Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, July 09, 2012

Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Yet again, Another Bull Trap in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Garry_Abeshouse

The extraordinary end of month move up in the prices of currencies, oil, gold, copper and equities on June 29^th, should be a warning to all of the financial markets’ propensity for large and highly volatile short term moves. Moves facilitated by hedge funds using similar trading tools all making similar trading decisions at the same time. In this case it appeared to be initiated by rather intense end of quarter short covering exacerbated by a rather over-hyped prop-up style financial agreement in Euroland. Timing of this agreement just could not have been better, with very little media coverage at the time pointing out the insignificance of the amounts of money involved in bank support agreements, compared to the trillions of dollars at risk associated with a deteriorating world economy. My earlier discussion on end of month trading shenanigans by the hedge funds in my last commentary on June 4th, was certainly well timed.  

Monday, July 09, 2012

Stock Market Short-term Correction Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX is back in an intermediate uptrend.

Monday, July 09, 2012

Making Accurate Stock Market Forecasts Using U.S. Dollar Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The term Stock market predictions is a very controversial topic and does seem to give off a negative/non-credible overtone to most traders, investors and the general public. We all know you cannot predict the market with 100% certainty, but knowing that you can still predict the market more times than not if done correctly. Keep in mind that the term "market prediction" is also known as a market forecast or technical analysis outlook and is nothing more than a estimated guess of where the price for a specific investment is likely to move in the coming minutes, hours, days, weeks and even months.

Sunday, July 08, 2012

Into the Matrix of the Stocks Earnings Curve Effect Deflation / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings

By: John_Mauldin

What does the current environment of earnings and valuations tell us about the prospects for the US stock markets in general over the next 3-5-7-10 years? This week we have part two of "Bull's Eye Investing Ten Years Later," which we started last week. These two letters have been co-authored with Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research. We take a look at research we did almost ten years ago as part of my book Bull's Eye Investing, updating the data and asking,"Are we there yet? When will we get to the end of the secular bear market?" We will start with a few paragraphs from last week's letter and then move right along.

Sunday, July 08, 2012

Global Stock Markets Uptrend Ready to Resume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

Overall it was a good week for the US stock market. The SPX eclipsed its previous uptrend high at 1363, on its way to 1375 on tuesday. Then after the mid-week holiday a pullback followed, from extremely overbought condtions. By week’s end the SPX/DOW were -0.7%, but the NDX/NAZ were flat. Overseas markets were mixed as well, with Asia +1.3%, Europe -1.1%, and the DJ World index -0.2%. On the economic front it was another positive week with positive reports outpacing negative ones 7 - 3. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services and investor sentiment. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, auto sales, the ADP index, the WLEI, plus Payrolls rose and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week we’ll have the FOMC minutes, the twin deficits and the PPI.

Sunday, July 08, 2012

Stock Market Forecast for the Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Manas_Banerji

Few weeks ago experts were talking about big sell-off but it looks to me that game is changing, as now many indexes are looking better. I think that only aggressive investors may take a call now and for others it is better to look on March top. Coming week is very important for these stock indexes because most of them are in a position where from they can go either way. So therefore, specific levels are going to be the key for any decision making.

Saturday, July 07, 2012

U.S. Job Creation?.....Not Really......Market Takes A Small Hit........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The back and forth whipsaw remains alive and well as we failed yet again near the top of some short-term wedges. The news that drove the market lower today came from the world of job creation, and showed fewer than expected. The market was dreaming of a number at 100,000, but it only received 84,000. Not horrible. Not worthy of a stock market annihilation, but worthy enough of a nasty day that saw man leaders get pulverized. It's a worrisome event. When a market is both overbought and flashing negative divergences on its short-term 60-minute time frame charts, you can't come in below expectations. If you do you feel the pain.

Saturday, July 07, 2012

Markets, Economies, Central Banks - All Out of Power! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

Having topped out into corrections in March and April, most global markets rallied back some in June, fueled by hopes that June’s unusual schedule of promising events would provide rescues for the eurozone and the U.S. economy. As those events arrived, if one or two failed to produce results, the rally only paused momentarily as there were still remaining events that might produce results.

Friday, July 06, 2012

Measuring Global Econcomic Health, How is Dr Copper Feeling? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Casey_Research

Louis James and Andrey Dashkov, Casey Research writes: Copper is sometimes referred to as "Dr. Copper," because the metal is used in so many industrial applications and is essential for many different sectors of the economy, from infrastructure to housing to consumer electronics. That usually makes its price action a good indicator of the state of the global economy.

