Friday, July 24, 2015
Gold Stocks Bear Market Bottom Buying Opportunity? - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The early year gold price rally soon peaked in mid January 2015 at $1307 that had fooled many gold bugs into assuming that the preceding multi-year bear market was finally over and that 2015 would see a strong price rally to possibly even new all time highs! However, so far 2015 has seen a series of failed rally's rolling over into downtrends to new lows, punctuated by flash crash days such as that which took place on the 19th of July that saw a series of flash crashes that lasted no more than a couple of seconds that took the gold price to well under $1,100, to a new five year low of $1080 before recovering a little to $1,100.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
The Stealth War on the United States / Politics / Cyber War
Sean Brodrick writes: Late last month, Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE) suffered the most catastrophic attack EVER on a U.S.-based company.
It was so epic in scale that analysts are calling it an act of war.
More details are coming out. And it may just be the tip of the iceberg.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Did Gold Stocks Just Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "Perhaps today was capitulation in the gold market," a CEO of a gold-mining company told me in an e-mail Monday evening...
Gold-exploration stocks had just lost 14% of their value in two days – based on the gold-exploration stocks fund, the Global X Gold Explorers Fund (GLDX). This CEO thought it could be the bottom in gold-exploration companies.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Gold and Silver Falling, Coiling - The Slow Blues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
"At its very inception this movement depended on the deception and betrayal of one's fellow man; even at that time it was inwardly corrupt and could support itself only by constant lies...
If at the start this cancerous growth in the nation was not particularly noticeable, it was only because there were still enough forces at work that operated for the good, so that it was kept under control. As it grew larger, however, and finally in an ultimate spurt of growth attained ruling power, the tumor broke open, as it were, and infected the whole body.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
The Epicenter of the Next Global Financial Crisis - Financial Dreadnoughts / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
The 'trigger event' for the next crisis could be elsewhere, someplace distant, and out of the way. The first World War was ignited by a political assassination over a fractious disagreement in Sarajevo that engaged an international web of interconnections.
Granted that hubris was on a high note, particularly in Germany, and the system itself was fragile and deeply interwoven.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Commodity Prices, Gold and Silver Stocks Next Leg Down / Commodities / Commodities Trading
There is a lot to go over tonight in regards to commodities and the precious metals complex. A while back I wrote a report on the commodities in general getting ready for the next possible leg down which will fuel the deflationary pressures that really took hold last about this time. That's when the US dollar finally broke out of its massive base and charged higher topping out in March of this year and has been consolidating those gains ever since. Lets start by looking at the big base the US dollar broke out of last year at this time and the strong impulse move up as shown by the string of white candlesticks. That's what a strong impulse move looks like when all the pent up energy finally has a change to escape.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Commodities Damage to BRICs Economic Cushion / Economics / Emerging Markets
Aside from $ trillions in monetary stimulus from the world's major central banks, a major source to the recovery from the 2008-9 global financial crisis emerged from the BRICs economies. The dependence on commodities exports from Brazil, Russia and China proved instrumental in these economies' rapid comeback thanks to the cushion from rapid gains in agricultural and energy prices from 2002 to 2008. But now that agricultural commodities have crashed, metals crumbled and energy plummeted, what becomes of the BRICs engine to the world economy?
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
The ‘Real’ Reason the Fed Wants to Raise Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
In case you thought you were smart enough to know why the Fed wants to do what it supposedly wants to do [1] MarketWatch sets you straight with the real scoop. We’ll use this as a talking point and see what comes of it…
Here’s the real reason the Fed wants to raise rates
Policy makers want to give themselves some room to maneuver
That is the commonly held belief and who am I to dispute it? A big part of the problem is and has been their refusal to begin a journey toward normalization 2 years ago, when the economy began to visibly (we noted the seeds of that improvement in January of that year) improve. They had no confidence and I was left to wonder (aloud here, frequently and I am sure, sometimes obnoxiously) why Grandma [2] (and her 0% savings account payout) had to continue to bear the brunt of this non-action despite a recovering economy.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
The War on Cash is Now a Global Phenomenon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
More and more institutions are trying to make it harder for you to move your money into cash.
