Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, December 07, 2016

Stock Market Topping, Gold Looks Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The stock market looks like it is making a distribution top into the FED meeting.  We may see a small pull back into late week and then higher prices into the 14th.  We could see a sharp drop into the 5 week cycle low due around the 19th of December.  Overall, the market should be lower into March/April 2017 (Minor Wave Wave X of Intermediate Wave Z of Primary Wave 4) next year due to a FED rate hike.

Wednesday, December 07, 2016

Stock Market It's Different This Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

The normal bullishness of this time of year was turned on its head last year and we're beginning to wonder if it may happen again this year. In addition to a plethora of cycle highs converging on last week and the coming week, the McClellan Summation index is not acting right for new highs in the equity market. It may indeed be "different this time" but different from what; normal end of year seasonality or different than last year?

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

Warning: Market Crashes Hit When the Most Investors LEAST EXPECT IT / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The Bank of Japan is trying to crash the markets?

This is not conspiracy theory. In the last month the BoJ has devalued the Yen 14% against the $USD.

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

Stock Market Another Round Of Buying.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Another Monday morning, or any morning these days, and up we go. Italy survived the latest referendum, and with nothing negative occurring, the market decided north was the best direction for it. That's been the case, although slowly, for the past many weeks. The market retested the 2194 breakout and breached below by a bit, but, thus far, it has held its ground overall, and now it's time for it to blast away from 2194 for good. I don't know if it's a guarantee as nothing in this game is a guarantee, but it feels like it may be time to put a little distance away from S&P 500 2194 to secure the breakout for good.

Monday, December 05, 2016

The Coming Stock Market Crash and WWIII / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Much has been written about this unsustainable bubble in the stock market and the future ramifications of a major crash. We are entering an 80-year cycle where a major crisis war is going to envelop this nation. I believe that war will again be fought in Europe and the Middle East, but will this time involve militant Islam.

By my reckoning, using Elliott Wave and Benner's Cycle, I believe the crash will occur from sometime late in 2018 into 2020/21 and could or should rival the 1929-32 crash. The War should start sometime around 2021 and should last into 2025.

Monday, December 05, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate count to 2240 may turn out to only be a minimum projection. This will be determined by market action over the next couple of weeks.

Saturday, December 03, 2016

The 10YR Yield and SPX Stocks Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2213. After a lower opening on Monday the market pulled back to SPX 2198 by Tuesday. An OPEC pact to cut crude oil production helped the market rally to a marginal new high at SPX 2214 on Wednesday. After that the market pulled back to SPX 2187 on Thursday, and ended the week at 2192. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.7%. Economic reports for the week were nearly all positive. On the downtick: the Q4 GDP estimate and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, consumer confidence, the ADP, personal income/spending, the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, construction spending, ISM manufacturing, auto sales, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate dropped. Fourteen positive and only two negative reports. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by consumer credit, ISM services, the ECB and factory orders.

Friday, December 02, 2016

Is the Yellen Fed TRYING to Crash Stocks To Hurt Trump? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Is Janet Yellen trying to crash stocks to screw Trump?

Ever since the $USD began its bull market run in mid-2014, the Fed, lead by Janet Yellen, has intervened whenever the $USD cleared 98.

Thursday, December 01, 2016

Stock Market Possible Breakdown... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has overlapped Wave [i], greatly diminishing the probability of another probe to a new high. This strongly suggests that the Top is in. This is turning into a complex decline that still may have a risk of a final surge to 2122.00, but no higher.

Take the appropriate action you deem necessary, given your propensity for risk. Shorting a bounce above 2200.00 may lower the drawdown due to a possible incomplete Wave formation.

Thursday, December 01, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Hover Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Very Tough Day Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day with a pop at the opening, a sharp selloff that held support, then a huge rally that took the Nasdaq 100 from 4849 to 4897, and the S&P 500 from 2198 to 2209. In the afternoon, they consolidated and it looked like they were going higher, but when they failed to do so, they pulled back very sharply, and took a fifty percent retrace of the whole rally, and then had a little bounce at the close. They managed to close positive. But it wasn’t a very spectacular day.

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Stock Market - It's the Most Wonderful Time of Year! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

The holidays bring more than just gifts under the tree, excess calories, and rude in-laws. December and January represent two of the best months of the year. However, there is often a pause in the uptrend in early December. With US markets having experienced such an extreme "Trump Bump" since the election, patience is likely a virtue for the bears and bulls alike.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Stock Market SPX Making its Final Probe Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX took plan A mentioned this morning, finding support at 2198.15. The limit to the rally is now adjusted to 2231.12. However, we have a trendline at 2220.00. In addition, Wave C equals .618 of Wave A at 2216.96.

Those brave souls wishing to be aggressive may wish to do a partial short position between 2217.00 and 2220.00.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Trump's Presidency - Stock Market Crash or Start of New Mega-Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A little and a little, collected together, becomes a great deal; the heap in the barn consists of single grains, and drop and drop make the inundation." ~ Saadi

Trump's win proves that mainstream Media is in trouble; it is going to be all downhill from here except for the ones that parted ways and tried to provide accurate coverage of what was going on. The crowd will turn increasingly to social media and outlets that focus on facts as opposed to fiction. Mainstream media is in for a painful ride as the crowd is not going to forgive them so easily for their transgressions; the only exceptions being the ones that portrayed an accurate image of what was taking place. Many pollsters might have to look for new jobs, and as we just stated, we feel that social media is going to be the biggest winner. Perhaps this is why Google has its eye on Twitter and has decided to donate its search engine business and in doing so take a $1 trillion business write off.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Stock Market NYSE Hi-Lo Gives a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

While the SPX and VIX remain flat at the open, the Hi-Lo Index took a nosedive into bearish territory. This would be considered a tentative sell signal with confirmation provided at the close, should it remain beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 60.27 or the mid-Cycle resistance at 115.21.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Stock Market Overbought Pullback Today....Could Use More... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Today was a day for some unwinding, and we could use more. The market sold a bit today, but did so in a way where price didn't run away from the primary oscillators. That's important in the study of pullbacks because it tells us whether the internals are turning more bearish as we see some, and, thus, tells us deeper selling is likely. We should, and could get more, but thus far nothing that says something dramatic is about to take place. If the market wanted deeper selling, we would see huge gap downs on consecutive days that run lower as the day moves along. No matter how powerful a given bull market may be, you always find a time to sell when things get too overbought for too long a period of time.

Monday, November 28, 2016

Stock Market New Record Highs, But Will The Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, November 28, 2016

Watch Tuesday, Stock Market Big Move Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The SPX is due to go down into Wednesday. I believe the 2144/45 area beckons. The June 27 low was exactly 110 TD's from the Jan 19 low. Adding 110 TD's to June 27th gives us Nov 30, the 5 month low. This should have been the low for November. The cycles are either off or we have a huge down week ahead of us. Normally, off a wedge, the first support is the 1991 area. We never got that low.

Monday, November 28, 2016

An Elusive Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate count to 2240 may turn out to only be a minimum projection.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Saturday, November 26, 2016

US Stocks Bull Market New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2182. After a gap up opening Monday the market rallied to SPX 2205 by Tuesday. Then after a pullback to SPX 2195 on Wednesday the market closed out the week at a new closing high of SPX 2213. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%. Economic reports were mostly positive. On the downtick: weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit both increased. On the uptick: existing home sales, durable goods, the FHFA, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, monthly payrolls, the PCE and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!