Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 07, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Stock Market Rally Expected / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) should be concluding the plunge from Tuesday's pre-election peak at 34.01 in the 30.70-30.20 target zone prior to a potent (perhaps very brief but violent) recovery rally period that should propel the Q's to at least 32.00 in the hours directly ahead. At this juncture, only continued weakness that breaks 30.00 will argue that the Q's just might be heading to fill the gap under 29.00 before the next rally.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 07, 2008
After Shocks from the October Financial Markets Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
October is famous for stock markets crashes, - the Crash of 1929, “Black Monday” 1987, the Asian Contagion crash in October 1997, and the Sub-Prime crash of October 2008. US Treasury chief Henry Paulson's ill-fated decision on Sept 14th , to pull the plug on the 158-year old brokerage firm of Lehman Brothers, set in motion a horrific chain of events that unleashed a torrent of panic selling on commodity and global stock markets, froze the European and US banking systems, and changed the direction American politics for years to come.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 06, 2008
Larry Edelson- Dow Stocks Bear Market Ended in October at 7884 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
We have a lot of ground to cover today. So forgive me if this issue jumps around a bit. But there's just not enough space in this column for me to cover everything in as much detail as I would like to. Yet there's so much money to be made in the next few months that it's mandatory I get my views out on the following topics, even if I have to be brief:Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 06, 2008
Stock Markets Post Election Plunge / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had an extremely negative post-election reaction, gapping down at the opening, on pre-market futures being sharply lower. They then tried to bounce, much more successfully on the S&P 500 and Dow, with the Nasdaq unable to get through the intraday moving averages, and they rolled over sharply in the morning, bounced in the afternoon, and then rolled over again even more sharply late in the session. They had a late quick bounce, but in the last 10 minutes rolled over sharply once again to close at the lows for the day.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 06, 2008
Financially Deluded Gambling Hedge Funds Explode / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
"... The ideal hedge-fund manager was only just out of college when the Asian Crisis hit. He was smoking blunts behind the school bike-shed on Black Monday 1987. He was still in diapers when the S&P lost half its value in '73-74..."
The INVESTMENT TRUST MANUAL for 1928 "was a little book," reports Robert L.Smitley in his Popular Financial Delusions .
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Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Stock Market Index Breaks Key Short-term Support Level / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) has broken key micro support at 98.30/00, which triggered downside continuation to 97.14 so far. Let's notice, however, that the hourly RSI remains pointed straight down, and that the SPY has been unable to chase its way back towards a test of the 98.00/30 breakdown area. This warns me (for now) that the SPYs have more downside directly ahead, into the 96.00 target zone in the upcoming hours.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Bailout Failure and Investing in America's Future / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
Sean Brodrick writes: By the time you read this, America will have a new President. I hope he's better with money than the last resident of the White House. Just look at how the Bush gang is spending the $700 billion bailout package for banks — throwing it at financial institutions with few strings attached.
As a result, many Wall Street institutions are using billions and billions of taxpayer dollars to pay for fat cats' bonuses.
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Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Don't be fooled by Obama Election Victory Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
World stock markets are extending their bear market rally, and there's a possibility they could continue to do so for a while longer.
If so, don't be fooled!
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Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Current Stock Market S&P Index P/E Ratio in Historical Perspective / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
As we look for a bottom and read articles about P/E ratios as they relate to historical norms, it can be quite confusing.
The numbers seem all over the lot. The principle reason is that there are many different methods of calculating P/E, and the norms against which they are compared are not always calculated on the same basis (particularly if comparing operating earnings P/E versus “as reported” historical figures).
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Greenspan the Maestro vs. the Market / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Alex Epstein writes: Alan Greenspan claims that the free market failed to prevent the financial crisis, and that he is “shocked” that his professed “free-market ideology” turned out to contain a “flaw.”
But why should we take him seriously? Greenspan, while once associated with laissez-faire philosopher Ayn Rand, hasn't advocated genuinely free markets for decades. Remember, this is a man who for two decades reveled in being, as the New York Times put it, “the infallible maestro of the financial system.”
