Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, October 03, 2014
Stock Market Crash, Collapse Imminent.... Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Wednesdays 228 point (1.4%) drop on the Dow triggered a hyperbolic wave of bearishness across the mainstream broadcast channels and the BlogosFear that in near unison proclaimed that the 5.5 year old stocks bull market had finally, DEFINITELY come to an end! The media's after the fact consensus coalesced around the reason that expectations for the U.S. Fed to bring QE to an end this month and signal that interest rate hikes are around the corner. So the market apparently panicked, that's if you call a 1.4% drop a panic, and despite the FACT that stocks actually do quite nicely during the early years of a RATE hiking cycle! In fact its rate CUTS that stocks bulls need to worry about for they signal WEAKNESS ahead. The complete opposite to what is being taken as granted by journalists who just tend to regurgitate what dribbles out of the mouths of clueless academics or salesmen.
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Stock Market Dow Jones Today Shows Warning Signs / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The best analogy I’ve heard for bubbles and why they ultimately burst is the example of dropping grains of sand that build a mound. It gets steeper and steeper until one grain of sand causes an avalanche.
You can clearly see when the mound is getting steep, but no one knows when the final grain will set it all into motion. I’m seeing growing signs from several angles that an avalanche is about to occur.
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Could there be a MiniStock Market Crash Today? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
During my studies, I observed that there are seven waves between 1985.17 and 1926.03. After considering the alternatives, the chart pattern on the left appeared to be the best interpretation. However, if we are to see a Pivot low Friday, it appears that Wave (b) of [b] would have to make a new low, but whether it gets as far as 1901.00-1908.00 as speculated earlier (or further) is unknown. A Wave (b) decline at the open Friday (for whatever reason) could work the market into a speculative frenzy. A Minute Wave [c] could be even more devastating.
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Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stock Market Top -Bear Market Begins / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
DOW reversal after completing ED pattern
The DOW was in an Ending Diagonal pattern which we have followed for many months before the recent downside. The chart below is from our members page and illustrates the completed pattern on Sept 23rd indicating a stock market top. On Friday Sept 19th, it appeared that the market top was likely in place, but we confirmed the reversal on Monday Sept 22nd.
Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stock Market Down Move Worst May Not Be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,030 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stock Market Falling....Bears Making Progress... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market has actually been struggling since early July. We were S&P 500 985 a few days into July, only to see us top out a bit ago at 2019. Only 2% higher before that gave way, and now we're actually below where we were at that early July reading. The froth has been catching up slowly, but surely. It has not allowed the market to make the next journey higher. Too many bulls. Not enough bears. The market getting full. Today we cracked 1950 on the S&P 500, or, basically, the two-year up trendline. Not good for the bulls. A long trend line, such as that, needs to hold, or things can get very nasty quite quickly. The market also started becoming more violent over the past three months, since that July top.
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Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stocks Interesting, Junk Bonds at Fair Value, Bill Gross Who Cares? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
David Tepper, co-founder of Appaloosa Management, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker on "Market Makers" today about a wide variety of subjects, including the bond market, the U.S. stock market, Bill Gross' departure from PIMCO and Roger Goodell. Appearing alongside Tepper for the interview was David Saltzman, executive director of the Robin Hood Foundation.
Tepper said that price-to-earnings ratios for U.S. stocks aren't high and that junk bonds are at the mid-point of fair value: "The U.S. economy is pretty good, stocks are not at high multiples right now." He also said: "I wish I didn't have any investment" in Fannie and Freddie.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Dow Stocks Index And The No Mercy Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The Dow hit an all time high at 17350 on the 19th September and there now seem to be many saying that is it - the bull market is done and the next great bear market is upon us. I disagree. For now, anyway. Let's investigate taking a bottom up approach beginning with the daily chart.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Bubble Trouble - What 2014 Demographic Trends Show About Urban Life / Stock-Markets / Demographics
Demographic trends clearly show that as any emerging or more developed country urbanizes, people tend to have fewer kids. Urban life costs more and people tend to be more highly educated and naturally, they want to better educate their kids… so they choose to have one or two.
Nearly 25% choose their well-paid careers and social life over having children.
Almost all developed countries are experiencing a slowing down of their economies due to fewer kids and sluggish demographic growth.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Getting Edgy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX Premarket is drifting lower as I write. It seems to be held momentarily at Cycle Bottom support at 1967.22. Once it breaks, the selling floodgates are opened, IMO.
ZeroHedge reports that equity futures are failing despite an onslaught of bad news from Europe.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Wil-e-Coyote Moment May Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX is doing a final retest of the 50-day Moving Average before dropping off its ledge. The decline may begin yet this afternoon, so I hope y’all are short, or doubly so. This is bear country for SPX.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Battle Important Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
This will be an important day because a formidable battle is going on.
Institutional Investors have been in Distribution, and the Fed will step up to the plate today and try to avert any negative consequences.
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Everything You Need to Know About the Stock Market S&P Index Until Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By Andrey Dashkov
When I need to clear my mind, I put on my beat-up Saucony sneakers and drive to nearby Deer Lake Park in Burnaby, British Columbia. After a couple of miles, though, as my body gets into a rhythm, my mind wanders back to the thought that occupy it for hours each day: where will this market go next?
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
SP500 and GOLD Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
US cash market will open in around 30mins when we may see a continuation to the upside following a reversal yesterday from 1955 seen on the S&P500. Based on the wave count we assume that price is now recovering in wave 2)/B) that could look for a resistance around 1990 later this week.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Stock Market SPX has a New Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Nothing is as simple as it first appears. However, the new Orthodox Broadening Top is giving us a clear crash signal at the lower trendline of the Larger Orthodox Broadening Top. This is reminiscent of the 1987 crash which had a larger Broadening Wedge and an Orthodox Broadening Top in the Wave 2 position.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Stock Market Breakdown And Save By The Bulls For Now...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The futures were rocking lower after protests in Hong Kong annihilated their market. Europe was down and we were sinking by the click with the Dow futures down nearly two points at their lows pre market. The S&P 500 1966 key-support double-low level was in jeopardy, and, sure enough, once the market opened, the S&P 500 made its way two points lower at 1964. It looked over, but strong positive divergences on the short-term sixty-minute charts saved the day as the S&P 500 came back from the lows to finish at 1977.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Epic Investor Optimism that Can Be Reversed Only by a Huge Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Here's What Rising Interest Rates Really Do to Your Shares / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Sid Riggs writes: There is a lot of lip service being paid to the upcoming stock market crash that we're supposed to expect once the Federal Reserve starts raising rates.
Every time we get close to a regularly scheduled Federal Reserve statement, financial pundits pontificate about the nuances of what the Fed Chair might say, not say, or imply.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Yo - Stock Market is Set For a Major Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Wall Street came to a halt recently, as Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba made its Initial Public Offering debut. The media became myopically focused over this so-called "historic event" and by its celebrity founder Jack Ma. By the time the closing bell had rung, the hype and fanfare propelled Alibaba up 36 percent on its first day of trading and caused the world's largest IPO to display a market cap worth $231 billion. The investing public seems to have forgotten the dangers associated with disregarding valuation metrics -- Alibaba is trading at a Price to Book value ratio north of 27!
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Is a Credible Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
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