Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Stock Market Wave Structure and Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The 10-minute chart again offers us the best clues as to the structure of the market moves.

Linking this together with the Cycles Model which expects a Primary Cycle Pivot tomorrow, it suggests a powerful reversal down in a third wave. Originally I had interpreted Wednesday’s Pivot as a Cycle Bottom. However, today’s late afternoon high altered that perception.

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Stock Market Panic Decline is Still on the Agenda / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has managed to remain flat all day. The final hour is when the institutional investors weigh back in. Do you think it may have been ramped for their benefit?

The panic decline is still on the agenda.

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

WMD - Weapons of Mass Destruction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

“WMD” also is “Wasteful Monetary Devastation.”

WASTEFUL:  We all know that governments spend money in wasteful ways and compensate with higher taxes, deficits, huge debt, “printed currencies” and inflation.  “Bridges to nowhere,” various wars, and “giveaways” benefit a few at the expense of many.

MONETARY:  Printing and digitally creating many trillions of dollars, euros, yen, or pounds may temporarily bail out banks and governments but in the big picture they destroy capital and weaken the economies of the nations which are deluding themselves.

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

FEAR TRADE: Metals Up, Stocks and Jobs Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: Precious metals have risen sharply in recent days as investors looked for alternatives to the stock market and U.S. dollar. Both gold and silver pushed through important technical resistance levels. Metals bulls hope to see markets enter a virtuous cycle; improving charts followed by more speculative long interest leading to improved charts.

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

It's Stock Market Panic Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Nikkei 225 Index is in the news this morning. It declines to 16085.44 in their overnight session. That’s right. It is down 918.86 points. This puts it just above its Head & Shoulders neckline. There’s a lot more to come should the neckline be broken.

The futures are down 1129.50, or 15871.50. ZeroHedge reports, “With China offline for the rest of the week, global markets have found a new Asian bogeyman in the face of Japan which as reported last night saw its markets crash, and the Yen soar, showing that less than 2 weeks after the BOJ unveiled NIRP, yet another central bank has lost control.”

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Banks Not Happy....Leaders Not Leading....Rates Falling...Late Day Hammer... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

When you take the time to study what's taking place at any given moment in time in this crazy game we call the stock market, you need to look no further than the behavior in the financial banks. They will happily tell you what's taking place if you allow yourself to listen. To understand the banks you need to look at the CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T Note ($TNX). Rates are on a straight decline lower. The treasury yield is ignoring the latest rate hike by the Fed, which tells us the picture it's painting is one of deflation.

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Stock Market SPX Setting Up for its Largest Decline Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The retracement to 1860.69 tells us that the decline of sub-Minute Wave (i) is over. There may be a final probe above that level as the market attempts to close at the high.

Regardless of a higher or lower close, SPX is being set up for a massive Wave (iii) of [iii] of 3 likely to start tomorrow. Prepare for an even larger gap down than we experienced this morning.

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Financial Crisis 2007 All Over Again - Banks Starting To Implode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

So far, each financial crisis in the series that began with the junk bond bubble of 1989 has been noticeably different from its predecessors. New instruments, new malefactors, new monetary policy experiments in response.

But the one that's now emerging feels strikingly similar to what just happened a few years ago: Banks overexposed to assets they thought were safe but turn out to be highly risky see their balance sheets deteriorate, their liquidity dry up and their stocks plunge.

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Preparing for Crisis - It's About Risk Mitigation and Capital Preservation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

John Charalambakis is the Managing Director of Group, a boutique style asset and wealth management firm, which focuses on risk mitigation, capital preservation and growth through strategies that are rule based. Dr. Charalambakis has been teaching economics and finance in the US for the last twenty years. Currently he teaches economics at the Patterson School of Diplomacy & International Commerce at the University of Kentucky.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold vs Stocks Macro Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

A picture is worth 4-plus years and thousands of words, and the picture below has a lot to say. I'll say some words as well, since I have kept them bottled up for years in an effort to make sure we operate with discipline as opposed to gold bug style emotion.

The bear market and subsequent inflation-fueled credit bubble early last decade was when I first started paying close attention to macro markets (as opposed to stock trading, which I had done for a few years prior) and how they operate. Having seen well paid professionals lose half of my IRA in 2002, I took over all of our finances and never looked back. But I needed to understand how markets worked and that has been a challenging and rewarding endeavor, not to mention an ongoing learning experience.

Monday, February 08, 2016

FTSE 100 Following Macro Trends in Peripheral Markets / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: MBM_Research

Stock market bulls have seen some discouraging activity in the equities space over the last few months, and many traders are looking for an indication that declines in the major stock benchmarks have reached an exhaustion point.  Those that have been caught long at the highs are likely showing even more concern, as positions based on the multi-year positive momentum have likely given back most of their gains. 

