Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, February 06, 2010
Had the Fed Stopped Buying Stocks and Can we trust the U.S. Economic Statistics? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The unemployment rate fell from 10.0 to 9.7 percent in January, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-20,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment fell in construction and in transportation and warehousing, while temporary help services and retail trade added jobs. In January, the federal government added 33,000 jobs, including 9,000 temporary positions for Census 2010. Employment in state and local governments, excluding education, continued to trend down.
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Saturday, February 06, 2010
Financial Market Bubbles in Search of a Pin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A Bubble in Search of a Pin
Unemployment Numbers: A Mixed Bag
A Bubble in Search of a Pin
And Speaking of Bubbles
Should Greenspan and Bernanke have seen the bubble in housing and other assets and acted, or should we accept their defense that you can't know whether there is a bubble until after the fact? We will look at research that suggests they should have known, and, at the least, policy makers should no longer be allowed to say, "How could I have known?"
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Friday, February 05, 2010
World in Chaos and Market Meltdowns, Too Costly To Bear / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Though this piece was originally released via our paid research publication – The Investor’s Mind – in September 2006, if not timeless, its contents are certainly applicable to our current markets and economic environment. While we have taken the liberty of updating some of the charts, it is largely unchanged:
“It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.” – Solon
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Avoiding Wealth Confiscation... With Profit! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“The issue which has swept down the centuries and which will have to be fought sooner or later is the banks.”
Lord Acton, 1834-1902
“In the absence of the gold standard there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation…
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Can Stock Market Corrections Be Better Than Rallies? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Twenty years ago, just prior to the 1990 recession, I wrote a little booklet for my subscribers which I titled ‘Bear Markets Are Best’. Its premise was not that bear markets are really better than bull markets, but that they are not something to be feared, and do have some advantages over bull markets. The same goes for intermediate-term corrections within bull markets.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Vintage Wine Turns Sour for Financiers / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Alex Daley and Doug Hornig, Casey Research write: When the folks at a private equity firm gather at the holiday party refreshment table to talk about “vintage,” they aren’t commenting on the Château Pétrus.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Is The Reflation Trade Over? Commodities Kiss of Death? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week the LA Times reported the California teachers pension fund is $43 billion short.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Stock Market Goes Splat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
There are many words which could describe today's action but I think splat says it best. Clear, concise and to the point. It felt like splat for the bulls without question. The Nasdaq over the past three days wasn't very good but the Dow and S&P 500 printed some very nice candles with small inside sticks printed yesterday suggesting things would move higher today ahead of tomorrow's Jobs Report, which is huge to say the least. Instead, this morning we got bad news from many overseas company's about debt on their balance sheets. Headaches that are more than a bit serious. No liquidity. Not good.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Thursday Stock Market Shocker, Not a Normal Retest / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Not a Normal Retest
Or is it...?
Friday, February 05, 2010
Stocks, Gold and Commodity Markets Major Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It's been a while since I gave an update. This one comes at what may be a turning point as significant as the one in March '09. Is the bear market beginning its next leg? Quite possibly. It’s important to note that I have been bullish since the March ‘09 bottom and I do not qualify as a permabear.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Stock Market Manipulation and Gold Trading / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Our recent commentary on the subject of market manipulation elicited a wide range of feedback, pro and con. Some respondents agreed with my assertion that, assuming the existence of market manipulation, it doesn’t preclude one’s ability to successfully navigate financial markets with a reliable technical discipline. Others expressed the view that manipulation and government/central bank interference in the market make it untenable for small traders to be participants.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Brazilian Bovespa Stock Market Index, Dead Money? / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Figure 1 is a monthly chart of the Brazilian Bovespa Index. The indicator in the lower panel measures the number of negative divergence bars occurring between price and an oscillator that measures that price action. Negative divergence bars are the price bars with pink markers on them.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Investors Greater Rewards From Investing Abroading / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
President Obama's State of the Union message only serves to reinforce my forecast that investors will continue to find better returns in markets outside America and in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. Indeed, the reward gap may well increase.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Stock & Commodity Markets Warning, January Barometer Points to Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Beware! It was a cold January on Wall Street. The S&P-500 Index lost 3.7% of its value in January, the biggest monthly setback in a year’s time, succumbing to heavy selling, especially after US President Barack Obama and his economic adviser Paul Volcker, shocked the markets, by calling for stricter limits on the “proprietary trading,” activities of Wall Street’s titans, - aiming to rein-in their ability to buy and sell commodities, derivatives, and equities for their own accounts.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Gold, Silver, the Dow, and S&P 500, People are Still Asking “What the Heck is Going On?” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This morning, I watched a video of the CEO of Gold Fields, Mr. Nick Holland, expressing his surprise at Soro's recent statement that gold is the "ultimate bubble". Mr. Holland said that almost every other market “expert” (my sarcastic quotes) he talked to had a vastly different opinion of the metal - that it was "fundamentally sound" etc.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Investors Get Energized With Energy ETFs for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Energy is big business here in Texas. Just about everyone in the state knows someone in the industry, if they aren’t employed in it themselves.
In fact, energy is big business everywhere!
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
When Will This Financial Crisis End? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Steve Sjuggerud writes: We're out of the woods with this financial crisis...
Thursday, February 04, 2010
The Financial Crisis Is Not Over / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Readers ask if the financial crisis is over, if the recovery is for real and, if not, what are Americans’ prospects. The short answer is that the financial crisis is not over, the recovery is not real, and the U.S. faces a far worse crisis than the financial one. Here is the situation as I understand it:
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Participation Level Slowly Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
In the February Newsletter, I mentioned that the high level of bullish participation was expected to gradually wane starting in February. The extra high percent (85% to 92%) of stocks on the NYSE Composite trading above their 200-day moving averages was not sustainable. Fledgling bulls markets typically display this high range during the first year and then drift lower into a 80% to 50% band in the second year. The NYSE appears to be following the standard path.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Stock Market Ultra Focused on Friday's U.S. Jobs Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Again, the market is getting ultra focused on Fridays Jobs report...
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