Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, February 21, 2007
Stock Market Bubbles Brewing in Shanghai, Tokyo, and London / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Gary_Dorsch
“There is a bubble growing. Investors should be concerned about the risks,” said Cheng Siwei, vice-chairman of China’s National People’s Congress in a January 31st interview with the Financial Times. “But in a bull market, people will invest relatively irrationally. Every investor thinks they can win. But many will end up losing. But that is their risk and their choice,” Cheng warned.In what might develop into the third biggest stock market bubble in history, ranked alongside Japan’s Nikkei-225 of 1986-89, and the Nasdaq’s 1999-2000 bull run, the Shanghai Composite “A” share Index, restricted mainly to Chinese nationals, has posted a 140% gain over the past 12-months, after soaring 46% in the fourth-quarter of 2006 alone. And without deliberate market intervention, the A-share market could inflate into a Nasdaq-like bubble.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2007
Chinease Communist Party - with over $1 trillion to Invest / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Money_and_Markets
If you watched much CNBC last week, you might have thought it turned into the “Ben Bernanke channel.” That's because the cameras were fixed on the Federal Reserve Bank Chairman's two-day testimony to Congress.
Given this kind of superstar treatment, it's no wonder most investors consider Bernanke to be one of the most powerful financial people in the world. Don't get me wrong, Bernanke, as well as people like Warren Buffett and Bill Gates, are definitely forces to be reckoned with. But there are also big fish across the pond.
Today, I want to tell you about two other investors that top my “world's most powerful” list. I'll also tell you what they're likely to be buying, and how your own portfolio can benefit …
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Saturday, February 17, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 17th Feb 07 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Several of the major averages including the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA), S&P mid cap (MID) and Russell 2000 (R2K) closed at their all time highs on Friday. New highs across the capitalization spectrum suggest there is more to come.
Short Term
Two weeks ago the MID finished a run of 10 consecutive up days. Then it fell for 2 days and resumed its upward run for another 4 consecutive days ending Friday.
Saturday, February 17, 2007
Investing in the Stock Market - Signs of Trouble ? / Stock-Markets / Analysis & Strategy
By: Hans_Wagner
When investing in the stock market it is important to balancing the risks with the potential rewards, if you want to beat the market . Today, we face a world of low yields and relatively high valuations. Most of the stock markets in the developed world are near their long-term highs in terms of valuation. As many investors know and numerous studies have shown stocks offer lower than normal returns after reaching high valuations.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 16, 2007
How the Dow Jones is getting killed - Due to loss of purchasing power / Stock-Markets / Analysis & Strategy
By: Money_and_Markets
If you think the U.S. stock market is doing okay, I hope you're sitting down. In this issue, I'm going to give you information that will shatter that myth and pin your eyes wide open. And if you're heavily invested in stocks, don't worry. By the end of this article, I'll give you some steps you can take to protect yourself.
Let's start with a chart that I've made for you. It shows the Dow Jones Industrials from January 3, 2000 to February 6 of this year, and it is expressed in terms of the number of ounces of gold that the Dow can purchase.
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Tuesday, February 13, 2007
International Exposure Through Investments in Foreign Index Funds / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Hans_Wagner
International markets, through their index funds, offer excellent investment opportunities with parallel risks. Investors can gain appropriate exposure to these opportunities while mitigating the risks through several viable investment options. The purpose of this article is to explore how to approach the international markets and offer some investing options to increase growth and diversity.
Basically, there are three categories of foreign index funds. The EAFE (Europe, Australasia & Far East) is a widely followed index. For some reason Canada, the world's 9 th largest economy, is left out of this index, as well as the U.S. based indexes. Next, are the BRIC countries of Brazil, Russia, India and China. These economies are experiencing rapid growth and are considered emerging rather than the mature economies of the U.S. and EAFE. Finally, there are the remaining emerging economies of much of the rest of the world.
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Tuesday, February 13, 2007
One great way to make money ... Trade Between China and Brazil / Stock-Markets / Analysis & Strategy
By: Money_and_Markets
One great way to make money is to scour the globe ... find a unique point where two powerfully positive forces come together ... and then choose the investments that are most likely to convert those forces into profits.
