Monday, March 14, 2016
President Obama is the One Peddling Fiction on State of US Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Michael_Pento
In his final State of the Union Address, President Obama chided, "Anyone claiming that America's economy is in decline is peddling fiction." Following the recently released February Non-farm Payroll Report, which showed a net increase of 242 thousand jobs, he doubled down on that same contention. The seemingly robust number of new jobs created prompted the President to remark, "The numbers and the facts don't lie, and I think it's useful given that there seems to be an alternative reality out there from some of the political folks that America is down in the dumps. It's not. America is pretty darn great right now."
Monday, March 14, 2016
Stock Market Still in Rally Mode as SP500 Climbs Above 2,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,050, and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect a downward correction or short-term uptrend's reversal at some point. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. We decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following a move down below medium-term lows:
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Monday, March 14, 2016
UK Property Equity Release Market Responds to Rising Demand with Greater Choice / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
The equity release market is responding to increasing demand from elderly homeowners looking to unlock cash from their homes with a wider range of products and options, according to new research by Moneyfacts.
The research, which focused on the current offerings available in the equity release market, found that there are now 70 different lifetime mortgage equity release deals available covering a wide range of options and loan-to-values (LTVs), an increase of 34% on the number of deals available last year and more than double the total number from three years ago (see the table below).
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Silver Peak Likely Only After Dow Stock Market Crash & Major Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Hubert_Moolman
Last year, I produced the following chart and commentary (italics) to show how the Dow could crash like it did in 1929:
Monday, March 14, 2016
Donald Trump: You’re All Violent Communists Now! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Michael_T_Bucci
According to Donald Trump, as I understand it, Bernie Sanders is responsible for any violence that has or will occur at Trump rallies. Case closed? Bernie is a “Communist”; and his followers are “leftists” who “want to destroy this country!” Case closed?
If Sanders folk “don’t get it,” be forewarned: Trump is framing him and you!
To silver-hairs within the Trump legion who wear permanent frowns of repressed anger stoked by neo-conservative and “anti-government” propagandists on radio, cable news and the Internet, Bernie Sanders’ “socialism” - which arguably isn’t socialism - is now conflated with Communism – that “great evil empire” whose phantom Mr. Trump has resurrected to revive long-buried hates and fears within his aging McCarthyite and Cold War warriors.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
U.S. House Prices Forecast 2016, Crash or Continuing Housing Bull Market? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The most recent release of US House prices data for December 2015 (Case Shiller 10 City Composite) continues to show little change at 197.21 against 197.40 of 4 months earlier which means that US house price inflation has spent virtually the whole of 2015 within a tight range of between +5% and +4%, which whilst stable is nevertheless a far cry from early 2014 that had house price inflation galloping ahead at near 14% per annum as illustrated by the below momentum graph.
Monday, March 14, 2016
Climate Change Deniers, Loretta Lynch, and the Government War on Free Speech / Politics / US Politics
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
During her appearance before the Senate Judiciary Committee last week, Attorney General Loretta Lynch admitted that she asked the FBI to examine whether the federal government should take legal action against so-called climate change deniers. Attorney General Lynch is not responding to any criminal acts committed by climate change skeptics. Instead, she is responding to requests from those frustrated that dissenters from the alleged climate change consensuses have successfully blocked attempts to create new government programs to fight climate change.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Stock Market Dip Monday, Tuesday? Gold Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last I wrote, I thought we might be breaking down out of a rising wedge pattern in the SPX. Apparently, many others thought the same thing, and you know what they say when too many agree. So many are thinking we go lower from here and that has me concerned. While I think we go lower over the next two days in the stock market (1957-62 SPX down about 3%) and I think that we are in the early stages of a bear market, the probabilities are we have one to two more weeks of general upside left before we top. My current upside targets are 2058-81 SPX.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 13, 2016
SPX Stocks Index At Tipping Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend: Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend – .618 retracement reached as well as total projection. End of rally likely.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 13, 2016
Gold and Silver COT Update - Get 30,000 Coffins Ready... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
PM Sector longs have had a laugh at our expense over the past couple of weeks as gold has continued to edge higher after we called it down, but it is looking more and more like they will end up like those 4 fools in the classic Clint Eastwood Spaghetti Western, A Fistful of Dollars. Clint rides into a tiny flyblown town and the 4 fools shoot around his mule's feet. After advising the undertaker to Get 3 coffins ready, having made a slight underestimation, Clint returns and challenges the 4 fools by saying "When you apologize to my mule like I know you're going to". Needless to say they do not respond in the required manner to this demand and so Clint quickly dispatches them to the great satisfaction of the undertaker.
