of US and global markets, precious metals and commodities in order to focus on two main themes. One was a view of building short-term risks in the gold market [possibly pending new rally highs] and the other of a developing bullish phase in the US stock market. We reproduce part of that segment here…
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
VIX Falling....Volatility Falling....Understanding Stock Market Froth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Let's understand what's happening with the VIX. For quite a long time, many, many months, the VIX kept finding closing support at 13.00 or higher. We would see some intraday spiked in to the 12's, but ultimately we would find a reading that closed above 13.00. This would mark the end of an uptrend for very short term. The VIX would then spike a few points, and sometimes more than just a few points, and, thus, we'd see the market fall back down. The bears could always count on a 13.00 close, or higher, as a time to get short. Now we're dealing with three consecutive days with the VIX closing below 13.00. A change of trend that occurred once we were able to, eventually, close above S&P 500 2134. With the VIX this low, the market does something else traders don't love. It grinds.
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Monday, July 18, 2016
Stocks Remain At All-Time High, Will They Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 18, 2016
Stock Market Minor Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is near its all-time high
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 is now challenging the 2135 high.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Saturday, July 16, 2016
How Long Can Buybacks Continue To Support A Market Which Is Standing On A Fundamentally Flawed Premise? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T.Long and Jeffrey Snider, Head of Global Investment Research at Alhambra Investment Partners discuss earnings, the Chinese Yuan, Japanese Yen and the falling credibility of central banks.
Read full article... Read full article...As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base. Jeff joined Atlantic Capital Management, Inc., in Buffalo, NY, as an intern while completing studies at Canisius College. After graduating in 1996 with a Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Jeff took over the operations of that firm while adding to the portfolio management and stock research process.
Saturday, July 16, 2016
Understanding The Stock Market Bull After Fink Speaks... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
This has been one crazy market for quite some time now. The endless overall up trend has been with us for seven plus years. The last two years have been a time for consolidation in to the teeth of some very bad news. When bad news can't sell a market you understand it means that it's simply basing and waiting on the right combination of news to try the next leg up. It finally came in the form some good employment numbers. Job creation reached a level that allowed the bulls to race onward and upward. Prior to that report, we were dealing with a series of bad reports on the Jobs Report, ISM Manufacturing Report, and ISM Services numbers. The market simply couldn't find a catalyst. Earnings were on the decline as well. The market bears tried to get the market down as bad news kept hitting from everywhere, but they just couldn't get the job done consistently. They'd get a nice down move, but couldn't seem to ever follow through. The bulls would come in and save the day.
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Friday, July 15, 2016
Capitalism Has Entered a New Era—and Historic Stock Market Investing Returns Are Gone Forever / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
We live in interesting times. We continue to see repercussions from Brexit. The other major players—in Europe, China, and Japan—seem to be in a downward spiral. Not to mention, the bubble-like issues we see in Canada and other parts of the world.
The world is quickly getting far more complex… something that central banks’ (and everybody else’s!) models can’t capture. We are tiptoeing into a period of enormous uncertainty.
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Friday, July 15, 2016
The Soaring Risk of Flying in Bernanke's Helicopter / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
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Let us assume that the Bank of Japan one day mailed 1 million yen in new bank notes to every Japanese citizen. The person who finds 1 million in his mailbox will probably feel very happy at that moment, because he things he is richer by that amount. Thproblem is what happens next.
Friday, July 15, 2016
The Broad Stock Market, Helicopters and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
There has been a stunning post Brexit turnaround in the markets, says technical analyst Clive Maund. Far from leading to chaos, the markets have taken it in their stride, and are now rising in anticipation of "helicopter money."
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Stock Market Exuberant New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: James_Quinn
The stock market has reached new all-time highs this week, just two weeks after plunging over the BREXIT result. The bulls are exuberant as they dance on the graves of short-sellers and the purveyors of doom. This is surely proof all is well in the country and the complaints of the lowly peasants are just background noise. Record highs for the stock market must mean the economy is strong, consumers are confident, and the future is bright.
Thursday, July 14, 2016
New Stock Market Highs Correlate to $57 Trillion in Printed Global Currency Units / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the relationship of rising money velocity, money printing and new stock market highs.
