Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
The Stock Market's Dumbest Rally of All Time / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Whitney
"Without the destructive power of the banks, hedge funds and other investment companies, the world would not be where it is today — at the edge of an abyss." Der Spiegel, "The Destructive Power of the Financial Markets"
Tuesday's 322 point surge on the Dow Jones must rank among the dumbest rallies of all time. The proximate trigger for the triple-digit moonshot was the feint hope that Fed chairman Ben Bernanke might pull another rabbit out of his hat at his Jackson Hole confab and announce another round of his bond purchasing program called Quantitative Easing.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Implications for the S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Petch
One month I wrote a piece titled “Markets Trapped in a Contracting Fibonacci Spiral – Point of Singularity in 2019”. This was based upon the Fibonacci sequence, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34 etc. One item I forgot to mention was that from the 1932 bottom to 1966 was 34 years and 1966 to 1987 was 21 years...subsequently we saw the 2000 top (13 years) and then the 2008 top (8 years). This is rather more than coincidence that every major top since 1932 was identified by following a contracting Fibonacci sequence. There is no indication for how long tops last, but in general, corrections are severe...at least 40-50%.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
The Market Risk-On Trades Are Back / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past month investors have been hit hard from the falling stock market. Those who owned gold and bonds have been rewarded. During times of economic fear which leads to selling of stock shares investors and traders find safety in gold and bonds. It was this surge of money coming out of stocks that propelled the price of gold and bonds sharply higher through-out this selloff.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
QE3 Gets Priced Into Markets / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Before Ben Bernanke lets a single sound slip from his mouth this week, investors have already put their money where Bernanke’s mouth is. Investors want a minimum of $500 billion in quantitative easing, betting on rising Treasury prices when Bernanke addresses the press about what the Fed’s next move might be.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Fear Sets In, Panic Begins, Ruin Perceived, Prepare for Gold $2100 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Something big is going on in the United States in a sentiment change, an altered state of psychology, a growing sense of panic. My opinion is that the nation has entered the early stage of comprehension among the population of systemic failure. The most immediate measures are the rash of heavy selling down days in the US Stock market, the strong purchases in Gold, as well as the reactions to constant news of sovereign debt in trouble, and the big banks teetering. Several other softer measures have been noted, made overwhelming by their sheer numbers. A perception wave has taken hold of a toxic USEconomy, a toxic US financial sector, a toxic US housing sector, a toxic economic brain trust in the US towers. A sense of doom is creeping into the nation's living rooms and board rooms, that the nation is in deterioration. Worse, they are realizing how US Federal Reserve is toothless, unable to address or treat the problems.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Financial Crisis 2011 Worse than 2008, European Banking System on the Verge of Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
I hate to sound alarmist, but it looks as though the European banking system - and consequently the global banking system - is edging its way towards another epic collapse.
That means in just a few short months, stocks could be back at their 2009 lows while gold prices travel north of $2,500 an ounce.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Will The Stocks Cyclical Bull Market Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Time to revisit and update this table.
What are historically predictive indicators and measures currently saying?
Green = yes. Yellow = maybe. Red = No.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Financial Macroeconomic Outlook, The Winds of Change / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Anthony J. Krcmar submits: The report relies heavily on the conceptual framework of a U.S economy in a balance sheet recession. Our main thesis rests on the belief that until U.S households repair their balance sheets and generate real income growth, they are in no position to drive a self-sustaining economic recovery. Monetary policy (including quantitative easing (QE)) produces limited results in generating real economic growth--- since the demand for credit and the lack of qualified borrowers remain the issue not the supply of funds. Instead, expansive fiscal policy, through increased government budget deficits, exists as the primary lever to raise economic activity, transfer real financial assets to the private sector, and ease the pain of the deleveraging cycle.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Marc Faber Stock Market S&P Index Won’t Surpass 2011 1,370 High / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bloomberg
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, appeared on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart” with Carol Massar and Matt Miller today.
Speaking from Sao Paolo, Brazil, Faber said that the S&P won’t surpass the 2011 high of 1,370 and that investors are “better off in equities than bonds.” Faber also said that keeping money in cash in 10-Years is a “disaster.”
