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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, September 02, 2008

Gold Used as Political Weapon Could See Bounce Back above $900 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Captain_Hook

Gold is a political metal, where to this day its primary movements are still governed more by politics than any other factor taken in the proper light. You see it's all about the dollar ($), and it's role as global hegemony, where post World War II its imposition as the world's reserve currency was in effect de facto / soft colonialism and economic domination. So, gold's rise since 2001 is actually the measure of global de-colonization in effect, with recent actions taken by Russia in Georgia an acceleration of the trend. That's right, and while Russia may not have the ‘superpower' status it was credited with up until the Union's fall, which accelerated with the dismantling of the Berlin Wall in 1989, it has been re-organized under Putin into a regional power of strategic (perhaps supreme with its energy related stranglehold on the rest of Europe) importance, both economically and militarily once again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 02, 2008

Gold Follows Crudes Slide Lower / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

In light Labour Day trading gold fell yesterday as Hurricane Gustav did not impact the Gulf of Mexico as severely as had been expected.

Gold has continued to fall in trading in London as oil prices have continued their recent slide and are down nearly 5% to near $105 a barrel (Light Sweet Crude Oil Future - Combined - OCT08) and the dollar has risen to a 7 month high against the euro (below $1.45) and the US dollar index has risen to a 10 month high.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 02, 2008

Gold Targetting ABC Trend to $900 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“In Elliott wave terms, last week's rally could very well have been a 4 of C consolidation before the final lows. Both gold and silver failed to take out a key support/resistance level just above Friday's closing levels. Neither managed to have their rallies confirmed by MACD, which actually widened negatively in both cases. And, whereas gold is poised for a bearish crossover over the 50-week sma over the 5-, silver has already done it. Both gold and silver remain well below their 5-week moving averages. If this is the beginning of a new leg to the bull market, there's still lots of work to do before we have anything approaching confirmation. ~ Precious Points: One More Low to Go? August 23, 2008

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Commodities

Monday, September 01, 2008

Gold in a Bull or Bear Market? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst off, let me declare that I am not a congenital bear on gold. Fundamentally, I am convinced that gold is the most valuable commodity on the planet. I just happen to believe that it never was nor ever will be a currency. I hold this belief because the evidence seems to me to point to this conclusion, not because I have some deep seated drive to challenge the combined views of the gold community.

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Commodities

Monday, September 01, 2008

Gold and Oil Slump as Hurricane Gustav Weakens / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD slipped out of a tight 0.5% range lunchtime in London on Monday, moving below last week's close at $831 per ounce as world stock markets fell and bond prices rose.

Crude oil slid back to $114 a barrel as Hurricane Gustav moved towards Louisiana , closing every oil-rig in the Gulf of Mexico but not gaining strength as it approached a near-deserted New Orleans .

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Commodities

Monday, September 01, 2008

Commodities Bull Market Over? / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Salman_Khan

Recent days have seen an intense debate on the hot topic of the year — commodity prices. We have seen commodities across the board tumble in the past few months. Pessimists have started writing obituaries for the commodity bull and pronounced an end to the ascent in commodity prices. The scale of the rout can be seen in the Reuters-Jefferies CRB index, a basket of 19 commodities, which has fallen below 400 points to its lowest level since early April, a drop of about 14 percent since a record peak above 473 in early July.

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Commodities

Monday, September 01, 2008

Australian Gold Production Slumped 13% in the Last Quarter to an 18 Year Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold surged at the open in Asia (from $830/oz to just over $836/oz) but has given up some of the early gains in volatile trade. It remains marginally higher in early trading in London but is under pressure due to continuing dollar strength and the failure of oil to rally significantly despite the threat posed by Hurricane Gustav.

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Commodities

Monday, September 01, 2008

Hurricane Storms Impact on Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince January we’ve discussed the influence that the 6-year cycle would have over the year 2008. Already we’ve seen many tokens of its impact, primarily in the financial markets. The late banking crisis and subsequent spillover into other areas of the market have been one of the most prominent features of this year.

One of the main reasons why financial markets have been so volatile and subject to so many cross currents this year is because the 6-year cycle is bottoming while its double cycles, the Kress 12-year cycle, is peaking. The last time the 12-year cycle bottomed was in late September/early October 2002 and its effects on the stock market are well known. It produced the end to the previous bear market that year and marked the birth of a new bull market.

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Commodities

Monday, September 01, 2008

Gold Short-term Bounce Masks Longer-term Bearish Indicators / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe market was somewhat positive during the week but that impression seems to fall apart when one takes a good look at the daily figures. Two days on the down side. Two days where gold closed lower than where it opened. Only one day where gold closed higher from the open AND previous close.

