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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, July 24, 2020

The Prospects of S&P 500 Above the Early June Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

The announced S&P 500 upswing is underway, and the early June highs have been overcome on a closing basis. Will the regular trading's final hour sprint carry over into today's session?  Are the bulls as strong as the one-sided result of Monday's trading suggests?

That's not a foregone conclusion, because we've seen quite a shift from Friday's sectoral dynamics. In today's analysis, I'll dive into the internals and lay out the case why the bulls still enjoy the benefit of the doubt, regardless of the persisting bearish sentiment and double top talk.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 23, 2020

US Stock Market Stalls Near A Double Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US stock market stalled early this week as earnings started to hit.  A number of news and other items are pending with earnings just starting to roll in.  There have been some big numbers posted from JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs.   Yet, the markets have reacted rather muted to these blowout revenues.

We believe this is a technical “Double Top” set up in the making.  The NASDAQ has been much weaker than the S&P and the Dow Industrials.  We believe the US stock market is reacting to the reality of earnings and forward guidance after the recent rally in price levels over the past 9+ weeks.  If we are correct and this Double-Top pushes price levels lower, then this technical resistance level may become the price ceiling headed into Q3 and Q4 2020.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 22, 2020

This Stock Market Stinks - But Not Why You May Think / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Avi_Gilburt

I have been on vacation this last week, and when I had some downtime and the family was asleep, one of the activities in which I engaged was to peruse the articles written over the last week on the market. (Yea, I know... call me a nerd if you like). And, during my reading, I came to the realization that there is certainly a lot of manure being flung around of late.

Ultimately, I am just shocked that there are so many perspectives being presented as support for a bearish or bullish position that make it so clear that the author is not burdened by the facts.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035! / Stock-Markets / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the third and final article in my 3 part series of analysis that concludes in a detailed 15 year stock market trend forecast for AI stocks, including a stand alone forecast for Alphabet (Google) into 2027.

Part 1 The AI Stocks Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead!

Part 2 Tech Stocks Trending Towards the Quantum AI EXPLOSION!

However the whole of this extensive analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work - Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035!.

  • Why Investors Should Buy Deviations against the Bull Market Highs
  • The AI Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead!
  • QUANTUM COMPUTERS
  • The Quantum AI EXPLOSION!
  • Capitalising on the AI Mega-trend
  • AI Stocks Mega-trend
  • Formulating a AI Stocks Mega Trend Forecast
  • AI Stocks Mega-tend 15 Year Trend Forecast Conclusion
  • Dow Quick Technical Take
  • Getting Started with Machine Learning
  • Black Lives Matter Protests To trigger 2nd Covid-19 Wave?
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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 20, 2020

Stock Market Time for Caution?  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.

SPX Intermediate trend:  We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the next few days.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 19, 2020

Stock Market Fantasy Finance: Follow the Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger takes a look at the latest moves in the financial and precious metals markets, and updates his investment strategy moving into late summer.

I've only just returned from the majesty of Georgian Bay, where the first fishing derby of the season had me summarily trounced by my female partner 12 to 5, with most of her catches in the 1- to 2-pound category and mine barely larger than the lure that attracted them.

Adding to this humiliation was that, despite that I have harangued incessantly about the urgency of "setting the hook" once you get a strike, I lost four 1-pound-plus bass within three feet of the dinghy by failing to properly execute that about which I constantly lecture.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 19, 2020

Did the Stock Market Bubble Just Pop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Doug_Wakefield

It has been 18 months since I closed Best Minds Inc. Today I am teaching math. I love math because even when opinions appear totally wrong, math is still based on proofs.

So let’s prove that we are in a massive financial bubble that today, may have finally popped, even with all the “help” from central planners of market manipulation.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 19, 2020

Quick Souring of the S&P 500 Stock Market Mood / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

We got that extension of Friday's rally on Monday, as I called for. Vaccine hype news. Good for bulls with tight exit orders – I managed to take a 55-points profit off the table. But big tech (think Microsoft, Amazon) suffered with talk of its bubble rising, U.S. – China tensions increased, and California sweepingly rolled back its reopening.

Spooky stuff for stocks, and they tanked. The brightening outlook I discussed after Friday's session, didn't last all that long. But is the selling over now, or we better brace for some more?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 17, 2020

The Bizarre Mathematics Of How Negative Interest Rates Create Stratospheric Profits / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Dan_Amerman

There is an increasingly good chance that the United States could end up following Europe and Japan, and that the Federal Reserve could use its vast powers of monetary creation to force a move to negative interest rates.

If that deeply unnatural event happens, it will invert and distort the very foundations of investment pricing, in ways that are little understood by most investors today.

It will also - for a time - create an unnatural source of profits that most investors have no idea about, because it has never happened before in the United States (and is still in the early stages in the United Kingdom).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Dow Stock Market Crash Watch - Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: readtheticker

Like 1929 the markets have bounced. This time it is on the back of the FED $6.5T money printing.

Previous Post: Dow 2020 Crash Watch

But can the FED blow $6T every time the market rolls down to test support.

Yes, maybe before the US 2020 elections the FED will do 'what it takes'. But post elections not so much, the year 2021 is a long way from the next election (presidential or congress) and defense of the markets may not be so supportive at $6T or $10T per market smash. The FED may hesitate, and that will be window for stocks to break lower.

The 36 month simple moving average (SMA) is a good indicator of the Dow Jones trend (36 months is three years). It has been a good indicator of Dow break outs over the last 100 years.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Retail Stock Market Traders & Investors Squeezed to Buy High-Risk Assets Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Yes, we certainly live in interesting times.  This, the last segment of our multi-part article on the current Q2 and Q3 2020 US and global economic expectations, as well as current data points, referencing very real ongoing concerns, we urge you to continue using common sense to help protect your assets and families from what we believe will be a very volatile end to 2020.  If you missed the first two segments of this research article, please take a moment to review them before continuing.

