Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Gold Mount St Helens About to Explode Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Not in the last few years have conditions been aligned for a truly explosive upward move in the gold & silver prices. A confluence of factors simply could not be more bullish, promising, and powerful. The psychology has also been raised in awareness on a global basis, as financial centers, media networks, and common folks have coordinated their recognition of the gold bull. They comprehend perhaps two or three of the main factors why gold is rising, out my stated list in a recent article "13 Reasons For a Major Gold Breakout" in September (CLICK HERE). The trio of fundamentals, psychology, and technical chart constitute the trifecta that will push gold & silver to extreme heights, and crush the silly shorts with their myopic half-baked tactics that are certain to make them roadkill, then someone else's lunch.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Gold Hits Fresh Record Higher in USD, Euro and GBP / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE gold in the professional market hit a new record London Fix of $1170.25 an ounce early Tuesday, while Asian stock markets closed the day lower and the US Dollar slipped on the forex market.
Crude oil also fell back. Government bonds ticked higher. One London gold dealer noted a "sense of disappointment" that gold failed to reach $1200 an ounce last night as the December option contract expired.
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
How Long With the Gold Bull Market Run? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The train left the station with gold stock prices on board as we predicted months ago but fear not if you are not already aboard as there are always “stops” (read that as “dips”) along the way. These dips should be bought because the rally is running along nicely and you know what they say... the trend is your friend.
Profits are still there to be made and in my humble opinion the best is yet to come, the next station for boarding is only a week or two ahead. This will not be very deep just a nice safe entry point for those who like to time their market entry.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Gold Prices Move Higher in a World of Paper Currencies and Paper Promises / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has maintained last week's and yesterday's gain and is currently trading near record nominal highs at $1,166/oz, £705/oz and €781/oz. New levels of resistance and support are $1,175/oz and $1,152/oz.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Is the Gold Price a Bubble? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold remains undervalued, even at its current price of $1,150 an ounce. One signal of this is that at current market prices of gold, the notes of the FED – its dollar bills – are not fully-backed by gold. That is to say, gold’s price is lower than the Zero Discount Value (ZDV) of gold by a wide margin.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Gold Perspective on a World Gone Economically Mad / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Since up is down and left is right in an anchorless fiat currency world, one must keep a perspective on things. As a Gold investor, I am not exactly bullish on the U.S. Dollar. However, I also am not bullish on other international paper currencies, either. I wouldn't place faith in the Euro, the British Pound, the Swiss Franc, the Japanese Yen or the Chinese Yuan over the next few years. When the chips are down and the global economy falters, every country now seems to have an endless ability to create more debt and start the party up again - it's like watching synchronized swimming for the damned.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Monetary Fraud Means Cold Turkey Thanksgiving 2009 / Commodities / Fiat Currency
The study of money, above all other fields in economics, is one in which complexity is used to disguise truth or to evade truth, not to reveal it. The process by which banks create money is so simple the mind is repelled. John Kenneth Galbraith (1908- ), former professor of economics at Harvard, writing in Money: Whence it came, where it went (1975).
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Gold Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern Revisited / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The following excerpt is from our full weekly report available for subscribers only. Please note that the section below on gold is from the May 1, 2009 report that discusses gold's inverse head & shoulders formation that was still forming at the time - waiting for confirmation that recently occurred.
Bonds
Interest rates are showing their strong influence on the markets. The Fed and other central bankers have been busy plying their trade: intervening in what are supposed to be free markets.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Gold Soaring Towards $1200 Target / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold is soaring, hitting new record highs almost daily. This C rise is going strong. Our initial $1200 target level for this year's rise has nearly been reached, but gold could go higher.