Globally, over $5 trillion in debt currently have negative yields in nominal terms, meaning the bond literally has a negative yield when it trades. In the simplest of terms this means that investors are PAYING to own these bonds.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
5 ways in which Real Estate has changed in the US in the last decade / Housing-Market / US Housing
Peter Scully writes: Following a ten year review of the real estate market in the United States, it is clear to see that things have changed a lot. Ten years is a long time but in that period there is a huge difference, and it may be surprising to hear that it is not all related to finance.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Gold and Gibson's Paradox / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
There is a myth prevalent today that the gold price always falls when interest rates rise. The logic is that when interest rates rise it is more expensive to hold gold, which just sits there not earning anything. And since markets discount future expectations, gold will even fall when a rise in interest rates is expected. With the Fed's Open Market Committee debating the timing of an interest rate rise to take place possibly in September, it is therefore no surprise to market commentators that the gold price continues its bear market. Only the myth is just that: a myth denied by empirical evidence.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Stock Market Fluctuations Following Recent Rally - Flat Correction Or Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, July 23, 2015
Gold Price Smash Leads to Surge in Demand For Coins, Bars Around World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- U.S. Mint sees highest monthly gold eagle sales in over two years
- Indians take advantage of low price in a season not typically known for gold buying
- Chinese investors, disillusioned with stock market, are buying gold in large volumes
- Demand for coins from Perth Mint 37% higher in June and even higher for July
Thursday, July 23, 2015
U.S., Russia: The Case for Bilateral Talks / Politics / GeoPolitics
Phone calls between relatively low-level diplomats are normally not newsworthy. But Monday's conversation between U.S. Undersecretary of State Victoria Nuland and Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin on the simmering conflict in Ukraine is an exception. The bilateral nature of the conversation and its timing amid mounting claims of cease-fire violations from the Ukrainian government and separatist forces makes it uniquely significant. Moreover, it reaffirms that the evolution of the Ukrainian conflict — whether toward a settlement or toward escalation — will be most strongly shaped not by Kiev but by the actions of and relationship between Moscow and Washington.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Crude Oil Price Slump is a Once in a Decade Opportunity to Make Money, Guaranteed / Commodities / Crude Oil
All investments carry risk. There are no safe investments in the sense that “you just can´t lose”. But risk can be greatly reduced, according to the entry point and the timespan of the investment.The commodities cycle
The world is currently awashed in oil and natural gas. This is the reality of today. But as sure as day follows night, this glut will turn into production deficit over the next few years. All commodities traders know this and have seen gluts turn into deficits dozens of times, in different markets. Why does this happen?
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
AAPL Disappoints.... Stock Market Holds Well.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market was looking forward to the earnings report from Apple Inc. (AAPL), the leader of all leaders. The anticipation was very high due to the news recently released from Google Inc. (GOOG), which was magnificent. Most thought AAPL would follow in their footsteps. The market was close to breaking out ahead of the report, but the big leader gave a small report for investors. A little shy this and not so great that, had the stock down at massive support at 119 last night after hours. It did hold there and start to push up a bit, which allowed for a big sigh of relief from the frothing bulls. A move below 119 on AAPL would open up a vein of selling to 114, and possibly further below. AAPL gapped down hard, roughly eight points, which gave the Nasdaq a major headache.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Gold Price Hits a 5-Year Low: How to Time the Next MAJOR Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
See this surprising "central banks indicator" of big reversals in gold prices
Read full article... Read full article..."In what traders called a 'bear raid,' sellers on Monday dumped an estimated 33 tonnes of gold in just two minutes on exchanges in Shanghai and New York, sending prices on a nearly $50 downward spiral from which they never fully recovered." (Reuters, July 21)
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Currencies Depend on Faith, Gold Doesn't / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In his July 17th Blog, Let's Get Real About Gold, author and Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig likened investor interest in gold with the "Pet Rock" craze of the 1970s, when consumers became convinced that a rock in a box would provide continuous companionship, elevate their social standing, and give them something hip to talk about at parties. Zweig asserts that investor faith in gold, which he argues is just another inert mineral with good marketing, is similarly irrational, and has kept people from putting money in the much more lucrative stock market.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Stock Market Early Shorting Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This may be an early entry opportunity for shorts, since we may see SPX retrace all the way to yesterday’s close. This would be considered to be super aggressive, since the battered VIX isn’t registering any signals, yet.
I believe the VIX is being suppressed, in order to prevent investors to properly hedge for the decline. This would also discourage short-sellers, who rely on the VIX for their signal. This portends a very deep decline, since there is virtually no hedging and very little short-selling, which would provide a bottom for this decline as short-sellers take profits.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Should Stock Investors You Buy Microsoft On the Dip? / Companies / Microsoft
Microsoft has had a rocky relationship with investors over the years, especially the last one. If you look at the numbers over the last two years, it looks like the stock has soared with a 48.59% increase. But if you take a look at the last year alone, it’s up only 5.37%. Year to date it’s even worse at 1.79%.To say the company has struggled to stay innovative amid competition with the likes of Apple and Google is an understatement. There’s a cartoon that’s been floating around the internet for years showing two small children representing Google Chrome and Mozilla Firefox fighting it out, while another small child representing Windows Explorer is off in the corner eating glue.
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