Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 16, 2010
Yen Intervention: Impact on U.S. Dollar, Copper, Oil, Silver, and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In today’s global environment of slower growth and high debt levels, no country wants a strong currency. Japan has seen the yen rise more than 10% since May, which has exporters very uneasy in the Land of the Rising Sun.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Stock Market Investment Contingency Plans 2010-2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The immediate fork in the road for stocks involves whether we (a) remain in a range between 940 and 1,130 on the S&P 500 or (b) can see a sustainable move above 1,130.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Stock Market On the Battle Line... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The June 21st high horizontal resistance halted the advance of the major indexes...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Investor European Escape Hatch From the U.S. Recession / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Martin Hutchinson writes: When I speak with the U.S. subscribers to my Permanent Wealth Investor advisory service, there's one bit of wisdom that I repeat time and again: Just because you're living through a recession doesn't mean that your money has to.
If that's a high-falutin way of telling folks to invest globally, so be it. The reality is that there are other places to invest than in the U.S. economy - and many of those "other" spots offer much better returns.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Gold, Dollar, Interest Rate and Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Dear Investor
I believe, my investors should be more than happy as Gold is scaling new highs, Dollar is Falling and Interest Rates are climbing as predicted earlier in previous newsletters.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Stock Market So Close..Needs A Gap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Normally, when a market is close to breaking out, but is up against particularly difficult resistance, such as 1131 S&P 500 is, it usually takes a gap up in the morning to get the market juiced enough to make the move. Making such a move intra-day is not at all easy. It can happen that way, but a gap up is the usual way it occurs, and here we are just six points away. A strong group of economic reports in the morning could do the trick. We get jobless claims and PPI pre-market. Then once the market opens, we get the Philly fed report on manufacturing. That will be a huge report.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
China Turning Up The Heat On Bordeaux Futures / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Booming demand from emerging economies--especially China-- in addition to near-perfect weather in western France, is sending prices of Bordeaux soaring 28% within a one-month time.
WSJ reported that Château Lafite Rothschild's 2009 Bordeaux began its advance sales in early July at $18,000 a case. They were sold out in four days and the same case now is going for $23,000 (see graph from WSJ).
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Yen Intervention Wednesday - Kan Baffles Bulls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
As we discussed yesterday, it was meet the new boss, same as the old boss in Japan as Naoto Kan’s re-election sent the Yen to new highs as he was considered the least likely candidate to back intervention. Well surprise, surprise this morning as Japan officially intervened in the FOREX markets and sent the Yen down a full 2.5% as they used their Yen to purchase an undisclosed basket of currencies.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Theory 144 and Disequilibrium Explain Stock Market Price Action, EMH RIP / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The idea that markets tend toward a state of equilibrium is a fundamental principle of the efficient-markets hypothesis (EMH). This hypothesis, based on an equilibrium driven world, has ruled academia and served as a primary driver of institutional investment decision making for decades. However, it remains a hypothesis because after decades of analysis it has not delivered sufficient real-life evidence and data to attain the level of a theory. Wild market swings, such as the 2007-2009 global market crash, and the flash crash of May 2010, where unbridled greed cowered before the onslaught of fear, confirms that the EMH belongs in the dustbin of failed financial hypothesis.
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Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Stocks and Commodities Risk Warning as Global Liquidity Dries Up! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Last week I wrote about how mutual fund cash holdings had fallen to a 3.4 percent record low. That means mutual fund managers have never been more highly invested in the stock market than they are now!
History shows that low points in the mutual fund cash quote have been near perfect signals to get out of the stock market. But I think it’s smart to have additional confirmation.
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Wednesday, September 15, 2010
European Stocks Weaker as Japan Intervenes to Force Yen Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Despite the upside surprise in retail sales U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, preventing the longest S&P’s 500 Index winning streak since July. Concern that Bank of America may have to buy back as much as $20 billion in home loans offset a rally by technology companies. Bank of America shed 2%, dragging banks in the S&P 500 to the biggest decline among 24 industries. BB&T., North Carolina’s second-biggest bank, slumped 4% after saying it will write down more than $1 billion in loans. But Cisco Systems , the largest maker of networking equipment, rose 1% percent after announcing its first dividend, while Hewlett- Packard rallied 2.6%. Elsewhere Newmont Mining gained 4% as gold futures rose to a record $1,276.50 an ounce on safe haven buying.
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Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Stock Market Overhead Resistance Clotheslines Indexes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The June 21st highs are halting an advance of the major indexes...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Tuesday, September 14, 2010
S&P Potential Triple Top Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The SP 500 index has run up as forecasted to our subscribers a few weeks ago to a high of 1123 from the 1040 fibonacci pivot. Here at TMTF, we immediately took notice of the clear 3 wave pattern during the drop from 1130 to 1040 and cautioned our subscribers that a rally was likely. We also advised that if the SP 500 could clear the 1094 area that the bulls would take charge and we would turn our intermediate views bullish for the markets.
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Tuesday, September 14, 2010
September Fears And Polarizing Financial Markets Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Financial market operators and leading investment funds in several countries are now betting on two major trends: increasing risk aversion and fear of low asset performance, and increasing distrust of many types or classes of assets. These themes are sometimes opposed and sometimes linked, for example declining confidence in equity performance in theory could drive investors, perhaps only for a short while, to buy gold thus raising the profile of some types of reputedly secure assets.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stock Market Testy Tuesday - Kan Keeps His Job, Yen Makes New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Japan has the same Prime Minister!
That is big news after having 5 different ones the past 4 years. With the last PM lasting just 9 months, word was Kan was going to challenge the record for shortest term after being forced into this election just 3 months after being elected the first time. When we talked about this yesterday, the race was considered "too close to call" but the incumbent Mr. Kan ended up winning 60% of the vote - kind of makes you wonder how far off our own pollsters are with their early election calls…
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stocks Pare Losses On US Retail Sales / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Weekend clarity on bank capital requirements out of Basel III coupled with better than expected Chinese industrial production and an EU forecast for stronger growth buoyed US equities Monday. On a sector level, semis and financial stocks led all gainers as Gartner Research estimated that semiconductor equipment spending would double in 2010 and as large cap financial companies reacted positively to less stringent capital requirements and timing i.e. allowing a longer than expected transitional period JP Morgan . and Bank of America both rose more than 3 percent while Alcoa and General Electric gained more than 1.6 percent. Microsoft advanced 5.3 percent on news that the software maker will sell debt to fund dividends and buybacks.
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Tuesday, September 14, 2010
What The Stock Market VIX Volatility Index May Be Telling Us / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Take a look at the chart of the VXX, which is the volatility index or commonly known as the FEAR index.
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Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Basel III Boosts Bank Stocks... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Market bulls didn't have to look far for another catalyst as Basel III didn't yield any surprises allowing European bank shares to soar...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Tuesday, September 14, 2010
An In-depth Look at U.S. Retail Stocks / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
While Americans haven’t completely abandoned their spendthrift ways, there’s no doubt that the typical shopper is thinking a lot more about their purchases … and in general, our nation is revisiting the idea of saving for a rainy day.
I’ll discuss the broad implications of this shift some other time. Today, I’d like to talk about the specific companies most affected by our nation’s newfound frugality — the retailers.
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Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Peter Schiff, Why It's Time To Dump Most US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Stocks are widely believed to provide inflation protection since factories, equipment and inventories rise in value as prices generally increase. Historically, stocks have in fact tended to rise with inflation rates, but too much inflation has caused volatility and raised a question as to whether stocks really are a reliable inflation hedge.
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