On May 24th, 2020, we published this research article related to our super-cycle research. It is critical that you understand what is really happening in the world as we move through these major 21 to 85+ year super-cycles and apply that knowledge to the data we have presented in the first two segments of this research post.  Within that article, we quoted Ray Dalio from a recent article published related to his cycle research.

“In brief, after the creation of a new set of rules establishes the new world order, there is typically a peaceful and prosperous period. As people get used to this they increasingly bet on the prosperity continuing, and they increasingly borrow money to do that, which eventually leads to a bubble. As prosperity increases the wealth gap grows. Eventually, the debt bubble bursts, which leads to the printing of money and credit and increased internal conflict, which leads to some sort of wealth redistribution revolution that can be peaceful or violent. Typically at that time late in the cycle, the leading empire that won the last economic and geopolitical war is less powerful relative to rival powers that prospered during the prosperous period, and with the bad economic conditions and the disagreements between powers, there is typically some kind of war. Out of this debt, economic, domestic, and world-order breakdowns that take the forms of revolutions and wars come new winners and losers. Then the winners get together to create the new domestic and world orders.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

SPX about to Challenge 8/08 High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Having rallied well past a .618 retracement of the decline into March 2020, it is time to consider the possibility that the retracement was only an interruption of the bull market which originated in 2009.

Intermediate trend Still in an uptrend since March

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, July 13, 2020

Stock Market Dow 30k before End of 2020? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Looking at the way the Dow has behaved to date in the wake of the the Great Corona Crash of 2020.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 13, 2020

Credit Market Investments Turned Into End-User Risk Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Continuing our research from Part I, into what to expect in Q2 and Q3 of 2020, we’ll start by discussing our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system and our belief that the US stock market is rallied beyond proper expectation levels.  The Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling systems attempts to identify price and technical indicator DNA markers and attempts to map our these unique price setups.  Then, it attempts to learn from the past DNA markers and apply that learned price behavior to future price DNA markers.  In this manner, it learns from the past and applies that knowledge to the future.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Stop Believing The 'Economy' Is The Same As The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Avi_Gilburt

There are so many fallacies perpetuated and regurgitated throughout the market, yet there is so little time to appropriately address them all.

Of late, almost all the “analysis” or comments you read or hear is based upon a superficial understanding of the market propagated through “common-speak.” And, that is exactly why they all seem to be so confused:

“The stock market is confusing a lot of people right now. It seems simple: news is bad, there's a pandemic for the first time in generations, people are dying, and the economy has taken a beating for the ages. Stocks should go down, right? But they're not. They've recovered so much of their March slide that they've produced the shortest bear market in history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was in a bear market for just three days.”

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 11, 2020

The Big Short 2020 – World Pushes Credit/Investments Into Risk Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

One thing is very certain right now – we live in very interesting times.  As the world rushes head-first into the 21st Century, it appears one of the most pressing issues before all of us is to navigate the risks and opportunities that continue to stack up ahead of us.  Within the first 20 years of this century, the global markets have experienced many shifts and big price rotations.  Emerging markets, Oil, Technology, Bio-Tech, Miners, Metals, Currencies, Cryptos – we can look at all of these on a longer-term basis and see a boom cycle and a moderate bust cycle event.

The current trends suggest global investors are pouring capital into the US technology stocks which is what is driving the NASDAQ to new all-time highs.  We published this article in late June suggesting a parabolic top pattern may be setting up in the global markets – which may be very similar to the DOT COM peak in 1999~2000 explained here.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 10, 2020

Stock Market: "Relevant Waves Vs. Irrelevant News" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

Let's (again) delve into the connection between the stock market and news

The stock market is a fractal -- i.e., a self-repeating form at all degrees of trend. Meaning, without the time or price labels, you can't tell if you're looking at a 2-minute chart or at a monthly one.

What's more, stock market trends unfold in repetitive and recognizable price patterns.

What's more, these patterns -- Elliott wave pattens -- emerge regardless of the news.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 07, 2020

A Reason to be "Extra-Attentive" to Stock Market Sentiment Measures / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

Extreme investor sentiment, whether bullish or bearish, is often a sign that a financial market is on the cusp of a turn.

Here's the reason: When almost everyone is bullish (or bearish), there's almost no one left to push the market higher (or lower).

Having said that, an extreme market sentiment can become even more extreme before a trend change occurs. So, an investor should not rely solely on sentiment measures when making portfolio decisions. In other words, sentiment measures should be put into context with technical indicators, the Elliott wave model and other factors which an Elliott wave expert may consider important.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 07, 2020

Stock Market Bears Lose Epic Battle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Ricky_Wen

Tuesday’s session played out as an upside trend day where every dip was bought as price action formed higher lows and higher highs. The context is quite clear as both bulls and bears were duking it out for the monthly and quarterly closing print. When one side loses a critical battle and keeps losing on numerous key setups, then it is what it is.

The new main takeaway from the past couple days is that the bears lost an epic battle and now the overall pattern is becoming fairly bullish given the high-level consolidation/channel on the daily and weekly charts. If you recall, the more time that the price action consolidates near the highs, the higher odds it gives the the ongoing bulls because the gummy bears were not able to entice the real, big, bad bears to rotate come into town. If price action keeps sustaining above 3030 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES) in the coming days, then market participants will have to be looking for an eventual breakout to the upside.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 06, 2020

Stock Market Short-term Peaking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

 SPX: Long-term trend – Having rallied well past a .618 retracement of the decline into March 2020, it is time to consider the possibility that the retracement was only an interruption of the bull market which originated in 2009.

Intermediate trend Down into mid-July

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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