Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, March 04, 2012

Stock Market Ending an Diagonal Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is forming.

Sunday, March 04, 2012

S&P 1370 Still too tough to Break, Time for Selling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The bulls have worked long and hard to get this market to break out lover the current big resistance level at S&P 500 1370, but after many attempts over the past several days, it may be best if they give up their efforts and allow the markets to sell some to allow things to unwind far more deeply on those long overbought oscillators. Stocks such as Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN) could use a rest, and if they get it, this would allow the market to pull back and take the necessary pause to refresh. The bulls would actually be best served if they let this take place as it would offer up a far better buying juncture down the road. A few weeks, or months, of slight downward action would really get the job done, but we can't be sure this is about to take place, although there are subtle hints. There are somewhat more labored MACD's on the daily index charts, some leaders in various sectors are starting to lose their 50-day exponential moving averages, which is a real change of trend that hasn't happened in many months, and we are seeing a few more economic reports come in below expectations lately, this week to be exact, and this could help the bears get a bit more aggressive and tell the bulls to step back.

Sunday, March 04, 2012

Stock Market Uptrend Top for Potential Extension / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

A consolidation week for the major US indices, as the SPX traded in another narrow range: 1355-1378, but made another new uptrend high. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, but the NDX/NAZ were +0.7%. Asian markets gained 0.6%, European markets gained 0.7%, but the DJ World index was -0.1%. Economic reports for the week were mixed: 6 Up and 6 Down. On the downtick: durable goods orders, Case-Shiller, personal income, ISM manufacturing, construction spending and investor sentiment. On the uptick: pending home sales, consumer confidence, Q4 GDP, the Chicago PMI, personal spending, and the WLEI. Overall it was a fairly quiet trendless week after wednesday’s open. Next week: the monthly Payrolls report, Consumer credit and ISM services.

Saturday, March 03, 2012

Groundhog Day Meets the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

Another day, another week passed and it feels like we are all living a dream and playing the role Bill Murray did in the movie Groundhog Day. Virtually the past week felt like February 2nd.

Still there were some trades around for those traders that were keeping in touch with the markets. The obvious ones were gold and silver.

Saturday, March 03, 2012

DOW Ending Diagonal Pattern, Stock Market to Head Sharply Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Dan_Stinson

DOW Short Term Forecast Update

Many investors have been frustrated with the choppy action on the DOW, so we have provided a chart to illustrate our forecast on the expected price action. This corrective choppy action is an ending diagonal pattern which is a terminal pattern. We should see further downside below the lower trendline with a a sharp decline to at least the starting point of the ED pattern at 12550. We should expect to see a brief rally at this level before further downside.

Saturday, March 03, 2012

Stock Market Dismisses Doom and Points to the Road to Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Doug_Wakefield

Over the last 11 weeks, investors have enjoyed a continuing rising trend in equity markets. If the news pointed to rising tensions in the Middle East, higher cost at the gas pump, debt levels around the world that nations could not sustain, they were all dismissed. The road to "recovery" has spoken in "the markets".

Friday, March 02, 2012

Gaining From Gargantua Until it Collapses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“I’d rather write about laughing than crying. For laughter makes men human and courageous.”

La vie de Gargantua et de Pantagruel

Francois Rabelais

There is indeed a Gargantuan Giant growing in the International Economy and Markets. It is growing, and will continue to grow, until it collapses, inevitably.

Friday, March 02, 2012

Why is the Financial World So Messed Up? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Graham_Summers

Why is the financial world so messed up? Because it’s run by Central Bankers. And those folks view money very differently from the businesspeople who actually create businesses, jobs, and wealth.

For your average Central Banker, the professional relationship between money and risk is a distant one. This has much to do with the fact that your average Central Banker is an academic, someone whose income has been fixed based on his or her status at a particular academic institution (tenure vs. non-tenured).

Friday, March 02, 2012

Will the Stock Market Ever Correct / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Toby_Connor

That seems to be the question that everyone has been asking themselves for two months now. Analysts have been trying to pick a top in this market for weeks. All the while I've been telling, actually begging, people not to sell short. Until the dollar puts in an intermediate bottom there is just little chance that the stock market is going to suffer any meaningful correction.

There was the possibility that occurred in early February as the dollar rallied enough to form a weekly swing. However that rally quickly failed and rolled over into another left translated cycle. That gave the market enough impetus to push through the July and May 2011 highs.

Thursday, March 01, 2012

The Most Important Investment You Can Make Right Now / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I was taken aback by the question: "What is the single most important investment I can make right now?"

Not by the question itself - I get that one a lot.

But because of who was asking it and what they excluded.

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Dow Closed Above 13000: What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

Kerri Shannon writes: he Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 13000 yesterday (Tuesday) for the first time since May 19, 2008, as investors remain optimistic amid global economic unease.

