Category: Gold and Silver 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, December 13, 2018
Does Flat CPI in November Imply Flat Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Zero. The US inflation rate was unchanged in November. What does the flat CPI mean for the gold market?
What Happened With Inflation?
The CPI was unchanged in November, following an increase of 0.3 percent in October. It was the weakest number since March 2018, when monthly inflation fell about 0.1 percent. However, the flat reading was caused by a sharp decline in the price of gasoline – that subindex dropped 4.2 percent in November, offsetting increases in an array of prices including shelter and used cars and trucks. But the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased 0.2 percent last month, the same change as in October. So, don’t worry about the upcoming deflation.
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
Expect Gold & Silver to Pullback Before the Next Move Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our team of researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believe the recent upward price move in Gold has reached a level where prices will pause and retrace a bit before the next big leg higher begins.
The recent downward pricing pressures in the US and global stock markets have prompted Gold to move well above recent highs near $1242. We predicted this move over 40 days ago with this research post. We still believe Gold and Silver are setup for a bigger move higher, yet we believe the recent upswing will briefly pause and retrace to levels we are showing, below, before attempting a bigger move to the upside.
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
The Historic Role of Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the role of silver historically as well as recent moves in the market. Could there have ever been constructed four finer sentences strung together for the purpose of defining eight items related to money and social standing than the following?
"Gold is the money of kings. Silver is the money of gentlemen. Barter is the money of peasants. And debt is the money of slaves."
While they sound impressive, and while I understand the reason for their construct, I actually take umbrage with the linkage of debt to slavery because slavery is a man-induced condition whereby one man is responsible for the enslavement of another while debt is often (but not always) a choice made by the individual. If that were a paragraph to which I could be allowed to impart my name, I would say "And debt is the money of sloth", rather than "slave," where those that opt for debt over savings wind up with an unfavourable outcome, one connoted by the original sin of "sloth." Ergo, the alteration. . .
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
Is the Buyer’s Market for Silver Coming to an End? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Few markets are as depressed – and, as many analysts argue, suppressed – as silver. Prices for the white metal continue to languish in a low-level trading range amidst lackluster demand.
The upshot for investors is that they can now obtain silver bullion at both a low spot price and a low premium above spot.
How long this buyer’s market will is unknowable last. But given silver’s manic-depressive personality, prices could launch explosively higher at any time.
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Thursday, December 13, 2018
Gold Price Analysis: Closer To A Significant Monetary Event / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Hubert_Moolman
Previously, I have shown how we could be close to major financial crisis with the monetary system at the center. The following chart that shows the ratio of gold to the monetary base was used:
The chart shows the ratio of the gold price to the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base back to 1918. That is the gold price in US dollars divided by the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base in billions of US dollars. (from macrotrends.com)
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Wednesday, December 12, 2018
Owning Precious Metals in an IRA / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments discusses with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable some benefits of holding precious metals in IRAs as well as some other tax advantages of precious metals.
Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable. Joining us is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments.
In our previous interview, we addressed the value propositions and opportunity of a lifetime available right now in silver and platinum. Today, we will address two very important topics regarding tax law selling in precious metals RAs.
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Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Silver Investors See Palladium as the “Canary in the Coal Mine” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
The precious metals sector has just one standout performer this year, and that is palladium. Lately the market for that metal has gotten more than just hot. Developments there could have implications for the LBMA and the rickety fractional reserve system of inventory underpinning all of the physical precious metals markets.
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Monday, December 10, 2018
Waiting for Gold Price to Erupt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As we are watching the US and global markets rotate dramatically lower over the past few days, we have been advising our members that we believe this rotation is an over-reaction to economic impetuses and trade issues – not a massive downside price break. Overall, some of our longer-term technical indicators are currently bearish, as one would think technical indicators would react to price activity and trends. Our ADL, predictive modeling system, is still suggesting upside price activity and we believe our research team has hit on something that helps to put this end of year turmoil into perspective.
Monday, December 10, 2018
Listen to What Gold is Telling You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Savage
Listen to what gold is saying. It’s not deflation that we have to worry about. We’re about to enter a multi year period of rising inflation. Seriously did you think years of QE weren’t going to have consequences at some point?
For a long time I’ve maintained several key macro views.
- Gold started a new bull market in late 2015.
- The dollar started a secular bear market in early 2017.
- Stocks have not topped yet. We still have higher highs ahead.
First off let’s look at the stock market.
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Sunday, December 09, 2018
Is an Inverted Yield Curve Bullish for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
In recent days we’ve seen the beginnings of an inversion in the yield curve.
The 2-year yield and the 5-year yield have inverted but not yet the the 2-year yield and the 10-year yield, the curve that is watched most. However, “2s and 10s” as bond traders would say appear headed for an inversion very soon.
We know that an inversion of the yield curve precedes a recession and bear market. That is good for Gold. But timing is important and the key word is precedes.
