Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Hold on Tight, U.S. Stock Market Is in for a Long Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
An Interview with Glenn Neely, NEoWave Institute - In January 2008, Glenn Neely, founder of NEoWave Institute, released a forecast announcing “The Bull Market is Over!” He predicted a 4- to 6-year bear market and a “protracted recession.” In a recent interview, Neely discussed his January 2008 forecast. In addition, he explained why, as the current Wave structure continues to unfold, the U.S. economy is facing an overarching 20-year consolidation.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
China Keeps Moving Forward, Stock Market Grows Up / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Regulators in Beijing have approved a variety of investment products and strategies that are commonplace in mature stock markets: margin accounts for trading, stock index futures and short selling.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Financial Market Bubble Dynamics In 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
If asked the question, most ‘financial experts’ would likely tell you the possibility of a return to extreme bubble dynamics in stocks during 2010 is the most unlikely possibility, not after all the ones during the last decade. Besides the possibility of deflation Prechter and the likes sell to a public that sees the risks, which are in fact very real, because this is widely known and being countered by central authorities, a risk of opposites must also be considered – or so the charts tell us. That is to say, not only because of the true state of inflation, but also because of the mechanisms influencing and controlling the direction of our faulty and fraudulent markets, which will be discussed in further detail below, you should know the chances of returning to a state of extreme bubble dynamics in stocks does in fact exist moving forward, this, and all that goes along with it.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Welcome to Another Lost Decade For Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market’s performance over the next decade will be very similar to the one since 2000: the WSJ appropriately named it “the lost decade.” Stocks will go up and down (setting all-time highs and multiyear lows), stagnate, and trade in a tight range. At the end of this wild ride, when the excitement subsides and the dust settles, index investors and buy-and-hold stock collectors will find themselves not far from where they started in 2000.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
How to Profit From the 2010 Road Map to Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Getting both sides of a bear market and recovery right is the biggest test that investors face because it requires doing an about-face on a winning strategy.
The ideal investor would have sold in October 2007 when stocks were making new all-time highs, then stayed out of all subsequent rallies during the worst bear market in seven decades, and then bought back into the market at its once-unimaginable low after not just the wheels of the economy had fallen off, but seemingly the engine, doors and steering wheel as well.
Monday, January 11, 2010
Stock Market S&P Analysis for Upcoming Week: Jan 11-15 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The year started out strong for US stocks, breaking out above the range that had pervaded much of the last two months of the 2009. The S&P also finished at a recent high, closing out strongly on Friday. Volume was not great and throughout the week there were numerous examples of times when the market barely seemed to be open - the futures and many stocks stuck in small ranges with no activity whatsoever. None the less, the bull rally has continued.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Financial Market Meltdowns, Inflation, Protecting Capital and Trading Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The purpose in owning commodities like gold, silver and oil is to protect oneself from the effect of inflation that I believe will begin to assert itself in the coming months.
Unfortunately, the United States has taken a monetary policy of printing massive amounts of money to attempt an escape of deflation. In just the past 16 months, the monetary base has ballooned from $908 billion to $2.0 trillion. Bailout funds in the past 2 years total $8.1 trillion..... That is 78 times more than what they spent to bail out WorldCom...... and 123 times more than they spent on Enron. U.S. debt has risen sharply, from $6.2 trillion in 2002 to $12.1 trillion today. These are scary numbers!
Monday, January 11, 2010
Stock Market SPY Index Trading Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Positioning: SPY: Short 75%
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Why Most Investors and Traders Fail, Market Barometers Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Welcome to the biweekly stock barometer. This article comes out every 2 weeks and gives our big picture view of the market. If you're interested in following our signals and learning more about our system, then I invite you to click here and subscribe to the daily service - since the market can turn on a dime and so too can our interpretation as the market gives its daily clues to the future. Also sign up for our free weekly newsletter, where we provide Alerts from our various traders.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Reasons Why This Stock Market Bubble Will Continue to Grow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Rallies and bubbles tend to last far longer and grow much larger than most anyone expects.
