Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, September 25, 2010
What happens when stocks meet resistance? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
New orders for durable goods Decline. - New orders for manufactured durable goods in August decreased $2.5 billion or 1.3 percent to $191.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. Down three of the last four months, this decrease followed a 0.7 percent July increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 2.0 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 1.2 percent.
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Saturday, September 25, 2010
Stock Market Spectacular Close to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended the week in spectacular fashion, gapping up big at the opening and never looking back. The indices rallied sharply, reaching a peak around noon, and then backed off in early afternoon to test support. That was successful, and they bounced again, backed off one more time, and then came on into the close, closing at the session highs.
Net of the day, the Dow was up 197.84 at 10,860.26. The S&P 500 advanced 23.84 to 1148.67, just pennies off its high. The Nasdaq 100 closed right at its high, up 41.69 at 2023.84.
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Saturday, September 25, 2010
Stock Market Keeps Rolling Higher.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Taking folks by surprise for sure. Not many thought this was possible, but those oscillators did give hints to the possibilities. Now we see what happens when things align just right. Get those MACD's compressed down low in their cycle. Get stochastic's oversold and those RSI's down near 30. Add in some positive divergences, and best of all, get the bull-bear spread inverted, and you take the masses by surprise.
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Friday, September 24, 2010
The Next Great Bull Market Begins on This Date... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "We face another seven years or so of bad times," Robert Shiller said this week.
Through luck or skill, he's been pretty darn right about these things..
Friday, September 24, 2010
Stock Market - Danger Will Robinson! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Every time we hit a peak and pulled back for the most part you got some sort of retest of the highs.
One look at the charts below tell the story and we can sum it up in three words when we look at the 60 minute charts of the OTC Comp. Dow and S&P 500.
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Friday, September 24, 2010
Fed Free Money Friday / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
What a fun day for debate!
Former Fed Chair, Paul Volcker went way off-script in Chicago yesterday and "moved unsparingly from banks to regulators to business schools to the Fed to money-market funds during his luncheon speech. He praised the new financial overhaul law, but said the system remained at risk because it is subject to future “judgments” of individual regulators, who he said would be relentlessly lobbied by banks and politicians to soften the rules."
Friday, September 24, 2010
Robert Prechter Says Stock Market Could Crash to Dow 2000 - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In the video below, Robert Prechter talks to Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task and Henry Blodget about extreme readings in various indicators that confirm his stocks bear-market forecast.
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Friday, September 24, 2010
iShares Brazil ETF Let the Carnival Begin! / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Here is a market that we like a lot more than the US market. We really like the way its acting and it looks set to take out the highs that were seen in December of 2009. If that is the case, then we could see this market make all-time highs pretty quickly. You definitely want to have this one on your radar screen.
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Friday, September 24, 2010
A Failed Stock Market Rally... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After a gap down open, the bulls decided to try to take the NASDAQ-100 to new highs but failed at the critical instant...
Recommendation: Sell shares of DIA to close the long position at the open.
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Friday, September 24, 2010
Stock Market Topsy-Turvy Session Ends Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy session, opening sharply lower, rallying immediately, and retesting the earlier week's highs on Nasdaq 100 over 2000 at the 2002.50 level. The S&P 500 at that point had rallied back up to 1137, but it was nearly 12 points below Tuesday's high, and the negative divergence caused the indices to back off and consolidate.
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Friday, September 24, 2010
Merger Frenzy and Food Riots Emerging Investment Themes / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Two investment themes have emerged over the last few months that are very positive for our portfolio. First, merger and acquisition activity has increased substantially. Secondly, the price of many agricultural commodities have increased and U.S. exports are booming – all very positive for the agricultural sector.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
Bubble Trouble, Next to Burst, Gold, Treasuries, CDS...? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Gold, Treasuries, Junk Bonds, Netflix (we shorted them yesterday), PCLN (we shorted them Monday), Credit Default Swaps - take your pick of what is going to be the next bubble to burst.
