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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, February 12, 2018

Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
 Intermediate trend –  An intermediate correction from 2872 is currently underway.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 11, 2018

Math Behind Last Weeks Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After surviving one of the biggest market rotations in the last 3+ years, we have been getting quite a bit of request for a detailed analysis of this move and asked what our specialized modeling systems are telling us is likely to happen.  Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has put together this short reference of “the math behind the move” that will show you what is happening and the underlying price mechanics that are going to be driving prices in the future.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 11, 2018

US Stock Market, Gold, Silver and the Macro Backdrop / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

US Stock Market

We will update global markets as well as the macro situation in NFTRH 486, but for this article I’d like to focus on the US stock market.

Let’s cut to the chase; the markets have finally fallen in line for those of us who manage markets, as opposed to dollar cost average into them through a money manager and then go about life, blissfully unaware. Much like during the 2015-2016 period, when the media were all but demanding investors go one way when the right way was the opposite (for example, we got bullish during the Brexit mini hysteria because sentiment, macro indicators and charts told us to) during the market top (that wasn’t).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 11, 2018

After Two weeks of Stock Market Decline, People Are Ssking, “Are We There Yet?” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX nearly did a 100% retracement to the August 2015 high as suggested last week.  This week it pulled back to test the Cycle Top support/resistance at 22.31.  It appears to have yet another surge higher in store for it.  The Cycles Model has a triple indicator of a higher Wave (3) top in the next week.   

(ZeroHedge  Less than a month ago, Goldman Sachs presciently published a note research report "VIX ETPs are now net short vega - should we worry".
.... which as the title suggested showed that the net position of VIX ETPs has become short over the past few weeks, for only the second time in their eight year history.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Lot of Stock Market Damage to Be Caused before New the Fed Chief Will React / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and author of the book Sustainable Wealth. Axel is a highly sought-after guest at financial conferences and on news outlets throughout the world, and it's great to have him back on with us.

Axel, it's a real pleasure to speak with you again, and thanks for joining us.

Axel Merk: Oh, it's good to be with you.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Financial Markets Bubble Watching / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, explain why they believe financial markets have generated the biggest bubble in history.

As we have noted here before, we believe that financial markets have generated the biggest bubble in history. There are many supporting facts for this view, from extreme measures of market sentiment to prolonged record low volatility, unprecedented low interest rates, record levels of leverage and historic over-valuation.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Never Give Up Your Short Position in a Stocks Bear Market.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This morning’s action in the SPX was both fascinating and informative. I had suggested a bounce that might go to the Cycle Bottom resistance at 2627.12. It didn’t even make it. Wave [a] went to 2619.47, then reversed down to make a new low at 2563.49 in Wave [b]. Wave [c] was stopped close to the neckline, which I had also mentioned as another resistance point. In my opinion, that validates the Head & Shoulders formation as is. This is called an irregular correction, but since Wave [c] is barely visible, it may be referred to as a “running correction.”

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Stock Market Selling Unleashed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The unnaturally-tranquil stock markets suddenly plunged over this past week.  Volatility skyrocketed out of the blue and shattered years of artificial calm conjured by extreme central-bank distortions.  This was a huge shock to the legions of hyper-complacent traders, who are realizing stocks don’t rally forever.  With stock selling unleashed again, herd psychology will start shifting back to bearish which will fuel lots more selling.

As a contrarian student of the markets, I watched stocks’ recent mania-blowoff surge in stunned disbelief.  On fundamental, technical, and sentimental fronts, the stock markets were as or more extreme than their last major bull-market toppings in March 2000 and October 2007!  I outlined all this in an essay on these hyper-risky stock markets on 2017’s final trading day.  The ominous writing was on the wall for all willing to see.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

Stock Market Buy or Sell? This Insight May Help You Decide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

It’s a tough decision. We’d like to help by showing you some unconventional market evidence.

By February of this year, investors had almost forgotten what stock market volatility looked like.

And then something unprecedented happened. On Monday, Feb. 5, the DJIA closed 1,175 points down, the biggest single-day drop in the index's history. Since then, stocks have been going haywire.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

Stock Market Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Christopher_Quigley

This week’s “flash crash” has inflicted some technical “damage” on the market but nothing too serious, for the moment. However, some caution is warranted.

To gauge where the markets go from here I believe it important to focus on how the Dow Transport Index behaves, as it is the weaker of the two main Dow Indices. (As was the case in 1998 and 1999, just before the tech crash of 2000). Currently it is trying to consolidate around its 100 Daily Moving Average but I suspect new lows will be tested before too long. Remember technical analysis 101: “when significant moving averages become points of resistance rather than points of support you are in a bearish trend.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

Wells Fargo WFC Remains Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) is the world’s second-largest bank by market capitalization and the third largest bank in the U.S. by assets.

