Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Stock Market Elliott Wave Patterns, Quick Primer on OEW / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Tony_Caldaro

We received a request over the weekend to provide a bit more detail about OEW labeling. OEW applies most of the same terminology as standard EW with one major exception. We added a Major wave between the Primary and Intermediate degrees. It makes more sense, to us, that a Minor wave should be complemented by a Major wave with an Intermediate wave in between them. Our labeling scheme is provided below:

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Debt Fears...Sentiment...Stock Market Lower....Nothing From Nothing.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

The market uses excuses to get its dirty work done. It tells you when things need to happen by using news to move in a certain direction, even if that same news a month or so back would have done nothing to move it. When a market needs to get something done there is nothing you can do to stop it from happening. There was news today expressing some doubt as to whether the United States will be able to pay its debt. This same news has hit other countries with an initial sell off being bought heavily over time because their markets were bullish in nature. The news really isn't anything new to anyone. We all know this by now, but again, the market needed to move lower and it used this excuse to get the job done. Sentiment is just too bullish short-term, and thus, the selling from news that would have had no effect not too long ago. The excuse. The catalyst if you will.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Stock Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Toby_Connor

Stocks: On Friday stocks formed the swing we were looking for to mark the half cycle low.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

FTSE 100 Stocks Index Forecast 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The following text is excerpted form the NEW The Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 70 page ebook is available for FREE Download. Whilst the US economy is expected to outperform the UK across most key measures for the whole of 2011 and probably several more years beyond, which on face value implies lack of performance for the FTSE. However the FTSE is not exactly an index that tracks the prospects for the British economy as over the years the FTSE has incorporated waves of foreign companies listed on the London Stock Exchange that have very little if any activity in the UK such as the big central asian, african and australian mining companies, much more so than any other leading country index such as the Dow, Dax or CAC.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

QE Monetary Madness, The PIMCO Ring of Fire / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

Good golly what a mess the World is!  

You know it's bad when the US begins to look responsible compared to other World governments but even Alan Greenspan is now calling for an end to the Bush Tax cuts before they cost us another $3.6Tn over the next decade(and that's assuming no inflation and steady earnings) and we have Paul Ryan and the President calling for Trillions more in deficit reduction so I guess we SOUND serious about cutting our deficit and WE SHOULD BE because the IMF this week said the U.S. budget deficit was on course to hit 10.8 percent of nation's economic output this year, tying with Ireland for the highest deficit-to-GDP ratio among advanced economies.  

Monday, April 18, 2011

Stock Monday Mayhem, Panic Selling Has Set In! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In overnight and pre-market trading the US Dollar posted a strong rally which in turn caused a sharp selloff in the equities market. The market is currently down 1.6 – 2.3% depending on the index traders are following.

Here is what I see on the charts going forward a few days.

Monday, April 18, 2011

What Slow Economic Growth and High Inflation Means for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Jon D. Markman writes: With slow economic growth and high inflation looming on the economic horizon, investors turn to earnings reports for a clue as to whether their favorite companies can handle what's ahead.

First-quarter earnings season started with a bang this week with reports from major technology, basic materials and financial companies that mostly underwhelmed the crowd. The major averages closed the week right about where they started after rallying from a sizeable dip in the middle.

Monday, April 18, 2011

Stocks Don't Follow the Dollar Index So Hold On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

So far in 2011 the equities market has made some sizable whip saw type moves that even veteran traders have had difficulty being on the right side of the price action. The year started out with equities being very overbought and extended making is virtually impossible for a low risk trader to buy on pullbacks. This was primarily due to the fact that there were no real pullbacks other than for a day or two which  was immediately followed by prices continuing to grind higher.

Monday, April 18, 2011

Stock Market May Require Further Consolidation Before Breaking to New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Very Long-term trend – The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive bull/bear cycles.  In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.

Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a bull market.  Cycles and P&F projections point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.

Sunday, April 17, 2011

S&P500, Crude Oil, and Gold Reliant on U.S. Dollar Price Action / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

 “The week that was” left many investors running for the exits on Monday and Tuesday as prices in the equity, energy, and precious metals markets plunged. The U.S. Dollar index futures tried to work their way out of a descending channel, but came up unsuccessful. The U.S. Dollar index rallied in several morning sessions, but usually was met with heavy selling later in the day which either muted gains or pushed the dollar index lower. The other notable development this week was some Fed drivel which solidified the Central Bank’s continued efforts to devalue the U.S. currency and hold short term interest rates hostage. In addition, it seems more likely with every press release from a Fed Governor that Quantitative Easing II will expire in June and Quantitative Easing III will not be pursued unless economic conditions worsen.

