Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, May 05, 2009
No Meanginful Damage (Yet) to Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
A very quiet session so far, but a defensive one to be sure. The weakness has pressed the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) from 35.14 to 34.65, which in and of itself has NOT inflicted any meaningful damage to the dominant near-term uptrend off of the most recent pivot low at 32.01 (4/21). At this juncture, only additional weakness that sends the Q’s beneath 34.50/40 will begin to compromise the most recent portion of the uptrend and could press prices to 34.00-33.80 in a hurry. Conversely, as long as 34.65/45 contains forthcoming weakness, the bulls will remain in control, and the next upside target is 35.30/50.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Three Ways for Investors to Profit fromTaiwan, the Other China / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: As you scour the globe for potential post-financial-crisis profit plays, don’t overlook Taiwan. Stock markets around the world have already started to rebound with joy as investors begin to believe that that the unpleasant global recession is finally nearing its bottom. Unfortunately, there’s one sobering conclusion many investors have so far failed to reach: With grossly over-stimulative monetary and fiscal policies at play, most countries will find it very difficult to recover.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stocks Two-Month Rally Rolls On / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices started off the week with a bang. There was a big gap up at the beginning, a very strong follow on rally, a mid-day consolidation, and a strong afternoon thrust especially on the S&P 500. Despite the fact that the Nasdaq 100 trailed, by the end of the day it caught on and they closed at the highs for the day going on both indices as well as the Dow.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Health Sector Investing: Exclusive Interview With Alzheimer's Expert / Stock-Markets / Healthcare Sector
Good morning, Long time readers of Andrew’s know what he’s about.He says, “Our readers will only stay with us if we provide great ideas, new perspectives, and deep and thoughtful research. To be the best we have to learn from the best.”
Monday, May 04, 2009
Stock Market Rally Fatigue, the Sell in May and Go Away Mantra? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The mantra, for lack of a better term, is to sell in May and go away. While over the history of actually tracking this simple investing system it has done rather well, it has suffered some recently. Given the huge run in stocks over the past few months, will cash be a better investment than stocks over the next six months? The lass bad economic and earnings data was enough to push stocks up for the seventh of the past eight weeks and gave investors reasons to hope that the economic downturn may actually end later this year.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
The Insider Selling Question to Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The ratio of share sales to share purchases by US insiders shot way into bear territory at the height of the stock market rally in the US stock market during April.
The net sales spike was much higher than at any time in the past year.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stacking Up Obama's First 100 Days Stock Market Returns Compared to Past Presidents / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
With President Obama’s first 100 days coming to an end last week, it’s a good time to measure how the market has responded to his initiatives.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stock Market Rally Facing True Test of Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
That’s what the stock market faces this coming week with technicals now sufficiently overbought to allow for a true test of the trend. Those who do not study history or cycles are interested to find out the nature of the beast. They are asking themselves, ‘is this a new bull market?’ Based on the way open interest put / call ratios of the major US indices are climbing higher, where I will be showing you updated post-expiry pictures later this week to confirm this thinking, even if the put buying were primarily attributable to hedging, as it stands right now the sentiment related verdict is one of skepticism buy and large, which of course provides the ‘wall of worry’ for stocks to climb, as described in detail last week
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stock Market Moves Remain on Hold Until Thursday's Bank Stress Test Results / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
William Patalon writes: Barring some dramatic – and unforeseen – news this week, expect investors to tread water until Thursday, when the government is expected to release the results of the bank stress tests it conducted on the 19 largest U.S. banks.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Bank Stress Test Results To Lead Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
With Japan closed until Thursday and many other stock exchanges closed today for a May bank holiday, we’re likely to get off to a slow start this week. But beware indices, FX, commodites and the U.S. equites are open as normal, but with the likely lower volumes, sharper movements in prices are a possibility.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stock Market Close over S&P 875 Warrants Extreme Caution Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
So why the caution? Simple. The best of the rally is over with for starters. Two, you can't count a close at 877 a true breakout. When you break out you want to see the market put some distance away from the breakout level and two points on an eight hundred index does not qualify as distance. It's still very tenuous. If we can stay above 875 for another day it opens the door for a move to the January gap down at 918. This would be an area for which the market would be very tired, overbought and at extremely tough resistance.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stock Market Sentiment No Change, Continues to Point to a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
There really hasn't been any change in investor sentiment, but this is not unusual at market tops, which tend to be more drawn out affairs as the discourse between bulls and bears takes on a deafening pitch.
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Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Suggests Short-term Double Top Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply
that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - On March 6, the index started a counter-trend rally of a corrective nature. Two weeks ago it looked as if we had reached a top, but today, we are at the same price; perhaps a double-top followed by a pause in the trend.
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Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stark Evidence of an Impending Global Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In the past few weeks the tone of this analyst’s articles has turned markedly more bearish. Regardless of the strong rally in recent weeks, the “bird’s eye” evidence seems irrefutable: Within the foreseeable future there is a high probability that the Primary Bear Market will resume in earnest. i.e. Unless there is a structural change in the behavior of the world’s political and financial authorities, a stock market crash in the USA seems to be on the cards and this will likely cascade through other markets.
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Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Improves as Investors Seek Riskier Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
“Goodbye safe havens, hello risky assets.” This was the refrain of investors’ theme song during the past week. Safe-haven assets were out of favor as better-than-feared corporate earnings and signs of a budding economic recovery emboldened investors’ appetite for reflation trades such as equities and commodities.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Suckers Rally Built on Insider Trading / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Bob Chapman writes: Suckers rally in the markets, Dow will be driven down again, market gyrations motivated by insider greed, bank acquisitions point to a greater agenda, despite what economists and institutions are attempting, the economy will remain in a spiral In the first three weeks of April this year, insiders for NYSE listed companies sold 8.32 times more stock, by dollar value, than they purchased. What does that tell you? We won't insult your intelligence by answering. If ever there was an indicator to identify a sucker's rally, this would be it.
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Sunday, May 03, 2009
Stock Market Rally Whilst Impressive is Not Sustainable / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The good news is: • Friday, most of the major indices closed at their highest levels since the early March low.
Short Term - The chart below covers the past 3 months showing the NASDAQ composite (OTC) in blue and an indicator showing the percentage of the previous 4 trading days that were up in black. Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the 1st trading of each month.
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Saturday, May 02, 2009
Stock Market VIX Volatility Still High / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The VIX (a measure of options volatility, an indicator of stock market volatility risk, and reputedly a “fear gauge”) has come down so far from being historically high, that commentators now speak of it as low. The fact is that is it still high relative to the intermediate past.
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Saturday, May 02, 2009
Economic Recovery Plan Doomed to Fail as Optimists Fuel Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Bryan Rich writes: It’s important to understand the global investment and economic environment to understand what’s going on with currencies. And right now, there’s limited visibility of what lies ahead for world economies …
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Saturday, May 02, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Fail to Capitalize / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The most interesting technical “event” of Friday for me was watching the S&P 500 e-mini futures chart violate what I thought was key near-term support at 864.00-863.50 but fail to follow-through to the downside. The bears could press only to 862.50 before the selling dried up. That is one of those “uh oh” moments technically. Where were the sellers? When they did not appear, I braced myself for an upside explosion – to make the new shorts pay a price – but guess what? The bulls did not, or could not, generate the explosive upside that I would have expected on the first Friday of a new month.
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