That's what I've done. And I'm going to give you some of the results this morning.
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Monday, February 12, 2007
Stock Market is Overbought, Overvalued and Overbullish / Stock-Markets / Analysis & Strategy
By: John_Mauldin
Are we overbought and overvalued? Maybe. Is inflation coming under control? Maybe not. Did housing construction rebound last month? No. The only rebound was in the statistics. (I know readers will be shocked to learn that some statistics just may not actually be what the headline says.) We look at all this and more as we ponder a world awash in liquidity.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 11, 2007
Irrational Exhuberance In China's Stock market / Stock-Markets / Analysis & Strategy
By: Peter_Schiff
Recently voiced concerns from the Chinese government that their surging domestic stock market was crossing into bubble territory helped to set off last week's sharp decline, including a single day plunge of 6.5% (the equivalent of more than 800 points on the Dow Jones.) While a bubble may indeed be forming in Chinese stocks, my guess is that there is room for a lot more air before it finally pops.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 11, 2007
Stock & Commodity Markets Elliott Wave Analysis - 11th February 07 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Dominick
Going into the week, members had the benefit of the 1458 target on the S&P futures that I mentioned in the Forum and reiterated several times at the start of the week. As you might recall, the February 4th update stated:
“I think this is the time the market makes or breaks. I do think the market has a great chance of turning before the target of SPX 1472 I have. As it was difficult to share the opinion of a huge rally in the summer, its hard here to express a bit of danger as the markets advance each and every day. I see next week as a slight advance on Monday and then possible a boring consolidation before another advance that marks a turn. Do we have confirmation that this week was it. No way, but I do have enough evidence that if things remain as they are, we will rollover soon. That said, you can make the case that if all is peaceful next week, we could doll up a few markets and give them their finishing touches.”
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Sunday, February 11, 2007
A Raging Bull - Africa, Nanotechnology and the Danger of Sub-prime US mortgages / Stock-Markets / Analysis & Strategy
By: John_Mauldin
This week I am in South Africa. At the moment I am literally flying from Johannesburg to Durban in a single-engine Pilates PC 12, a very upscale Swiss-manufactured plane. I am told pilots will know and appreciate the plane. It is supposedly the safest plane in the world, which is somewhat comforting as we bounce through a few storm clouds (and thunderstorms later tonight of the way to Cape Town!). My business partners and hosts, Dr. Prieur du Plessis and Paul Stewart of Plexus Asset Management, have kept me busy, but it has been fun.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 10, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 10th Feb 07 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Same as last week, most of the major indices hit new multiyear or all time highs.
Short Term
Last week I discussed the implications of the Russell 2000 (R2K) moving up for 6 consecutive days. On Thursday last week the S&P mid cap index (MID) completed a run of 10 consecutive up days, an occurrence seen only twice in the past 15 years
Tuesday, February 06, 2007
Market Wrap - Summary All Markets / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
Interest rates are still key, as they affect the bond market, the mortgage market, and the housing market; which in turn affects many peripheral markets such as lumber, copper, furniture, and appliances to name but a few.
Interest rates had been on the rise but began to drop back this week. That is good news for all those that own mortgages - although we did see that mortgages still went up, not down. Hopefully the lesser rates will filter down to the mortgage markets - if the bankers want to play nice, which is a very cold altar to place one's faith in.
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Tuesday, February 06, 2007
Market Wrap - US Economy and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
The Labor Department reported an increase of 111,000 additional workers to the employment numbers. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.6%. Factory orders and consumer confidence increased. Initially the dollar was sold and interest rates rose. After second thoughts, investors bought the dollar and interest rates fell.
The Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment rose to 96.9 in January, from 91.7 in December. The Commerce Department reported that factory orders increased 2.4% in December, twice the 1.2% gain in November. The Labor Department reported that worker's average hourly earnings rose 3 cents, or 0.2%, after increasing 0.4% the previous month.
