Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 19, 2015
Fed Shift Is Major Stock Market Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The US stock markets were quick to rally after the Federal Reserve did nothing at its policy meeting this week. Traders love the endless dovishness gushing forth from this Yellen Fed. But their complacency is very misplaced. It was epic Fed easing that fueled the stock-market levitation of recent years. So the Fed shifting away from these extraordinary policies is a major downside risk for these Fed-inflated stock markets.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Stock Market Watch The VIX ... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The VIX is now coming to the end of its triangular pattern.
What does that mean? It means that, before too long, it will have to break out of the triangular pattern. When it does, it will have an important impact on the market.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Greek Contagion Abyss Looms - Wealth Preservation Strategies / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Greece, EU and Banks Staring Into Abyss
- Markets Are “Irrationally Exuberant” – Gods Punish Hubris
- “Invisible Hand” Propping Up Sanguine Markets
- Short Term Considerations
- Long Term Considerations
- Best Case Outcomes
- Worst Case Outcomes
- Wealth Preservation Strategies
Thursday, June 18, 2015
Fed Cracking the Whip will no longer work to keep the tiger sitting on its stool / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Yesterday’s Fed announcement is a distinct break with the past and a watershed moment for the markets psychologically. The Fed will no longer be able to simply crack the rhetorical whip in order to keep the market tiger sitting on its stool. We will probably get a taste of what this all means in the near term, but, in my view, the Fed will find itself on the defensive with little left in the quiver, save the ultimate rate hike, to discourage speculative bubbles. Since it will be hard-pressed to actually snap the whip on Wall Street’s nose (in the form of aggressive rate hikes), the door is open to all sorts of renewed reckless behavior – a hey day for speculators of every description until the bubble ultimately bursts. The importance of a hedge in gold is now more important than ever.
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Thursday, June 18, 2015
Piston Hurricane, Parable of the Broken Window / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Jared Dillian
An old friend from the Coast Guard visited me over the weekend. He is retired and now works as an emergency planner. If there’s one thing government folks do, it is plan. But many times I’ve seen plans go out the window when emergency strikes and people start to improvise. Or maybe the planned-for emergency never materializes. Maybe you get a different emergency you didn’t plan for. The anarchist in me says that plans are useless. But I agree that it’s good to think about these things ahead of time.
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Thursday, June 18, 2015
How Will 2015 End For U.S. Markets? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Anyoption writes: Throughout the past several years, the bull has been running in U.S. markets; and while the bull is still somewhat running, it has definitely lost a bit of pep in its step. Simply put, we're not seeing the growth in 2015 that we saw over the past several years. Now the big question is, “How will the year end?” Unfortunately, I'm not sure we're going to see much positivity as the year closes. Today, we'll take a close look at leading indicators with regard to the health of U.S. and discuss why this year is likely to come to a bad close.
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Thursday, June 18, 2015
Fed Dovish Again... Stock Market Froth Coming In..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market waited patiently for four and a half hours to hear the words of wisdom from our Fed leader, Janet Yellen. What would she say regarding rates in the moment, and for the future was all anyone cared about. She said no rate hikes for now. When grilled in her conference she said she would raise rates soon, but that she had no intentions of raising too quickly under any circumstances, and that a rate-hike cycle was not in the cards. The market always likes hearing that rates will remain low, and although the market knows a rate will likely come this year, it knows it's safe for the foreseeable future.
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Wednesday, June 17, 2015
Discover a New Way of Thinking About Society and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Editor's note: This video was excerpted from a new multimedia report, "The New Financial Theory that Could Make the Difference in Your Investing Success," from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. Authored by Robert Prechter, the full report demonstrates the failures of the modern investing paradigm and suggests a radically new approach that can make the difference in your investing success. Click here to read and watch the full, four-part multimedia report -- it's free.
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Wednesday, June 17, 2015
George Lindsay's Stock Market Dow Right Shoulder / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As explained in previous commentaries, the Dow is sketching out a Right Shoulder (following the end of the Basic Advance last July) which is higher than the high of the Basic Advance. The preserved written work of Lindsay reveals no attempt on his part to forecast the high of a Right Shoulder - only his warning to expect one following an extended Basic Advance (929-968 days)and that it can rise to a level higher than the end of the Basic Advance. This happened in 1966 and 1973, and has occurred again in the current bull market.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2015
The Stock Market, the Music Industry and the New Network Economy / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Someone rings the bell at 9:30 a.m. and gets the hell out of the way. All types of chaos erupt from second-to-second. Everyone knows, in real-time, what they made or lost.Users drive the system. Not management. Management’s nowhere to even be seen. It’s merged within the light-speed, low-cost software and processes that make the whole thing possible.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2015
Stock Markets 2015 - Don't Fight The Fed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - At the beginning of the year, market participants were expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates during the summer months. This widely anticipated monetary tightening prompted investors to become cautious which halted the primary advance and brought about a multi-month consolidation on Wall Street.