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Get Out of the Way and Let Markets Work / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: The_Energy_Report
Thomson Reuters' Commodity and Energy Specialist Christopher Henwood believes bailouts of too-big-to-fail companies and countries addicted to entitlements have cast an ominous shadow over the global economy. Nevertheless, he finds room for optimism as global economic turmoil puts downward pressure on energy prices, which should give the economy some breathing room. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Chris shares a bit of his market knowledge and economic philosophy.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Dow:Gold Ratio & the Secular Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
As I have been warning investors for many months, stocks have now entered stage III of the secular bear market. Gold on the other hand is now in the final parabolic phase of a 2 1/2 year C wave advance.
My best guess was that we would see a Dow:gold ratio of between 5-6 before this C wave ended. The ratio was at 5.71 as of today. For reasons explained in the nightly reports I think we may still have a little further to go on the downside for stocks and a little further upside in gold. So it's entirely possible that we could see a Dow gold ratio of 1:5 before the trends reverse.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
On the Brink Of Another Financial Crisis, Eurozone Crackup / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Mike_Whitney
"We believe that the market has now entered a major downtrend. It is a mistake to dismiss the slide we’ve seen to date as mindless and devoid of fundamentals as many strategists maintain. These are not just scary headlines—-they are scary fundamentals.... There will undoubtedly be some more sharp rallies that will be interpreted as new bull markets. In our view, however, the bear market has only begun, and has a long way to go." -- Comstock Partners, "Bear Market Rally Far From Over", Pragmatic Capitalism
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Another Stock Market "Lost Decade" Coming Up; Boomer Retirement Headwinds / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are digging into a Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco report that models equity prices and P/E ratios based on demographics. The outlook is not promising to say the least.
Interestingly, the report matches articles I wrote earlier this year based on cycles, not demographics.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Investing: Bad News, Good News, and What's Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Janet_Tavakoli
The manic depressive market wildly swings up and down on each new news story: The Fed is meeting at Jackson Hole on August 27 possibly to discuss QE3 (or not), and that news may pump up the stock market. But China's banks seem to be using Enron's accounting manual, Europe's banks need liquidity and are loaded with bad debt, and U.S. banks only temporarily TARPed over trouble.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Beginning of Classic Stock Market Break Down / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Based on the chart below (courtesy Bigcharts.com) we have just witnessed the beginning of a classic breakdown.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Stock Market Poor Action Continues....Bears In Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
I spent part of the day in a hospital, and I'm tired, so tonight's report will be a little shorter than usual.
The market was very oversold on the short-term charts heading into the weekend and when those charts get repeatedly oversold, you get bounces for a small period time. You don't expect the world higher, but you know some type of reflex is on the way. We saw the futures blast up allowing for a higher open. The market tried a bit higher, but failed not too long after the market gapped up. The Dow was up just a little over two hundred points. In bear markets you avoid chasing gap ups. The market spent the rest of the day trying to hang in there, and after going red a few times, it did manage to hang on to slight profits.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Financial Markets Outook for Gold, Stocks, Volatility, Euro and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Willem_Weytjens
One month ago, the SP500 was trading at 1,345 points. Today it is trading at 1,128 points, or down over 16%.
One month ago, Gold was trading at $1,601. Today, it is trading at $1,891, or up over 18%.
We therefore look back at some historical developments in this report, in order to forecast future developments.
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Monday, August 22, 2011
Global Stocks Bear Market Is Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Richard_Shaw
Or At Least Knocking On The Door... QVM Clients:
The attached letter provides charts showing evidence that we are in, or nearly in, a global bear market for stocks.
Important news events that will impact the coming week are:
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Monday, August 22, 2011
Dollar and Crude Oil Bearish Triangles Setting Up / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
By: Mike_Paulenoff
"Triangle, triangle on the wall, what are thee telling us about market direction overall?" Neither the lack of European financial integration nor the imminent fall of Gadhafi have jogged the Euro and Brent crude oil futures out of their recent sideways ranges. Perhaps we should view the post August 8 pattern in the e-mini S&P 500 as a triangle pattern too? And, if so, what will that mean?
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Monday, August 22, 2011
Gold and Crude Oil Trading Thoughts, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past few weeks have been fast moving with fearful investors clearly in control. As we all know fear is the most powerful force in the financial market and when the hedge funds and the masses get spooked they all dart in one direction like a school of fish. Watching the charts and volume levels it’s clear that money was/is flowing out of stocks and into precious metals as the risk off safe plays. This was explained in last week’s report on how the GLD etf can be used as a fear/sentiment indicator (read here).Read full article... Read full article...