Saturday, October 31, 2015
SPX Stock Market Breakdown? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX is at the breakdown point again. It appears that the breakdown may appear at 2080 and it has bounced twice at 2082.00. This raises the probability of a trendline break before the close.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 31, 2015
Bearish Reversal in Precious Metals at Resistance...Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The precious metals sector sharply reversed course after the Federal Reserve hinted that it may raise rates at its next meeting. This about face from the Fed was enough to effectively end the fledgling rally that began in the summer and threatened to take metals and miners higher to their 400-day moving averages. The prevailing thought was the Fed was on hold for a while and this paved the way for more strength in the precious metals complex. Thoughts be damned! The Fed has whipsawed gold bugs (and me) again.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
Fed’s US Debt Bomb and Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Debt
With the Federal Reserve’s first rate-hike cycle in nearly a decade looming, traders are working overtime trying to divine its timing and impact on the markets. They are closely monitoring the same employment and inflation data the Fed will use to start tightening. But there’s another little-discussed concern for the Fed, the solvency of the US government. The Fed’s zero-interest-rate policy has spawned a grave US debt bomb.
Back in late 2008, the US stock markets suffered their first true stock panic since 1907. This once-in-a-century fear superstorm proved catastrophic. In a single month leading into October 2008, the flagship S&P 500 stock index plummeted 30.0%. Over 6/7ths of these losses happened in 2 weeks, a massive 25.9% cratering! That exceeded the threshold for a stock panic, which is a 20%+ plunge in a couple weeks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
One of America’s Largest Companies is Stockpiling Food and Gold for the Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015
By Justin Spittler
One of America’s largest companies is taking a controversial stance on employee benefits.
In a move that is sure to draw criticism from the mainstream press, Jonathan Johnson, chairman of online retail giant Overstock.com (OSTK), publicly stated that the company has stockpiled gold and food in preparation of a U.S. financial crisis.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
Stock Market Pivot Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX Premarket is up 2 points as I write. It is no surprise to read that bullish fund flows are back. ZeroHedge writes, “The bullish fund flows are back. This is how Bank of America summarizes the latest EPFR capital flow sentiment: "Loving Wall Street: $15bn equity inflows + $5bn HY/IG inflows + 6 straight weeks of commodity inflows = investors are "risk-on."
Bank of America may be “talking” its book.” The information may be correct, but the conclusion may be flawed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
Gold Price Up 3% In October and Enters “Seasonal Sweet Spot” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Gold down 1.3% this week on Fed “noise”
- Gold up 3% in October on robust demand
- Stronger gains in euros, Swiss francs, Japanese yen
- October poor month for gold seasonally
- November, December, January and February the “seasonal sweet spot”
- Confirmation of surging demand for bullion in Germany, India and China in Q3
Friday, October 30, 2015
$DXY - Cash US Dollar Index Chart / Currencies / US Dollar
This might be interesting. As of early this morning the dollar is forming a failed breakout. The path of the dollar was clearly down until the ECB derailed it with talk of more easing last week. Are the fundamentals starting to pull it back down again?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
Is Britain Preparing a Run for European Union Exit? / Stock-Markets / UK EU Referendum
Anthony Summers writes: To remain or not to remain? That is the question British voters have to answer.
A referendum was promised as part of the Conservative Party’s victory earlier this year. And the vote will decide whether England leaves the European Union (EU).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
Silver Prices and Economic Data Releases / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Hey guys, stay right there. I am really excited once again to be here. We are live and also we get to continue our discussion that started about a month and half ago about the reality of Silver prices right now. We're doing a deep dive. Last week we spent time discussing “standard of care” from a fiduciary standpoint. We discussed technical analysis in the previous week and then we started off the deep dive sections with high frequency trading and algorithm trading.Today's topic is data releases and price action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
Europe in Deflation: Got (cheap) Milk? / Economics / Deflation
Why falling food prices are not a boon for Europe's economy
In the early 1990s, two simple words from a genius ad campaign radically transformed the way the U.S. consumer saw it: "Got Milk?"