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Stock Market Still In The Handle... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

The question is will it stay that way. The Nasdaq has made a clear handle bottom at yesterday's gap down low reversal at 2733. The top is clear at 2815. An 82-point range which makes sense. Three percent gives the market plenty of room to drive everyone nuts. Just enough room to head fake everyone on an almost daily basis. Handles are classic for making you think one thing is happening, but it doesn't. You can be so sure about what's next only to discover you were totally wrong about your thinking process. The more you play in a handle the more you lose. Very few can do it just right. The deeper problem with handles is that you never know just how long they are going to last. There is no historical reference for how long it will drag on. It could be just a few weeks, such as we have just experienced, or it can be months, sometimes many many months. No fun for sure.

Saturday, April 16, 2011

Stock Market Uptrend Resuming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Last week the world indices did quite well while the US struggled. This week the US held its own while the world indices were solidly in the red. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.60%. Asian indices were -1.0%, Europe dropped 1.6%, the Commodity equity group lost 3.4%, and the DJ World was -1.1%. Bonds were +1.2%, Crude lost 2.8%, Gold added 0.8% and the USD was flat.

Friday, April 15, 2011

Fed Reckoning Day Realities for Investor Pain and Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“In this light, the Fed’s action is especially meretricious. If it weren’t in such a hurry to juice the stock market and thereby keep the illusion of recovery going, it might have considered extending the regulatory sequester on bank capital for a few more quarters or even years thereby preserving a shield for the taxpayers until it has been demonstrated by the passage of time, not by the passing of phony stress tests, that the American banking system is truly out of the woods.
 

Friday, April 15, 2011

SPX Stock Market Correction Looms, Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Zeal_LLC

Stock bull markets don’t rally higher in a nice linear fashion.  Their advance is much more chaotic, flowing and ebbing.  Two steps forward are inevitably followed by one step back.  Today the US stock markets, despite their recent selloff in early March, still look to be in this correction mode.  These ebbings present stock traders with awesome buying opportunities, the best ever seen within ongoing bulls.

Friday, April 15, 2011

The Financial Sector Will Have a Major Impact on the SP 500 / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Marty_Chenard

Regardless of whether a compromise is reached over the approaching lockdown of the United States ceiling and the raising of the debt, this impasse has momentous significance for holders of gold (SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)) and silver (iShares Silver Trust (SLV)). The serious weaknesses of our economic structure is exposing it as a paper tiger. Instead of seeking fiscal sanity, the inability of our leaders to agree on even the smallest of issues is reminiscent of the Roman Empire dealing out bread and circus to the masses when Rome could no longer afford the good times and the games.

Friday, April 15, 2011

How Foreign Central Banks Could End the U.S. Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: William McChesney Martin Jr., the revered former head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, is remembered for many things - including an unprecedented term as chairman that lasted from March 1951 to January 1970.

But Martin is perhaps best remembered for the central-banking aphorism that says that the Fed's most important job is "to take away the punch bowl just as the party gets going." (See accompanying graphic below.)

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Investors Unaware of Significance of Currency Market Events, No Faith and Credit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_J_Stills

"I know that most men, including those at ease with problems of the greatest complexity, can seldom accept even the simplest and most obvious truth if it be such as would oblige them to admit the falsity of conclusions which they have delighted in explaining to colleagues, which they have proudly taught to others, and which they have woven, thread by thread, into the fabric of their lives." ~ Tolstoy

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Can U.S. Dollar Weakness Mean Stock Market Weakness? / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Jason_Kaspar

Are there any dollar bulls left? Inflationists across the web are crying ‘victory’ as the dollar sinks and certain asset prices (especially oil prices, food prices, and the gold price) mushroom higher. To the level headed, you should exercise extreme caution against assumed fixed correlations like “weak dollar” means “asset price increases.” Correlations can quickly change.

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Investing in India: First Comes the Pain, Then Come the Gains / Stock-Markets / India

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: As investments go, India has really great long-term prospects. No doubt about it.

Indeed, India has enjoyed very decent growth rates for the last decade, pulling many of its people out of poverty in the process.

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Stock Market Both Sides Holding Where They Have To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

The bulls were rocking. Nasdaq 2808 looked to be a slam dunk in terms of breaking through. Time after time the bulls tried and time after time the bears said not now. The gap is too tough for you. The bulls finally did go away. The bears were on deck and made their move. Down we went. It was pretty hard and pretty fast. One moment we're trying to get through 2808, and the next moment you're watching the bulls trying to defend the 50-day exponential moving average at 2738 Nasdaq. A fast seventy-point reversal for sure. Suddenly it looked as if this critical support level was going to get taken out with force. Not to be the case. Not yet anyway.