Monday, November 20, 2017

Many Stock Market Investors Are Waiting for the New Tax Plan to Hit the Sell Button / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : Congress is deciding your portfolio’s future right now—so you might want to pay attention.

In Connecting the Dots six months ago, I said, “There will be no tax cut this year, and likely not in 2018, either.” I still see almost no chance that anything will pass.

Saying the parties are divided would be an understatement. It’s a chasm that separates not just Democrats and Republicans, but Republicans internally as well.

Add the lobbying firepower brought in by those who stand to lose and any significant changes are almost impossible. So we’re probably stuck with the present system.

Monday, November 20, 2017

Learning from Money Supply of the 1980s: The Power and Irony of “MDuh” / Economics / Money Supply

By: F_F_Wiley

Forget about big hair, Ray-Bans, and Donkey Kong. Don’t even think about Live-Aid, Thriller, and E.T. Above all else, the 1980s were the gravy days of the money supply aggregates.

Beginning in late 1979, the Fed built its policy approach around the aggregates—primarily M1 but occasionally M2, and policy makers also monitored M3 while experimenting with M1B and, later, MZM. But those were just the “official” figures. Economists and pundits debated the Fed’s preferred measures while concocting their own home-brewed variations.

Monday, November 20, 2017

Trump’s Asia Strategy, Goals and Realities / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Dan_Steinbock

Trump’s critics claim he lacks a comprehensive approach to Asia. In reality, his current approach is aligned with moderate “America First” goals. But what did Trump really achieve in Asia?

If President Obama’s pivot was based on multilateral trade agreements, which were mainly geopolitical and predicated on exclusionary politics against China, Trump’s interest is in bilateral trade deals, which are fueled by US exports, foreign investments in US jobs and foreign purchases of American military weaponry.

Monday, November 20, 2017

UK Variable Savings Interest Rates Fell in the run-up to Base Rate Rise / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts UK Savings Trends Treasury Report data, yet to be published, reveals that average variable rates fell in anticipation of a base rate rise by the Bank of England. This was the first time since April 2017 that the majority of variable rates had experienced a fall.

Monday, November 20, 2017

Crude Oil – General Market Link / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Thursday, the overall situation in crude oil hasn’t changed much as the commodity wavered around the January peak. Will the relationship between black gold and the general market give us more clues about future moves?

Crude Oil’s Technical Picture

Let’s examine the technical picture of the commodity (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Monday, November 20, 2017

NZDUSD Broke Below Important Support At 0.6817 / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

NZDUSD extended its downside movement from 0.7557 to as low as 0.6780, breaking below an important support level at 0.6817. Further decline would likely be seen over the next several weeks.

Monday, November 20, 2017

Bitcoin Price Blasts Through $8,000… In Zimbabwe Tops $13,500 As Mugabe Regime Crumbles / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Bitcoin has just blasted to another new all-time high of $8,055!

Sunday, November 19, 2017

Stock Market More Correction Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
 
 Intermediate trend –  Soon coming to an end.

Sunday, November 19, 2017

Stock Investing: ETF Exposure in Emerging Middle Eastern Markets / Companies / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Richard_Cox

Stock investors that are looking to take positions in emerging markets have started to look to the Middle East in growing numbers.  The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has proven to be one of the most stable economies in the region and, as a result, we have started to see more stock market selections offered through exchange traded funds.  One name to watch here is the iShares MSCI UAE Capped ETF (NASDAQ:UAE), which is showing some interesting chart activity as it attempts to break out of its recent trading ranges.  

Sunday, November 19, 2017

Next-Generation Crazy: The Fed Plans For The Coming Recession / Interest-Rates / Recession 2018

By: John_Rubino

Insanity, like criminality, usually starts small and expands with time. In the Fed’s case, the process began in the 1990s with a series of (in retrospect) relatively minor problems running from Mexico’s currency crisis thorough Russia’s bond default, the Asian Contagion financial crisis, the Long Term Capital Management collapse and finally the Y2K computer bug.

Sunday, November 19, 2017

Morrisons Christmas 2017 More Points Bonus Last Chance! / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: HGR

Today's your last chance to profit from Morrisons More Points Christmas 2017 Bonus. That could yield you as much as an extra £31.50 by the end of December just by shopping at Morrisons. And even if you miss out on the main bonus of £22.50, you still can easily get about £9. Find out how in our latest timely video.