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Commodities

Monday, September 01, 2008

Business Contracts With Clauses for Payment in Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA recent US Court of Appeals decision puts Congress' 1977 re-authorization of gold clauses back on the map - just in time to help business owners protect themselves from progressive, terminal dollar-decay

Only a few days before publication of this article, the US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit handed down its opinion in 216Jamica Ave. LLC v. S&R Playhouse Realty Co. , holding that a 1982 amendment and assignment of a 1912 lease constituted a "novation" that effectively revived a gold clause that was part of the original lease agreement.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 31, 2008

Hurricane Gustav Tracking New Orleans East of Oil and Gas Rigs / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Shedlock

Those interested in Hurricane Gustav should tie into the Oil Drum thread Hurricane Gustav, Energy Infrastructure, and Updated Damage Models - Thread #3 .

Recent track shifts have Gustav consistently hitting near New Orleans, east of the majority of oil and gas rigs; though this could still change in either direction, the models have continued to converge.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 30, 2008

Gold Sale Spurs Manipulation Talk / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

MarketWatch is reporting Gold Sale Spurs Manipulation Talk
Recent heat from Congress and regulators, along with public speculation, over whether commodity prices are being manipulated has also reached gold pits, where the debate was stirred by a surge in bets last month that gold prices would fall.

"Congress is already investigating allegations of manipulation in the oil market, and it seems likely that it is only a matter of time before a similar investigation will be required in the precious metal markets," said Mark O'Byrne, executive director at Gold and Silver Investment.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Bull Market Confusion Presents a Golden Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou know there is something wrong when financial commentators are forced into being weathermen. During the better part of this new century, we have dealt with tightness in oil supplies and dire warnings of woe that would befall us should a hurricane get loose in the Gulf of Mexico . During this same period, we have been bombarded by higher costs across the full spectrum of items that are considered to be staples of living the in United States . Yet officials and media pundits have stubbornly insisted that inflation is ‘contained' or recently that it ‘will cool next year'.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Total War on Private Wealth: Operation Meltdown Part II / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePart I, "...The 'total war' of the 20th century first required a 'total war' on freely held private wealth..."

IT SEEMS AN ODD QUIRK of history that Washington 's post-War obsession with its nationalized gold reserves – an obsession which Ian Fleming neatly tapped into with Goldfinger in 1959 – came so long after what historians call the "classical" Gold Standard ended.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Bull Market Set to Resume on Strong Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the precious metals summer doldrums come to a close, we need to assess the damage from another season of gold hatred and disdain. Like déjà vu for veteran gold investors, the mainstream financial media took advantage of gold's seasonal weakness to proclaim the death of the Ancient Metal of Kings.

From a technical perspective gold's summer activity indeed gave the naysayers fodder to jump on the “End of the Gold Bull!” and “Gold's Bubble has Burst!” bandwagons. Gold's $190 plunge from mid-July to mid-August saw it knife through a number of key support levels. This caused blood to flow in the streets even for the gold faithful.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Registers Near 10% Drop for August / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD reversed an earlier 1% drop as the Wall Street opening approached on Friday, touching $838 an ounce as Asian stock markets ended the month 3% lower and government bond prices rose.

Up $15 from last Friday, gold prices were heading for their second week-on-week gain. But they remained at an 8% discount to the close of July.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gold Flat lines Despite Russian Threats to Cut Europe's Oil and Gas / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold has flat lined and is marginally higher this morning with the dollar marginally lower and oil marginally higher on continuing concerns about the possible impact of tropical storm Gustav.

Gold has been gradually edging higher for the last two weeks and appears to be ready to rally in the seasonally strong autumn months due to the strong fundamentals. Especially given deepening concerns regarding the global economy, heightened geopolitical risk on increasing tensions in Russia and the continuing supply demand issues in the physical bullion market.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

Commodities Bull Market Sill in Tact / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Aden_Forecast

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe markets have been extremely volatile over the past few weeks. Investors have been spooked and many are wondering what to do, if anything.

For now, based on our analysis, gold's bull market remains in force. That's the bottom line. Even though there have been some wild swings, the major trend is still up and as long as that's the case, we recommend holding your positions.

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Commodities

Friday, August 29, 2008

No Smoking Gun on Silver Price Supression Conspiracy / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe amount of hate email I have been receiving in response to The Great Gold, Silver Conspiracy Explained is large but not unsurprising. People simply want to blame others for their own trading mistakes. I will have more on that in a separate post.

Most of the emails I received are unprintable because of the profanity. However I will print one of them anyway with slight edits. I will voluntarily withhold the name of the person writing although no such request was asked.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Gold Rallys Towards Resistance at $846 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD BULLION rose yet again in London on Thursday, touching $840 an ounce just ahead of the Wall Street open and recovering almost one-third of the 21% plunge witnessed since mid-July.

" Gold is still capped by the big resistance at $846," reckons Peter Tse at Scotia Mocatta in Hong Kong , speaking earlier to Reuters.

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