Monday, February 08, 2016

NDX, Banks and EuroStoxx All Tumble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

NDX gapped down 76.48 points, putting it well beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline and its prior low.

ZeroHedge comments, “Just over two weeks ago, JPM's Marko Kolanovic, whose unprecedented ability to predict short-term market moves is starting to seem a little bizarre, warned that the next "significant risk for the S&P500" was the bursting of the "macro momentum bubble." Specifically, he said that there is an emerging negative feedback loop that is "becoming a significant risk for the S&P 500" adding that "as some assets are near the top and others near the bottom of their historical ranges, we are obviously not experiencing an asset bubble of all risky assets, but rather a bubble in relative performance: we call it a Macro-Momentum bubble."

Monday, February 08, 2016

Stock Market Panic Decline Begins... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX has plunged below 1860.00 this morning, challenging the Broadening trendline. Due to its position, the Broadening Flag appears to be a consolidation that allows the index to continue its former trend. I am not yet labeling the decline because the declining pattern may take several paths. Thus far, the pattern suggests that it may not stay at the trendline very long. Its next target appears to be at or below the Head & Shoulders neckline.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Stock Market At Important Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Is the counter-trend rally over?

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Stock Market S&P, NAS Best, Most Reliable Answers Come From The Market And You / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

Almost everyone is searching for answers about what to do in the stock market. The two best sources are the market itself, and the second source will surprise many, but it is you! No one has a greater vested interest in your financial interests than you when it is your money on the line, at risk. The inherent problem with this simple solution is that few ever consider either source as the best solution.

Wall Street, such a big mystery. Not really. The only mystery about Wall Street is the thieves who run it. Like the Wizard of Oz, Wall Street does not want you to look behind the curtain to discover all of the fraud, the greed, and the purely self-motivated financial interests that are opposite to yours.

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 1940. On Monday the market rose to SPX 1947 and then traded down to 1872 by early Wednesday. Then the market rallied to SPX 1927 early Thursday, only to selloff again and end the week at SPX 1880. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 2.35%, the NDX/NAZ lost 5.70%, and the DJ World index lost 2.20%. Economic reports for the week were again biased negatively. On the uptick: personal income, construction spending, consumer credit, Q1 GDP, plus the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, the ADP, factory orders, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit worsened. Next week will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s semiannual monetary policy report to Congress.

Saturday, February 06, 2016

More Economic Problems...Jobs...Nasdaq Breaking Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market has had every excuse to use economic woes as a reason to fall hard this past week. Poor numbers from the ISM Manufacturing sector, and then a hard decline in the ISM services sector. The market refused to fall, but it was somewhat understandable since the market had taken a massive hit lower and was simply trying to unwind oversold oscillators. The bear flag, if you will, that we have been seeing on all the daily index charts. Today was day fifteen, or exactly three weeks, but it seems as if the fifteenth day was the bad one for the bulls as the market could not withstand the Jobs Report, which came in 34,000 jobs shy of expectations. 151K versus 185K expected. The futures fell initially, only to come roaring back to green for a few seconds ahead of the open. It then began to fall, and, thus, we actually gapped down across the board with the Nasdaq taking the biggest hit. The market tried a few times to come back, but it seemed as if all attempts to rally were sheared off by the bears. They seemed angry today. Enough of these flags seemed to be their mantra for the day, especially in the world of high P/E stocks.

Saturday, February 06, 2016

The Stocks Bear Is At The Door, Part 1: Momentum Stocks Getting Crushed / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Rubino

One of the common transitions that bull markets go through as they age and die is a narrowing of leadership. As formerly strong sectors begin to stall out, investors shift into whatever is still looking good — that is, whatever still has upward momentum. Eventually capital becomes concentrated in just a few names. Then those stocks roll over and the game ends.

This time around Big Tech was the final category of momentum play, and it ended up attracting astounding amounts of money from both the usual suspects like hedge funds and some new suckers like the Central Bank of Switzerland, now a major holder of Apple shares.

Friday, February 05, 2016

Gold Reversal and Last Chance for Stock Market Shorts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Gold reversed this morning after making a throw-over above the ending diagonal formation. So far, the low is at 1145.68. A decline beneath 1138.00 puts it back into the formation,, while a break at 1126.88 confirms the new trend.

Friday, February 05, 2016

As the Stock Market Turns... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX rallied to the Broadening trendline, then began impulsing down. The wackiness may be over and the puzzle appears solved. This may actually be a point 7 (an extra zigzag) within what is normally referred to as a five point reversal. All moves within the Broadening formation are corrective, which makes the outcome confusing and uncertain…until it is over.