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Universal Credits Christmas Scrooge Nightmare for Weekly Pay Recipients / Politics / UK Benefits

By: N_Walayat

The Universal Credits nightmare is set to continue for the working poor this Christmas as over 100,000 people look set to receive no payment over the festive season. The reason being that Universal Credit can not cope with something as simple as that there being 5 fridays (pay days) during December, where such months can tip recipients over the monthly limits for claiming Universal Credit as UC is not able to do the simple calculation of averaging earnings throughout a year that is the case for the likes of tax credits.

Saturday, November 18, 2017

UK Financial Markets: Pros and Cons of Being a Private Investor / Personal_Finance / Investing 2017

By: Submissions

By Dividend Investments : By definition, a private investor refers to a certain person or a private company who has privately held shares that are not traded in the stock market for investments. Thanks to newly-launched regulations, policies and online marketplaces, having private investments are becoming more common and accessible.

Saturday, November 18, 2017

SPX Cycle Concern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: SurfCity

I have the SPX on just day two of a new short term Trading Cycle but many of the technical indicators I watch are showing signs that the momentum of the SPX’s longer 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle (IC) are starting to stall near the 3 month mark of the current IC Uptrend. My first Daily chart shows volatility has returned and we often see this at cycle turns. Yes we are on day 2 out of a TCL/DCL but my second chart also shows 3 key TA indicators that may be signaling a top forming on the SPX’s longer Intermediate Cycle.

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Perspective on the Gold/Oil Ratio, Macro Fundamentals and a Gold Sector Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

This was going to be part of an NFTRH update, but I decided to make it public, as we’ll have plenty of other information to work on this weekend in NFTRH 474 after such an eventful market week.

With all due caveats about the non-stellar gold CoT data (we’ll update in #474) I wanted to note a constructive situation in gold vs. oil, which is a key sector fundamental consideration. Now, there is still a constructive situation in play for nominal crude oil, so take this post for perspective more than anything.

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Facebook Traders: Tech Giant + Technical Analysis = Thumbs Up / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: EWI

See how two technical indicators, RSI and ZLR, helped anticipate the resumption of FB's uptrend -- back in May

Some days, the fundamental backdrop of the markets you follow is as peaceful and quiet as a Zen garden. The news cycle is calm and the mainstream predictions about price are clear.

Other days, though, that backdrop is as chaotic as the Jersey turnpike during rush hour; jackhammers of breaking news pound in your ears while the "horns" of prognostication honk in opposite directions.

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Games Betting System For NCAA Basketball Sports Betting - Know Your Betting Limits / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: D_Morgan

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Universal Credit Doomsday for Tax Credits Cash ISA Savers, Here's What to Do / Personal_Finance / UK Benefits

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's hard working low paid tax credits benefit recipients are sleep walking towards their Universal Credits doomsday. Where typically a family of 4 jointly earning £16k per annum will currently be in receipt of £6,700 per annum of TC & WTC, whilst a family of 6 would typically receive £12,400, boosting their annual NET earnings to £28,400 that will have allowed many families to SAVE, without impacting on their tax credit benefit payments as long as the taxable interest earned is under £300. The key here being TAXABLE INCOME, which means interest earned on savings in tax free accounts such as Cash ISA's does not not impact on tax credit awards.

Friday, November 17, 2017

Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals Q3 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have spent months adrift, cast off in the long shadow of the Trumphoria stock-market rally.  This vexing consolidation has left a wasteland of popular bearishness.  But once a quarter earnings season arrives, bright fundamental sunlight dispelling the obscuring sentiment fogs.  The major gold miners’ just-reported Q3’17 results prove this sector remains strong fundamentally, and super-undervalued.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

Friday, November 17, 2017

The Social Security Inflation Lag Calendar - Partial Indexing / Economics / Inflation

By: Dan_Amerman

There is a lot of advice out there about Social Security - most of which is based on Social Security being fully inflation indexed.

However, as we will establish in this first in a series of analyses, Social Security is only partially inflation indexed. As a matter of design it does not fully keep up with inflation.

Sound like an obscure difference?

"Partial inflation indexing" is little understood by the general public, but it could transform your standard of living - along with the quality of life of millions of others - in the years and decades to come. Indeed, partial inflation indexing can mean effectively having only 11 months of benefit purchasing power- or even 8 months -  to cover 12 months of expenses each year.