Sunday, March 13, 2016
Money Velocity Proves Q.E. Failure / Interest-Rates / Money Supply
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The current monetary policy is stuck in place. It is highly destructive to banking systems, working capital, and financial markets. Yet it continues ad infinitum, actually until the great collapse. A systemic Lehman event is in progress, as the global financial structure is collapsing. The only remedy is the Gold Standard installation, which is happening, but its architects are from the East. They are labeled as enemies, when the root problem is in the Western banking hive.
Sunday, March 13, 2016
Stock Market 'Reconsidering' the ECB's Recent Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jesse
According to the official spin, traders 'reconsidered' what the ECB did this week, and what Draghi had subsequently said, and gleefully cast off all doubts and concerns about risks and started buying equities.
Yes, I am sure that this is what happened.
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Sunday, March 13, 2016
Gold and Silver - Central Banks As Financial Cosmeticians / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Today was just one of those days where the 'invisible hand' tries to instill some confidence in the wise and benevolent judgement of the money masters, after a central bank, in this case the ECB, does something very visible and 'lays an egg' in doing it.
So after all this today, are you feeling more confident in The Recovery™?
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Sunday, March 13, 2016
It’s Too Early To Short Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Here are the cons to shorting the stock market:
The Fed and the PPT have a printing press. They have access to unlimited amounts of money, and they are extremely motivated in keeping the stock market propped up.
Most of the world is experiencing negative interest rates. Money is flowing out of those bond markets and it has to land on something.
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Sunday, March 13, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: WavePatternTraders
Everyone wants to really know if this is a bear market rally or will it make new all time highs on the SPX. It's been a while since I wrote an article, but in my last article I was looking for a minor new high for the SPX. To end the bull market that started from 2009. We never did see that, although we did see a new bull market high on the NDX.
Saturday, March 12, 2016
The Gold Correction Is Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DW
Ben Morris writes: The price of gold is up 21% since the middle of December... from $1,051 an ounce to $1,270.
Saturday, March 12, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Edges Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2000. After reaching SPX 2006 on Monday the market traded down to 1977 on Tuesday. Then after two gap up openings the market traded up to SPX 2005 on Thursday before selling off to 1969. By Thursday afternoon the market reversed and was making new uptrend highs, at SPX 2022, on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.15%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.75%, and the DJ World index was +1.0%. Economic reports for the week again were slightly negative. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: consumer credit, export/import prices, plus the budget deficit widened. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Industrial production and the CPI.
Saturday, March 12, 2016
US Dollar Strength is a Manifestation of US Dollar Shortage / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T.Long and Jeffrey Snider, Head of Global Investment Research at Alhambra Investment Partners discuss a broad array of Global Macro subjects in this 48 minute video discussion with supporting slides.
As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base. Jeff joined Atlantic Capital Management, Inc., in Buffalo, NY, as an intern while completing studies at Canisius College. After graduating in 1996 with a Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Jeff took over the operations of that firm while adding to the portfolio management and stock research process.
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Saturday, March 12, 2016
Gold And Silver – Precious Metals Amid A World Of Lies And Deception / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
Political and financial turmoil reign around the world, by design. It is the classic example of the elites at work working their never-fail formula of Problem-Reaction-Solution. They create havoc of some kind, any kind, wherever they choose, the Problem. It is usually political upheaval fomenting unrest, and the broader the unrest the better. It often takes the form of financial turmoil, disrupting a country’s GDP, currency, whatever, as long as there is disruption. It can be war, a function no other country creates more of than the US. It can be massive immigrant migration, currently underway. Why does the name Soros come to mind?
Saturday, March 12, 2016
$67 Crude Oil Price Has All The Majors Converging Here / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Argentina offers one of the few places on earth where oil companies are not suffering from the full force of the collapse in prices.
Argentina regulates oil prices, a policy originally intended to insulate the public from the whims of the market, protecting people from triple-digit crude prices. But with the crash in prices since mid-2014, the effect of the regulation has reversed: motorists are now effectively subsidizing the oil industry.