Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, October 19, 2017
1987 Stock Market Crash 30th Anniversary Greatest Investing Lesson Learned / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest day of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October 19th, the 30th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday that saw the stock market crash by an unprecedented 22% in one day that few saw coming but ever since many prophesise the repeat of each October, regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far each year as the perma bear crowd can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent, pointing to a myriad of harbingers of the imminent stock market apocalypse. Against which the historic record paints a picture of a coin toss having proved infinitely more accurate than the perma crash is coming calls awaiting their broken clock moment to proclaim their success.
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
The Passive Investing Bubble May Trigger A Massive Exodus from Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JAKE WEBER : The ETF market has experienced astounding growth over the last decade. There are now 5,000 ETFs traded globally with over $3.5 trillion in assets, a more than threefold increase since 2007.
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
No more Stock Market cash Left on the Sidelines... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We may have seen a truncated Wave (v) in the SPX this morning. The only way to know is when the SPX declines beneath the Micro-term trendline and mid-Cycle support at 2552.10. That may provide an aggressive short entry point.
The next focal point would be the Short-term support and 2-month trendline at 2443.32, as shown in the 2-hour chart which will be posted later.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Most Investors Don’t Realize That They Are Putting All Their Eggs In One Basket / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : On the grand scene of financial innovations, the exchange-traded fund was fairly innocuous at first. It took a good 15 years for people to figure out how disruptive they would ultimately be
I’d argue that the ETF revolution is less about ETFs and more about indexing; about how people have come to view stocks less as stocks and more as blobs of stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
The S&P 500 Is Headed Over 3000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
By Avi Gilburt : Many will simply read the headline to this article, and use it as support for their belief in the market striking a multi-year top right now. I mean, aren’t headlines like this proof that the market is overheated?Well, the answer is a definite “sometimes.” You see, back in 2015 and 2016 I was writing articles with headlines saying that we are going to target the 2500SPX region. And, if you thought that those headlines were portending the end of the bull market, then you were clearly wrong. So, consider, maybe this headline is prescient rather than a contrarian signal.
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Stock Market Lindsay 12 Year Interval / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
The failure of the 15-year interval high (counted from the 9/21/01 low) to appear on time does not mean the bulls are out of the woods yet. A 12-year interval is sufficient to pull the Dow down into its forecast low without the help of a 15-year interval. A 12-year interval forecasts a low in a time period extending from 12yrs, 2mo to 12yrs, 8mo. from a significant high. The 12-year interval counted from point B of the long cycle on 3/7/05 is active until approximately 11/7/17.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Warren Buffett Predicting Dow One Million - Being Bold Or Overly Cautious? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Dan_Amerman
In a recent speech, Warren Buffett came down boldly on the side of optimism when it comes to both the economy and financial markets. What he said was "being short America has been a loser's game... And it will continue to be a loser's game."
And to throw down the gauntlet against some the current negative talk in the markets, Mr. Buffett boldly predicted something quite extraordinary - which was that in 100 years "the Dow will be over a million."
Is that even remotely believable, or is Mr. Buffett getting carried away by his own optimism?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 16, 2017
Stock Market Trading Dow Theory / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Christopher_Quigley
In the last Market Brief on the 1st October I outlined that the markets were now back on “full bull”. Since then the Dow Industrials have risen 466 points. The main reason I felt confident expressing this opinion was that while the Dow 30 had not experienced much of a pullback since mid-May (and therefore was very much “overbought”) the Dow Transports had corrected back to its 200 Daily Moving Average but was beginning to show renewed technical strength. This indicated that the main trend, as defined by the Dow Theory system, had remained in full force.
Monday, October 16, 2017
Stocks Slightly Higher as They Set New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index gained just 0.1%, and the index continued to trade within relatively narrow short-term consolidation. The market may retrace some of its recent rally. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,570 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Monday, October 16, 2017
Stock Market Only Minor Top Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long term trend: Continues to make new highs with no sign of a major top in sight.