Friday, July 06, 2012

Obama and the Stock Market, Presidential Elections 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Zeal_LLC

After the US Supreme Court inexplicably redefined Obamacare to uphold its constitutionality, politics are very much back in the news.  And with the all-important US elections only 4 months away, it’s only going to get worse.  Interestingly, the state of the US stock markets heading into voting is likely to both predict and heavily influence the outcome.  The markets’ impact on Americans’ collective psyche is vast.

Wednesday, July 04, 2012

Stock Market Giving Major Correction Signs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: David_Banister

The SP 500 has rallied up into the 1375/77 pivot areas as I had outlined to my subscribers about 10 days ago on the weekend update as possible highs for C wave up from the 1267 SP 500 lows of June.  Many forecasters are now getting very bullish, but I continue to see divergences with The Elliott Wave counts and other indicators that are giving me some short term concerns, and then we can determine if these are long term issues still for the markets.

Tuesday, July 03, 2012

Is the Stock Market S&P500 Index Closing on on a Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Friday’s strong move to the upside caught a lot of traders on the wrong side of the market. Regardless of whether financial pundits refer to it as a short-squeeze or simply panic level buying is largely irrelevant. Time and price are always the final arbiters of financial markets. Price on Friday was clearly telling us that too many market participants were shorting equities and the Euro.

Monday, July 02, 2012

Silver and Financial Markets Are Manipulated, But So What? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Jesse

Someone sent this video clip to me in response to the things I have written earlier today.

I find the whole discussion absolutely remarkable when viewed from an objective, or at least a non-American and non-financial industry, point of point. The exceptionalism and denial in this is surprising to watch.

Monday, July 02, 2012

Stock Market at the Point of Reversal, Danger of a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

FXE (125.35) appears to have reached the apex of minor wave 2 on Friday. As spirited and threatening as they appear, short-covering rallies generally don’t have the fuel to make new highs since the new shorts were taken on after the high on June 19. Rallies that are meant to shake out the shorts generally do not involve any investment on behalf of the institutions that engineer them. They are only too glad to buy back the short positions of their hapless victims.

Monday, July 02, 2012

Jim Rogers Says Stock Market Surge from Eurozone Debt Crisis Deal Won't Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Stock markets around the world soared Friday in reaction to the morning's Eurozone debt crisis deal, but noted investor Jim Rogers wasn't impressed.

"This is no more than just another temporary stopgap to make the market feel good for a few hours, days or even weeks," Rogers, Chairman of Rogers Holdings, told CNBC. "Then everybody's going to wake up and say, "This doesn't solve the problem.'"

Monday, July 02, 2012

Stock Market Intermediate Low Confirmed, Corrective Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX is probably putting the finishing touches on an intermediate-term bottom.

Sunday, July 01, 2012

Stock Market Short Squeezes Do Not Change Bear Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- VIX retested its wave [2] low, but did not break below it.  This action may be interpreted as a smaller wave (2).  The Master Cycle low on June 21 still stands.  The effort to suppress the VIX has not changed either the Elliott Wave action or the Cycle pattern.
SPX has a window dressing moment.

Sunday, July 01, 2012

Stocks Secular Bear Market Investing / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Mauldin

It's been almost a decade since I co-authored with Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research some research in this letter that later became chapters five and six of Bull's Eye Investing. Although the ten-year anniversary of the book is actually 2013, the current vulnerabilities in the markets encouraged us to revisit the material a bit early, to prepare you for what lies ahead. Reflecting back to yesteryear gives us the opportunity to assess the accuracy of our insights.

Saturday, June 30, 2012

Global Stock Market Uptrend Confirmations Pending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild week on Wall Street as the market had gap openings on four of the five days. In the end it was a positive week as there was a gap up opening on friday which took the market to its highest levels of the week. Even the economic news improved somewhat to a balance between positive and negative reports. On the uptick: new/pending home sales, Case-Shiller home prices, durable goods orders, the Chicago PMI and weekly jobless claims ticked down. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, personal spending, new home prices, the monetary base and the WLEI. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.95%, and the NDX/NAZ were +1.35%. Asian markets rallied 1.3%, European markets rose 2.8%, and the DJ World index gained 2.4%. Next week we have a mid-week holiday with reports on ISM, and on friday the monthly Payrolls report.

Saturday, June 30, 2012

Europe Gets What It Wants....Merkel Gives In..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The only person holding back the Eurozone from flooding the banks in need with cash was Germany's Mrs. Merkel. A smart woman who insisted her country would not support efforts to inflate through the printing of dollars to support financially troubled banks throughout Spain, Ireland, Greece, Portugal and Italy. I guess the pressure became too overwhelming as she did cave in and finally supported those efforts to inflate the banks. She'll be grilled hard as her country will now also pay the price down the road, but the bottom line is she did cave in and she did support the efforts. The market ate it up in a positive way.