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Saturday, December 08, 2018
Stocks Selloff Boosting Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The recent stock-market selloff is persisting, fueling mounting worries among investors. The intensifying volatility and lack of a quick rebound higher is strangling euphoric sentiment, spawning self-reinforcing selling pressure. Scoffed at a few months ago, the notions that a young bear market is underway and a recession looms are gaining traction. The great beneficiary of this ominous stock-market downturn will be gold.
Gold has always been an essential asset class for prudently diversifying investment portfolios. Uniquely it tends to rally when stock markets weaken, offsetting some of the losses in typical stock-heavy portfolios. Gold acts like portfolio insurance, usually soaring when stock markets plunge on unforeseen news. All throughout history, wise investors have recommended everyone have 5% to 10% of their portfolios in gold.
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Friday, December 07, 2018
Will Weak US Dollar Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Trade wars and lax fiscal policy are negative for the US dollar and positive for gold. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about the effects of Trump’s actions on the greenback and find out whether weak dollar will save gold.
Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, the greenback has been in a bull market since February 2018. Yup, the chart does not lie. The US Congress widened the fiscal deficit, while President Trump engaged in trade disputes. But despite these disturbing developments for long-run economic health, the broad trade weighted US dollar index increased from 115 to almost 130 now. But why – shouldn’t it decline?
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Friday, December 07, 2018
Gold and Palladium Shake Hands / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The price of palladium just exceeded the price of gold for the first time in 16 years. That’s an epic even. But what does it really mean? And why should gold, silver, and mining stock investors care about the small palladium market?
In short, because this development can tell us something about the future performance of the PM sector in general.
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Thursday, December 06, 2018
When Lights Go Off, What Does Gold Do? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Powell has recently came up with the metaphor of wandering in the darkness. Will golden sunshine brighten the dark?
I Am the Fed Chair and I Know Nothing
On November 14th, Powell discussed global perspectives in Dallas Fed with its President, Robert Kaplan. He characterized the Fed’s stance, providing an interesting analogy:
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Tuesday, December 04, 2018
Trump and Powell More Dovish. Will Gold Fly Away? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
President Trump and President Xi Jinping agreed to halt escalation in their trade conflict. At the same time, the Fed officials became more cautious about the pace of future interest rate hikes. How will the softening of the US trade and monetary policies affect the gold market?
Trade Truce and Gold
Have you heard about the Christmas truce? It was a series of unofficial ceasefires across the Western Front during World War I around Christmas Day in 1914. In that time, men from both sides emerged from the trenches and met in No Man’s Land to exchange gifts, take photos, sing carols and play football. Really. We were also moved. It shows that there might be a moment of peace even during a dreadful war.
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Tuesday, December 04, 2018
Golds Xmas Gift / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: readtheticker
Three things have tweaked the fundamentals for gold.
1) Bitcoin is not attracting the hot cash, unlike 2016.
2) Fed's Powell dovish switch, now less expectations for interest rate hikes in 2019.
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Friday, November 30, 2018
Gold Fundamentals Improving but Not Bullish Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Recent market and economic developments are positive for Gold and precious metals but conditions are not bullish yet.
Bullish conditions and bullish fundamentals would be highlighted by a shift in Fed policy. They aren’t shifting yet. They are slowing, which precedes a shift.
From a market standpoint, we need to see strength in Gold in real terms (against stocks and foreign currencies) and a steepening of the yield curve. These developments along with shifting Fed policy will tell us a new bull market is soon to begin.
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Thursday, November 29, 2018
Should Gold Bulls Open the Champagne? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Powell spoke yesterday. The gold market considered his remarks as dovish. And the market is always right, isn’t it?
Just Below Neutral
On Wednesday, Powell delivered a speech “The Federal Reserve’s Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability” at The Economic Club of New York. The majority of analysts judged the speech as dovish. Why? The key reason was Powell’s view that interest rates were close to neutral:
Interest rates are still low by historical standards, and they remain just below the broad range of estimates of the level that would be neutral for the economy – that is, neither speeding up nor slowing down growth.
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Wednesday, November 28, 2018
Gold Joins the Decline – the Earth is Shaking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold, silver and mining stocks declined in a quite visible way yesterday, which is in tune with our previous expectations. In the previous days it was only silver and miners that declined in a meaningful manner, but yesterday gold joined them, making this a sector-wide decline. Is this the groundbreaking decline that we have been writing about for so long? Time will tell, but the earth is already shaking.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2018
Removing the Cloak from Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The new Alchemist is out. What can we learn from the latest publication of the LBMA? We invite you to read our today’s article and find out!
Banque de France and Gold
The latest edition of LBMA’s Alchemist focuses on the role of central banks in the gold market. Sylvie Goulard, Deputy Governor of Banque de France, wrote the first article, entitled Banque de France and Gold: Past and Future. . According to her, the central bank of France has always been a major player in the gold market. Indeed, in the 19th century, Paris was a major gold centre, while Napoleon (20 franc gold coin) was one of the iconic coins of the 19th and 20th century. And, since its creation in 1800, the Banque de France has held one of the largest gold and silver reserves in the world.
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