SPX Intermediate trend: A re-accumulation phase at the 2500 level has produced higher counts which should provide higher prices before a reversal takes place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Stock Market Crashes; the Greater the Deviation, the Better the Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Sol_Palha
Ability is a poor man's wealth.M. WrenThe reaction when the market starts to correct is the same; run for the hills, the world is ending or some variation of that theme. However, if you spend a little time on looking at the history of the markets; one thing becomes clear. Those that panic gets hammered and those that remain calm walk away with the spoils.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 13, 2017
Stock Market Excitement Builds As The Dow Reaches For The Sky / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
By Mike Golembesky : The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to move higher, having only one red close since the low that was struck on September 26th. Furthermore, the Dow has now broken through a key longer-term Fibonacci resistance level that we had been watching for quite some time at the 22,707 level.
So although the Dow is quite stretched at current levels, the pattern still does look incomplete, thus leaving us with no solid signal of a top being in place just yet.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Stock Market Charts Show Smart Money And Dumb Money Are Moving In Opposite Directions—Here’s Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : While all seems calm in the markets, with stocks continuing to hit all-time highs, an interesting trend has emerged underneath the surface.
Combing through the latest Commitments of Traders report from the CFTC, we found that commercial traders (“smart money”) have a record number of short positions in the Dow Jones (DJIA).
At the same time, noncommercial traders (“dumb money”) have a record number of long positions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
On Bulls and Bears, and the Delicate Balance Between Them / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
On Bulls and Bears, and the Delicate Balance Between Them
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 09, 2017
S&P 500 At Record High But Will Stocks Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index remained within relatively narrow intraday trading range. Overall, it lost 0.1%. The index may retrace some of its recent rally today, as investors will likely continue taking short-term profits off the table. Therefore, intraday short position is favored. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,565 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).
Monday, October 09, 2017
Stock Market Bulls Still in Charge / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long term trend: Continues to make new highs with no sign of a major top in sight.
SPX Intermediate trend: A re-accumulation phase at the 2500 level has produced higher counts which should provide higher prices before a reversal takes place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 07, 2017
Stock Market Crash 2018; Will it Prove to be Another Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Sol_Palha
I guess the definition of a lunatic is a man surrounded by them. Ezra Pound
Since Trump was elected we noticed something interesting; economic news seems to have less of an impact than Geopolitical developments. Polarisation has had the effect it was intended to trigger; the masses and the markets are focusing on the wrong issues, and so we can expect a slew of legislation favouring the corporate world to be passed with little to no resistance. This, in turn, will help push stocks even higher as corporations will have even less to worry regarding being liable for using questionable methods to boost their earnings.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 06, 2017
XIV Climbs To New Highs As VIX Breaks More Records / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
By Mike Golembesky : Last week the XIV broke back over the previous all-time high of 96.91. This move came after the XIV experienced the largest corrective move since September of 2016.
Although the previous highs were broken, the move up off of the August lows still has what can be viewed as an incomplete pattern. This potentially incomplete pattern is leaving the door open to several scenarios over the course of the next several weeks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 06, 2017
Stock Market Blow-off Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
As mentioned earlier, SPX wasn’t finished with its final extension. It now appears to be done. It has exceeded all Wave relationship calculations, from the smallest degree to the largest.
This may be a very dangerous place for the longs, but even the shorts will have difficulty taking a position. We have seen a 2.5% rally in 56 hours, just 4 hours short of 8.6 days.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 06, 2017
Stock Market as Good as it Gets; Like 2000 With a Twist / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
With the Semiconductor sector below but hailing its all-time highs, a lot of images come to mind; chief among them the 1999-2000 stock market bubble…
In early 2013 we noted a progression that would go on to birth the current economic expansion and stock market boom (of course, I didn’t come close to envisioning the extent of the boom that followed). I’ve belabored it often since, but here’s the short version of the progression yet again…
Read full article... Read full article...