The Dow gained 0.18%, or 23.61 points, to close just above the mark at 13005.12.

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Stock Market Breadth Aligns With Pullback Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Yesterday, we noted some bad news would probably be needed to tip the scales in this market. This morning’s economic data fits the “bad news” bill. From Reuters:

New orders for long-lasting manufactured goods fell in January by the most in three years as demand slumped across the board, suggesting the economy started the year on weaker footing than expected. Durable goods orders dropped 4.0 percent, the biggest decline since January 2009 when the country was still mired in a deep recession, according to Commerce Department data on Tuesday.

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

MF Global Crime, Comedy and the Cover-Up / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Janet_Tavakoli

MF Global's October 2011 bankruptcy was the eighth largest bankruptcy by assets in the United States. James Giddens, the bankruptcy trustee, issued a press release on February 6 stating that his investigation found that money from customer accounts that was supposed to be segregated was improperly used to fund MF Global's daily activities. Improper transfers of customer money occurred regularly in amounts under $50 million before MF Global's bankruptcy. MF Global wasn't caught, because it put the money back before customers knew it was missing.

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Gold Stocks and U.S. Dollar What To Expect Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This morning we are seeing the US Dollar index move higher retesting a short term breakdown resistance level. What this means is that the dollar fell below support and is not slowing drifting back up to test the breakdown level. As we all know once a support level is broken it then becomes resistance. So if that holds true with the current move in the dollar we should see stocks and commodities find a short term bottom and continue higher today or tomorrow from the looks of things.

Monday, February 27, 2012

Stock Market Short-term Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is forming.

Monday, February 27, 2012

2012 & Beyond: Pain at the Pump is Here to Stay, But it Won't Doom the Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Submissions

Cetin Hakimoglu writes: In  April 29, 2011 I wrote an article titled "Dyseconomics: The New Macro Econ and The Greatest Economic Boom Ever" which predicts a huge bull market combined with surging living expenses, surging commodity prices and counterintuitively tame bond market inflation. Immediatly thereafter, we entered a steep correection on European debt fears, but with the dow within striking distance of 13000, oil $109 and gas approaching $4/gallon and treasuries still remarkably strong, the original premise of Dyseconomics remains unchanged. (http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article27835.html)

Monday, February 27, 2012

The Irrelevant Dow Industrials Stock Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andy_Sutton

With the ‘breaking news’ on Tuesday morning being the fact that the Dow Jones Industrials had broken 13,000 for the first time since 2008, the immediate spin from the majority of the mainstream press revolved around ‘see, its all better now’. Their evidence for this ridiculous statement? The performance of 30 stocks and an index that changes more than a flip-flopping politician during campaign season.

Sunday, February 26, 2012

Stock Market Uptrend Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another quiet week in the US equity market as the entire range for the week was between SPX 1352 and 1369. While the SPX did not make a new print high, above 1371, it did make a new closing high for the bull market. Now all four major US indices are in new bull market territory. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.3%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.6%. Asian markets gained 0.4%, European markets lost 0.2%, and the DJ World index was +0.9%. On the economic front it was a quiet mixed week. On the uptick: consumer sentiment, new home sales, the WLEI, and the monetary base made a new high. On the downtick: existing home sales, FHFA housing prices, the M1 multiplier, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we’ll get a look at the first revision of Q4 GDP, the FED’s beige book, Case-Shiller and PCE prices. Best to your weekend and week!

Saturday, February 25, 2012

Financial Markets 2012: Bombs... er Government Bonds, Fiat Currencies and Gold / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012

By: Ty_Andros

The UNFOLDING destruction of the developed world's economies and financial/currency systems continues apace. Public servants are trying to defy Mother Nature with the stroke of a pen; she will not yield to this. Radical Marxist POLITICAL solutions to practical problems are at the end of their collective ropes (double entendre intended). You CANNOT store wealth in paper, PERIOD. Those who do will get what they deserve: NOTHING. It has been and will be printed endlessly from this point forward as Socialist government policies have destroyed wealth creation and substituted Ponzi asset-backed economies in their place. Now those economic models have reached their COLLECTIVE endpoints.

Saturday, February 25, 2012

Stock Market Another Week Of Solid Action...And At Overbought...Risk Increasing... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

Not that the market did very much this week. It did very little. However, it did hold well considering how long the daily RSI's on many of the major index charts have been overbought. 70 RSI's have been normal behavior for several weeks. They went a few moments below from time to time, but overall the market has been staying overbought. Because of this reality, the majority of people are starting to act as if the market is due for a stronger pullback, but I'll cover more on that in a bit. With a market this overbought for this long, it makes sense that each day is losing its volatility as the VIX is now well below 20 again. Things can be awfully boring with a VIX well under 20. So little movement.