Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 01, 2010
Mini Double Top on S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The day's high is akin to what was seen the last time we had a gap up open / surge (wait for it.... last Monday). S&P 1196 on both days. Hence we have twin Monday highs and a mini double top. Traditionally (at some point) the market usually sells off, and a double top is a great formation for it to happen from. But I am not crossing my fingers. On the other hand, double top breakouts are usually quite bullish developments so if these intraday levels are cleared, off to the races we go ...although it feels like we've been in a marathon already.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
Stock Market Trend, It’s All About The Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
That’s right folks, it’s all about the dollar ($) in the financial markets these days, and the $ is all about its accelerating debasement at the hands of the Fed. This of course must be rubber stamped by the politicians to be considered ‘legal’, however it should be understood there’s nothing legal about this as the destruction of the $ via fiat declaration is fundamentally unconstitutional. Fiat currencies all fail in the end due to corruption and deceit, and the $ will be no exception, first loosing it’s purchasing power, now well underway, and then its status as the world’s reserve currency, now coming into focus, which will collapse the US into a banana republic.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
Stock Market Larger Uptrend Into 2011, Minor Top Set for Mid-November / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's been a while since I have posted a market update, and - in light of the action in recent months - I want to post a detailed article on both the cyclic and the technical picture of the U.S. stock indices. I will start with the big picture view - which is decidedly bullish - and then will scale down to the short-term take, which is looking for a top between now and mid-November.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
Stock Market QE2 and Elections Uncertainty Rules... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
GDP met expectations but that wasn't enough as investors fret over elections and QE2 concerns...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
How Far Will Fed Go To Get the U.S. Economy Rolling? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes:The market has been marking time lately as investors await the election results and the much -anticipated Federal Reserve announcement after the Federal Open Market Committee wraps up their meeting on Wednesday.
The Fed is expected to provide a peek into its next round of quantitative easing, now considered a fait accompli. The only question seems to be how far the Fed will go to reinvigorate the economy.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
The Federal Reserve Casts Its Ghostly Shadow Over the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week will see the opening of Ben Bernanke’s Quantitative Easing box. Out of which will jump a giant stimulus rabbit along with a few difficult to interpret actions lightly disguised as helpful aids and more commonly known as the product of the printing press. Mark Wednesday, 3rd November 2010, 18:15 GMT in your diary as this speech is the most important speech of this year.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Three Macro Investment Plays – CYB,TBT,YCS / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
The market remains in an uptrend but it is a “weak dollar” rally, not a “strong economy” rally. In real, dollar-adjusted terms, the market is closer to flat. A possible crash triggered by the weakening economy or a currency war is not out of the question. Don’t fight the trend – but I’m certainly not jumping in on the long side with both feet either.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Bernanke Makes a Pact with the Devil / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Monty Agarwal writes: When Fed President Hoenig declared last week that Bernanke is making “a pact with the devil,” he wasn’t kidding.
Nor was he talking about a little side deal that would someday be forgiven in money heaven.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Dow Theory and the U.S. Mid-term Elections, QE II / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The primary trend change associated with the rally out of the March 2009 Phase I low still remains intact in accordance with Dow theory. We do have other tools and the DNA Markers that have occurred at every top since 1896 that are also very important and are being closely monitored. However, in according to orthodox Dow theory, the counter-trend bear market advance separating Phase I from Phase II of the longer-term secular bear market still remains intact at this time. But, I still maintain that once the I’s are all dotted and the T’s are all crossed, in accordance with this setup, the rally separating Phase I of this long-term secular bear market from Phase II will be followed by the resumption of the bear market that began in 2007.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
America’s long wave versus the Global long wave, Stocks Economy and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The stock market has always been a dynamic affair but until the turn of the century 10 years ago, there were always a few tried-and-true relationships you could always count on. For instance, in the 20th century it was almost always true that if the broad market as reflected by the Dow or the S&P was rallying and the gold and oil stocks were also rallying, the rise in the broad market was viewed as suspect and in most cases would soon reverse. It was said that “What’s good for gold/oil is bad for stocks.” Then along came the bull market of 2003-2007, which completely blew that relationship out of the water.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Stocks Longterm Bull Market, Elliott Wave Weekend Analysis 31st October / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