Suddenly, the narrative changed from an obligatory drink you had to finish as a kid, along with eating your vegetables -- into a sexy, funny, and above all desirable treat for all ages.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 30, 2015
BEA Reports 3rd Quarter 2015 U.S. GDP Growing at Just 1.49% / Economics / US Economy
In their first estimate of the US GDP for the third quarter of 2015, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the economy was growing at a +1.49% annualized rate, down -2.43% from the second quarter.
This report included significant changes in the details as well as the headline. By far the greatest quarter-over-quarter change was in inventories, which subtracted -1.44% from the headline after being essentially neutral during the prior quarter. As we have mentioned before, the BEA's treatment of inventories can introduce noise and seriously distort the headline number over short terms -- which the BEA admits by also publishing a secondary headline that excludes the impact of inventories. This BEA "bottom line" (their "Real Final Sales of Domestic Product") reported a much more respectable +2.93% growth rate for the third quarter.
Friday, October 30, 2015
Apple Clever Business Strategy—But Is It Clever Enough? / Companies / Apple
Back when I was in business school, the PC manufacturers were go-go football stocks. Bull market, dude.
There was Dell, Hewlett-Packard, Compaq, and Gateway, which used to sell its computers in a Holstein cow-pattern box. Apple was making Macs but had a much smaller market share than it does today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 29, 2015
The Constitution’s Big Lie / Politics / US Politics
One of the greatest hoaxes ever perpetrated upon Americans at the time of its telling and which is still trumpeted to this very day is the notion that the U.S. Constitution contains within its framework mechanisms which limit its power. The “separation of powers,” where power is distributed among the three branches – legislative, executive, judicial – is supposedly the primary check on the federal government’s aggrandizement.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 29, 2015
Financial Markets are a Game / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Thursday, October 29, 2015
ONS UK Population Immigration Panic, Forecast 10 Million Increase / Politics / Immigration
The ONS is belatedly waking up to Britain's population explosion by forecasting a 15% rise in the UK population from 64.6 million (mid 2014) to 74.3 million by 2039 (25 years time), approx 70% of which will be due to continuing out of control immigration from predominantly eastern europe as 7 million more economic migrants will seek to jump on board Britain's benefits gravy train (in work and out of work benefits) that typically can amount to more than X5 those receivable in eastern europe.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 29, 2015
The Fed Just Whacked Corporate Earnings / Companies / Corporate Earnings
The markets seemed to like what the Fed had to say yesterday, including the part about definitely, for sure, no kidding around this time raising interest rates in December. Especially elated were currency traders, who bid the US dollar up on the news.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 29, 2015
FOMC Word Play Kicks Off a Correction That Was Coming Anyway in Gold, May Soon Come in Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
What They Said
Read full article... Read full article...“In determining whether it will be appropriate to raise the target range at its next meeting, the Committee will assess progress–both realized and expected–toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.”
Thursday, October 29, 2015
US Regulators Mandate Next Stage Of Textbook Financial Repression / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
With comparatively little fanfare, Fidelity Investments has announced that 100% of their $115 billion Cash Reserves fund, the world's largest money fund, will be invested in US government debt by December 1st of 2015. It is expected that many other money fund companies will also change their policies and invest only in US government and agency securities, because of a change in regulations that will occur in 2016.
Since 2010 the US government has been implementing a textbook example of Financial Repression, when it comes to using private savings to control and even effectively pay down the size of the national debt. Far from slowing down or ending this process, these new policies will expand by many millions the number of people who will effectively be forced to fund the purchase of government debt at artificially low interest rates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 29, 2015
London Property Bubble Set To Burst – UBS and Deutsche Warn / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The London property market is being increasingly recognised as a bubble and now even leading international banks are warning that the bubble may be set to burst.
Today, UBS has warned that London’s property market is “frothing” and last week Deutsche Bank were the property party pooper “calling time” on the London property “party.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 29, 2015
Gold Analogue: Then and Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
1970s: Gold rallied from about $35 in 1970 to nearly $200 in December 1974, and then fell to about $100 in August 1976.
Read full article... Read full article...