We shorted TLT again yesterday ($105) as I sure wouldn’t lend the US money at those rates and neither, it seems, will the "smart money" guys anymore. The cost to hedge against losses on U.S. government debt rose to the most in six weeks as investors bet the Federal Reserve will put more cash into the economy.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
A look at the Stock Market Cycles and Gold / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Now that we’re only two weeks or less away from the 4-year cycle bottom, it’s time to start thinking about the year-ahead outlook and what the coming months may bring. This year has been a rough one in patches due in no little measure to the influence to the 4-year down cycle. In previous years when the 4-year cycle has bottomed by itself it has tended to be rather mild in terms of the bottom itself (the cycle always bottoms around late September/early October) but has always created turbulence for the stock market in the months leading up to its bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Anglo Irish Bank Rumours And Weak GDP Worries Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
U.S. stocks fell Wednesday, dragging the S&P 500 Index to its biggest decline in two weeks, as a weakening earnings outlook for technology and financial companies overshadowed speculation the Federal Reserve is warming up the print presses for QE2.
Adobe Systems tumbled 19% after estimating sales that missed analysts’ projections and PMC-Sierra dropped 6% as the chipmaker reduced its third-quarter revenue forecast. Microsoft shed 2.2%after announcing a dividend increase that was smaller than some analysts expected. Morgan Stanley and Goldman both lost at least 2.2%, pacing a slump in financial shares, as Deutsche Bank cut its earnings estimates for the banks.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
China’s Economy Rocks! Ignore the Naysayers / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
If you read the business news or watch CNBC, you’ve been bombarded with a steady stream of experts warning you about China. Warning you about the Chinese stock market, warning you about the Chinese real estate bubble, warning you about the Chinese economy.
The majority of those China worrywarts have been crying “wolf” for a long, long time. Like Samuel Clemens said, “the reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated” and that is certainly true of the Chinese economy.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
SP500 Pierces, Bonds Rally, Dollars Fall Out the Window / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s been a wild ride the past few days OptionsX, Obama and FOMC comments. Seems like everyone is waiting to see what the market is going to do going forward at this pivotal point…
Since the market topped in April and has since been trading sideways in this rather large range, everyone has small positions at work but waiting for a decisive move before fully committing to one side. There could be a few opportunities in the coming days using bonds, the dollar and the SP500 if all goes well which I explain below.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
Stock Market S&P Support at 1131 Holding For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's about all one can say. It is expected that this level would hold the first test as the bulls fought long and hard to take it out. Unfortunately for the bulls, it was taken out at the same moment the market got very overbought on those daily oscillators across the board. The goal now for the bulls is to try and hold this level, or close to it for a while, until those longer-term daily oscillators can unwind enough to allow for further market upside. We opened up pretty flat today, but then the move down began. We gradually moved down to 1131. Hit it a few times, but the bulls found a way to hold on and allow it to move higher. Nothing great back up. Nothing to celebrate, but you have to like it when the bulls defend their turf.
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Scared Stupid, What Is Next For Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
First I will rant about my pet peeve and then I will follow up on the current cyclical structure in the stock market.Financial natural selection
The bears are being cut to pieces as stop after stop is hit, not only that but each time we surge a little higher, new pressure points prod the ones without stops to end the pain and cover as well. Fear drives out greed in the bears and greed drives out fear in the bulls.
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Stock Markets Ripe for a Setback as Fed Warms Up Money Printing Presses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As I warned yesterday, the US equity market had overdone its expectations that the Fed where going to fire up the printing press & embark on QE2 with immediate effect. Hence it had set itself up for a fall and was ripe for a setback on the resulting disappointment.
The culprit for the early dip in European stocks this morning was to be the execution of a 1.5 bn euro programme order to sell European stocks!
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Stock Market Sector Strength Indicates Returning Confidence / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Analysts and economists often refer to the strength or weakness in certain key industrial groups as evidence of a recovering or declining economy. During the recovery phase of a typical business cycle, there is usually greater buying emphasis on industry sectors that reflect a more optimistic stance. This wave of confidence can shift short-term to a more defensive approach.
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