Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 03, 2010
China Economic Crash Looming While India Jewelry Zooming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
China's extreme economic growth rates were met by both cheerleaders and detractors, many of whom were afraid that the real estate expansion was just another repeat of the US growth from 2002-2007. One of the key elements of the Chinese economic situation is its impact on precious metals, with many analysts stretching the news to say that a Chinese slowdown is bad for metals. But how? The greater impact on metals comes from India.
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Tuesday, August 03, 2010
No Leaks in this Crude Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil
The massive move-up in crude oil on Monday created a new dynamic for this in-the-news market. The move to two-month highs completed one of our favorite major technical formations.
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Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Gold And Silver Stocks Are About To Crash! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There is one chart in the precious metals complex that has been true, honest, and faithful right from the beginning of its bull market. You will see a white square on this chart that says DEC 2007 DANGER!!! This was a magnificent and totally up front and obvious clue that the tide was about to turn bearish for the HUI. Between November 2000 and December 2007 the HUI did not at any time retreat below a previous monthly high.
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Tuesday, August 03, 2010
U.S. Dollar Down, Gold Up, Not Today! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The inverse relationship between the dollar and gold prices started to decouple recently with the dollar rising and gold rising concurrently. The dollar has since peaked and resumed its trek south with gold also down but holding steady at the moment. Today, however, we saw the dollar fall out bed as the chart shows, and gold almost followed it lower but was saved by the rapid fall of the dollar. The summer doldrums brings with it a certain amount of wishy washy market movements without any obvious direction. So we need to think of it as white noise and concentrate on the bigger picture.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Why Gold Stocks are Certain to Go Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Certain may not be the best word to use in a post-bubble world. Is anything truly certain? Ok maybe not. If you don't like certain then lets replace it with “highly probable.”
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Monday, August 02, 2010
The Special Science of Rare Earth Metals Investing / Commodities / Metals & Mining
The ability to separate the science from the promotional claims is among the expertise that Geological Consultant Tony Mariano, PhD, brings to the rare earth elements (REE) table. Tony, who for decades has combined long hours in the lab with even longer field visits to evaluate mineralization in its natural environment, is among the rare ones who can help companies evaluate a deposit for grade, tonnage and the prospects for economic recovery. A sharp technician who manages to keep his head out of the clouds and his feet on the ground, Tony shares some of his secrets, and some of his opinions about the hottest prospective properties, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Gold Could Hit $46,167 on Fed Deb Monetization / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
I have some important ground to cover with you today, so let me get started right away — but first, with a warning I want to get on the official record …
No matter what happens in the world today …
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Meet Someone Who is 90% Invested in Gold and Silver! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Nations rise when, through inventions and technology they become economically prosperous. They grow as they enlarge their borders and increase in influence, through conquests or by trade. They fall, when the growing need to pay for promises made, and the cost of foreign wars, drains the treasury.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Macro Blues Overshadow Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude oil has been trading within the range of $75-$80 for the fourth consecutive week with investors now focusing on a slowing economy and rising inventories in the United States, one of the top two oil consumers in the world.
However, the latest data indications from these two areas are not at all encouraging, and I will discuss some of them in the following sections.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Gold Hatchet Job by Barron’s / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold dropped 30 points on Monday-Tuesday of this past week thus breaking out downside from a head and shoulders top. The problem here was that most of the indicators on gold are bullish. Thus the head and shoulders is an anomaly. Technical analysis proceeds on the basis of probabilities. One must weigh the bullish and bearish factors and establish a weight of the evidence.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Steels Most Important Ingredient / Commodities / Metals & Mining
As the economic crisis continues to reverberate worldwide, many smart companies and developing nations are taking advantage of the downturn to invest in strategic metals. One such metal continuing to gain interest around the world is manganese for the simple, but important reason that steel cannot be produced without it. That’s why this month, we’ve decided to focus on this little known strategic metal.
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Sunday, August 01, 2010
JP Morgan Covering Its Silver Shorts Like Crazy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
JP Morgan holds a massive short position in silver, some of which it is said to have inherited as a concentrated speculative position from Bear Stearns. Retreats from such overextended positions are never easy, and therefore never straightforward. Having such a position can be very profitable in the short term since it gives one remarkable control over the paper price of a commodity, paricularly if the regulators are willing to turn a blind eye to certain trading practices.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
China Raises the Floor for Agri Food Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Last we talked on Agri-Food part of our discussion was drought in Russia and wetness in Canada. Mother Nature just does not understand that just in time inventory management requires the weather to be properly scheduled. Or, perhaps humans should come to understand that just in time inventory is fine for electronic connectors, but does not work with wheat or corn or soybeans or any of the other Agri-Foods. While many things are made in factories, Agri-Foods are not. The lost portion of the Russian wheat harvest will not be replaced till 2011.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
One of the Great Secrets of Commodity Investing / Commodities / Investing 2010
Matt Badiali writes: By now, just about everyone in America has heard of the huge "unconventional" natural gas boom we've enjoyed in this country.
Earlier this decade, people were worried the U.S. was running out of natural gas... a vital commodity we use to produce chemicals, heat our homes, and generate electricity. From 1980 to 1999, domestic natural gas reserves fell 18%. Production only grew 1% a year on average. In short, we were pumping out more than we were finding... for nearly two decades.
Saturday, July 31, 2010
Cloudy Economic Outlook Keeps Crude Oil Trading in Narrow Range for Week / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude oil futures continued to trade in a very narrow range, unable to cross the $79 a barrel threshold even though they ended 4.4% higher on the month.The benchmark West Texas Intermediate rallied with the stock market late Friday to finish the week at $78.95 a barrel, virtually unchanged from $78.98 a week ago, after dipping just below $77 a barrel earlier in the week. End-of-month trading might have accounted for some the late gains, analysts said.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
Has Gold Correction Made a Final Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
In the last two essays we have emphasized the influence that the dollar and main stock indices might have on the precious metals and we have summarized our last essay by stating that we are likely to see a short-term bounce to the upside (…) perhaps very soon. Since this is what happened we would like to let you know where - in our opinion - gold is likely to go next.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
A Cyclical Case for Gold Stocks Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
"We're not going into a double dip. We're going into a depression. I'm convinced of that," claims renowned Market Forecaster Ian Gordon. Using his sharpest tools, Gordon has determined that the biggest market crash in our lifetime is coming sooner than most expect. But he is using a three-pronged strategy to limit the damage and even make money in the dark times ahead. You will learn why Gordon believes gold, and gold equities in particular, will perform when nothing else does in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
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Friday, July 30, 2010
Gold Trading Strategy Says Stand Aside This August / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Earlier this month in DailyWealth, I introduced you to my Simple Gold Strategy that turned $10,000 into $2 million.
When this indicator says, "Buy," gold compounds at 35% per year. When it says, "Stand aside," gold decreases in value.
Friday, July 30, 2010
New Uranium Bull Market? / Commodities / Uranium
Uranium soared from $10 a pound in 2000 to a stunning $136 a pound in 2007 - and then the bottom fell out. After three lean years, could another bull market be ahead?
According to the Ux Consulting Company, which tracks the price of uranium, the July 26 weekly spot price for U308 was $46 per pound. That is a 15% spike from the February lows around $40 per pound.
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Friday, July 30, 2010
European Banks Lent Their Customer's Gold to the BIS / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Although it does not appear until almost the end of this article in the Financial Times, BIS Gold Swaps Mystery Unravelled, the source of the gold provided in the dollar swaps with BIS is coming from customers of about 10 European banks who are holding their gold at the banks in 'unallocated accounts.'
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