Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, February 13, 2011
Buying Homes with Cash… Gold Edges Closer to Currency Status / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Steve McDonald writes: Despite the gloomy housing numbers, many of the hardest hit areas in the real estate crash are seeing big new buying activity.
And not only that, it’s happening in cash.
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Sunday, February 13, 2011
Gold Bull Market Parabola / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
GoldRunner writes: Gold is in an historic Bull Market because most nations are printing their paper currencies like they are going out of style (and maybe they are) as each nation tries to battle off the massive deflationary backdrop of debt that has permeated most of the world. This surge of debt monetization - this devaluing of the U.S. Dollar for one - has set the scene for a parabolic rise in $Gold to $1860, or higher, over the coming months before an intermediate-term correction takes place. Let me explain.
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Sunday, February 13, 2011
Gold Fails to Respond to Middle East Crisis, Looks Ready for More Downside Action / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The upheaval in the Middle East has done nothing for gold. It looks like gold is ready for more downside action. A move to $1305 would not be good. The “Penny Arcade Index” is still okay so any downside activity shouldn’t last for too long.
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Saturday, February 12, 2011
Gold is as Good as Cash and Wields More Power / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is now functioning as collateral to compensate for potential losses in the portfolios of financial institutions.
One month ago, I proposed there may be an underlying economic basis for gold to reach $4,000 per ounce in the next decade. This scenario is looking more probable given these recent developments.
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Saturday, February 12, 2011
Gold, the Mother of All Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Market commentator and investor Peter Grandich of Grandich.com and Grandich Publications tells The Gold Report that certain plays on surging demand and looming commodity shortages are no-brainers for investors, and he shares a few ideas on how to profit from these conditions. Peter also believes that U.S. monetary policy has been a disaster and that it will "end badly" for the U.S. stock market and economy. He's bullish on China and on base—and especially—precious metals, energy, food and water. Gold and silver are still his big plays.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Gold Timing, Gold:Bonds Ratio Matters Over Bond Yields' Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Inflation vs. market fluctuations is always a hot topic in precious metal markets. Inflation is good for gold, which has a long history of acting as a hedge against it. With rising inflation it is likely that there will be a corresponding rise in the price of precious metals; that brings us to the question, how do you value gold? It is evident that there is no scientific method for valuing gold since it’s a non-earning asset. Perhaps we should value gold by “1/n, where ‘n’ is investor confidence in paper currencies. But how do you measure ‘n’? Let’s have a look into the history.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Seven Steps To Reclaiming The Nuclear Energy Initiative / Commodities / Nuclear Power
Once there was a time when America bestrode the nuclear world as a colossus. Names such as Einstein, Oppenheimer, Manhattan Project helped to win World War 2 and contribute to many peacetime applications as well. Over the ensuing decades the United States allowed other nations to take the lead in the development of nuclear power.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Insuring Your Pension Savings With Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
How much gold is too much gold if you're a fixed-income investor...?
GOLD DOESN'T pay any income, of course. Which is why retirees and pensioners should hate it.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Gold and Silver the Ultimate Profit Keys and Wealth Protection / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
“The lack of growth in the M3 measure — traditional broadest money supply measure used by the Fed until its abandonment in March 2006 — suggests a re-intensifying systemic solvency crisis, as does the continued lack of growth in bank lending. The implications here remain extremely negative for broad economic activity. On the inflation front, however, where there is an overhang of $7 trillion or so outside the United States — being held at the whim of dollar investors — that has to be considered in the U.S. monetary picture. Higher prices already are being seen in a number of dollar-denominated commodities, ranging from oil to food. The higher prices are anticipating and fueling the early stages of Mr. Bernanke’s desired debasement of the dollar.”
