Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 28, 2016
Watch Tuesday, Stock Market Big Move Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX is due to go down into Wednesday. I believe the 2144/45 area beckons. The June 27 low was exactly 110 TD's from the Jan 19 low. Adding 110 TD's to June 27th gives us Nov 30, the 5 month low. This should have been the low for November. The cycles are either off or we have a huge down week ahead of us. Normally, off a wedge, the first support is the 1991 area. We never got that low.
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Monday, November 28, 2016
An Elusive Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate count to 2240 may turn out to only be a minimum projection.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
US Stocks Bull Market New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The market started the week at SPX 2182. After a gap up opening Monday the market rallied to SPX 2205 by Tuesday. Then after a pullback to SPX 2195 on Wednesday the market closed out the week at a new closing high of SPX 2213. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%. Economic reports were mostly positive. On the downtick: weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit both increased. On the uptick: existing home sales, durable goods, the FHFA, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, monthly payrolls, the PCE and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
Silver Mining Stocks Q3 2016 Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The silver miners recently finished reporting their third-quarter results, offering a hard fundamental look into this sector. This reality check is valuable given the fierce winds of bearish sentiment buffeting silver stocks in recent months. Despite their huge correction, the elite silver miners’ fundamentals remain strong. They are producing at costs far below prevailing silver levels, with profits poised to soar as silver recovers.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
Stock Market Missing Piece of the Puzzle Now in Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
As SPX went above 2208.42 I had to ask myself, “What have I missed?”
As I observed the Wave structure, there was an anomaly. The bounce to 2171.36 had the form of an a-b-c. Either it was the beginning of an Ending Diagonal or part of another formation that I had missed.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
MSM's Stock Market Druck'n Suck-In Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Disclosure (which I feel, given the post's content, should be reiterated): I am not short even a single equity of any kind. I am only long selected stocks and cash at this time, but surely subject to a change of status in the future.
Why, did you know that in a note to clients Tom Lee wrote that Donald Trump's term could usher in major bull market akin to those preceded by Ike and Reagan? He did, in a note to clients and the MSM really wants you to know about it! Now, there is a case that eventually his favored areas of Energy, Mining, Basic Materials, etc. will out perform. But that word "eventually" is an important one, unless you are a died in the wool trickle downer willing to ride the big correction or bear market that is likely first.
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Friday, November 25, 2016
Santa Trump's Stock Market Rally Continues to New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It definitely looks like Christmas has come early this year as the Trump Santa rally has seen the Dow blast through 19k, closing at another all time high of 19,083.18. A Rally that NO ONE SAW COMING! Definitely not the mainstream media propaganda machine!
None of this was supposed to happen! It was all supposed to be IMPOSSIBLE! As the horsemen of the mainstream media apocalypse repeatedly warned if the unthinkable actually happened and Trump won then that would be the END, FINANCIAL ARMAGEDDON, a consensus view which was regurgitated at length right across the BlogosFear. Taken as FACT that a Trump win would immediately convert into a stock and financial markets bloodbath!
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Friday, November 25, 2016
The New Trade Future In Asia Pacific / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Right after the Asian-Pacific nations embraced the dream of free trade in the regional Peru Summit, President-elect Trump buried it.
Last weekend, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit made it clear that it would move forward with trade pacts; with or without the US.
Right after the Lima summit, President-elect Donald Trump unveiled his plans for the first 100 days in office, which focus on campaign promises that will not require congressional approval. Among his first actions, Trump said he would "issue our notification of intent to withdraw from the Transpacific Partnership" and replace it with negotiating "fair bilateral trade deals."
Thursday, November 24, 2016
The War on Cash is Not Over… It’s About to Intensify / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
The Trump Presidency has distracted from the next major move to be implemented by Financial Elite.
That move is a cash ban.
Cash, particularly physical cash (as in bills and coins) is a huge problem for insolvent banks.
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
Stock Market Indices Close at the Highs for the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had an interesting day on Wednesday, closing with blue chips to the upside at new all-time highs. Nasdaq 100 had a difficult day, down nearly 20 points, but they came back off the lows substantially, especially the Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF (LABU), rallying late in the day and finishing positive, having reversed seven points off the lows.