When people use the term "money," it usually refers to a unit of currency used in the transacting of business and commerce. A woman works cleaning houses for a week and gets paid in a number of currency units and then goes to the supermarket and exchanges those units for food or diapers or medicine. What is left over at the end of the pay period is called "savings," which are allowed to accumulate receiving a modest rate of interest. Around the globe this weekend, a vast number of banks are offering negative returns on savings, such that keeping one's accumulated units of currency in the bank is penalized. The objective of this monetary experiment is to combat the global problem of deflation. Despite $57 trillion of new currency units having been printed since the 2009 financial crisis, global growth has been tepid at best because the velocity of "money" has remained moribund and since all collateral underpinning this massive global debt must not be allowed to depreciate, the central banks have been allowed to engage in a massive, coordinated reflation designed to jumpstart "money" velocity.
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Thursday, July 14, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Crash Apocalypse Resolves to New All Time Highs! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market commentariat that had convinced themselves all year that a stocks bear market or worse a crash was always imminent, tending to reach their most vocal fever pitched cry's of doom each time stocks bottomed and where BrExit is concerned, well that was expected to be the icing on the bear cake, that if it happened would surely herald an stock market apocalypse. Though of course most never saw brexit coming because the pollsters, markets and bookies ALL got the EU Referendum outcome WRONG which meant that WHEN it happened the expectations of doom reached a new level of intensity. Worse still because FEAR SELLS the usually clueless mainstream press liberally regurgitated and magnified the doom utterance of financial sales industry which ensured few were in a position to capitalise on the subsequent stock rally.
Wednesday, July 13, 2016
Stocks Bull Market Crash Apocalypse Resolves to New All Time Highs - Again! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market commentariat that had convinced themselves all year that a stocks bear market or worse a crash was always imminent, tending to reach their most vocal fever pitched cry's of doom each time stocks bottomed and where BrExit is concerned, well that was expected to be the icing on the bear cake, that if it happened would surely have herald an stock market apocalypse. Though of course most never saw it coming because the pollsters, markets and bookies ALL got the EU Referendum outcome WRONG which meant that WHEN it happened the expectations of doom reached a new level of intensity as their worst expectations appeared to finally becoming manifest. Worse still because FEAR SELLS the usually clueless mainstream press liberally regurgitated and magnified the utterance of financial sales industry so as to ensure few would ever be in a position to capitalise on the stock rally.
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Stock market, leading sectors, and the price of Coffee / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It was a relatively dull session yesterday (Monday July 11th) with stocks gapping higher only to trade sideways up till now. As I talked about in the morning’s video I expected stocks to grind higher, and for vix ETF to keep moving lower for another day or three.
Coffee continues to be on caffeine-high today testing near today’s high, which looks as though it will continue to run higher in the coming days.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Stock Market Topping Internals, Buy This Rally and See What Happens! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
Everyone is Bullish, perfect time to short with stops in place of course. Below is a simple chart of one way to look at market internals. Lets see what is going on under the hood.
The chart shows OEX or SPY with NYSE 3 month new highs using a line chart. The purple line going up is OEX or SPY. Basically what this is saying is the market is going higher on less participation not more.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
A Fed Bondsy Scheme / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
Who needs the Fed's QE when the world is seemingly beating down the doors to buy US bonds? But like all Ponzi schemes, the end eventually comes. Last week's record low in bond yields arrived at the same time as an expected 6 month low in yields and may have marked at least a temporary end to the scheme. Stay tuned for a reversal in interest rates and its effect on equity markets as liquidity in global markets dries up.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
SPX Rally Nearing Completion. USB Maybe Finished / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have been reviewing the Cycle Model and have a few observations to pass on. There is little doubt why Ben Bernanke went to visit Abe and Kuroda last weekend. The June 27 Master Cycle low is the last of its kind until October 4, 2016. It appears that this is the last chance they have of igniting a rally in order to preserve the uptrend.
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has now completed a 60-hour rally from the 1991.68 low after a 13-hour decline from the 2113.32 high. It appears to be complete.
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