Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, August 05, 2015
Fed Lunacy is to Blame for the Coming Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
This week John Hussman's pondering about the state of our markets is as clear and concise as it's ever been. He starts off by describing the difference between an economy operating at a low level versus a high level. He's essentially describing a 2% GDP economy versus a 4% GDP economy. We have been stuck in a low level economy since 2008. And there is one primary culprit for the suffering of millions - The Federal Reserve and their Wall Street Bank owners. They are the reason incomes are stagnant, the labor participation rate is at 40 year lows, savers can only earn .25% on their savings, and consumers have been forced further into debt to make ends meet. Meanwhile, corporate America and the Wall Street banks are siphoning off record profits, paying obscene pay packages to their executives, buying off the politicians in Washington to pass legislation (TPP) designed to enrich them further, and arrogantly telling the peasants to work harder.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2015
Submerging Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This week's commentary takes a look at emerging markets but first a review of the most recent Hybrid Lindsay forecast for the Dow Industrials index.
The July 14 commentary mentioned the official forecast for a low in the period July 24-31 but also explained why "a tradable low is very close". Indeed, last week's low was seen that day. The next forecast-high generated by the Hybrid Lindsay model is expected late in the week of August 10 or early during the week of August 17.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Why This Stocks Bubble Is Actually WORSE Than the Internet Tech Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
I’ve been invited to speak on many media outlets lately, hammering on and on about how this is another bubble. Worse, an artificial one!
A bubble occurs naturally when market forces converge. Trends come together and make the markets so hot that everyone starts piling in.
But it’s one thing when investors speculate on the fundamentals like demographics, rising technology, and falling interest rates. For example, like in 1925 to 1929, and 1995 to 1999.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
I’m Ready for a Stocks Bear Market. Are You? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Increasingly concerned about the markets, I’ve taken more aggressive action than in 2007, the last time I soured on the equity markets. Let me explain why and what I’m doing to try to profit from what may lie ahead.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Is This Stocks Bull Market Summit? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The primary uptrend in common stocks began in March 2009, so this bull-market is now over 6 years old. The bull-market on Wall Street was unleashed by the Federal Reserve's unprecedented QE program and it is not a coincidence that its momentum waned around the same time America's central bank stopped buying bonds.
You will recall that over the past several months, we repeatedly stated that the stock market's breadth was getting narrower and that not all sectors were participating in the festivities. Accordingly, we positioned our managed portfolios in the strongest areas and sectors of the market.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
The Troika Loan Shark Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
July has turned out to be a very volatile month for stocks, whether Asia, Europe, US, or worldwide. Every time it appeared that something from the real world of finance and economics might create at least another 10% “correction” from all time high readings in US stocks, “someone” was there to make certain that investors and traders - especially in Europe, Japan, and the US - saw no lasting impact from the events in China and Greece with their own investments.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market SPX Triggers Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX has now crossed below both the 50-day Moving Average and the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2097.72. SPX is back on an aggressive sell that becomes a confirmed sell below the 200-day Moving Average at 2069.43.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market High Risk Area? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I have often commented how important the trending of the Institutional "core holdings" were. If you think about it ... here is a group that has millions of dollars available for research and who pick what they consider to be the best, strongest, and safest stocks to buy.
So the trending of their group of "core holdings" says more about what the market will do then most of the other indexes.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market Pullback at Hand, Gold About to Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The stock market likely put in a failing 'b' wave top Friday at SPX 2114. The attached charts show potential down as low as SPX 1920 for the coming decline into the expected August 11, 2015 low to as high as 2010. The actual 40 week low is due on August 7, so I don't know if August 7 to 11 creates a double bottom reversal or not. Usually, these types of bottoms are spike bottoms.
The last 20 week low in March ran 7 TD's down to its low. The rise last week reminds me of the late Nov/early Dec topping pattern (only that time it made a new high while this one has failed) and it projects down to August 11 and SPX 1930 based on the percentage differences, this one being 1.69 times as potent.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market Report: Three’s a Crowd / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX
The SPX still appears to be inside the suspected ending diagonal pattern that has been going on from the Oct 2014 lows (aka Bullard lows). The overall look still appears to support the idea of a bearish wedge, or what Elliotticians call an ending diagonal, the back and forth whip is classic behavior for such a pattern, both the bulls and bears get taken to the cleaners as the market is likely ending the trend from the Oct 2011 lows. Once wave 3 or C is completed we should then embark on the largest decline since 2011.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market Critical Week Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend – SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market Investors July Were Guests of Game of Thrones "Red Wedding" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: The simultaneous blood baths in commodities and U.S. stocks continued in July but failed to penetrate the skulls of U.S. stock investors who continue to allow themselves to be brainwashed into believing that they can only make money by owning an overbought market.
