Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Unpleasant After-Effects of Prolonged Low Interest Rates Starting to Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Michael Lombardi writes: There’s a notion among central banks of the global economy that goes like this: if you lower interest rates, you will get economic growth. On the surface, it makes sense; easy monetary policies by central banks are supposed to bring confidence to an economy—they’re supposed to encourage consumers and businesses to borrow, which should translate to more jobs created and an improvement in the standard of living.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Why the Stock Market Prefers Yellen So Much for New Fed Chief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: With recent news on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s possible replacements, we’re seeing even more evidence that the stock market gains really are largely dependent on the Fed’s current easy money environment.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
What Investors Can Do About Rising Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
Sasha Cekerevac writes: As my long-time readers are fully aware, one of the concerns I have brought up over this past year has been the reaction in the economy to what I believed would occur—higher interest rates.
As we are now seeing interest rates increase, the result of this action is beginning to seep through into the economy.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Investors - Why Russia is Hard to Ignore / Stock-Markets / Russia
Russian President Vladimir Putin created a stir recently when he shared his thoughts with Americans in an op-ed printed in The New York Times. According to The Times, very few pieces written by heads of state have been published by the paper and very few received the attention Putin attracted.But will the plea be influential? Will it change President Barack Obama’s or Americans’ opinion on the matter of Syria?
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Why the Roaring S&P 500 Is Really Showing Signs of Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Looking back over the past year, it’s quite amazing to see the shift in market sentiment. Last year, many investors were quite skeptical of the market, best represented by the S&P 500, and this led to cautious market sentiment.
This year, with the S&P 500 hitting new all-time highs, market sentiment has certainly improved substantially. But the question is: can the move continue?
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Prepare for "The Mother of All Bubbles" / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Shah Gilani writes: There are lots of reasons to be fully invested in the stock market. And that's why it's so important right now to keep an eye on all the bubbles.
They're everywhere. And we have plenty of reasons to fear any number of them bursting.
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Summers Out... Stock Market Likes But Fades Late.... Nasdaq Lags Badly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market sent a strong message today about what it thought of the prospects of Larry Summers taking over as the head of the federal reserve. Mr. Bernanke and his liquidity machine are on the way out this January. The market wanted to get more insight into who may take over. It wanted someone more in tune with the ways of Mr. Bernanke. In other words, free cash. Mr. Summers is known to be the opposite. He doesn't believe in nonstop stimulus where Ms. Yellen does believe in it. The market was hopeful to have someone step in who would basically keep the machine running if necessary, and thus, celebrated the news that came out over the weekend when Mr. Summers said he was no longer interested in being the head of the Fed world.
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
How to Make More Money Investing Than a Venture Capitalist / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Alex Daley writes: One set of investors has managed to catapult themselves to near-demigod status in recent years, with revelers hanging on their every word. They even have their own TV shows. Yet, with one simple investment, you could make double what they do. Here's how.
In some circles, they've become as iconic as Babe Ruth or Ted Williams. You overhear people talking about the time they met one in a surprise encounter in a swanky bar, as if they'd just brushed shoulders with a resident of Olympus. The mix of reverence, fear, and giddiness in the conversation is almost palpable.
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Stock Market Turn is Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
SPX did turn just about mid-day and is challenging its uptrend line. There are a lot of issues the market must contend with. First, there’s the taper. Second, there the interest rate spike, which the Fed is not prepared and hasn’t planned for. Third, Janet Yellen could not see the last crisis, showing her to be unprepared for the next one, as well. She is still the first candidate for the Fed Chairmanship, but appears totally unable to think independently. Maybe that’s what Obama wants?
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Credit Crisis Five Years Past or Five More in the Making / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Wall Street is now reflecting upon the fifth anniversary of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy and the start of the Credit Crisis. In fact, most are celebrating the belief that the complete collapse of the American economy was avoided thanks to a massive intervention of government-sponsored borrowing and money printing.
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Cycle Turn Date May Stop the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Good Morning!
Today is day 11 from the September 5 Trading Cycle high in TNX. It is also a potential turn date into a potential Primary Cycle high on September 29 through October 3. Primary Cycles can be very strong and sharp. You may recall that I have said, “Primary Cycles may often be spoken of in superlatives.” This one promises to be one of them.
