Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, April 26, 2015
Stock Market, Silver: Week in Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
From now on, I’m including silver in my updates. There are important issues on the horizon that will involve silver to a greater degree. One of those issues is: J.P. Morgan is accumulating physical silver like there’s no tomorrow; another is: silver is important and sensitive to commodity price changes as well as a hedge against adversity (gold is a better hedge against adversity than silver, but silver is coming into the forefront for other reasons, which we will look at in the coming updates).
Saturday, April 25, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Looks to Resume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2081, gapped up on Monday/Tuesday hitting 2110, pulled back to 2091 by Wednesday, then with a gap up on Friday hit a new high at 2121. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.6%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.8%, and the DJ World index gained 1.6%. Economic reports were sparse, and again biased to the upside. On the uptick: the FHFA, existing home sales, durable goods orders and the WLEI. On the downtick: new homes sales plus weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, the FOMC meeting, and PCE prices.
Saturday, April 25, 2015
When the Nuclear Money Option Fails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Doug_Wakefield
"To combat the economic fallout caused by the credit crisis (07-08), countries have allowed their fiscal deficits to increase dramatically. In order to pay the bills, governments had to sell enormous amounts of bonds. As more and more investors stopped buying these government bonds, central banks needed to step up to the plate. By turning on the (digital) printing presses, they have been buying up bad debts and government bonds to a total of $10 trillion worldwide, between 2008 and 2013. Economists describe this process as the monetization of debt by central banks. Economic textbooks refer to this process as 'the nuclear option' - only to be used when no other method of financing can be applied effectively. This is a process that is easy to start, but almost impossible to stop."
Saturday, April 25, 2015
Stock Splitting Caused the Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Wim_Grommen
This article explains why the introduction of stock splitting on December 31st, 1927 eventually caused the crash of 1929. The frequent splitting of shares into very large proportions gave a massive boost to the stock market boom, making the stock market crash of 1929 equally violent.
Friday, April 24, 2015
China Stock Market Parabolic Mania’s Global Risk / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The Chinese stock markets have been rocketing higher in a popular speculative mania. New Chinese investors are flocking to their local red-hot markets, borrowing heavily to buy hyper-speculative stocks. Like all past manias, this one is guaranteed to end badly. And when China’s parabolic stock indexes inevitably collapse, the global stock markets face serious risks of getting sucked into that fear-fueled stampede.
The Chinese people are endlessly fascinating. After being blessed to travel to China several decades ago as a kid, my interest in that country and culture has only grown since. One thing the Chinese are renowned for is their intense competitiveness. Their work ethic is legendary, as they zealously strive to improve their lots in life. So wealth, and the perception of it, is exceedingly important socially in China.
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Friday, April 24, 2015
Waiting for NDX Stocks Index Reversal to Confirm the SPX High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX’s high yesterday at 2120.49 may have fulfilled the requirement for its final high, including a minor trading channel high. The overnight futures action did not break out above that level. The Premarket is up, but at this point only at a 50% retracement of the decline into the close. USD/JPY is declining beneath 120.00, suggesting there may be no further support from the Yen Carry trade.
Friday, April 24, 2015
UK Economy Debt Timebomb Will Explode After Election / Stock-Markets / UK Debt
By: GoldCore
- UK economy a ’timebomb’ and will explode after election – Albert Edwards
- Telegraph warns of “Lehman Moment” stemming from possible election chaos
- Currency traders view pound as being particularly vulnerable
- Latest data shows UK poised to slip into deflation for the first time since 1960
- Polls place Labour and Tories neck and neck as election looms
- Hung parliament may force either side to enter coalition with potentially disliked partners
- Outright majority for either side would also lead to further uncertainty
- Political uncertainty may impact sterling and UK assets
- UK has massive debt and vulnerable to Eurozone debt crisis
Friday, April 24, 2015
What is a Stock Market Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
For many people – entering the stock market and truly understanding the investment options available can be confusing. Today we will speak about stock market indexes and why these are important and how they work.The most simple explanation is this: an index is literally made up of several stock prices into a single number. An Index can be made up based on markets or industries – and as the Options Industry Council (OIC) says, “Some are broad-based and measure moves in broad, diverse markets. Others are narrow-based and measure more specific industry sectors of the marketplace.”
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Friday, April 24, 2015
God, the Stock Market and Pascal's Wager / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
Jared Dillian writes: Do you believe in God?
Whoa, wait a minute, this is an investment newsletter, right?