Given what has happened in the past two years and the way things are starting out this year, there’s no reason to expect this time around to be any different.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Uptrend Remains Intact According to Leading Economic Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What’s the first quarter of 2010 going to look like for the economy and stock market? How can you trade some of the macro trends? In this week’s newsletter, I going to answer these questions using my “Always a Winner” forecasting model.
This model is described in my book of the same title, and it uses 11 leading economic indicators and reports to forecast economic growth as measured by the gross domestic product and its four major components -- consumption, investment, net exports, and government spending.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Quarterly Stock Market Outlook and RDSA Stock Pick / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market is currently trying to find its bearings after the spectacular run up since March 2009.
On a weekly chart the Dow Industrials and Dow Transports both indicate a definite technical consolidation line being formed. The longer the averages remain in their respective November and December ranges the more the the market will discount the March rise and focus on the new support point.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stocks Bull Market New 2010 High, Weeks Featured Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Britain is again on the brink of economic and social collapse as the country faces its greatest crisis. well since last year, the new crisis is the Salt Crisis! As the country runs out of salt to grit the roads, with government ministers in a state of panic sending their dominions out into the lands supermarkets to buy up stock. The Royal Navy on the high sea's has been sent instructions to intercept salt shipments to other European countries with the army also being placed on high alert as mobs mass outside supermarkets attempting to get hold of the last few packets of salt. Okay so a slight exaggeration but it must be amusing to the peoples of north eastern europe of how a few snow flakes can bring Britain to a shuddering halt in a matter of days.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Indices Shrug Off Payrolls and Push to New Highs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Back from the festive season break, traders pushed stock market indices to new highs for the rally, logging a full house of five up-days for the S&P 500 Index and pushing the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index - also referred to as the “fear gauge” of the US stock markets - down to levels last seen pre-Lehman in 2008.
Pundits shrugged off Friday’s unexpected decline in non-farm payrolls, as well as mixed economic data earlier in the week, focusing instead on the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) communiqué for its December 15-16 meeting which maintained its “extended period” stance for easy monetary policy, i.e. more “juice” for risky assets.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Jobless Data Shock and Stocks Diamond Formation Signals Imminent Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The U.S. unexpectedly lost 85,000 jobs in December and revisions showed payrolls increased the prior month for the first time in almost two years, indicating improvement in the labor market will be halting. Payrolls decreased last month after a November gain of 4,000, figures from the Labor Department showed today in Washington. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected no change in December employment. The jobless rate held at 10 percent.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Holds Well...Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market had every excuse on planet earth today to just fall out of bed. A very bad jobless report hit the street when there was a loss of 85,000 jobs. Expectations were for a loss of 10,000 jobs. The market didn't like the news initially as the futures took a pretty hard hit although not nearly as hard as I expected once the news actually came out. If the Dow futures had fallen one hundred points, I don't think there's a bull around who would have said that doesn't make sense.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Final Trading Hour Price Action Study / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Once upon a midnight dreary, while I pondered, weak and weary,
Over many a quaint and curious volume of forgotten lore--
While I nodded, nearly napping, suddenly there came a tapping,
Saturday, January 09, 2010
Is the Stock Market Rigged? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
I received an interesting comment from my previous commentary, “Prospects for Economic Recovery in 2010.” The basis of my claim that 2010 will witness some economic recovery was the “6-9 Month Rule” of Dow Theory fame. Simply stated, this rule says that a 6-to-9 month stock market recovery that follows a market decline and economic recession bodes well for an economic turnaround.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 09, 2010
U.S. Dollar Against Stocks Correlation Still Exists / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As you all know, there has been a tight correlation between the US Dollar Index and equities for the better part of 9 months. If the Dollar goes down, then equities go up. Even if there is a hint that the Dollar might go down - let's say, a bad employment report suggesting that the Fed will keep its foot on the monetary pedal even longer- stocks go up. We all have the drill down. The Fed throws us a biscuit, and we all stand up and bark!
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Friday, January 08, 2010
Bernanke Making Greenspans Financial Crisis Mess Worse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
If there is one man in the nation's capitol who maybe isn't too unhappy about Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner being in the news today, it's probably Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke who delivered a speech titled Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble over the weekend, a topic that continues to generate a lot of discussion at mid-week, little of it positive.
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