The day started out with big gaps down, they made lower lows on the Nasdaq 100, but when the S&P 500 did not confirm, it made a higher low, and then they rallied. The S&P 500 had a 5-wave rally into the close to finish at the high for the day.
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
Stocks, the Politically-Driven S.O.D. to Lose Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
You know who they are; they are the ones who denied and denied the ginned up bull market in US stocks that nearly tripled under the socialist regime, circa 2009-2016. They are the ones who clung to gold well past the caution point last summer. They are (yes, it’s another snappy buzz phrase to either entertain, bore or annoy you… ) the S.O.D., AKA the Sons of Druckenmiller, AKA politically biased and newly activated market participants. Reference…
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
One of the best buying opportunities in history? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
One of the best buying
opportunities in history?
I'm writing to you today about what could be one of the most exciting buying opportunities in the stock market we've ever seen.
If our research is right, a handful of specific companies in one particular sector could be about to go wild.
But look, this opportunity will NOT be for everyone.
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Three Ways Traders Can Spot a Stocks Bear Market Before it Bites / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A bear market is a disheartening market scenario for most traders and investors because it connotes a season of losses. A bear market is technically defined as a market condition in which securities decline 20% or more from their previous highs. A bear market is more troubling than a market correction because a correction refers to a 10% decline from previous highs. In fact, a correction is more like peeping into bear territory while a bear market can be likened to living inside a bear territory.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Gold to Rally More, Stocks Should Drop / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
GDX looks to rally hard in a 'c' of "C" wave, likely into Early the 25th. We could see GDX around 24.50. It looks like a bear rally. The jobs report on December 2 could knock the precious metals sector down like it did from November 9-14.
The SPX is running on fumes and should drop at least to the 2162 area by early Friday I would think. Higher highs into next November 30-December 1 look likely and up to around 2208/09. My target for next week of 2203 was hit today.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Stock Market Turkey Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Holiday shortened weeks (like this week) have a tendency to be bullish and the Thanksgiving holiday is more bullish than most. But with the Hybrid Lindsay model pointing to a low on November 28/29 - combined with a number of other bearish metrics - it's hard to get bullish this week. Seasonal strength during this week's holiday shortened trading (US Thanksgiving holiday) is typically followed by weakness in early December.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Trump’s Financial Revolution! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
A financial revolution is now taking place and I want to tell you the story. It has rather large implications for interest rates, the stock market, gold and real estate.
The only reasons for the DOW JONES sharp gains, post-election, is due to the fact its’ index leans toward financial and industrial stocks, (as seen in the chart below), more than the SPX and Nasdaq Indexes. Those two sectors have outstripped most of the market since Election Day.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
The Dow Jones Continues To Trump UP! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Eric Balchunas, ETF Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, stated that "Financial ETFs are on fire, but the center of the heat is really banks, which will benefit from rising rates more than other areas of the financial sector,".
Is the strengthening of the dollar merely "temporary”? Is this recovery an illusion, which will precede an inevitable crash? I have maintained all along that there has been no real recovery and that the FED will not raise interest rates soon, contrary to common widespread beliefs.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Gold, Commodities, Forex and Stock Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
We continue to be bearish on Gold as we have been for months, our only recent change is that we are expecting a significant low earlier in 2017 than previously forecast. We have consistently maintained that this bearish phase is just a short term consolidation before we begin a new and significant rise that could well lead to new all time highs.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
The Spreading Bondfire And The Rising Price Of Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Today’s rising interest rates and trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come, i.e. rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of the global government bond bubble and the long awaited breakout of gold.
Last year, on December 15, 2015, the Fed announced the first tentative rate increase in nearly ten years, from 0.0% to 0.25%. The Fed had last raised rates in June 2006 which eventually burst the US real estate bubble in 2007 resulting in the collapse of global markets in 2008.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Stock Market Rally Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX closed under 2200.00, as suggested. Whether that is the end of the rally will be ascertained at tomorrow’s open. All of the Waves appear to be complete and on time.
Note that two new potential catalysts have hit the internet. The first is a “Big Problem” has just emerged for Trump’s Economic Plan. It is expected to add $5.3 trillion to the debt over the next decade.
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