It is no secret that since mid-December, the environment on Wall Street has been quite volatile; nonetheless, despite the wild swings, the major US indices have essentially gone nowhere.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2015
What Is The Next Big Move In The Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Markets typically move in waves. For secular investors, the long waves with a duration of 6 months to 6 years are important. However, the 3 to 6 months waves convey information about the secular strength, and that is why we focus on the multi-month trends.
We believe that markets today are preparing for new trends. We rely on intermarket chart analysis to assess the highest probability moves, because intermarket dynamics sow the seeds for market specific trends.
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Monday, June 15, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signals Changing from Aggressive to Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX touched the head & Shoulders neckline and has bounced back to the Ending diagonal trendline. It is probable that this trendline may stop the bounce, and if so, may propel SPX back to new lows beneath the neckline. The sell signal is confirmed beneath the Head & Shoulders neckline.
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Monday, June 15, 2015
Stock Market Failed Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Waiting for confirmation that the ending triangle is complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 15, 2015
Key Steps to Your First Options Trades / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
MoneyMorning.com Tom Gentile writes: During the past month we've welcomed in thousands of new subscribers over at Power Profit Trades.
Many of you have started out with "paper trading" on my picks and are excited at the prospect of pocketing the gains in real time.
Taking advantage of what veterans like me didn't have when we started trading is a great idea! I know it's not like real trading, but one of the things using a "virtual" account will do is help you get familiar with order placement through the platform you intend on using BEFORE you use real money.
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Sunday, June 14, 2015
Stock Market Caution as Greek Crisis Reaches Endgame / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
European markets were on a roller coaster ride last week as rumor and counter rumor about a Greek deal with the European Central Bank circulated and affected sentiment. When news hit Friday that the IMF team had left for Washington the DAX (Germany’s main stock index) dived only to recover later in the day when it was announced that a new proposal was to be presented by Prime Minister Tsipras.
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Sunday, June 14, 2015
The Forgotten Constitutional Freedom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A Dearth of RationalityIn the United States the steady passage of new federal laws and official regulations for eighty years has created a crazy quilt of often contradictory prohibitions, subsidies and legal rights. The United States Code now fills two long bookshelves with the Code of Federal Regulations occupying twice that shelf space in the law library.
At once, for instance, the United States subsidizes tobacco farmers for producing their harvest and then plunders and terrorizes the cigarette industry who process the product for consumer use.
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Sunday, June 14, 2015
The Stock Market Meets the FED This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last weekend, I was looking for bottom late Monday near 2067/70 and then a strong rally to perhaps as high SPX 2101/13 by Wednesday. The SPX bottomed early Tuesday at 2072 and rallied to 2115 by Thursday. I give myself an A- for that forecast, not perfect by any means, but close enough to make money on.
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Sunday, June 14, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding Sentiment - Lateral To Nowhere - Fed On Deck Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If the market is going to move laterally, it's really nice to see the worst day of the week occurring on a Friday. Leaving a nasty taste in the mouth of those relentless bulls. This is important, because it's before a weekend, and, thus, there's too much time to think, or, in other words, get emotional. Traders thinking we just can't break out no matter how close we get, and now they have to go in to the weekend on a down note. Turns bulls in to bears, or at least agnostic. We're begging for this, and somehow the market knows how to make things happen when it needs it to. There's nothing worse than a bad feeling late in the week, and, if this played out as I think it did, we may get our first reading below 30% on the bull-bear spread since last October, and only the third reading below 30% in roughly seventy weeks. That's unreal. It's hard to make sense of that when you normally would equate this type of behavior in terms of too much bullishness with a major market correction, if not a bear market.
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Saturday, June 13, 2015
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Another day traders week. After starting the week at SPX 2093 the market traded down to 2072 by Tuesday morning. After that a sharp rebound occurred, helped by two gap up openings, to SPX 2115 by Thursday morning. Then the market started to retreat again, ending the week right about where it began. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%, and the DJ World index gained 0.40%. On the economic front reports came in with a strong positive bias. On the uptick: retail sales, business/wholesale inventories, export prices, the PPI, consumer sentiment, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: investor bullishness, the WLEI and weekly jobless were higher. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Industrial production and reports on Housing.
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