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
More from the Front Lines of the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
In its latest economic outlook, Merrill Lynch economists "worry about inflation, or more precisely," a lack of it. From crashing global equity markets, falling commodity prices, rising unemployment, stagnant wages, over-indebted households, declining production, the continuing housing crisis, and more. All pointing to several future quarters of negative growth. Showing that Fed chairman Bernanke will face "his greatest fear: deflation." An analysis of the coincident to lagging indicators signals "deep recession."Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Japanese Nikkei Hits 26-Year Low: Stock Market Bargains Galore … / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: Black Monday, October 19, 1987, seems like a long, long time ago, doesn't it? The Dow plunged from 2,246 to 1,738, losing a whopping 22% in a single day.
I was a retail stockbroker at the time. And it was ugly. Really ugly.
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Stock Market VIX At Critical Pivot Point / Stock-Markets / Volatility
What just reached an critical "Pivot Point"?
The Volatility Index is at an important "Pivot Point". Yesterday, it closed on a critical 4 week support line .
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Stock Market Unrelenting Bullishness Amidst Deteriorating Economic Conditions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
MarketWatch, the Wall Street Journal, Hussman, MSNBC, and Barron's are all bullish on the stock market. That is pretty amazing optimism in the face of the collapse we have seen. Is such optimism warranted? Let's take a look and see.The Wall Street Journal is reporting Stocks Look Cheap World-Wide .
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Transitions From Stocks Bear Markets To Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From the tulip bulb craze in the 1630s to the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, human beings continue to make the same mistakes over and over again.”
In a recent article, Stocks Will Bottom Well Before Economy , we conceded the outlook for the economy remains bleak, but the S&P 500's recent 46% decline has already priced in much of the bad news. Presently, we remain in a bear market, which means principal preservation is the primary objective. However, the recent declines in stocks have dropped valuations to levels where buyers will be more inclined to step forward. At some point, stocks will begin to transition from a bear market back to a bull market. It could occur relatively soon or may not happen for an extended period of time. Regardless of when the shift occurs, it is prudent to prepare for the transition.
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Stock Market Investing Dividend Yields Vs Bond Yields Analysis / Stock-Markets / Dividends
This week I have a very special Outside the Box for you. Peter Bernstein is recognized as one of the more brilliant and insightful analysts of our times. At 89, he has been writing prescient material longer than most of us "young guys" (I am 59, and hope I am still writing at 89, or even able to write!) have been even marginally in the markets. His Economics and Portfolio Strategy Letter is read by the true cognoscenti of the investment world.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Financial Markets in the Middle of a Hurricane of Tornado? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
A nice little treat at the end of October as the markets managed a weekly gain for only the third time since the end of August. The question remains as to whether we are in the middle of a hurricane or tornado. The difference? We could be in the eye of the hurricane, with more destruction ahead or the tornado has already plowed through and the slow rebuilding process can begin.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 03, 2008
The Moral Hazard of Financial Markets Regulation / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Since the bailout bill passed, I have been frequently disturbed to hear "experts" wrongly blaming the free market for our recent economic problems and calling for more regulation. In fact, further regulation can only make things worse.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 03, 2008
Stock Market Pauses Ahead of Tuesdays Presidential Election / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
We got basically what we thought we would on Monday -- a quieter session, lower volume, and slightly lower prices. There was a little bit of afternoon volatility, but for the most part the indices opened mixed, worked their way sharply higher initially, and then went into a couple-hour consolidation. It looked like that they maybe would try to break out, but when they failed to break through on two different occasions they then rolled over in the afternoon. Then they retested Friday afternoon's lows and the rising trendlines, bounced sharply, but in the last 10 minutes once again slipped sharply lower and gave back half the late rally, closing negative on the session.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 03, 2008
Stocks Bear Market How Low Could it Go? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As we stated last October (the month of the stock market's peak); “the stock market is a sideshow, it can adjust to the economic reality very quickly as it did in 1929 (especially with credit losses already in place).” Only misconceptions about the Great Depression cause a dismissal of the similarities. Commodities are correcting sharply as forecast. The U.S. Dollar has gained double-digits against other currencies while the Yen is “ soaring to 13 year highs .” The U.S. stock market (DJIA) has fallen below the ‘ line in the sand ' described in March. And European countries are faring much worse as expected . Even our forecast for Mega Thrift is becoming more plausible.Read full article... Read full article...