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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Companies

Sunday, October 13, 2019

The Most Successful IPOs Have This One Thing in Common / Companies / IPOs

By: Stephen_McBride

Justin Spittler : Never chase a stock.

That’s the #1 mistake of rookie investors. They fall in love with a stock that has already risen a lot, overpay for it, then end up regretting it.

True pros do the opposite.

They’re patient. They lie in wait, wait for a stock to “come to them”, then buy on a “dip.”

“Don’t chase stocks” is sound advice 95% of the time. But there’s a special kind of stock you absolutely should chase.

In fact, you’re better off buying these special stocks after a 20% or 30% pop than buying after a big selloff.

I know it sounds crazy. It goes against everything most investors have been taught. But I have mountains of data to prove it.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 13, 2019

Fed Grows Concerned - Should Gold Investors Do the Same? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Fed released the minutes from its last meeting yesterday. What can we learn from the new light they shine on the U.S. monetary policy? How will it affect the gold market?

Minutes Show That FOMC Members Are More Worried Now

The minutes from the Sep FOMC meeting show that the Fed is more worried about the economy. The Committee members noted that downside risks had become more pronounced due to the increased trade conflicts, more intensified geopolitical uncertainty, and more fragile prospects for global and domestic economic growth:

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 13, 2019

Precious Metals & Stock Market VIX Are Set To Launch Dramatically Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The recent rotation in the US stock market and US major indexes have set up a very interesting pattern in the Metals and VIX charts.  Our researchers believe precious metals, Gold and Silver, are setting up a new momentum base/bottom and are beginning an early stage bullish price rally that may surprise many traders.  If you have not been following our research, please take a minute to read these past research posts:

September 24, 2019: IS SILVER ABOUT TO BECOME THE SUPER-HERO OF PRECIOUS METALS?

September 19, 2019: PRECIOUS METALS SETTING UP ANOTHER MOMENTUM BASE/BOTTOM

Our researchers believe the bottom in Metals has already set up on October 1, 2019.  This setup aligns with our earlier analysis that a new bullish price leg is setting up that will propel Gold to levels above $1600 before the end of November – possibly resulting in a rally that attempts to breach the $1700 price level.

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ConsumerWatch

Sunday, October 13, 2019

Discovery Sport EGR Valve Gasket Problems - Land Rover Dealer Fix / ConsumerWatch / Land Rover

By: HGR

As soon as my Discovery Sports 3 manufacturer warranty is up, up pops the dreaded yellow engine management warning light prompting a visit to the local land rover dealer for a diagnoses. Apparently the EGR Valve is failing hence prompting the engine warning light to come on. EGR or Exhaust Gas Recirculation Valves are typically supposed to last 10 years or 100,000 miles, so why is it failing so early in a Discovery Sport? Only 3 years old and 18,000 miles? Find out of what's likely in store for your Discovery Sport once it passes the 3 year mark and the probable solution.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Stock Market US Presidential Cycle - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US Presidential cycle pattern has continued to prove REMARKABLY ACCURATE in terms of flagging future stock market price action as the charts over the past 15 months illustrate, where the basic pattern for the US Presidential cycle is for a strong election year and post election year, followed by weak Mid-term then a strong pre-election year. 

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Politics

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Social Security Is Screwing Millennials / Politics / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin


Social Security is a textbook illustration of how government programs go off the rails.

It had a noble goal: to help elderly and disabled Americans, who can’t work, maintain a minimal, dignified living standard.

Back then, most people either died before reaching that point or didn’t live long after it. Social Security was never intended to do what we now expect, i.e., be the primary incom source for most Americans during a decade or more of retirement.

Life expectancy when Social Security began was around 56. The designers made 65 the full retirement age because it was well past normal life expectancy.

No one foresaw the various medical and technological advances that let more people reach that age and a great deal more, or the giant baby boom that would occur after World War II, or the sharp drop in birth rates in the 1960s, thanks to artificial birth control.
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Commodities

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Gold Gifts Traders With Another Rotation Below $1500 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Positive expectations related to the US/China trades negotiations on October 10th prompted a moderately strong upside move in the US major indexes and the stock market. 

Additionally, the precious metals fell in correlation to the upside move in the US stock market and presented another opportunity for skilled technical traders to look for entries below $1500 in Gold and below $17.75 in Silver. 

We can’t stress the importance of this critical $1500 price level in Gold as a key level for all traders to watch.  It has continued to provide key support for Gold since the price rally that initiated in late April 2019.  We believe this level will act as a relatively strong price “floor” going forward and any price activity below $1500 could represent a very opportunistic entry area for skilled traders.

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Currencies

Friday, October 11, 2019

US Dollar Index Trend Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A good technical starting point would be a quick look at the prospects for the US Dollar.

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Economics

Friday, October 11, 2019

China Golden Week Sales Exceed Expectations / Economics / China Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

In contrast to gloomy international projections, economic realities suggest that China’s Golden Week may have exceeded expectations.

I spent China’s 70-year National Day festivities in Shanghai, China's global financial hub, and Guangzhou, the global trade hub of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. In both, China’s massive transition toward consumption and innovation is now an increasing reality.

Due to US tariff wars, Chinese mass consumers – like their peers in the United States, Europe and Japan – are cost-conscious, increasingly discriminate and sophisticated in their spending. Indeed, sales of gold jewelry boomed during the holidays, fueled by gold prices, holiday festivities and the wedding season.
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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 11, 2019

Stock Market Short-term Consolidation Does Not change Secular Bullish Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Donald_W_Dony

The on-again, off-again, on-again Trump trade war with China coupled with weakening signs of U.S. economic growth has placed the S&P 500 into another multi-month consolidation.