The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) recovered all of its June losses, gaining 2.1% in July including 1.2% last week to close the month at 2103.92, not far off its record closing high of 2,134.72. The index is now up 2.2% (excluding dividends) for the year.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Strong Bearish Signal Given Today on the Tadawul (Saudi Stock Exchange)! / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
Bruce Powers writes: A bearish head and shoulders top formation (HS) was triggered today on the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI), with the index falling 3.20 per cent to end the day at 8,807.24. The bearishtrigger was on a move below the neckline at 9,057. Momentum picked up on the way down with the index closing in the bottom quarter of the day’s range.
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Sunday, August 02, 2015
Stock Market Reluctant Primary Wave IV? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2080. After a gap down opening on Monday the market hit SPX 2064. It then doubled bottomed and hit SPX 2111 by Wednesday. After a gap down opening Thursday to SPX 2095, the market then rallied to close out the week at 2104. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.75%, and the DJ World index was +0.70%. Economic reports for the week were generally negative. On the uptick: durable goods orders, Q2 GDP and the Chicago PMI. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, pending homes sales, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls, ISM and the PCE.
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Sunday, August 02, 2015
Preparing for The Stock Market Crash - Inverse ETFs and Puts Timing... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In this update on the broad market S&P500 index we are going to look at no less than 5 charts for it, covering different time frames, the reason for this is that there are different points to make on each of these charts.
Before looking at the charts for the S&P500 index we are going to review first a range of charts, including the latest charts for Margin Debt and NYSE available cash. These charts provide the direst warning imaginable of impending trouble.
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Sunday, August 02, 2015
BSE Sensex Stocks Bear Market Underway / Stock-Markets / India
The Indian stock exchange, the BSE Sensex, looks to be tracing out its first steps in a new bear market so let's review the action using the monthly and weekly charts.
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Sunday, August 02, 2015
Stock Market Some Day..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We are all trying to wrap our heads around this base. Arguments can be made on both sides. The bulls will tell us that sentiment is unwinding nicely as we hold the range, while the bears will say the longer this goes on without breaking out tells us the bulls have run out of steam. Actually, both are right to some degree but the truth is that we really don't understand fully why the market won't make a definitive move one way or the other. S&P 500 2134 and 2040 are rock solid in terms of resistance and support. There are other factors. Ms. Yellen is clearly dovish and wants this market higher. She's playing up how rates won't be aggressively raised, if at all this year. When she spoke Wednesday at their last meeting she said they are still data dependent, and they made no firm statement about raising rates in September, which is when everyone believes she will do the dirty deed. She seemed to almost go out of her way to let us all know that she may not raise it at that time.
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Saturday, August 01, 2015
Markets Floor Monkeys and Decentralization of Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
As most of you know, I used to be a clerk on the floor of the old P. Coast options exchange in San Francisco. What a place. I could tell stories about that floor for weeks. The craziest things you ever heard.
But let’s keep it professional. The funny thing about a trading floor like the PCX (or the NYMEX, or the CME) is that you have winners and losers. You have big winners and big losers. You have people who blow themselves up. You have people who blow themselves up so spectacularly, they take a chunk out of their clearing firm.
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Friday, July 31, 2015
Stock Market Triumph of the Swill / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
"Pride goes before a destruction, and arrogance before a fall." Prov 16:18
This was a fairly lackluster day in US equities.
Sentiment is now back to somewhat complacent as the VIX has fallen back to a 12 handle.
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Thursday, July 30, 2015
Reasons Why the Greek Crisis Will Only Get Worse / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Sean Brodrick writes: So Europe brought Greece to heel like an unruly dog, eh? And the government of that sad-sack nation got stuck with the same onerous debt terms it was trying to avoid when it held a referendum?
German bankers win, life goes on... right?
Nope.
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