Last week, the Bank was fined $185M by the FED for ‘widespread illegal practices’ because of the recent fake accounts scandal and it was banned from growing until it convinces authorities it’s addressing shortcomings.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

Stock Market Roller Coaster Crash Ride Down to Dow Forecast 23,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market like a roller coaster rockets higher one day only to plunge lower the next. That is what this week has been like, a roller coaster ride. Starting the week with a Monday late session 1175 point plunge, bouncing Tuesday by 570 points to 24,912. Taking a breather on Wednesday by closing steady at 24,893, then plunged once more yesterday (Thursday) by over 1000 points, closing at 23,860, with the Dow now down over 10% from its 2018 high.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 09, 2018

What Is Stock Market Volatility Telling Us Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

In my last article, ‘Plunge Protection Team Spotted Atop Mt. Everest’ - 02/02/18,  I warned readers that the Plunge Protection Team was again active. I posted the article on my blog www.bmfinvest.blogspot.com. This article was published as well on the site www.marketoracle.co.uk and almost nowhere else. Let me say ‘kudos’ to the marketoracle.co.uk publisher Nadeem Walayat for not only having the guts to publish the truth but also the expertise to understand what is happening. I start everyday with a thorough reading of the articles published on marketoracle.co.uk as it is one of the few sites where writers like myself are given a forum. Almost all the other supposed ‘investment’ sites are filled with powder puff CNBC kind of stuff. I can assure readers that if they are not reading articles posted on marketoracle.co.uk, they are not getting a complete idea of important information.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 08, 2018

The Most Important Trendlines For Stock Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

The bond market has done the Fed’s job for it.

The reality is that the Fed is way behind the curve. True, the Fed is raising rates, but it is not raising them fast enough. The market was CLEARLY in a parabolic rise based on the fact financial conditions were too loose.

So what happened?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 08, 2018

A Shot Across The Bow for Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WMA

Investor complacency was rife. Since January 2016 investors have not experienced any significant corrective action on equity markets. Volatility had been unprecedentedly subdued. The “short vol” trade was a slam-dunk that lured in many investors, most of whom did not understand the risks of trading volatility.  

Over the past week, complacent investors who forgot that equity markets remain a risky asset received a brutal wake-up call. A 3000 point wipe-out on the Dow over a couple days was not expected by anyone, to say the least.  Dip-buyers who have become accustomed to buying the -10 point intraday pull-backs on the S&P 500 got reacquainted with the notion of stop-losses. Those gambling in the volatility products hopefully understand now that the VIX is not an asset class and benefits no one. Indeed, the VIX can – and did – double in value. For an inverse VIX ETF, well that means the product goes to zero. And that is just what the Velocity Shares Inverse VIX fund (XIV) did this past week. Many inverse VIX ETNs were halted. In our daily market update for February 8, we warn of another class of ETFs that may also in turn implode in the event of extreme price movements.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Three Truths about Stock Market Sell-Off Gold Investors Should Know / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Until recently, the financial press was reporting confidence in the global economy in 2018. Participants at the World Economic Forum in Davos were full of optimism and they outdid each other in upgrading their forecasts. One week later, the global stock market plunged, making analysts stupefied. “As equities tumbled, gold should shine”, almost everyone thought. But that’s not what we saw. What really happened, then?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Stock Market Struggle Begins to Avert the Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are struggling to take back the losses that occurred just after the bell yesterday. That puts the fair market value at about 12 points below the close. There may be a bounce, but it may not last.

At 7:00 am ZeroHedge wrote, “U.S. stock index futures turn negative in an illiquid, volatile session as investor sentiment has yet to stabilize amid doubts whether the U.S. equity selloff is over as yields remain just south of the critical 2.85% level. S&P E-mini contracts slid 0.1%, while the VIX is up 1% to 28.1 after 2 days of declines. Including fair value, the Dow is expected to have an implied open of over 200 points lower while the S&P will open around 2,665.”

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Stock Market, Gold and Silver Gold Consolidation Time (The Easy Trade has Ended) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we look at todays charts I would like to reiterate once more that we have traded one of the best bull markets runs in history. There was hardly a time over the last year or so that the stock markets were down more than 2 or 3 days in a row. It seemed like everyday I would log on to Stock Charts in the morning the SPX would always be up 3 to 5 points. It was just a steady move higher with little volatility.

Last Friday that nice gentle uptrend we had grown accustomed to came to an exciting climax. What we are experiencing right now is the beginning of some volatility that is going to take some time to get back under control. Think of dropping a super ball off the top of the Empire State building. First you get a really big bounce followed by a big decline then another bounce that is less strong with the next bounce getting weaker. At some point the initial volatility will be reduced back into normal price action.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Precious Metals, Stock Market, Volatility, and Bitcoin Price Predictions Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 08, 2018

Stock Market Retracements Calculated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX made a 48.5% retracement at 2727.67 this morning. The extension stayed within the confines of the Broadening Wedge that I had pointed out yesterday. This morning appears to be a “run the stops” exercise since the SPX volume was tepid and the only way to get liquidity was to force the sale of those who had entered short yesterday. I do not use stop losses for that reason.

Unfortunately, investors are being told that this correction is healthy and a buying opportunity. Goldman Sachs appears to be “talking its book.”

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