Stocks continue to gyrate from mid-year as news of a possible trade deal appears to solidify only to have a reverse decision suddenly develop.

This whip-sawing creates uncertainty among traders. As such, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average has remained in a 10% trading band over the last six months, whereas the Canadian TSX has been held in a tighter 6% trading range (Chart 1).

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Commodities

Friday, October 11, 2019

The Allure of Upswings in Silver Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The entire precious metals sector rallied yesterday, but the upswing was particularly visible in case of silver and (especially) mining stocks. Both: silver, and miners moved to new October highs. Silver’s breakout was tiny, but miners rallied relatively significantly and that’s the part of the current long trade that’s particularly profitable. Of course, these profits are near to nothing compared to what’s likely ahead in case of the big short trade that we plan to profit on in the following months, but they add their part to the overall results. Please note that a small long position here also means staying temporarily out of the short position, which brings the likelihood of re-entering them at higher prices.

Let’s take a closer look at what happened.

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Housing-Market

Friday, October 11, 2019

US Housing Market 2018-2019 and 2006-2007: Similarities & Differences / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dan_Amerman

As can be seen in the graph below, there is an almost uncanny similarity between housing prices at the 2006-2007 peak, and current home prices.

The biggest difference is that current home prices are substantially higher. Should we be worried about a repeat scenario - and another six year decline in home values?

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Companies

Friday, October 11, 2019

Now Is the Time to Load Up on 5G Stocks / Companies / Internet

By: Stephen_McBride

An unusual race recently took place at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.

Former NFL star Keyshawn Johnson lined up at the 40 yard line...

While an average guy named Ricky stood in the end zone.

Keyshawn’s challenge was to run 40 yards faster than Ricky could download an episode of HBO’s Hard Knocks to his smartphone.

Ricky won. He downloaded the hour-long show in 3.6 seconds.
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Personal_Finance

Friday, October 11, 2019

Why the Law Can’t Protect Your Money / Personal_Finance / Scams

By: Rodney_Johnson

I’m tired of the impeachment talk and it hasn’t really started yet. With the House working on impeachment inquiries in several committees, we’ll get a healthy dose of political doublespeak from everyone involved for at least the rest of this year. It’s already started to crowd other stories out of the news cycle.

But we have to pay attention, because other things are happening that will directly affect us in the months and years to come.

We got a glimpse of our financial future at the end of last week when the first reports about Puerto Rico’s proposed financial settlement came to light. It’s not finished, but we know two things: The law will be ignored, and investors will get crushed.
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Housing-Market

Friday, October 11, 2019

What’s Your Plan as the Home Price Index Hits Zero / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Rodney_Johnson

The real estate industry must have the best lobbyists in the country. How else can you explain that a data-driven transaction – buying or selling a home – has become more onerous, and more cumbersome. And overall more painful even as information becomes cheaper and easier to get?

These guys are protecting their turf, and we’re paying for it.
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Housing-Market

Friday, October 11, 2019

Will Miami be the First U.S. Real Estate Bubble to Burst? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Earlier this week I read a great article by Kuppy at Adventures In Capitalism. It brought back memories of the last condo and real estate bubble in Miami… I was there. I was moving to Tampa and sold before the crash that I was nearly alone in forecasting in late 2005 .

Kuppy noted that prices had plateaued for a few years and had begun to drop 20% to 35% in South Beach – and worse in the downtown Brickell area. He talks to a friend who makes non-traditional loans against these condos, and he says “it’s about to blow… just give it six to nine months.”
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Companies

Friday, October 11, 2019

How Online Casinos Maximise Profits / Companies / Gambling

By: Submissions

The gambling industry has had great success as of late. A report from the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC) - the government body that regulates the gambling industry - showed that during 2019 the total Gross Gambling Yield (GGY) in the UK reached £14.5 billion. It’s an impressive figure, and reflects what many organisations already know to be true — that people still play online casino games, and a younger generation is beginning to love them too.

Statistics from the same report also show a rise in online gambling — the total GGY of the remote sector was an astonishing £5.6 billion. This means that online gambling is one of the largest revenue generating sections of the industry. And it continues to grow in popularity.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, October 10, 2019

Who’s Eyeing Up 2020? Warren or Sanford? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Rodney_Johnson

In a recent interview with MSNBC, Representative Adam Schiff (D-CA) said that his House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence had no knowledge of the UkraineGate whistleblower claim before notification from the Inspector General.

That statement was eventually proven false. As the first whistleblower approached staffers for Schiff’s committee before going to the IG. For the falsehood, the Washington Post awarded Schiff “four Pinocchios.”

Although, as my Millennial kids would tell me, if we’re counting falsehoods, the Washington Post would probably award Trump “all the Pinocchios.”
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Commodities

Thursday, October 10, 2019

3 Tips for Picking Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

As the correction in gold stocks continues and as it’s likely to endure for the time being, we take a step back and share some tips for selecting individual junior gold companies.

The current correction may provide the last chance to buy before the bull market in Gold is confirmed and capital pours into the junior sector and pushes up prices.

Here are three of our best tips to help you spot the big winners before the crowd.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 10, 2019

How Does Inflation Affect Exchange Rates? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

Consumers are always worrying about the rising cost of basic needs, products, and services. Whether we like it or not, the global economy affects all of us.

When we hear the word inflation, we often think about the increase in the prices of the things we buy. But how important is it to understand inflation and the factors that influence it?

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