For the first time in quite a while positive weekly economic reports outweighed negative reports by over three to one. The market responded, before the reports, with a new uptrend high and then went sideways during the reports. On the negative side. We had a lower rise in the Case-Shiller index, a decline in the UofM consumer sentiment and the M1 multiplier. On the postive side. Existing/new homes sales rose as did the FHFA price index and weekly mortgage applications. Q3 GDP rose, along with durable goods orders, the Chicago PMI and consumer confidence.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Stock Market USD Trends, It's the Money, STUPID! Part-II Extra Innings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
From Part-I (game over) Back in May of this year, we constructed a dual paneled chart graphic to observe the effectiveness of such interventions relative to the volatility expressed in the price behavior of equity indices. That chart consisted of a monthly volatility index in the top panel, and the relative trajectory of the Dow Jones industrial average in the charts lower panel.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Fed Fights to Hold Up Stocks into Election, The Accelerating Inflation Mega-Trend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The stock market is holding up well into the U.S. mid-term elections, clearly the Fed is fighting to support stocks against a due technical correction from overbought levels after the strong bull run of the past 2 months. Market manipulation is nothing new, it has been around since the birth of the stock markets and their insurance precursors, current market manipulations have their roots in the 1987 crash when the Fed stepped in to Push the Dow UP from another pre-open 250 point crash (15%) (1987 Crash Trading).
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Saturday, October 30, 2010
Fraud Caused the 1930s Great Depression and Current Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Scams
Robert Shiller - one of the top housing experts in the United States - says that the mortgage fraud is a lot like the fraud which occurred during the Great Depression. As Fortune notes:
Shiller said the danger of foreclosuregate -- the scandal in which it has come to light that the biggest banks have routinely mishandled homeownership documents, putting the legality of foreclosures and related sales in doubt -- is a replay of the 1930s, when Americans lost faith that institutions such as business and government were dealing fairly.
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Saturday, October 30, 2010
Stock Markets, The Big 3 On Deck..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Next week there will be absolutely no doubt about where this market is headed. Three huge separate events on deck and it starts off Tuesday, when we get the election results the market has been waiting for. It wants to see more of a log jam with more republicans gaining seats. If that takes place, and appears that it will, the market, you would think, will like it. I'll get in to it's built in stuff later on.
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Saturday, October 30, 2010
Marc Faber, Fed's QE2 Could Trigger stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, discusses the potential impact of further quantitative easing (QE2) by the U.S. Federal Reserve in a Bloomberg interview on Oct. 36 (clip below).
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Saturday, October 30, 2010
U.S. GDP Report Good for Main Street, Maybe Not for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The long-awaited report on economic growth in the third quarter was released Friday morning, and was a somewhat pleasant surprise. After declining from an annualized growth rate of 5.0% in the fourth quarter of last year, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth declined to 3.7% in the first quarter of this year, and to just 1.7% in the second quarter.
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Saturday, October 30, 2010
Is the U.S. heading for Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Is bad news going to be good news?
Last quarter, after several adjustments, it has been decided that our GDP grew at a 1.7% rate. The general consensus is that this quarter we should be up around 2% but the whisper number is a big miss, down to 1.3%. Slower GDP growth will be GOOD for the stock market as it gives Ben and Tim the excuse they need to crank up the printing presses for some real Zimbabwe-style inflation.
Friday, October 29, 2010
Outstanding Investor Profit Opportunity as China Goes Gaga for Gaming / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Doug Hornig, Editor, Casey’s Extraordinary Technology writes: Developing nations are playing technological leapfrog.
In the developed world, when we think of technology, the roots of much of what we do today were born decades, or even a century, ago. While the evolution has been fast paced, the progression from there through today is a straight line from the technologies that preceded them. A television program is still a television program. A phone call is still a phone call. The devices might look different and certainly do more, but the lineage is obvious.
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Friday, October 29, 2010
Bulls Still In Control, But the Stock Market Has QE Fatigue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The quantitative easing (QE) talk on the street this week has been along the lines of (a) is quantitative easing baked into asset prices?, (b) will the Fed’s announcement on November 3rd trigger a “sell the news” event, (c) the perception of too much QE could spark inflation fears and push interest rates up, and (d) too little QE could result in a “disappointment sell-off” in stocks and commodities.
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