Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, January 13, 2017
Will Stocks Bull Market Continue to Charge or is it Time to Sell the News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
For of all sad words of tongue or pen, the saddest are these: "It might have been!" ~ John Greenleaf Whittier
For a long time, our theme was to view all sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens as the trend based on our trend indicator was trading firmly in bullish territory. Secondly, one critical psychological component was in our favour too - the masses were either bearish or they cursed this market from the sidelines (neutral camp); hence the slogan the most hated bull market in history. We must deter for a second by stating that a mild or brutal correction comes down to what level you embraced this market. If you embraced this Stock Market Bull in the early stages from 2009-2011, then a mild correction would seem brutal or back breaking in comparison to someone who just jumped into the market. A 15-20% correction would knock the socks out of them, but for you, it would appear to be nothing but a blip; this is why we have consistently stated that the best time to open long positions when the masses are in a state of despair.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Stock Market Unlucky Friday the 13th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market is nearing the ten week cycle low from November 4th, 2016. The daily Bollinger bands are tightly squeezed together suggesting a break-out one way or the other (an expansion of volatility). The SPX broke the uptrend line today only to close back above the line. Normally, this is a sign of strength, but the OBV did not confirm the recent highs suggesting the smart money has already moved away from the market. I would call this a sign of weakness.
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Thursday, January 12, 2017
Massive VIX Stock Market Warning for all Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
My analysis of the recent VIX action is clearly warning of a potentially massive price volatility increase in the US and global markets. Many traders use and trade the VIX as a measurement of volatility. The VIX is a measurement of the expected market volatility over the next 30 days. As the VIX rises, traders expect larger and more volatile price swings. As the VIX declines, traders expect smaller and more narrow price swings.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
Stock Market Quiet, Mixed Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a very mixed, sloppy session, and finished the day on a sour note, with the S&P 500 unchanged today. The day started out with a move down, a very strong rally in the morning ensured, reaching a new all-time high on the 5050 Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 couldn’t get back to Friday’s double-top high at 22.82, reaching 2279 today, and then rolled over to 2269. The Dow closed down, the S&P 500 closed flat, while the Nasdaq 100 closed slightly in the plus column.
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Monday, January 09, 2017
Stock Market Tad More Distribution Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 08, 2017
The Trump Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Donald Trump has a plan for dealing with the stock market bubble. Make it bigger.
Before the election candidate Trump blasted Federal Reserve chairman Janet Yellen for keeping interest rates too low for too long to keep the economy humming along while Obama was still in office. The president elect accused Yellen of being politically motivated suggesting that the Fed’s policies had put the country at risk of another stock market Crash like 2008.
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Saturday, January 07, 2017
4 Reasons the Trump Stock Market Rally Has No Legs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
US equity markets are already factoring in Trump’s promised reforms, while bond markets are pricing in higher inflation.
There’s just one thing: Trump hasn’t done anything yet. We’re still weeks away from his inauguration, and details of his economic plans remain scarce.
Investors seem to take potential positives for economic growth (lower taxes, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus) at face value, but ignore the potential negatives (soaring deficits, tariffs, and trade wars).
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Friday, January 06, 2017
Stock Market Very Mixed Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a mixed session today, although at the end of the session they came on strong. The day started out with a pop to the upside for the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 barely bounced. They barely came down in the morning, and the Nasdaq 100 held, although the S&P 500 made two lower lows. When the S&P 500 was not confirmed by the Nasdaq 100 by midday, they rallied, and rallied for the rest of the session. Not only that, the S&P 500 popped near 2270 at the close.
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Thursday, January 05, 2017
S&P 500 Gets Close To Record High As Investors' Sentiment Improves / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, January 05, 2017
Stock Market No New Highs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Wave [c] of 2 is three points shorter than Wave [a] at 30.20 points. However, it has stopped short of 2273.82 and appears to be complete. If so, the decline begins in earnest. Short positions may be taken beneath Short-term support at 2260.63. A second break of the trendline at 2250.00 is also a good short entry.
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Wednesday, January 04, 2017
Stock Market - Here’s Why It’s Absurd to Be Bearish Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
BY JARED DILLIAN : The trend is your friend. How many times have you heard that saying? HOW MANY?
It’s a deeper philosophical question. You get to believe only one of the following, not both:
1) The market trends
2) The market is mean reverting
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Monday, January 02, 2017
Trump Delirium Triggers Stock Market Brexit Upwards Crash Towards Dow 20k! / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2016
The Market Oracle Newsletter20th November, 2016 Issue # 30 Vol. 10
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Saturday, December 31, 2016
Stock Market Dow Closes 2016 Up 13.4% Confounding Perma Bear Doom Merchants For 8th Year! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Dow Jones stock market index closed 2016 up 2338 points at 19,763, up 13.4% for year confounding the doom merchants who saw every surprise event of 2016 from Januarys oil price collapse to Britain's Brexit EU Referendum vote to America's very own self professed Mr BrExit, Donald Trump shocking the American establishment elite by winning the US Presidential election, all and more were apparently definite harbingers for a stock market apocalypse, reaching their most vocal just as the stocks bottomed and surged higher.
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
Stock Market Impulse Wave Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It now appears that SPX has completed its first impulse down to 2244.56 and appears capable of bouncing either to Intermediate term resistance at 2254.48 or to the trendline near 2260.00 in a partial retracement. It may take another hour or so to complete its bounce, then reverse into a probable Wave 3 in the final hour of the day.
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
Will the Stock Markets 2016 Bullish Run Continue in 2017? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
After an underwhelming 2015, the global stock markets peaked again in 2016 registering significant rallies across world. This came despite having a series of surprises in the geopolitical spectrum with Britain voting to leave the EU while the US voted Donald Trump to become the country’s 45th president against all odds.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Stock Market Extremely Strong Pop to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices started the week off with a very strong move up with an extremely strong pop in the first thirty minutes, reaching the highs for the day. The DOW closed just underneath 20,000 at 19,980. However, in the afternoon, they pulled back in a 3-wave decline, particularly in the last hour, and finished barely ahead on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 11.23 at 19,945.04, 35 points off its high. The S&P 500 was up 5.09 at 2268.88, 5 points off its high. The Nasdaq was up 25.78 at 4965.81, but still 27 points off its high.
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Stock Market Final Thrust Higher May Still Be Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX appears to be waiting for the final thrust in Wave [v] of an Ending Diagonal Wave 5. The target appears to be in the vicinity of 2281.00. Remember, 2285.92 is the maximum for Wave [5] in the SPX.
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Tuesday, December 27, 2016
Is an Stock Market Intermediate Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2270 has now been met, but there are higher counts that could still be filled before a serious reversal take place.
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Monday, December 26, 2016
The Next Big Stock Market Move Has Already Begun… But 99% of Investors Missed It. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The markets have begun to turn.
Sure… the broad indexes like the Dow and the S&P 500 are holding up…but beneath this surface, BAD stuff is brewing.
Copper, which lead stocks to the upside during this latest rally, has already TOPPED and is now correcting.
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Sunday, December 25, 2016
2 Charts That Debunk the Bullish Case for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
There’s compelling evidence that US stocks are overvalued. Yet just in the last month, we saw investors react to the US election by bidding the benchmarks up to new all-time highs.
This implies they expect even higher prices next year. Can it happen?
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