Stay with me.
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Friday, April 24, 2015
SPX Meets Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX finally broke above what may either be a Triangle or its look-alike. I chose to label the second choice for a number of reasons.
First, this is already an Ending Diagonal formation made up of corrective looking zigzags with a rising bottom trendline. I view the declining top as an “accident” that may fool quite a number of analysts. The reason is that the Triangle projects a potential high in the range of 2176.00 to 2200.00. The Ending Diagonal projects an ending range of 2115.00 to 2144.00 with an average near 2125.00.
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Thursday, April 23, 2015
Stocks and Bonds Seven Year of Negative Returns; Fraudulent Promises / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Mike_Shedlock
It is extremely refreshing to see a large, prominent, and historically accurate fund manager lay it on the line.
GMO does that quarter after quarter, with no-nonsense projections.
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Thursday, April 23, 2015
Stock Market No Clear Direction As Investors React To Quarterly Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, April 23, 2015
Distorted Financial System Expect Deflation, Inflation And Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: GoldSilverWorlds
Which ‘flation will it be? Deflation or inflation or both? Looking at the BIG PICTURE …
CRB: Deflationary pressures are clearly seen in commodities prices, which are currently at 2009 levels, at the depth of the collapse, as evidenced by the CRB (a proxy for commodities).
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Thursday, April 23, 2015
Stocks Bubble - The Spread between Stock Prices and GDP is Blowing Out / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Michael_Pento
On a fundamental basis stock prices are reflective of both economic and earnings growth. When growth is strong, stock prices should increase in value. And when economic activity decelerates or turns negative, stock prices should go down. Of course nothing is that simple -- especially today, when all markets are so highly manipulated by governments and central banks. Beginning in 2008 the markets followed the Fed on a magical journey down the rabbit hole into a wonderland where bad news is good news; and economic fundamentals and stock prices no longer move in tandem.
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
Is Europe Worth the investment? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: GoldSilverWorlds
Europe has often been portrayed as a drag on the world economy. Although it had - and still has - its fair share of problems, are things really as gloomy as they seem? In this article, we aim to analyze Europe more, examine how things really are, and answer the question of whether an investment in European equity markets makes sense or not.
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
The U.S. Dollar's Move Is More Dangerous than You Think / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: With earnings season here, what's lost in the "oohing and aahing" over the incoming results is a reasoned look at what's influencing the dollar's move and, more importantly, the effect it will have on our wallets, if not today, certainly down the road.
Earnings and corporate reports are a long game, and that game is in the early innings. Investors need to understand the reasons behind the strength in the dollar, why it is likely to persist, and how we need to prepare…
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Wednesday, April 22, 2015
Half a Stocks Bubble Off Dead Center / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
I can sense a growing unease as I talk with investors and other friends, from professional market watchers and traders to casual observers. What in the Wide World of Sports is going on? It is not just that markets are behaving in an unusual and volatile manner (see chart below showing multiple double-digit moves in the last few months); it’s that the data seems to be so conflicting. One day we get data that shows the economies of the developed world to be slowing, and the next day we get positive numbers. The ship of the economy seems to be drifting rudderless.
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Is U.S. Stocks Bull Market's Death Imminent? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
A common refrain from commentators over the last year or so is that the bull market in U.S. equities is “long in the tooth.” The very use of this phrase implies a market which has reached a stage of decrepitude from which only bad things can result. “Long in the tooth,” in other words, implies the imminent demise of the bull and the birth of a new bear market.
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Stock Market Topping Scenarios / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Wave (v) of [c] may not be complete yet. Assuming the labels and structure are correct, we may arrive at the final target for Wave (v). Since Wave (iii) is approximately 50% larger than Wave (i), we may assume that Wave (v) may seek equality with Wave (i) at 2115.84. This does not make Wave (v) of [c] the all-time high, but it gives us a minimum measure for Wave (v).
Another measure is that Minor Wave 3 is approximately 50% the size of Wave 1. Since the calculations must be a Fibonacci sequence, I suggest that Minor Wave 5 may be 31.8% the size of Wave 1, targeting 2126.47 as a probable target. This measure would create a final all-time high in SPX.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Stock Market April Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
Although my Hybrid Lindsay forecasts always assume a small time window surrounds any single-date point forecast, the forecast for a high on April 15 (see last week’s commentary) was spot-on. The work of George Lindsay deals with time (not price) and tells us that the pullback following last week’s high should be over quickly.
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