Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
How to Move the Stock Market Using Hacks and Morons / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
By: Mike_Stathis
I just ran across a news headline by CNBC so I knew it would provide a learning point. As the VIX Continues to Drop, Is S&P at 1,000 Far Behind?
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Get Out of the Stocks Bear Market Rally Now! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Claus Vogt writes: Long-term, financial markets are driven by fundamentals. And in the medium term, they’re driven by the business cycle. That’s why your analysis should always start with both of these.
Right now, the stock market’s fundamentals are undeniably dire …
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rallies and V Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
A tospy-turvy day saw the Dow end modestly lower by 29 points. The glass half-full bull argument of the day focused on the the VIX index (which is in layman’s terms, a measure or gauge of fear in the market) fell below 30 for the first time since last September. Bears would counter by highlighting the weak full year guidance from bellwether tech stock HP after the bell.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Will the Stock Market S&P Index Fall to 450, P/E 7 or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Andrew_Butter
Professor Shiller's numbers are persuasive; since anyone can remember, whenever the stock markets and/or the economy got into a train wreak, the bottom in the stock market that followed coincided when P/E ratios went down to about 7.
By that logic, plus the awful economic news (a little bit better is still awful), the S&P 500 is going down to 450, and the issue is not IF it's WHEN?
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Timing of the Next Stocks Bear Market Primary Down Leg / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
In summary, it looks like the current upward technical reaction in the Primary Bear Market can be expected to suck more investors into the markets for another couple of months. Within 3 to 6 months from now the equity markets seem likely to resume their Primary Bear Trend.
This morning, when I was scrolling through the charts trying to get a feel for the mood of the market, I constructed the chart below (courtesy stockcharts.com):
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Strock Market Indices End Mixed as Blue Chips Slip into Loss Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets were up in the morning, and flattened out by mid-day on the S&P 500, although the Nasdaq 100 kept making higher highs. In the last hour that negative divergence finally affected the indices, as they both rolled over, closing with losses in the Dow and S&P 500, still managing to hang on to gains on the NDX and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX). So, it was a mixed close.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Overbought Stock Market is Not a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
In the face of some deeper selling last week, we saw some strong positive divergences on the 60-minute charts set up on the MACD from well below the zero line on Friday. That was a signal that said it was time to go long into the teeth of the down side.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Dow Jones Stocks Bear Market 2,000 Target By Elliott Wave Disciple Prechter / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: In February 1995, the U.S. economy was in great shape. The 1990-92 recession had been over for a couple of years, the Federal Reserve was beginning to ease interest rates, the Clinton administration was beginning to make progress on sorting out the United States' modest long-term budget problem and there was this new thing called the Internet that looked as though it might bring some exciting new possibilities.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
The Sum of the Stock Market Bull is Larger than its Parts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Ask enough smart money and you’ll get plenty of well reasoned arguments for why risk bounced, but most of them require a leap of faith that their sum is bigger than the individual parts. The list includes: stronger global economic data (Japan consumer confidence, Eurozone exports -16% from -23% the previous month; NAHB builders index off the bottom); home improvements chain Lowe’s earnings which supported the homebuilders and real estate stocks; Geithner’s comments that the US economy has stabilised, a fall in the VIX to 30; Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan apply to repay TARP money and a 17.3% surge in the Indian Sensex.
Monday, May 18, 2009
Stock Market is 50% Over Valued, Bear Market is Not Over! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Money_and_Markets
Sharon A. Daniels writes: The stock market has managed to claw its way higher since early March, despite some of the worst headlines since this financial crisis began.
Suddenly, “green shoots” are springing up everywhere, but they can just as easily turn into wilting weeds again this summer, as I’ll show you in just a moment.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Profit From Small Cap Stocks After the Recession / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Money_Morning
Mike Caggeso writes: Right now many investors probably don’t want to shoot for the moon. The global financial crisis gave their portfolios one the fiercest beat downs since the Great Depression, draining investors’ resources and mood for anything but safe investments.
Monday, May 18, 2009
The Deceptive Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
The old adage ‘appearances can be deceiving’ can apply to many different situations, but for today, in our financial mania centric world, there is likely no better use of the term than as it applies to the various markets that characterize the landscape these days. In this respect, right now stocks appear to be discounting better times ahead with their more recent rebound, however even those who do not understand the real reasons why, know this to be a falsehood.
Monday, May 18, 2009
Stock Markets Expensive on Falling Corporate Earnings Basis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Nothing to see here…just move along was the phrase du jour, as investors seem to look past still higher unemployment claims (due to Chrysler plant/dealer closings) and lower retail sales. While the markets declined, it seemed to be due to a lack of interest as volume declined than “hard-core” selling. This week will bring more data on the housing sector, which should set the tone for the remainder of the month, as little in the way of earnings or significant economic data will be released on the holiday shortened following week.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Not Exhibiting Bullish Form / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
One indicator that complicates the action in the overall market (S&P 500) is the underperformance of the Nasdaq 100 as represented by the PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ). We notice that the Q’s have not been able to generate as much excitement as the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) this morning and have yet to hurdle Friday’s high at 33.82.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Another Weak Monday Opening for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Equities were on the defensive Friday as the blue chip Dow Jones declined 63 points to break a six-week long winning streak. Energy stocks led us down, the once mighty GM cut 1,100 dealerships and retailers Abercrombie and Fitch and JC Penny warned of tough times ahead. The question for today is will this be the 8th Monday out of the last ten that stocks fall? The futures are pointing down right now and Asia has been weak overnight, so the signs are not good.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Top of Undetermined Magnitude / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - On March 6, the index started a counter-trend rally of a corrective nature followed by a pause in the trend. We have reached a top, the nature of which is still undetermined, but more corrective action is expected.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
How to Investors Can Profit as Leading Economic Indicators Turn Bullish / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Sean Brodrick writes: The recent market rally has a lot of experts, analysts and investors scratching their heads. They ask: How can the market go up when dark storm clouds of failing banks, budget deficits and soaring unemployment hang over our economy?
The answer is the difference between short-term and long-term outlooks. The good news is you can play the market either way.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Trading In Between Support... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
A week of selling came our way and it had a good side to it if you're a bull. Selling never feels good, but you have to look deeper than just price to see if what took place during that selling possibly gives us something to get hopeful about. Again, that's if you're near-term bullish only. The bears will want to see if the selling is the start of something bigger for them and will look deeply inside the numbers for the week to see if their hopes will soon be put in to motion as well. The week started out with most of the index charts and just about every leadership stock chart on high poles and very overbought at 918 gap resistance. We were able to get a bit higher than that level but the overbought extremes would not allow the market to make a deeper move to the upside. we started to gradually pull back and we warned of a test of the recent breakout at 875.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Is More Bulls A Good Thing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
Although the S&P500 lost 4.9% for the week, the bullish contingent actually grew stronger. This can be seen in the "Dumb Money" indicator shown in figure 1. The "Dumb Money" indicator looks for extremes in the data from 4 different groups of investors who historically have been wrong on the market: 1) Investor Intelligence; 2) Market Vane; 3) American Association of Individual Investors; and 4) the put call ratio.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Symmetry Scenario Gives S&P 500 Decline More Room to Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let¹s say that the symmetry exhibited by the March-May rally with the
January-March decline continues into the future. What would the next leg of
the S&P 500 look like?
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