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Sunday, February 04, 2007
Dow Transports Confirms the Stocks Bull Market - Dow Theory works ! / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
The first week of February was a memorable one for the stock market in many ways. From seeing the President make a rare appearance on the exchange floor of the NYSE, to the all-time high in the Dow Industrial index, to the breakouts in the small cap and mid cap sectors. But most memorable from a technical standpoint was the new all-time high in the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA). That will be the focus of this commentary.
Every one of the eight major sectors that are part of the Group Movement Index (GMI) closed higher for the week ending Feb. 2, putting the GMI reading at a new high for the year as well as a 52-week high. The GMI is what is used to measure the strength or weakness behind the broad market, and it's arguably the simplest definition of whether stocks are in a bull market or a bear market.
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Saturday, February 03, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 3rd Feb 07 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is:
Last week most of the major indices hit new multiyear or all time highs.
Short Term
In April 2004 the Russell 2000 (R2K) topped after moving upward for 8 consecutive days. After that high it fell 14.7% to its August 13 low. That is the only example I would find where the index made a significant top concluding with 6 or more consecutive up days. On average the R2K moves upward for 6 or more consecutive days about twice a year and those moves are usually in the midst of a larger upward move.
Friday, February 02, 2007
Seven Reasons to Sell your Stock Market Portfolio / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_Lamont
We have pinpointed the seven reasons why investors should be currently selling their stock and mutual fund portfolio. As Marc Faber has been saying recently: "In a selling panic you should buy, but in the buying mania that we have now the wisest course of action is to liquidate." After discussing reasons to sell, we will recommend what steps you should take with your cash to protect value. But first, the 7 reasons:
1. Sentiment
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Thursday, February 01, 2007
Elliott Wave Analysis of the 1929 Crash Compared with where China is Today / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Paul_Lamont
When assets are priced with record levels of optimism, reality will disappoint. As Dr. Marc Faber said recently "the art dealers are bullish on art, the commodity traders bullish on commodities, the real estate guys bullish on real estate, the stock traders bullish on stocks, everybody has something to buy." Therefore the wise contrarian strategy is interest-bearing cash. Over the next few years, most assets will fall in value as risk returns to the market and leverage is unwound. In the future, credit will be extended with greater caution.
"A bank is a place where they lend you an umbrella in fair weather and ask for it back when it begins to rain." - Robert Frost
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Wednesday, January 31, 2007
Market Analysis - Stocks, Bonds & Commodities / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
Economy
The Commerce Department reported sales of new homes were up 4.8% to an annual pace of 1.12 million units. New orders for durable goods gained 3.1%. Durable goods for non-defense capital goods, excluding aircraft, was up 2.4%. Spending on equipment and software increased at an annual rate of 7.7% in the third quarter, after a 1.4% decrease in the prior quarter. Orders for commercial aircraft increased 27% after rising 3.8% in November. Orders excluding military equipment rose 3.9% last month.
The economy expanded at a 2% annual pace in the third quarter, the slowest rate so far reported. Motor vehicle and parts bookings jumped 6.8% in December - not an insignificant amount. Orders for machinery rose 5%, largely attributed to an increased demand for communications equipment. Existing Homes sales for 2006 were down 8.4% from 2005 levels of 6.648 million. And while 2006 was the weakest year of sales since 2003's 6.175 million, keep in mind that existing home sales averaged 3.99 million units annually during the nineties.
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Sunday, January 28, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Elliott Wave Analysis - 28th Jan 07 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Dominick
What a week! I'm going to do less writing than usual and focus more on technical analysis, which is, after all, how we trade. But, looking back over the last update, it's impressive that the market managed to make it all happen so quickly. The Jan 21st update said:
Friday's advance on the S&P will probably have early next week taking off to new highs, where we have the potential of creating a reversal pattern. Otherwise, the S&P's are looking to buy time into either the end of the month, or possibly around February 8. If so, we might trade sideways to down until we approach those dates. I'd rather have a pop to short as I patiently watch to see if my NYSE target mentioned months ago reaches perfection.
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