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Summers Out, Syria Solved, Stock Markets Flying! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The Futures are flying!
Everything we were worried about is "fixed" and most of the Global markets are snapping higher this morning. That suits us just fine as we got much more aggressively bullish at our Strong Bounce lines on Tuesday (see "5 More Trade Ideas that Make 500% in an Up Market") and, even better, we nailed it again on oil, which is DOWN to $106.50 again this morning (/CL) for $2,000 PER CONTRACT gains!
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Stock Market September Bounce Accelerates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: For the second consecutive week, all eight indexes on my world watch list finished with gains, the first time that’s happened this year. In fact, prior to the last two weeks there have only been three other Friday closes when all eight posted gains: the first Friday of 2013, Friday May 10th, and Friday July 12. The Shanghai Composite was the week’s big winner, with a 4.50% advance. The Nikkei finished second with a 3.92% gain. The S&P 500′s 1.98% was only good enough to be the top of the second tier. The FTSE posted the smallest gain, a perfectly respectable 0.56%.
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Economic Heebie Jeebies And the Future of Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
It was, alas, one of those “good news/bad news” kind of week, in that my natural hostility and paranoid towards the monetary insanity of the Federal Reserve did not boil over in some pointless, screaming outburst of outrage.
Hmmm. “Outburst of outrage.” Not bad writing! See? It was THAT kind of week!
On the bad news side, having drawers full of old electronic things lying about, I somehow hit on the doomed-but-desperate plan to assemble some kind of transmitter with which to contact my home planet, wherever that is, by randomly soldering odd pieces of miscellaneous circuit boards together.
Monday, September 16, 2013
Commemorating Financial Panic: It Ain’t Over Yet! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
New York, New York: Media outlets love anniversaries. They become the makers and news-pegs for one-day stories that become pretexts for episodic coverage of key issues that substitute for ongoing critical reporting,
It’s a form of nostalgic ‘how are we doing coverage ‘ that aims to depoliticize the past or give us a grade, but not look too closely at the causes of the crisis.
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Stock Market Rally is Suspect But Larry Summers Comes to its Rescue! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX and some other indices have formed a H&S top which was confirmed with last week's sell-off. An intermediate term correction is under way.
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Sunday, September 15, 2013
Stock Market Bulls in Charge, Nothing But Bad Choices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
It is hard to imagine a more stupid or more dangerous way of making decisions than by putting those decisions in the hands of people who pay no price for being wrong. – Thomas Sowell
With a few exceptions here and there, crises in government funding don't simply arrive on the doorstep unannounced. Their progress toward the eventual Bang! moment is there for all the world to see. What final misdeed triggers the ultimate phase of the crisis is less predictable, but the root cause is almost always the same: debt. And whether that debt is actually borrowed or is merely promised to the populace, when the market becomes worried that the ability of the government to fund its promises is suspect, then the end is near. Last week we began a series on what I think is an impending crisis in the unfunded pension liabilities of state and local governments in the United States.
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Sunday, September 15, 2013
Major Signs of a Stock Market Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Tops never form cleanly.
I’ve made the mistake of attempting to call a top on the “dot” in the past. The reality is that anyone who attempts to do so is exercising their ego more than their judgment.
Market tops occur when investor psychology changes. But it’s not a clean shift. Investors, like any category of people, are comprised of numerous groups or sub-sects: some get it sooner than others.
Saturday, September 14, 2013
Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market staged a surprise this week, continuing its rally from the August 29th low at SPX 1628, by gapping up the first two days and hitting SPX 1690 by Thursday. We had expected the market to run into resistance at the SPX 1658-1667 range and even the OEW 1680 pivot range. But it managed to exceed both. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.5%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.55%, and the DJ World index was +2.3%. Economic reports came in with a positive bias. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, the PPI, the M1 multiplier, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit/sentiment, and export/import prices. Next week we have industrial production, the FOMC meeting, housing reports and options expiration.
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Saturday, September 14, 2013
Stock Market Reaches For New Highs Even As Risks Rise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The stock market took advantage of the lack of economic reports this week to rally back toward its bull market highs.
The previous week’s economic reports, particularly the dismal employment report last Friday, were forgotten as the threat of a military strike against Syria faded.
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