This is good news for all of us who have been invested in gold for the past eight years. But even for those of you who invested in more recent times, gold has been a good and profitable investment.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Gold Danger as $1,100 Triggers 34% Drop in Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Well, we may have a little deja vu all over again. What is the commonality between oil at $140 and Gold at more than $1,100? The answer is that demand for the oil was declining as oil approached $140, and the same is happening in Gold. From "Gold demand falls 34 per cent in 3rd quarter: World Gold Council," economictimes.indiatimes.com, 20 November, we read:
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Two Nickel Explorers / Commodities / Metals & Mining
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information
It wasn't so long ago that the base metals were some of the most rewarding markets to be involved in during this commodities bull market. That of course changed drastically when all the base metals were subjected to very large price drops late in 2008.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
The Best Energy Investments in the World / Commodities / Energy Resources
An interview with Marin Katusa, Casey Research:
In the past three years, Marin Katusa, senior energy analyst at Casey Research, has become one of the most respected and listened-to authorities in the investment advisory business. He spends the bulk of his time on airplanes and in far-off places studying the future of energy... and the best ways to make money from it.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Gold Upside Targets / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
As spot gold hits the next optimal target zone around $1172, let's look at the big picture of the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD). The next optimal target zone off the big base formation in the GLD is 117.00/50. If no profit-taking and/or corrective action occurs in and around 117 (give or take a couple of dollars), then the concept of “vertical blow-off” gets into full swing, with a potential next target of 128-132.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Distorted IEA Oil Reserve Figures Create Biofuel Opportunities / Commodities / Renewable Energy
The recent revelations of a International Energy Administration whistleblower that the IEA may have distorted key oil projections under intense U.S. pressure is, if true (and whistleblowers rarely come forward to advance their careers), a slow-burning thermonuclear explosion on future global oil production. The Bush administration’s actions in pressuring the IEA to underplay the rate of decline from existing oil fields while overplaying the chances of finding new reserves have the potential to throw governments’ long-term planning into chaos.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Gold Hits New USD, Euro and GBP Record Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose against all major currencies early Monday in Asia, recording fresh all-time highs against the US Dollar, British Pound and Euro.
This morning's London Gold Fix – used as a clearing and benchmark price, and set today at $1166.00, £702.41 and €778.53 per ounce – stood 293%, 284% and 171% higher respectively from this time 10 years ago.
Monday, November 23, 2009
Gold Surges to Record Nominal Highs in USD and EUR; $1,200/oz Soon? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has rallied to new record nominal highs in dollars with geopolitical concerns about Iran escalating and the dollar falling again. Possibly of more importance are increasing concerns about the unprecedented and huge public debt levels in large industrialised nations and the as of yet remote possibility of sovereign default (there are concerns that sovereign default could, like subprime, be the catalyst for the next stage in the global financial crisis).
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Cotton Commodity Bulls Waver At 61.8% Recovery Level / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The recovery in Cotton from its Nov-08 low slowed during the summer, at one stage suggesting a reversal was in the offing. However, an Oct break to the upside kept bulls on track for the next upside target around a 61.8% recovery level – and now there are indications that a temporary pullback is due.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Is Gold in a Bubble? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has recently broken out to new highs, topping $1150/ounce. The financial media doesn’t trust this move. Widespread commentary has it that gold is in a bubble. Google reports numerous hits for a search on "gold bubble nov 2009." Financial writer and frequent television guest Dennis Gartman agrees:
Read full article... Read full article..."It is a gold bubble and to say otherwise it’d be naïve," Gartman said. He called the trade on the precious metal: "mind boggling and unbelievably crowded," but also said he is currently long – or betting gold will go higher.
Monday, November 23, 2009
Reply To Paul Krugman Attack on the Gold Standard / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
“Selection of gold as our state mineral is acknowledgement of the intimate part it has played in the history of our people and of the fact that mining is a major California economic activity.” Governor Edmund G. Brown, Apr. 23, 1965 (signing legislation designating gold as California’s official state mineral.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Gold, Silver and Crude Oil Out Perform Their Equities? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Since the market crash in late 2008 we have seen investors favor quality stocks that pay dividends and have steady earnings. Fast growth companies and equities with physical resources like commodities have also done well.
Let’s examine the monthly charts of gold, silver, oil and natural gas – and observe how they have traded in comparison to their mining equities
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