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Red Hot Copper Hits new High With Stocks Primed for Correction / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Red-hot copper hit another new all-time high this week, extending its mighty upleg to a 66.6% gain since June! As always after any strong run, investors and speculators are pretty excited about this essential base metal these days. But this incredible bullishness, along with overbought technicals, actually suggests copper is on the verge of a major correction today.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Gold, Silver and the Validity of Technical Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Recently the economics site: www.FinanceandEconomics.org published an article on "Precious Metals and the validity of Technical Analysis. We completely agree with the thoughts expressed there and in this piece would like to expand on their thoughts here. Over the last eight years or so we have seen the Technical Analysis approach to the gold price give incorrect signals, when seen in isolation. Many times the technical picture pointed down on the gold price in the face of a strong fundamental picture. We know that this has wrong-footed many gold investors who found themselves waiting for a fall only to see it consolidate then rise.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Silver Bullion Backwardation Suggests Supply Stress / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold and silver are higher against all currencies (except the Canadian dollar) in the wake of the worse than expected trade deficit number ($40.6 billion). Sterling and euro are particularly weak against gold and the US dollar today.
Silver backwardation continues and while spot silver is at $30.09/oz, the March 2011 contract is at $30.07/oz and April at $30.01/oz. Incredibly, the July 2012 contract is trading at $29.93/oz and the December 2013 contract at $29.91/oz.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Gold Rises as Stocks Slip / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
DOLLAR-PRICED GOLD held onto this week's 1% gain in London trade by Friday lunchtime, holding steady against the rising US currency as bonds pushed higher but world stock markets headed for their first weekly loss in three.
"Euro denominated gold has now convincingly broken back above the €1000 level" per ounce, says one London dealer in a note.
Friday, February 11, 2011
Sugar Bulls Faltering at Long Term 76.4% Level / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Following the sharp 2010 drop back in Sugar the subsequent recovery has seen new highs which have tested a long term Fibonacci level. We currently await a better reaction around here but, so far, the market is finding resistance.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Monetary Inflation and Supply Concerns Drive Commodities More So Than Demand / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The mainstream press loves to talk about emerging market demand as a cause of inflation, rising prices and the bull market in commodities. Did emerging markets suddenly begin demanding food, energy and metals in 2001? What about five and ten years earlier? Its a rhetorical question. The conventional wisdom is wrong.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Investors Should Focus on Chinese Agri-Food Stocks Opportunities / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Today a sign of true wealth is owning a horse. Cost of feeding them has escalated dramatically as Agri-Food prices have risen. Owning two horses is an ostentatious flaunting of one’s wealth. Paying an Iowa farmer for corn with which to produce ethanol is still criticized by many poorly informed individuals. They might better serve to lower food prices if they attacked the frivolous feeding of Agri-Foods to horses. Perhaps horse ownership should be banned except on working ranches. That all said, any Agri-Food shortages around the world are due to government policies. Horses and weather only serve to exacerbate the situation.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Uranium to Cross $100 Threshold in 2011 / Commodities / Uranium
Philip Williams, Pinetree Capital's VP of business development, says the spot price for uranium will likely explode above $100/lb. in 2011, much as it did in 2007 when it topped at $137. The good news, Philip says, is that even when uranium comes off its high, it will likely only fall to around $80. It's around $73 now. If Philip's right, we're on the cusp of another round of uranium market madness. And you will want to read this Energy Report exclusive for some of Pinetree's favorite uranium and lithium plays.
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Showdown in the Gold and Silver Markets: Let's Get Ready to Rumble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Silver is likely to lead the way higher from here, with gold following.
The suppression of the metals by the central banks since 1971 will not fall apart in a moment. But if there is a time to which people will later point and say, 'this was the turning point,' it is likely to be in the intital breakout of silver above twenty and of gold from its big cup and handle formation. To borrow an analogy from wartime, this was their Stalingrad, prelude to Kursk.
Thursday, February 10, 2011
Gold Slips vs. Rising Dollar as Stocks Markets Fall / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE DOLLAR price of gold slipped to two-day lows on Thursday morning as the US currency rose and world stock markets fell hard.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index lost 2% and London's FTSE100 dropping 0.9% by lunchtime.
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Silver Lease Rates Rise Sharply – Bond Yields in Portugal Rise to Record / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is down 0.32% against the US dollar which is higher against all major currencies today. Gold is marginally higher in euros, Swiss francs, and Aussie and Kiwi dollars. Silver is down 1% in US dollars and lower in all currencies.
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