Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, March 08, 2009
Obama's Stocks Bear Market Takes A Breather / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The meltdown that began in February is nothing short of spectacular. Like a tornado, its ferocity and destruction is frightening, yet fascinating to watch. On Thursday, the S&P 500 had lost 20% since inauguration day, resulting in some calling this recent leg down “Obama's Bear Market.” To be fair, we have been in a bear market since October 2007. Whether this recent downtrend is the fault of the current administration is “above my pay grade.” What is not above my pay grade (or at least I think it's not) is analyzing the recent price action of the indexes.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 08, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis - Stocks Bear Market Near Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Stock Markets fell to fresh bear market lows with the Dow Jones Index now fulfilling the original target for the bear market low of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below graph.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Brief Overview of Stock Market Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Of late, I have received a few e-mails about cycles and the ways in which I use them. I've learned that in many incidences it seems that when I talk about cycles many conjure up images of some sort of black magic, voodoo, chicken bones and the like. However, I can assure you that this is not the case and in this article I'll show you why. Cyclical analysis is simply a method of trend identification that allows one to look at various trends of like degree. In my case, I then data-mine these trends in an effort to find common traits.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Stock Markets Post Crash Pattern Moving from A to B / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Are you scared yet? You should be because not many others are in spite of the growing carnage in the financial markets these days. This is set to change in a hurry however, where borrowing from the Kübler-Ross model on ‘death and dying', which is the same process investors are going through right now, if I am right about this, in getting from A to B, with A being denial and B anger, the stock market could do the unimaginable. You can see it already, the spoiled brats, with Obama in the lead, are starting to realize reality does actually bite, and that no matter how much one attempts to change it, nothing will make it go away.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Obama's Stocks and Bonds Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Employment Situation? Grim - Nonfarm payroll employment continued to fall sharply in February (-651,000), and the unemployment rate rose from 7.6 to 8.1 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Payroll employment has declined by 2.6 million in the past 4 months. In February, job losses were large and widespread across nearly all major industry sectors.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
The Oracle with Max Keiser - The AIG Black Hole / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This weeks "The Oracle" presented by Max Keiser for BBC World Service with key guests Dean Baker, Andy Zaltzman seeks to predict the news before it happens.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock Market Trends March 2009: Bear Market Targets S&P 600 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
To identify the stock market trend, it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Nasdaq Stock Market 21 Year Elliott Wave Pattern Forecast / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Desperately Seeking Stability - At the worst of the two-year dot.com bust, the NASDAQ registered a 78% peak to trough decline. In the following five-years spanning 2002-2007, though the market came nowhere near reclaiming its former value, it nonetheless posted a 158% five-year trough to peak bull market return.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
SPX Stocks Bear Market Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
With the S&P 500 slumping below its November panic low, it's been one tough week in the stock markets. The SPX was holding its own until the Marxist Party inexplicably decided to announce giant and aggressive tax hikes on American investors. So confidence, already very weak after the first true stock panic in 101 years , continued flagging on the Marxists' plans to steal ever more of the fruits of our labors.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Jim Cramer's Latest Rant, Technical Analysis is Voodoo Mumbo Jumbo / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
Jim Cramer is at it again -speaking before thinking and pontificating on a subject he knows very little about. Before we get to another Jim Cramer "moment" let me state that I have no personal axe to grind with him, and in fact, as a former contributor to TheStreet.com , I am indebted to Jim Cramer for giving me a start and some credibility in the financial publishing business. I don't know the man, and I doubt he is even aware of my existence. I think he is genuine about helping investors, but I guess his downfall is that he must be a entertainer first and an analyst second. It is a tough job.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock Market is Now Fairly Valued But Watch Out Below / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
The stock market (the DJIA) is now very close to fair value based on my forecasts made in 2006. But fair value doesn't mean the market won't go any lower. It's likely to fall considerably lower. I'll explain below. I decided to do a Q&A format so I can cover more material in less time.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 6th March 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish hinting that a short-term low might be near. If however, March extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1052.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1165.67 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
How To Tell a Good Forecast from a Bad One / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
Here's a forecast for you. Clear and direct. As quoted by a Reuters reporter in his January 15, 2009, article, entitled, "Global Lending Thaw May Yet Return to Deep Freeze."
"'This is a temporary respite and when it's over, the stock market will make new lows...,' says Robert Prechter, chief executive officer at research company Elliott Wave International in Gainesville, Georgia." [Reuters, 1/15/09]
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock Markets Go Cliff Diving Again / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It amazing what you can buy for a buck or two these days. The un-happy meal menu of stocks features Citibank at $1.02 and GM at $1.86 as the death spiral beckons. There are times when too much drink is simply not enough as the horror show continues unabated . Yesterday's laughable notion that the Chinese authorities are in control of events and would be able to turn their export driven economy around displayed the kind of naivety and misplaced optimism not seen since the Alamo. Where are they going to export to?Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
New Lows for the Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It was an extremely negative session and close for the market indices today. The day started out with a gap down, followed by an attempt to bounce early on. They rolled over and went lower all morning, backed and filled mid-day, rolled over in the afternoon again, made lower lows, and had a late sharp rally that just couldn't hold. That was followed by a drop to new lows for the entire move on the S&P 500 and Dow.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Bullish on Energy and Chip Stock ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
For better or worse, to participate in another potent recovery rally, our model trading portfolio positioned long in energy -- like the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas ETF (NYSE: DIG) -- and in the semiconductor sectors, rather than in the major equity market ETFs, such as the SPY's, Q's, or DIA's.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Forecasting the Anatomy of the Stocks Bear Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Financial forecasts, whether they are fundamentally or technically driven, are a combination of probabilities and assumptions. For example, when an analyst indicates that the earnings for a company are expected to increase during the next quarter and the business is now trading below its intrinsic value, he is suggesting that the probability of a number of issues should positively affect the near-term earnings outlook for this organization.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Financial and Economic Crisis Entering the Panic Phase / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
A couple of bright friends reported to me some overriding themes at the PDAC gathering in Toronto last weekend. Apparently, some surprise came to them. They mentioned that more than a few analysts, writers, and speakers still do not get it. They actually believe the situation with the US Economy and US banking system has begun to stabilize. That is like saying a college basketball player has Michael Jordan under control, or a farmer has his Clydesdale horse under control, or a misguided King can call back the ocean tide, or a man has a hurricane under control as he clings to a roof rafter.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Stock Market Developing Positive Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Is there a "pent up demand" brewing of investors who want to become BUYERS?
We have talked a lot about divergences in the past week. Today, we will address a Positive Divergence coming from the New York Stock Exchange's daily "New Lows".
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Thursday, March 05, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 5th March 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it consolidates some of Wednesday's short covering rally. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1052.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1173.80 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
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