Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, September 29, 2016
Mining Stocks’ Rally Despite Gold’s Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Quite a few rallies in the recent months were preceded by the mining stocks’ outperformance relative to gold and we just saw the same kind of phenomenon on Wednesday – GDX rallied while gold declined. Is the bottom in?
Let’s take a look at the miners’ chart for details - other charts don’t feature important changes from what we described previously so mining stocks are the part of the PM sector that we’ll focus on in today’s free article (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):
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Wednesday, September 14, 2016
GDXJ Gold Stocks - A Diamond in the Rough / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
It wasn’t until yesterday that I could draw in a possible bottom rail of a possible diamond pattern on the GDXJ. This potential diamond pattern has been forming since the first of July. As it stands right now the diamond pattern has completed five reversal points which theoretically puts it into a reversal pattern category. With that said the bounce yesterday may have started the all important 6th reversal point to the upside which if completed would make this diamond a consolidation pattern to the upside. Keep in mind this potential diamond is still developing with no resolution either way yet.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
How Gold Bugs can Have their cake and eat it too by Embracing the trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Executive ability is deciding quickly and getting somebody else to do the work.John G. Pollard
Many individuals sit back and look wistfully at the 1st stage of the Gold Bull Market they missed. It is interesting that people focus on what they lost but not what they might miss. Since Gold topped out in 2011, many sectors took off; one could have deployed a portion of one’s funds in any of these sectors and walked away with healthy gains. Instead, the classic Gold bug clung to Gold and let all these opportunities slide away.
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Sunday, September 11, 2016
Gold and Gold Stocks Correction Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The failure of Gold and gold stocks to sustain recent gains coupled with a strong selloff to close the week dashes any hope that the correction ended last week. The charts and probabilities argue that the sector remains in a larger correction and perhaps has started the C portion of a typical A-B-C (down-up-down) correction.
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Saturday, September 10, 2016
GDX Stocks Update.. : Welcome to “The Zone” / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Welcome to PM Trader’s Nightmare.
We’ve been following the GDX as a proxy for the rest of the PM stock indexes which is showing the on going correction or consolidation phase of the first big move up off the January low. This first daily chart shows the unbalanced double top which is the first reversal point in this new consolidation phase. The double top has a price objective down to the 24.50 area which was almost touched late last week. As you can see the double top trendline has held resistance on two separate occasions with the second one taking place this week. At this point we still don’t have a confirmed low which could launch the second reversal point to the upside yet. The price action is in the middle of no man’s land presently.
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Friday, September 09, 2016
Gold Stocks Massive Price Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Gold stocks have suffered a terrible month, plunging in a serious selloff. The resulting carnage has left investors and speculators shaken, wondering if this red-hot sector’s blistering new bull this year has already run out of steam. These fears are misplaced, as massive corrections are common in major gold-stock bulls. They create bulls’ best buying opportunities in sentimental, technical, and fundamental terms.
It’s easy to understand why gold-stock sentiment is so bearish today, as this sector has been trashed since early August. In less than a month the gold miners went from 2016’s overwhelmingly-dominant top-performing sector to bear-market-grade losses! Falling from heroes to zeroes in such a short span of time is enough to test the resolve of even the most-hardened contrarians. It’s a tough turn of events to weather.
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Thursday, September 08, 2016
Three Large Gold Miners That Are Still Inexpensive / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Money manager Adrian Day profiles three large miners in his portfolio that have had success solving problems yet are still inexpensive.
Goldcorp Inc. (G:TSX; GG:NYSE 16.02) has had a tough year. After reporting a year-end loss of $4.1 billion due to writing off and down various projects—a supposed clearing of the decks for the new CEO David Garofalo—the recent results were not so positive. Production was down year-on-year, due to shortfalls and problems at its two largest mines, Peñasquito and Cerro Negro.
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Silver Miners’ Q2’16 Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The silver miners’ stocks have enjoyed an epic year, skyrocketing higher with silver’s new bull market. At best since mid-January alone, some of these elite stocks had actually septupled! Naturally such extreme gains beg the question of whether they can possibly be fundamentally justified. The recently-released second-quarter financial and operational results of the top silver miners offer much insight on this.
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Thursday, September 01, 2016
Gold, Silver, Mining Shares Bottom Evident / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The chart below of GLD shows support on the long standing up trend line. GDX has sported a bullish “Morning Star” pattern. Normally, Mercury Retrograde ends an up movement, but in this case has ended a down movement. Expect some upside fireworks to begin tomorrow (Sept 1) and especially on the employment report Friday. The final “C” Wave of the sequence should commence.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2016
GDX Gold Stocks Update…The First Consolidation Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
I’m going to use the GDX as a proxy for the rest of the PM stock indexes. I can now say with a fair amount of confidence that the first consolidation phase is taking place. Lets start with just a simple daily chart for the GDX which is showing a small unbalanced double top with the right high being higher than the left high. Five days ago the price action gapped below the double top trendline and last Friday the GDX backtested the double top trendline from below. The price objective for the unbalanced double top is down to the 24.50 area.
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Saturday, August 27, 2016
A Bit More Downside Potential in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Last week we projected 5% to 10% downside in the gold stocks. Well, not to butter my own bread but GDX and GDXJ both lost 9% on the week. That being said, I believed that the weakness would be limited and miners could rebound to new highs in September. While that possibility remains, there is a chance this correction could go a bit deeper and perhaps last longer.
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Friday, August 26, 2016
Gold Junior Stocks Q2 2016 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The junior gold miners and explorers have soared dramatically in an amazing year, before falling hard this week. This sharp correction is doing its job in rebalancing bull-market sentiment, crushing greed and leaving traders wary of this sector. But gold juniors’ recently-released second-quarter financial and operational results prove their fundamentals are strengthening dramatically, a very bullish omen for stock prices.
The junior gold stocks are rightfully considered the Wild West of the gold sector. Most of the hundreds and hundreds of these small companies won’t prove successful. They won’t be able to secure funding to explore sufficiently, won’t be fortunate enough to find an economic deposit of gold to mine, or won’t be able to make the herculean leap from explorer to miner. The odds are stacked heavily against the gold juniors.
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Friday, August 26, 2016
GDX Has Just Made a Powerful Bull Flag / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The GDX daily chart below shows a powerful xyz e-wave bullish flat that is projecting to 35.42 by September 1, two trading days past the Mercury Stationary/Retrograde date of August 30. As of August 25th, GDX has closed at 27.31 off the earlier low of 26.64. A 29% increase on GDX and a nearly 90% increase on NUGT in one week seems likely based on the information on the chart from the August 25th close!
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Saturday, August 20, 2016
Gold Stock Technicals During Dog Days of Summer / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The gold stocks are trading around their highs but have failed to breakout this August. Is that due to the dog days of summer, the upcoming Fed conference or something else? We aren’t sure and don’t think it matters a great deal anyway. With that said, let’s delve into the current technicals.
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Thursday, August 18, 2016
Gold Stocks Cognitive Dissonance & Denial / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Obviously if your NOT in denial, you know this cannot end well, no matter how much the so-called "Monetary Authorities" keep queering up the money supply, digitally, or thru debt issuance or otherwise. The question popped up " Is there an edict that the Non-PM stock markets will keep ramping until the US Election?"
To which I'd tell people to look around at all the new jobs and new cars. What, lots of new cars, on loans at any cost, but no new jobs ? How does that work ?
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Friday, August 12, 2016
Fueling Gold Stocks’ Next Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Gold stocks’ new bull market this year has already proven breathtaking. This obscure sector has nearly tripled within a matter of months, yielding immense profits for the smart contrarians who bought in low. But after such a blistering surge, what’s going to fuel gold stocks’ next upleg? Heavy gold investment buying driving its price much higher will greatly boost gold-mining profitability, attracting in far more capital.
Gold stocks’ new bull run in recent months has been massive. Their leading benchmark HUI gold-stock index skyrocketed 182.2% higher in just 6.5 months between mid-January and early August! No other sector in all the markets is even remotely close to challenging this commanding performance. Yet this mighty gold-stock bull still remains young and small, with the great majority of its gains still left to come.
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Friday, August 12, 2016
Gold 2.0: How to Profit from the Current Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
After five years of a brutal bear market, gold and gold miners are finally having a huge rebound, and investor Chen Lin, writer of the popular newsletter What is Chen Buying? What is Chen Selling?, sees the parallels to 2009. He highlights nearly a dozen mining companies that have weathered the downturn and are in position to ride the wave higher.
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Friday, August 05, 2016
Gold and Gold Stocks Bull Analogs / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Over the past two weeks the precious metals complex has retested its Brexit breakout and rebounded back to the July highs. Today’s jobs report has pushed the complex lower but has delivered an opportunity to cash heavy portfolios which have missed the bulk of the move. With that said, we wanted to share our current analog charts for Gold, gold stocks and junior gold stocks which suggest continued upside potential in the sector.
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Friday, August 05, 2016
Gold Stocks Autumn Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The gold miners’ stocks have already enjoyed a phenomenal year, blasting higher with gold’s new bull market. This sector’s market-dominating performance has been amazing. Yet incredibly, the gold stocks are only now entering their strongest time of the year seasonally. Historically during bull-market years the gold stocks have enjoyed massive autumn rallies on average, starting right about now which is very bullish.
Gold-stock performance is highly seasonal, which certainly sounds odd. The gold miners produce and sell their metal at relatively-constant rates year-round, so the temporal journey through calendar months should be irrelevant. Based on these miners’ revenues, there’s no reason investors should favor them more at certain times of the year than others. Yet history proves that’s exactly what happens in this sector.
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Saturday, July 30, 2016
Gold and Gold Stocks Correction Over, Eyeing New Highs / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
In a bull market corrections can end quickly. One minute you are projecting another 5-10% downside and the next, the market has left lower prices in the dust. A negative reaction to the Federal Reserve statement could have caused lower prices but instead Gold and gold stocks are now primed for new highs. Fundamentally, we know the Fed will do nothing to prevent real rates from remaining negative. Since the trend has turned, Gold and gold stocks have mostly ignored the moronic, empty drivel emanating from these supposed geniuses. Moreover, despite reports of increased potential for a rate hike in September, weakness in precious metals abated and buyers returned.
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